This friend had trouble making money in options though he was directionally right. Let us see how a basic understanding of greeks would have helped him, This thread will be about two attributes of option pricing, extrinsic value and theta

An option has two parts, intrinsic and extrinsic value. Think of a pack of Lay's potato chips. When you buy and open the pack, what you find is some chips and a lot of air. Intrinsic value is the chips, extrinsic value is air
https://t.co/8ZPv4ZnCiL
https://t.co/icWmqSLENW
https://t.co/vHA6azEmbQ
Let us stop for a second here. When our friend was buying the 31700CE, he was buying pure extrinsic value, i.e, AIR
He has a second problem, theta.

What is theta ?
Watch this example for theta. These are actual calculations of greeks
https://t.co/kxHNu8eGYY
https://t.co/IgXzrssx5f
https://t.co/w1KFFZVZkh
DTE = Days to expiration. Watch that the theta decay curve is not linear, it speeds up as we approach expiration
https://t.co/wWYA331uQi
Theta decay starts to accelerate at 13 DTE. From 6DTE, it justs accelerates like crazy . This is true for all options
So our friend in this example was hit by a double whammy ( triple actually, due to vega, but vega on a later day. Explaining vega will confuse if you are a novice).
1. He was playing pure extrinsic value
2. He has a high theta burn rate so close to expiry, the highest
Hence, his 31700 call was not moving up fast. It was continuously losing theta. Being an OTM option with pure extrinsic value, the theta burn was very high
So what is the solution ? An options buyer has to negate theta burn to a certain degree. Best way ? Should have used a bull call spread. What you lose due to theta in your bought option can be somewhat covered by theta gain in the sold option
I can or anyone knowing greeks can make a position almost theta neutral thru spreads

THIS IS HOW GREEKS HELP YOU !
I understand that when one opens an options book, the maths seems daunting. It's supposed to be, Black and Scholes won the Nobel prize for making that formula 😃 To be very frank, if you ask me the total maths, I will also have trouble explaining
So, focus on the graphs. Using graphs is the easiest way to understand options. Whatever strategy you use, plot it graphically and play around with vols, DTE and direction
1. https://t.co/LpbzrgqvaH ( web based)
2. https://t.co/5AHY0EmfH9 ( software)

BOTH FREE, use them

More from Subhadip Nandy

Perhaps you have the idea that calling me " 1 lot Nandy" is somehow derogatory and a easy poke at me. Allow me to explain why I look at this moniker as a badge of honour


I have traded 1 lot continuously twice in my life. The first in 2003 after I blew up on my INFY trade. I traded 1 lot ACC fut consistently and made 50k in a month

The 2nd time in 2013. When I suffered continuous losses for 5-6 months due to a variety of psychological issues. Then I traded 1 lot Nifty options consistently for 3 months. After that 2 lots for next 1 month and slowly increased

I have shared these two incidents on my various interveiws and regularly share this in detail with my handholding students when I talk about trading psychology.

This logic of trading 1 lot to iron out trading issues I learnt from the interview of Anthony Saliba, who traded 1 lot in options for 6 months. BTW, Saliba was the only options trader to have been profiled on the original Market Wizards ( I read his interview and used his logic)
This question might have rose in your mind too, that why VIX was lower than yesterday despite the huge selloff today.
This is what I think happens . A thread.


What is VIX ?
https://t.co/VOkAwGRsHL


What is IV ( implied volatility ) ?

Now my explanations. IV is simply demand and supply. IV is back calculated from option prices and not given by the BSM model. When demand for options ( by buyers) are high, IVs will be high. When supply of options ( by sellers) are high, IV will be low.

Now look at this chart. Nifty fut and VIX are plotted together ( red line is the VIX). Yesterday's massive breakdown forced traders to hedge their positions by buying puts ( could be cash holdings, could be future longs, could be sold puts). This excess demand spiked up IVs /VIX

More from Trading

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@franciscodeasis https://t.co/OuQaBRFPu7
Unfortunately the "This work includes the identification of viral sequences in bat samples, and has resulted in the isolation of three bat SARS-related coronaviruses that are now used as reagents to test therapeutics and vaccines." were BEFORE the


chimeric infectious clone grants were there.https://t.co/DAArwFkz6v is in 2017, Rs4231.
https://t.co/UgXygDjYbW is in 2016, RsSHC014 and RsWIV16.
https://t.co/krO69CsJ94 is in 2013, RsWIV1. notice that this is before the beginning of the project

starting in 2016. Also remember that they told about only 3 isolates/live viruses. RsSHC014 is a live infectious clone that is just as alive as those other "Isolates".

P.D. somehow is able to use funds that he have yet recieved yet, and send results and sequences from late 2019 back in time into 2015,2013 and 2016!

https://t.co/4wC7k1Lh54 Ref 3: Why ALL your pangolin samples were PCR negative? to avoid deep sequencing and accidentally reveal Paguma Larvata and Oryctolagus Cuniculus?