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Should you add more in Equity or redeem right now?

A thread 🧵to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.

Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)

#investing #StockMarket

Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)


But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally

If you r new to fundamentals, 👇 can help


Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.

Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)


There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are –ve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
#Freetip
Today's move is an example of this tweet. Save this chart for future ref. https://t.co/amUhSLrET3
🌟Lesson 1 - weekly /monthly breakout push stock price 30/50% higher in 2/3 weeks.

Ex- #sastasundar after breakout 145/155 zone , stocks in 2/3 weeks given 30/40% return.

And in 2/3 months it was double 💞 https://t.co/9kkc3IV4Lo


🌟Lesson 2 - if stock is making same pattern ( in 2 /3hours chart) after given breakout of (weekly /monthly chart) , then chances of stock going up is much more.

Ex - #HGS after given breakout of Trendline ( range) in monthly chart, again making same pattern 4 hours chart. 💞


🌟Lesson 3- if stock never come to retest it's weekly & monthly breakout zone then the chances of it's 2x is much more.

EX - #happiestmind everytime consolidating & making new high. 💞

@chartmojo
@charts_breakout


🌟Lesson 4 - when whole market fall still strongest stocks only consolidate or move down very little.

Ex - when this march market took correction 800/1000 points #jindalpoly just consolidating from that time.
Now ready for new high . 💞


🌟Lesson 5 - when market recover the strongest stocks recover very fast & will make new high.
Ex - #happiestmind when market take little correction & again bounce little , then #happiestmind made new high before market .