BC TRADING
Saved by @vsamk

Technical Analysis and 3 Strategies to deploy for Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative Traders.

🧵 Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 8th December Expiry:

 To form a view, let's have a look at:

1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis
2. Option Chain Data

Also, 3 strategies to deploy for:

1. Aggressive Traders (2.6%)
2. Moderate Risk Traders (1.3%)
3. Low-Risk Traders (0.8%)
1. Technicals

Let's start by doing some basic technical analysis.

We'll look at:

• Weekly charts.
• Daily charts.
• Hourly / 60 min charts.
• 15 min charts.
1. Weekly-

• The market has given 4 continuous green closes, so not expecting a big momentum on upside.

• This week my view is that it can take a pause.

• Longer term trend is super bullish.

• Any dip will towards 41800 will be a retest, and should be used to go long.
2. Daily:

• Candlestick pattern—Hanging Man

• Chart Pattern—Breakout Failure

• A pin bar candle is very powerful but only after a downmove.

• Here it forms near the top of upmove.

• Means some sellers are present. Below 43000 can sell calls above 43600 for the week.
3. 15 mins

• I am seeing this rectangle on 15 min charts.

• Price broke the rectangle on the upside & failed to sustain.

• Now it's back in the rectangle.

• So weekly sellers can sell short strangles & if the rectangle low breaks, can roll down calls to a higher premium.
Option chain data:

• Opstra shows that the options chain data is flat to bearish.

• OI is being added on both sides on ATM options.

• Data is matching with our bias and technicals which is sideways until the rectangle low/high is broken.
This is the Option Chain Data I have taken from @iChartsIndia website.

The premiums are shown here for the strikes.
Strategies to deploy?

1. Aggressive Traders

Aggressive traders would have sold 415003600 calls as that's one strike above the breakout failure level.

Would have also sold puts as it is in a range. 42500 puts.

ROI is around 2.60%
2. Moderate Risk Traders

Can sell strangles of 44000 calls and 42300 puts.

ROI is approximately 1.34%.
3. Conservative Traders

Can sell 44200 calls and 42000 puts. This is a strangle.

Fetches you approximately 0.8% ROI.

You guys should be targeting 2% per month and playing far away from spot levels of BNF.

4 expires per month to make 0.50% each week and end with 2%.
If you ❤️ this analysis and derived some value from it, consider liking and sharing the first tweet.

Check out @niki_poojary's analysis which she will post before Monday, hers is a bit different from mine each time.

Retweet the first tweet and help others find this thread.

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Mitesh Sir's Positional Option Selling 101:

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• Which options to sell
• How to deploy capital
• Exit criteria
• What ROI he targets weekly
• What % risk he takes

Done with the help of @niki_poojary


How @Mitesh_Engr Sir finds the direction?

• Daily charts S/R
• 75 min charts S/R
• Intraday trend
• Always play directional
• Never trades in strategies


Which options to sell in weekly expiry according to @Mitesh_Engr?

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• Exit when levels breached


Position Sizing by @Mitesh_Engr Sir.

How to deploy your capital?

• First sell 20%
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• ROI for safe players per month
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