Ulysses S. Grant would like a WORD

Or Teddy Roosevelt. Or Dwight Eisenhower. Or Andrew Jackson. Or Abraham Lincoln. Or George Washington. Or Zachary Taylor. Or any of numerous presidents who were honest-to-goodness battle-hardened warriors.
James Monroe fought the Hessians at Trenton and nearly died of wounds sustained there, then wintered in Valley Forge, then fought until Monmouth, then repeatedly tried to raise new regiments for the war until he went bankrupt doing it.
James Monroe, of the Era of Good Feelings, longest serving president of all time.... was in the boats crossing the icy Delaware.
Andrew Jackson was in a duel. He was shot in the chest right by his heart.

But he didn't go down. He stood there and, while bleeding out, steadily took aim and killed the dude who shot him.

Stone cold.
A guy tried to kill Jackson, shooting at hime twice, but the guns misfired. Jackson retaliated by beating the man nearly to death with his cane. Davy Crockett (!!!) had to intervene to save the assassin's life.
Also James Monroe was not the longest serving president dunno how I got that in my head.
I mean look even *James Buchanan* got combat experience in 1812.
Probably the best analog for Trump is Grover Cleveland.

Grover Cleveland hired a substitute to take his place in the Civil War.
Herbert Hoover spent 55 days under siege in Beijing during the Boxer Rebellion. Not quite the same but still kind of a thing.
FDR to his credit *attempted* to join WWI but his resignation from the Navy department was denied; his services as a higher-up were deemed too useful to let him go.
Zacharly Taylor was basically the American Genghis Khan. The dude repeatedly won field promotions on account of personal bravery, excellence as a field commander, and generally having a reputation for charging headlong into danger.
He was accomplished in unconventional (i.e. brutal and inhumane) wars against native Americans.

And then he was the guy Polk chose to start a war with Mexico. He did so. And then he conquered Mexico.
He was known for not wearing any marker that he was an officer in battle because he disliked lording it over his men. And when 16,000 MExican troops under Santa Ana attacked his 4,000 at Buena Vista, he stood and won.
Also he was a Kentuckian so that means he was definitionally a cut above the average American.
Teddy Roosevelt, I mean, that guy

One time he was on a hill in Cuba, and he got to watch it get taken by the innovative use of gatling guns supporting regiment of black cavalrymen!
TR was so manly that he could tell you all about how manly he was.
I'm joking of course his actual insanely tough story is when he got shot while giving a speech and then decided to just keep going and finish the speech.

The dude was DETERMINED TO POAST.
Numerous presidents had front-line experience in the Civil War, WWI, or WWII. HW Bush was shot down in WWII. Even W was at least a guardsman.
HW Bush getting shot down makes it sound like I'm being down on him; I'm not. He was promoted for his excellence beforehand, got shot down in a harrowing battle (captured aviators in that battle were *cannibalized* by the Japanese)... and then returned to service!
Anyways.

Trump is not the manliest president ever.
He is probably the richest president ever, even in inflation-adjusted terms, although what basis you choose for land valuation and valuation of enslaved people held as property gets a bit tricky there.
Certainly, Trump is NOT the wealthiest U.S. president in terms of "wealth as a share of total national wealth." That is almost certainly George Washington.
Trump is also not the most physically imposing president. Three presidents were taller and 5 (including Clinton and HW bush) are the same height.

He is the third HEAVIEST president, of course, after Grover Cleveland (remember him from above?) and Taft, of stuck-in-the-tub fame.
Trump does have the 4th highest BMI of any president, after Taft, Cleveland, and McKinley. He is obese.

Bet he doesn't even lift, bruh
Now, look. I have no military service. I have not killed a man in a duel. I have not been shot while speechifying. In a ranking of most manly presidents, I also would not rank very highly.

But I'm not a president riding on a tough-guy brand for my rapidly-diminishing popularity.

More from Lyman Stone 石來民

So a few days back I was tweeting about SSRIs. The big question with these drugs is: why do controlled trials routinely show such small effects when practitioners and patients report life-changingly-large effects?

So first off, at this point the evidence is pretty clear that SSRIs and other anti-anxiety/anti-depression drugs truly don't do very much. Their average effects are beneath clinical significance, as I tweeted about here:


Basically, the problem these drugs face is that while they actually see relatively LARGE effects.... but that placebos in those trials ALSO see large effects (and most untreated depression improves within a year anyways).

So basically you have this problem where:
1. The condition tends to improve on its own in a majority of cases
2. Placebo effects for the condition are unusually large

Which means the large crude effects of SSRIs get swamped.

So that raises two new questions.
1. (Not my focus here) Are we treating these conditions appropriately given their untreated prognosis is usually (though certainly not always!!) "goes away in a few months"?

2. Why are placebo effects so unusually large?

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I think a plausible explanation is that whatever Corbyn says or does, his critics will denounce - no matter how much hypocrisy it necessitates.


Corbyn opposes the exploitation of foreign sweatshop-workers - Labour MPs complain he's like Nigel

He speaks up in defence of migrants - Labour MPs whinge that he's not listening to the public's very real concerns about immigration:

He's wrong to prioritise Labour Party members over the public:

He's wrong to prioritise the public over Labour Party