https://t.co/JIO9Ou2NtQ
A small thread on intraday support resistance logics over time
The most common is Pivot , support and resistances calculated from the previous day's data
https://t.co/ILMjMay1zc
They can be calculated for daily, weekly, monthly etc.
https://t.co/JIO9Ou2NtQ
What struck me was that in each of the cases , we were using the OHLC and doing some maths with a multiplier/divider which WE/the trader thought fits the price action of the markets
Now the problem is, what has worked on the past set is on the past set. There is no guarantee that it will work in the future. As markets change, what do we do ?
A few lines of code on python can do this ( choosing some X period of backdata, identifying the best fit and applying them the next day).
Hence I started posting on twitter
More from Subhadip Nandy
This question might have rose in your mind too, that why VIX was lower than yesterday despite the huge selloff today.
This is what I think happens . A thread.
What is VIX ?
https://t.co/VOkAwGRsHL
What is IV ( implied volatility ) ?
Now my explanations. IV is simply demand and supply. IV is back calculated from option prices and not given by the BSM model. When demand for options ( by buyers) are high, IVs will be high. When supply of options ( by sellers) are high, IV will be low.
Now look at this chart. Nifty fut and VIX are plotted together ( red line is the VIX). Yesterday's massive breakdown forced traders to hedge their positions by buying puts ( could be cash holdings, could be future longs, could be sold puts). This excess demand spiked up IVs /VIX
This is what I think happens . A thread.
Market is highly volatile but vix is down by 4%
— Jegathesan Durairaj (Jegan) (@itjegan) May 13, 2022
What is VIX ?
https://t.co/VOkAwGRsHL
What is IV ( implied volatility ) ?
Now my explanations. IV is simply demand and supply. IV is back calculated from option prices and not given by the BSM model. When demand for options ( by buyers) are high, IVs will be high. When supply of options ( by sellers) are high, IV will be low.
Now look at this chart. Nifty fut and VIX are plotted together ( red line is the VIX). Yesterday's massive breakdown forced traders to hedge their positions by buying puts ( could be cash holdings, could be future longs, could be sold puts). This excess demand spiked up IVs /VIX
More from Finance
Thread: P&F Super Pattern
An effective price pattern defined using properties of P&F charts.
#Superpattern #Pointandfigure #Definedge
Point & Figure is an oldest charting method where price is plotted vertically, and the chart moves only when price moves. It is a different way of looking at the price, the objective box-value and reversal value offers advantage of identifying objective price patterns.
When price is moving up, it is plotted in a column of 'X'. When it is going down, it is plotted in a column of ‘O’. Normally, three-box reversal criteria is used to define the trend & reversal. Unlike a bar or candle, the P&F column can have multiple sessions in it.
Link to know more about the subject:
https://t.co/2xtLAVPBvm
See below chart. Price is in a strong uptrend, P&F chart would produce a long of column of 'X' with more number of boxes in it.
If such a trend is followed by some time bars without meaningful price correct, P&F chart would not move, and it will remain in column of 'X' in such a scenario.
An effective price pattern defined using properties of P&F charts.
#Superpattern #Pointandfigure #Definedge
Point & Figure is an oldest charting method where price is plotted vertically, and the chart moves only when price moves. It is a different way of looking at the price, the objective box-value and reversal value offers advantage of identifying objective price patterns.
When price is moving up, it is plotted in a column of 'X'. When it is going down, it is plotted in a column of ‘O’. Normally, three-box reversal criteria is used to define the trend & reversal. Unlike a bar or candle, the P&F column can have multiple sessions in it.
Link to know more about the subject:
https://t.co/2xtLAVPBvm
See below chart. Price is in a strong uptrend, P&F chart would produce a long of column of 'X' with more number of boxes in it.
If such a trend is followed by some time bars without meaningful price correct, P&F chart would not move, and it will remain in column of 'X' in such a scenario.
Rule 4 : If buying a naked option, always ensure that implied volatility is low. This can be understood from the level of IV vis a vis historical IV levels. Use IVR or IVP etc.
For a naked option to make money, it's better if IV rises or at least stays flat.
This is a thread I wrote on IV, IVR etc
For a naked option to make money, it's better if IV rises or at least stays flat.
Rule 3 : DO NOT run or trade everything that moves. Focus on a few stocks and master them. When a move comes, make the max out of that move.
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) October 14, 2021
Example : in this crazy mkt, I did not even trade TataMotors this week. Stayed focussed on ITC and it gave good returns https://t.co/41wkugZg1I
This is a thread I wrote on IV, IVR etc
IV - A thread
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) September 20, 2018
In financial mathematics, implied volatility of an option contract is
that value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when
input in an option pricing model ) will return a theoretical value equal to the current market price of the option (1/n)
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Remember, this money is just fun. If you launched a product (or even attempted a launch) - you did something worth MUCH more than $1,000.
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@frantzfries built a platform where you can see how skipping your morning latte could do for the world.
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