𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐎𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬
The entire thread will have some quick pointers on options trading. These bullet points are based on experience and learning and even if you are completely new,will help you to build some perspective. So,lets go :

Books on trading which every SERIOUS TRADER should read
⚡Trading in the Zone : Mark Douglas
⚡Market Wizards : Jack D.S.
⚡Technical Analysis : J.Murphy
⚡How to make money using charts : Ashwini Gujral
⚡Japanese Candlesticks : Steve Nison
⚡ Reminiscence of a stock operator

Banknifty has formed : BKBA pattern
Bhangarh ki bechain Aatma Pattern
Even kids know what happens next!

𝐑𝐮𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝
The entire thread summarizes some important rules with respect to investing. Inspired by legendary traders,these will not only help you to grow wealth,but also make a smart investor. Hope you would like the thread & shower some love

Rule 1: Bulls, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered so chose your category wisely
Rule 2: It's OK to Pay the Taxes,Dont just wait for a 10% LTCG always. Sometimes you know it won't pay you
Rule 3: Don't Buy All at Once,Have patience market will give enough opportunities

Rule 4: Buy Damaged Stocks, Not Damaged Companies. Understand the diff b/w undervalued stocks and no value stocks. Everything cheap is not bargain,it could be trap.
Rule 5: Diversify to Control Risk,make sure you don't put everything into one stock,one sector or one asset class.

Rule 6: Do Your Stock Homework. You spend 5 hours to buy a cream on Amazon but research for 1 hr based on buying a stock on twitter! Well,do your homework.

Rule 7: No One Made a Dime by Panicking .Invest 2-10% and leave rest. If it falls,pain will be low,if moves,no FOMO haunt

Rule 8: Buy Best-of-Breed Companies,This doesnt mean you have to invest in the most expensive companies,all it means is you need to buy co.s with good earnings,promoters and sustainability
Rule 9: Defend Some Stocks, Not All
Rule 10: Bad Buys Won't Become Takeovers,STOP hoping

The Important Thread⚡
Writing this thread because this is the need of the hour. If you belong to investing/trading community,read it till the end and do help in spreading awareness by RETWEETING this post if you too relate and want to help those affected.
THE TRADING PROFITS👇

These days you must have seen several traders posting profits,beyond imagination. There are 3 obvious thoughts that too in sequence -
🙂Are they even Real?
🙂Why am I not able to do so?
🙂What the hell am I doing with my life?

Preparing for that gov exam or looking for that private job or even running a business,which is going to pay me just 1/10th of these profits in my entire lifetime?!! Damn,I guess trading is the ONLY thing I need to do.
👉Result : Anxiety,Fomo and feeling of self pitty.

Now to the first question,if they are real or not,yes although social media is filled with fake screenshots,edited profit videos and false p&l,let me tell you that there are SOME GENUINE TRADERS also out there.And to rest all the rumours,YES SOME OF THOSE PROFITS ARE REAL TOO...

👉But then the question is,why are you not able to do so? Instead,the moment you attempt to do so,you are either frustrated or one step closer to bankruptcy?
The reason is the ABILITY to take risk,which differs in both the cases. Let me explain:(Read next)👇

𝐂𝐨𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐨𝐧 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐲
The entire thread will talk about covid and it's effect on our economy. The data will be backed by facts. If you want more informative threads in the future,don't forget to RT and share with friends.

1. The worst affected sector:
The worst affected of the lot will be travel industry. The incomes produced by movement and the travel industry, which contributes 9.2% of the GDP, will negatively affect the GDP rate. UNWTO assessments portray a fall of 20–30%in global travellers.

2. Positive replacement from China:
A chance to partake in worldwide stockpile chains, multinationals are losing trust in China. In'Make in India', a few changes are required,and if that takes place, manufacturing and API base companies will shift to India giving a growth blast.

3. Construction sector can see loss of revenue :
We saw an appalling mass migration of such coasting populace of travelers by walking,amidst of countrywide lockdown. Wage workers specially working in construction,may not turn back so quickly. Many have preferred farming too!

4. Bankning and Finance sector
For a moment stop comparing ground realities with stock market action. Nonperforming credits relating to retail and MSME sections are on the ascent. In its Financial Stability Report,RBI has also said it fears defaults of many loans in next 2yrs!

Thread: Parabolic SAR Indicator

Parabolic SAR (PSAR) indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder.

#PSAR #Indicators #Definedge

The calculation of this indicator is a bit complex, but the concept is extremely useful. I will try to simplify it and explain the logic. I will briefly explain the concept, calculation and reading.

Let us think about creating an indicator that shows the trend.

Using the indicator, we can identify & ride the trend using the trailing stop-loss method.

For trailing the stop in uptrend, indicator needs to be placed below the candle. Similarly, it should be placed above the candle for trailing in a downtrend. We will plot it using ‘dots’.

So, the indicator & stop-loss will be rising in uptrend & falling in downtrend.

Let us define the trend as:

If Low of the candle > Stop-loss level in bull market = Trend remains bullish.

If High of the candle < Stop-loss level in bear market = Trend is bearish

Imagine you are driving a car on highway; you would like to accelerate if the road is clear. You will slow down if the road is bumpy.

1/

Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll help you understand Geometric Expectations.

2/

Imagine we have an investment opportunity.

If the investment goes well, we get to double our money.

But if it goes badly, we'll end up losing three fourths of it.

There's a 50/50 chance of either outcome.

The question: is this a good bet or not?

3/

A simple way to approach this question is to calculate the bet's "expectation".

For every $1 we bet, there are 2 possibilities:

1. The lucky case, where we double our money and end up with $2, and

2. The unlucky case, where we lose (3/4)'th to end up with just $0.25.

4/

Each of these outcomes is equally likely.

So, on *average*, every $1 we put in turns into ($2 + $0.25)/2 = $1.125.

This is a *positive* 12.5% return.

Such bets are called *positive expectation* bets. On average, we expect to *make* (rather than *lose*) money on them.

5/

Suppose we could take many turns betting at these odds.

In any one turn, we could of course lose money.

But because our bet has positive expectation, *over time* we expect to make money.

Model Portfolio 3

Time Horizon 3 years or earlier ~ Depends on if the stock performs significantly well in faster time. Review of business performance important every quarter.

This portfolio is suitable for aggressive investors who believe in risk taking and look for growth

Name %allocation

~ Laurus Labs 15%
~ Balaji Amines 15%
~ Deepak Nitrite 15%
~ Kopran 10%
~ Pokarna 10%
~ Eveready 10%
~ Dynpro 10%
~ Manorama 5%
~ Adani Enterprises 5%
~ SHIL 5%

~ Laurus Labs
~ Kopran

My top two picks in pharma sector are Laurus Lab and Kopran.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly.

~ Balaji Amines
~ Deepak Nitrite
~ Dynpro

These three are my top picks in Chemicals.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly

~ Pokarna
~ Eveready
~ SHIL

These three are my top picks in Home Consumption.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly.

#NIFTY

Bearish engulfing on monthly or bullish harami on Weekly , which one will play out?

Outlook for the week Jan 2 - 6, 2022.

THREAD: Deconstructing NIFTY on 5 different TF's.

#NIFTY

1. Monthly TF:

• Although the structure in monthly TF is of HH-HL, December monthly candle is a more of a bearish engulfing.

• However it is exactly at the support

• 17800-18000 looks like a strong support.

#NIFTY

2. Weekly TF:

• 17800- 1800 used to be a resistance in April & August 2022.

• However post BO of those levels, they might act as an immediate support.

• Current weekly candle is closer to the support (erstwhile resistance)

#NIFTY

3. Daily TF:

• After a sharp vertical fall, we expected a buying momentum

• Also Nifty filled the Gap.

• Strong support at 17800

#NIFTY

4. Hourly TF:

Moving within the rising channel, albiet the channel is quite steep.

Saturday Thread Time.
Re-Read interview of Ed Seykota from @jackschwager
book "Market Wizards". It's the most philosophical interview among all interviews. Needs to re-read it over and over.
@vivbajaj Sir, a re-tweet would be highly appreciated.

1. Systems don’t need to be changed. The trick is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible

2. The key to long-term survival and prosperity has a lot to do with the money management techniques incorporated into the technical system.

3. The profitability of trading systems seems to move in cycles. Periods during which trend-following systems are highly successful will lead to their increased popularity.

3.1 As the number of system users increases, and the markets shift from trending to directionless price action, these systems become unprofitable, and undercapitalized and inexperienced traders will get shaken out. Longevity is the key to success.

4. In order of importance to me are (1) the long-term trend, (2) the current chart pattern, and (3) picking a good spot to buy or sell.