For decades, Jeff Bezos shunned ads.

But now, Amazon’s ad business is huge: it’s on a $30B+ annual run rate (more than 2x the combined sales of Twitter, Snap and Pinterest).

Here’s how it happened 🧵

1/ Amazon doesn’t break out its ad business separately in financial filings. However, most analyst believe ads make up the majority of its “Other” revenue segment.

This figure has exploded from $1B in 2015 to a current annual run rate of ~$32B.
2/ In 2009, Bezos said “ads are the price you pay for a crappy product”.

But the business is so lucrative that Amazon’s interface has been swamped with ads:

◻️ First 3-7 search results (left in red)
◻️ Most of the product page (right in blue)
3/ Prior to the rise of ads, Amazon set out to build the ultimate organic customer recommendations engine.

The approach was codified in a famed 2003 research paper: “Amazon Recommendations: Item-to-Item Collaborative Filtering.”
4/ In recent years, Amazon organic recommendations:

◻️"Customers who bought this also bought this"
◻️"Customers who viewed also viewed"

Have been replaced w/ ads:

◻️ "Sponsored products related to"
◻️ "Brands related to this category"
5/ One of the few organic recommendations that still display is the trusty-old "Frequently bought together" feature.

(Of course, increasing the goods in someone's basket is worthwhile for Amazon)
6/ The road to Amazon ads started in 2005.

While Bezos didn’t like ads, he tapped Paul Kotas (who worked w/ him at DE Shaw) to run experiments on AMZN's valuable digital real estate.

The 1st project was banner ads. But it directed users off the platform and the idea was canned.
7/ The real motivation to build an ad business was spurred on by another tech giant: Google.

Amazon was dependent on Google search slots to drive traffic. The company even created a “Google Reliance” metric to track this dependence…which could potentially be existential.
8/ Google, of course, occupies a lucrative part of the buying funnel. It sells ads at the point that someone shows intent for a purchase.

However, Amazon owns the last foot of the transaction funnel: the purchase.

And, today, 60%+ of product searches actually start on Amazon.
9/ Amazon’s transaction data is valuable for 3rd-party merchants, which have grown from 3% of Amazon sales (2000) to ~60% of its $300B+ retail sales (2021).

To stand out, sellers are wiling to pay for sponsored placements (just like brands buying grocery store shelf space)
10/ Amazon sells a number of ad products:

◻️ sponsored products (search)
◻️ sponsored brand
◻️ sponsored display ads
◻️ sponsored posts
◻️ sponsored videos

Ads have grown so much that -- in 2018 -- it passed MSFT to become the 3rd biggest digital advertiser after FB and GOOGL.
11/ While Amazon says that ads are *optional*, getting buried on page 5 of search results is bad for business.

The avg. cost per click (CPC) on Amazon Ads is climbing. And it's not uncommon for merchants (~5m on Amazon) to spend up to 50% of a product on listing fees and ads.
12/ The economics of running a 3rd-party merchant business is trending towards scale.

A number of companies are raising big money to "roll up" Amazon merchants:

◻️ Thrasio ($3.4B raised)
◻️ Perch ($909m)
◻️ Heyday($800m)
◻️ Razor Group ($560m)
◻️Elevate Brands ($373m)
13/ Is Ads already Amazon's most profitable business line?

Using Google's 68% margin for its core business as a comp, Benedict Evans writes:

"Given [Amazon Ads] margin structure and incremental cost base, it's highly likely to be generating similar absolute profits to AWS." 🤯
14/ If you enjoyed that, I write threads breaking down tech and business 1-2x a week.

Def follow @TrungTPhan to catch them in your feed.

Here's a one that might tickle your fancy: https://t.co/B3SWUCF2cd
15/ Also: check out my Saturday email for some laughs, insights and the easiest way to stay on top of my content.
https://t.co/jGZs8brnVR
16/ Sources

BI: https://t.co/jlQcktIFEi

The Information: https://t.co/fKOEJAFEwv

CNBC: https://t.co/HBtXX54cjP

Inc: https://t.co/BzHCfFTvHN

Marketplace Pulse: https://t.co/oDFsn3GVG3
17/ Based on the latest quarterly filings, Amazon's "Other" segment -- mostly ads -- is currently on a $32B annual run rate (+49% YoY).

That's more than 2x the combined sales of Twitter, Snap and Pinterest ($12B).
18/ Here ere is the article from @benedictevans https://t.co/Q9xeimUowL

More from Trung Phan 🇨🇦

The Wall Street Bets due diligence on Wendy’s is gold.

The catalysts are:
◻️ The release of a new summer salad
◻️ The @Wendys Twitter account, which has mastered “meta pragmatic roasting” (which is effective with younger people)
◻️ The fact it literally sells chicken tendies


OP:

Here’s a more fundamentals-driven analysis of Wendy’s

https://t.co/A2k19S9M7J


😂😂😂


Further Wendy’s analysis from @CliffordAsness !!

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"I really want to break into Product Management"

make products.

"If only someone would tell me how I can get a startup to notice me."

Make Products.

"I guess it's impossible and I'll never break into the industry."

MAKE PRODUCTS.

Courtesy of @edbrisson's wonderful thread on breaking into comics –
https://t.co/TgNblNSCBj – here is why the same applies to Product Management, too.


There is no better way of learning the craft of product, or proving your potential to employers, than just doing it.

You do not need anybody's permission. We don't have diplomas, nor doctorates. We can barely agree on a single standard of what a Product Manager is supposed to do.

But – there is at least one blindingly obvious industry consensus – a Product Manager makes Products.

And they don't need to be kept at the exact right temperature, given endless resource, or carefully protected in order to do this.

They find their own way.
(1) Some haters of #Cardano are not only bag holders but also imperative developers.

If you are an imperative programmers you know that Plutus is not the most intuitive -> (https://t.co/m3fzq7rJYb)

It is, however, intuitive for people with IT financial background, e.g. banks

(2)

IELE + k framework will be a real game changer because there will be DSLs (Domain Specific Languages) in any programming language supported by K framework. The only issue is that we need to wait for all this

(3) Good news is that the moment we get IELE integrated into Cardano, we get some popular langs. To my knowledge we should get from day one: Solidity and Rust, maybe others as well?

List of langs:
https://t.co/0uj1eBfrYj, some commits from many years ago..

@rv_inc ?

#Cardano

(a) Last but not least, marketing to people with Haskell, functional programming with experience and decision makers in banks is a tricky one, how do you market but not tell them you want to replace them. In the end one strategy is to pitch new markets, e.g. developing world

(b) As banks realize what is happening they maybe more inclined to join - not because they would like to but because they will have to - in such cases some development talent maybe re-routed to Plutus / Cardano / Algorand / Tezos
The 12 most important pieces of information and concepts I wish I knew about equity, as a software engineer.

A thread.

1. Equity is something Big Tech and high-growth companies award to software engineers at all levels. The more senior you are, the bigger the ratio can be:


2. Vesting, cliffs, refreshers, and sign-on clawbacks.

If you get awarded equity, you'll want to understand vesting and cliffs. A 1-year cliff is pretty common in most places that award equity.

Read more in this blog post I wrote:
https://t.co/WxQ9pQh2mY


3. Stock options / ESOPs.

The most common form of equity compensation at early-stage startups that are high-growth.

And there are *so* many pitfalls you'll want to be aware of. You need to do your research on this: I can't do justice in a tweet.

https://t.co/cudLn3ngqi


4. RSUs (Restricted Stock Units)

A common form of equity compensation for publicly traded companies and Big Tech. One of the easier types of equity to understand: https://t.co/a5xU1H9IHP

5. Double-trigger RSUs. Typically RSUs for pre-IPO companies. I got these at Uber.


6. ESPP: a (typically) amazing employee perk at publicly traded companies. There's always risk, but this plan can typically offer good upsides.

7. Phantom shares. An interesting setup similar to RSUs... but you don't own stocks. Not frequent, but e.g. Adyen goes with this plan.

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IMPORTANCE, ADVANTAGES AND CHARACTERISTICS OF BHAGWAT PURAN

It was Ved Vyas who edited the eighteen thousand shlokas of Bhagwat. This book destroys all your sins. It has twelve parts which are like kalpvraksh.

In the first skandh, the importance of Vedvyas


and characters of Pandavas are described by the dialogues between Suutji and Shaunakji. Then there is the story of Parikshit.
Next there is a Brahm Narad dialogue describing the avtaar of Bhagwan. Then the characteristics of Puraan are mentioned.

It also discusses the evolution of universe.(
https://t.co/2aK1AZSC79 )

Next is the portrayal of Vidur and his dialogue with Maitreyji. Then there is a mention of Creation of universe by Brahma and the preachings of Sankhya by Kapil Muni.


In the next section we find the portrayal of Sati, Dhruv, Pruthu, and the story of ancient King, Bahirshi.
In the next section we find the character of King Priyavrat and his sons, different types of loks in this universe, and description of Narak. ( https://t.co/gmDTkLktKS )


In the sixth part we find the portrayal of Ajaamil ( https://t.co/LdVSSNspa2 ), Daksh and the birth of Marudgans( https://t.co/tecNidVckj )

In the seventh section we find the story of Prahlad and the description of Varnashram dharma. This section is based on karma vaasna.