BC TRADING
Saved by @vsamk

Technical Analysis and 3 Strategies to deploy for Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative Traders.

🧵 Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 8th December Expiry:

 To form a view, let's have a look at:

1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis
2. Option Chain Data

Also, 3 strategies to deploy for:

1. Aggressive Traders (2.6%)
2. Moderate Risk Traders (1.3%)
3. Low-Risk Traders (0.8%)
1. Technicals

Let's start by doing some basic technical analysis.

We'll look at:

• Weekly charts.
• Daily charts.
• Hourly / 60 min charts.
• 15 min charts.
1. Weekly-

• The market has given 4 continuous green closes, so not expecting a big momentum on upside.

• This week my view is that it can take a pause.

• Longer term trend is super bullish.

• Any dip will towards 41800 will be a retest, and should be used to go long.
2. Daily:

• Candlestick pattern—Hanging Man

• Chart Pattern—Breakout Failure

• A pin bar candle is very powerful but only after a downmove.

• Here it forms near the top of upmove.

• Means some sellers are present. Below 43000 can sell calls above 43600 for the week.
3. 15 mins

• I am seeing this rectangle on 15 min charts.

• Price broke the rectangle on the upside & failed to sustain.

• Now it's back in the rectangle.

• So weekly sellers can sell short strangles & if the rectangle low breaks, can roll down calls to a higher premium.
Option chain data:

• Opstra shows that the options chain data is flat to bearish.

• OI is being added on both sides on ATM options.

• Data is matching with our bias and technicals which is sideways until the rectangle low/high is broken.
This is the Option Chain Data I have taken from @iChartsIndia website.

The premiums are shown here for the strikes.
Strategies to deploy?

1. Aggressive Traders

Aggressive traders would have sold 415003600 calls as that's one strike above the breakout failure level.

Would have also sold puts as it is in a range. 42500 puts.

ROI is around 2.60%
2. Moderate Risk Traders

Can sell strangles of 44000 calls and 42300 puts.

ROI is approximately 1.34%.
3. Conservative Traders

Can sell 44200 calls and 42000 puts. This is a strangle.

Fetches you approximately 0.8% ROI.

You guys should be targeting 2% per month and playing far away from spot levels of BNF.

4 expires per month to make 0.50% each week and end with 2%.
If you ❤️ this analysis and derived some value from it, consider liking and sharing the first tweet.

Check out @niki_poojary's analysis which she will post before Monday, hers is a bit different from mine each time.

Retweet the first tweet and help others find this thread.

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DJ SIR THREAD

Great video with points helpful for beginners.

Made 4 threads on DJ Sir with the help of @niki_poojary

1. Selecting strikes to trade in with risk management.
2. How he took some aggressive trades.
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4. Trade Setup


Attaching all threads made on DJ Sir. After watching the video you can refer to this tweet for notes about his strategy and learn a few other ideas.

Compiling these together for easy access to his knowledge.

1. Selecting strikes and risk


2. Going aggressive with help of data and


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Compilation of the best learnings from @BankniftyA through his tweets.

Have compiled his:

1. Expiry day trading.
2. Trade logics.
3. Multiple Charts analysis.
3. BTST criteria for stocks.

Share if you find it helpful so that everyone can benefit.

A pdf of his moneycontrol article where you can read about his journey and how he trades.


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Expiry day Trading:

How to become better?

When I had spoken to him on phone he advised me to backtest all expiries and rigorously practice them again and again to develop conviction. Superb advice!


Acts based on support and resistance levels from charts
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Curated tweets of @sourabhsiso19

Found awesome content: ⏬
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3. Learnings
4. Expiry Trading
5. Directional trading
6. Long Term Investing
7. Pivot system
8. DHS pattern
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Moneycontrol article on @sourabhsiso19


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1. Keeps drawdown at minimum.
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Thread on how options allow you to change your positions in a dynamic manner.
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I have made more than ₹ 3,00,00,000 profit after meeting @niki_poojary last year.

She taught me a lot of things and elevated my trading to a different level.

Here are 8 key learnings from her which helped me improve my trading performance:

1) Become a directional player:

Nikita is a hardcore directional player. Whenever there is a trend, she hardly ever misses it.

Previously, I sold only strangles, but after observing her and watching her make profits, I decided that going directional is where the big money is.

2) Support & Resistance to gauge the big player's footprints:

It is totally possible to trade in the weekly expiry based on only support and resistance.

Because you understand whether the buyer has the upper hand or the seller. Can just accompany them & make money.

3) Execution power on ideas discussed:

Once the Support &Resistance zones are identified, we know where the smart money is likely to make its plays, then it is important to execute on your ideas.

Simply knowing how something works does not put money into your pocket.

You must have the guts to punch the trades in large quantities.

Even this became much easier for me because I learned from her risk-taking. She is a relatively higher risk taker than me. I am a very cautious and risk-first-approach kind of trader.
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Aditya Todmal
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@AdityaTodmal
Over the last 18 months, I have scaled my income to around ₹10,00,000 or 10 lakhs per week with drawdowns below 10%.

How?

@niki_poojary taught me how to form a weekly trading plan.

I'm going to share what I've learned in this thread.

Here's the simple 10 step process: 🧵

1. Check on the daily chart if Bank Nifty is in a higher high or lower low:

A higher-high (HH) is a bullish pattern, it signifies that it is difficult for the market to go down.

If that has formed on the daily chart, the market will give all the surprises on the upside.


If the market is in a higher high mode, look for good opportunities to sell puts.

Usually, at a higher high, traders buy on breakouts and also buy the dips.

If you want a good Risk-Reward, you can sell puts on a dip. (Only if it's showing some reversal)

2. Take High Probability Trades

Simply knowing a higher high or lower low does not make money. It gives you a bias for the week.

Still, you should try to take higher probability trades that align with your view of the market.

This will get you consistency and a good mindset.

3. Support & Resistance

I would say Support Resistance is the most important and favorite thing for @niki_poojary.

She keeps updating these levels with charts on her Twitter handle during live markets daily.

Attaching some examples will do a detailed thread on this later.
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1/

Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll help you understand Geometric Expectations.


2/

Imagine we have an investment opportunity.

If the investment goes well, we get to double our money.

But if it goes badly, we'll end up losing three fourths of it.

There's a 50/50 chance of either outcome.

The question: is this a good bet or not?

3/

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This whole course is worth 40-50K-

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A 🧵on the basics of block and bulk deals.

Block and bulk deals are large purchases of stocks by investment banks, mutual funds, hedge funds, pension funds, FIIs, and promoters. Tracking block and bulk deals can help give you a sense of what these large players are thinking.

A single transaction where shares more than Rs 10 crores or the number of shares traded are more than 5 lakh is considered a block deal.

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Morning trading window from 8:45 AM to 9:00 AM.
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Block deals happen in different windows to reduce volatility and sudden price movements. Given that they are traded in a separate window, they do not show up on the volume charts.

Brokers facilitating the transaction are required to inform the exchange. You can track bulk and block deals on NSE & BSE:
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2. Taking size-able risk is necessary to get rich but make sure you don't go bankrupt taking that risk.

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