Since 99% of my own trades are in options, the calls I give are also on options. I am of the firm belief, that a basic knowledge of option greeks is necessary for any trader aspiring to trade options. For this, there are numerous books and even more resources on the net/youtube

Since lot of discussions on ITC, had a simple look at the chart. With each passing day, the probability of a large breakout increases. Watch the behaviour of MFI, but wait for prices to trade above the trendline with volumes

Nifty fut : rising Lows and Highs, showing a megaphone or broadening formation on 15 min charts. Though a bearish pattern, here it seems has broken out. 11k CEs on monthlies seems badly trapped. As long as the CE is > 140, will maintain a strong bullish stance

EOD charts. Rising after strong accumulation and volumes. COI going up with rise in price. Can have a fast upmove anytime now till 11300. View negated below 10900

BNF 15 min charts : showing FLAG formation. Breakout above 22400, trade negated below 22200. Targets given in chart. Also higher highs and higher lows

BNF also strong accumulation yesterday. This model is also showing continuous accumulation since 16th. Almost same levels given in earlier tweet

Now there are broad positional views, or the context. Trades now will be based on realtime data , option analysis etc. But these analysis suggests keeping a bullish bias on the indices while trading now unless this data changes drastically

The BNF OI puzzle, what I think happened. This is post mortem analysis 😀

COi was going up like crazy since early March, positions were being created in far month ( go thru my previous tweets)

OI = net shorts = net longs. So informed traders were taking a huge position expecting a parabolic move ( we did not know whether up or down). As of now, my guess is that the whole position was a long position. Someone had the info of the rate cut

You can see that the positions were cut hugely on 1st April. What happened on 1st April ?

This happened 👇👇

If the rollback did not happen ( due to whatever reason), BNF would have gapped up by 1000-1500 points and the shorts would have been killed, and longs would have been laughing all the way to the bank. See the cut on 1st April

But since the rollback did happen, what we now had were trapped longs. that's why we are seeing any upmove getting sold as longs get rid of their positions. COI now is down to normal levels as you can see

Here comes the 3rd and final part of the long weekend 'Beginners' Pathway" series.

In this we'll see Open Interest basics and Option Chain Analysis.

There are two types of Options, Call Option & Put Option.

This graphics show when to buy and when to sell options.

The first thing that we need to know is the moneyness i.e. whether an Option is At the money (ATM), In the money (ITM) or Out of the Money (OTM).

The strike closest to the market price is At The Money.

I have tried to explain OTM & ITM in a very simplistic & easy manner.

Option chain of Nifty can be seen here

How I traded intraday today being a Friday. Look at this chart and try to understand, watch the IPL and enjoy your weekend.

If you use it right, Iron Fly is the most solid risk-defined strategy in trading.

But most people don't know how to adjust the strategy when it goes wrong.

Here are 7 adjustments you can do to lower risk and increase profitability: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

0/ Who is this for?

This will greatly benefit people who freeze when it comes to managing their trades and keep booking losses.

Some trade with too much fear as well when things go wrong.

Knowing these adjustments will give you the confidence to try to manage your trades.

Most of them are to lower risk on the side the market is going in.

Some adjustments even increase the profit potential and probabilities of the trade being in profit on expiry.

Let's begin by having a look at the adjustments.

Here is the adjustment number 1 below.

1/ Don't do anything till your breakeven arrives

One reason these strategies go wrong far too quickly is due to adjusting them too frequently.

You can escape most adjustments if you simply wait for the market to arrive at your breakeven.

This will work well in monthly options.

2/ Remove Risk from Untested Side

If you've taken an iron fly and the market has gone up you can shift your put buy upwards and lock the downside risk to potentially zero.

This way you've secured one side and just need to manage the bleeding side.

As promised, here is the first video of Iron Fly Simulation of Reverse buying and scalping in directional market

Expiry - 05 August 2021

Will upload daily one simulation in this week

Link to watch - https://t.co/Pp2nux2iU0 https://t.co/kbgpszLiiP