1/ How to review quarterly earnings 🧵

A step by step guide using $DXCM as an example

⬇️

2/ The BIG question: Is the thesis on track❓

Other question:

❓Is revenue growing?
❓Are margins stable/expanding?
❓Profits?
❓Balance sheet?
❓New opportunities?
❓New threats?
3/ I open 4 browser tabs

Tab 1 - Current company earnings report / shareholder letter

Tab 2 - Previous company earnings report / shareholder letter (check guidance)

Tab 3 - Analyst estimates

Tab 4 - Call Transcript
4/ Tabs 1 & 2 - Find the current & previous earnings report

I search "Dexcom Investor Relations"

I click on "press release"

Open the newest quarterly earnings report and last quarter

It can also be a shareholder letter/presentation
5/ Tab 3 - Find the quarterly analyst estimates

Open up $DXCM in yahoo finance

The "news" section usually has a link to reports on whether the company beat/met estimates

The "analysis" tab is a good source, but sometimes it updates to the next quarter too quickly
6/ Tab 4 - Find a transcript of the earnings call

@themotleyfool transcripts are best

Sometimes links are on Yahoo Finance news

Search "Fool DXCM Transcript" if not

Seekingalpha / NASDAQ are two other free sources
7/ In most recent earnings, I check the headline numbers:

Revenue growth: 23% to $569 million
Revenue vs. Wall Street expectations (beat by 1.88%)✅

non-gaap EPS growth: -21% to $0.91

EPS vs. Wall Street expectations (meet expectation)✅
8/ Results vs. guidance

Management issued yearly guidance for 2020 in Q3 2020

Revenue +29% to $1.9 billion (actual +31% to $1.93 billion)✅

Non-GAAP Gross margin 66% (actual 66.7%)✅

Non-GAAP Operating margin 16% (actual 16.5%)✅
9/ Balance Sheet

$2.71 billion cash

$1.67 billion long-term convertible notes
10/

Margins

Use transcript / press release / or calculate yourself

Gross 70.2% vs. 66.8% (gross profit grew faster than revenue)

Non-gaap Operating: 18.3% vs. 22.5% (investigate!)

non-gaap Net: 15.8% vs. 22.9% (investigate!)
11/

News from press release?

✅Building out salesforce (explains operating margin & net margin drop)

✅Reimbursement in France
12/

Read through transcript:

✅Gross margin ⬆️ from new manufacturing facility

✅Super bowl commerical

✅New service center in Lithuania

✅New manufacturing site in Malaysia

✅New sensor launching in 2nd half 2021

✅Enter VC space
13/ Transcript

✅50% of sales now coming through pharmacy

✅International sales 35% of revenue

✅International DTC campaign launching
14/

2021 Guidance:

Revenue:
Management expects 15% to 20% growth

Wall Street expects 21%

Margins:
Gross ⬇️ to 65%
Operating ⬇️ 13%
15/

Management has a long history of under-promising & over-delivering, so I view these numbers as the floor, not the ceiling
16/

My big takeaways:

✅Revenue growing
✅Gross margin expanding
✅International expansion
✅Reinvestment year causing bottom-line to look worse
🛑2021 Margins will be weak
✅Move to pharmacy working
✅G7 launching in 2021
✅VC fund adds optionality

THESIS ON TRACK
17/

If you own $DXCM, the best move is to continue to do nothing
18/

Best guess is that $DXCM is in the top of the 5th inning of its growth cycle
19/ I email financial graphics like these every day for free

Interested?

https://t.co/SjeNPpNAHN

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12 TRADING SETUPS used by professional traders:🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll learn in this thread:

1. Capture Overnight Theta Decay
2. Trading Opening Range Breakouts
3. Reversal Trading Setups
4. Selling strangles and straddles in Bank Nifty
6. NR4 + IB
7. NR 21-Vwap Strategy

Let's dive in ↓

1/ STBT option Selling (Positional Setup):

The setup uses price action to sell options for overnight theta decay.

Check Bank Nifty at 3:15 everyday.

Sell directional credit spreads with capped


@jigspatel1988 2/ Selling Strangles in Bank Nifty based on Open Interest Data

Don't trade till 9:45 Am.

Identify the highest OI on puts and calls.

Check combined premium and put a stop on individual


@jigspatel1988 3/ Open Drive (Intraday)

This is an opening range breakout setup with a few conditions.

To be used when the market opens above yesterday's day high

or Below yesterday's day's
TradingView isn't just charts

It's much more powerful than you think

9 things TradingView can do, you'll wish you knew yesterday: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

1/ Free Multi Timeframe Analysis

Step 1. Download Vivaldi Browser

Step 2. Login to trading view

Step 3. Open bank nifty chart in 4 separate windows

Step 4. Click on the first tab and shift + click by mouse on the last tab.

Step 5. Select "Tile all 4 tabs"


What happens is you get 4 charts joint on one screen.

Refer to the attached picture.

The best part about this is this is absolutely free to do.

Also, do note:

I do not have the paid version of trading view.


2/ Free Multiple Watchlists

Go through this informative thread where @sarosijghosh teaches you how to create multiple free watchlists in the free


3/ Free Segregation into different headers/sectors

You can create multiple sections sector-wise for free.

1. Long tap on any index/stock and click on "Add section above."
2. Secgregate the stocks/indices based on where they belong.

Kinda like how I did in the picture below.

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**Thread on Bravery of Sikhs**
(I am forced to do this due to continuous hounding of Sikh Extremists since yesterday)

Rani Jindan Kaur, wife of Maharaja Ranjit Singh had illegitimate relations with Lal Singh (PM of Ranjit Singh). Along with Lal Singh, she attacked Jammu, burnt - https://t.co/EfjAq59AyI


Hindu villages of Jasrota, caused rebellion in Jammu, attacked Kishtwar.

Ancestors of Raja Ranjit Singh, The Sansi Tribe used to give daughters as concubines to Jahangir.


The Ludhiana Political Agency (Later NW Fronties Prov) was formed by less than 4000 British soldiers who advanced from Delhi and reached Ludhiana, receiving submissions of all sikh chiefs along the way. The submission of the troops of Raja of Lahore (Ranjit Singh) at Ambala.

Dabistan a contemporary book on Sikh History tells us that Guru Hargobind broke Naina devi Idol Same source describes Guru Hargobind serving a eunuch
YarKhan. (ref was proudly shared by a sikh on twitter)
Gobind Singh followed Bahadur Shah to Deccan to fight for him.


In Zafarnama, Guru Gobind Singh states that the reason he was in conflict with the Hill Rajas was that while they were worshiping idols, while he was an idol-breaker.

And idiot Hindus place him along Maharana, Prithviraj and Shivaji as saviours of Dharma.