T-1 Psychology behind the formation of a candle - personally I feel that if one is aware of psychology behind the formation of candle than chart starts talking to you. So, here I am starting my journey of 🧵 with how actually candles form. Small but important for beginners 👇

Repeat msg ::
Keep booking profit and deleveraging as mkt moves in your direction, few examples of money/position management
1) Book future and add In the money option
2) Book In the money option & buy Out of money
that way u can ride it while wont mind if sudden reversal comes

Thread :

#asianpaints (Weekly)

- A stock moving with a healthy momentum and reasonably good trajectory.

- I assume that It may come down to touch it's primary support trend line as it did in the past.

-If it do so, It will be a "must buy" opportunity.

Tip:
a) 30°-45° inclined trend line is considered sustainable.
b) Steeper trend line angle can not sustain for a long period of time.
c) Exceptions are always there.
d) To beginners : Explore more related to trend line inclination angle and relate this with above chart.

My course on the basics of #stockmarket is live on https://t.co/8Jbd0ujLKq! Thanks, @malpani for helping create such a nice platform that promotes learning :D

Link: https://t.co/tHYK9XBovd

P.S. in case you've watched the course vids before, I will be adding more videos soon!

Understanding HIGH & LOW VIX

VIX at 16: If you check today's IV behaviour, they were not spiking much even with decent delta move in BNF. The movement was subtle, giving some time to adjust. So someone having good adjustment mechanism can stay in the game longer.

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VIX at 20: The same delta move will be more fierce, coupled with rise in premiums. When premiums rise with movement, then the adjustment cost increases exponentially. The premiums can fall back at EOD, but the damage is done if caught in the spike.

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After talking to few traders, their backtest result was in favor of high VIX of 2020, rather than 2017-19. The key flaw in the backtest were the adjustments which are not easy to calculate. Combination of high theta & fixed SL during high VIX, the IV crush is cashed at EOD.

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Neutral option sellers who don't adjust & have fixed SL on a static straddle will not be able to benefit highly in low VIX. The straddle which moves away from ATM will increase no matter what. But if we keep on rolling our strikes, then we get good realisation of theta.

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I have made majority of my profits in option selling when VIX was at 13-15, mostly just relying on my adjustments. Since 2020 with high VIX, adjustments stopped working because of increase in the frequency of delta + IV spike combos & so had to shift to directional trading.

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