Before we discuss the indicator, let us understand an important concept.
Thread: Alligator indicator
#Alligator #Indicators #Definedge
Before we discuss the indicator, let us understand an important concept.
Moving average at bar B is moving average price of bar A (5 candles behind). This is shifting of moving average price. What does it mean?
https://t.co/WkNxKU9n8u
Let us discuss the Alligator indicator.
Thread:- How Ichimoku indicator is calculated. pic.twitter.com/pM7AZvJjMj
— Prashant Shah (@Prashantshah267) April 15, 2020
Williams suggested Fib numbers 13, 8 and 5 period averages.
The averages are calculated on median price.
Median price = (High + low) / 2.
So, there are three lines plotted on the chart.
13-period MA is shifted by 8 bars
8-period MA is shifted by 5 bars
5-period MA is shifted by 3 bars
So, default parameters of Alligator indicator are 13,8,5 and 8,5,3.
The 13-period MA to 8 (13,8) is called as Alligator’s Jaws.
8-period MA to 5, the Teeth and
5-period MA to 3, the Lips.
When three lines are close to each other, the Alligator is sleeping.
If the Lips crosses the Teeth and Jaws upward or downward, the Alligator is waking up.
If Price crosses above or below the three lines, the Alligator is eating.
When three lines are close to each other, there is no clear trend.
When short-term average crosses other two upward or downward, the trend might emerge.
When three lines are trending, and price is above them, then it indicates strong uptrend.
Over a period, market trends roughly 20% – 30% times, it remains in a range rest of the time.
If Alligator sleeps more (long consolidation), it will become hungrier and eat more (Strong trend).
There are two important observations on this indicator which I found useful:
2 – Price low is above three averages and all averages are rising = Strong up trend. Price high is below averages and all averages are falling = strong downtrend.
These readings are also possible using other indicators and charts. Idea was to talk about the concept.
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In such a case, H&S can be either a continuation pattern or compound fulcrum.
This is how to differentiate:
• if right shoulder is smaller than left, most likely a continuation H&S
• if right is same or higher than left, and the price is not coming to neckline, most likely CF
This is how to differentiate:
• if right shoulder is smaller than left, most likely a continuation H&S
• if right is same or higher than left, and the price is not coming to neckline, most likely CF
sir a doubt does head & shoulders work in down trend ? pic.twitter.com/dytYmbzOfp
— Vega_Greek (@VegaGreek) May 13, 2021
Should you add more in Equity or redeem right now?
A thread 🧵to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)
But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally
If you r new to fundamentals, 👇 can help
Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are –ve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
A thread 🧵to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)
But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally
If you r new to fundamentals, 👇 can help
Market PE at 40 and yet the market is not falling, why? Getting asked this question multiple times. Here's a thread covering \u2018very basic\u2019 premier on valuation for my retail investor friends.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) January 14, 2021
Do hit the \u2018re-tweet\u2019 and help us educate more investors (1/n) pic.twitter.com/8oCkBmmOXY
Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are –ve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
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