Let's talk about that "Longer Telegram" making the rounds...and why it's a
https://t.co/rHikkOYuoT
Kennan is even apologetic about that fact, as he writes at the beginning, "I apologize in advance for this burdening of telegraphic channel"
Oh, and it wasn't "Anonymous", it was "X"
Nearly every page of the "Executive Summary" is a list.
I mean, here's a page that makes the bold move of transitioning from a bullet point list to a number list....
Even then, none of the lists had 17 (SEVENTEEN!) points!
MOST of it is about the Soviet Union itself. Indeed, 4 of the telegram's 5 parts focus on the USSR.
The key point is that USSR typically backs down when confronted. Therefore, a show of strength & resolve should result in the US never having to actually use force
If you're playing buzz-phrase bingo, mark "Liberal International Order"
It's been said better (& more economically) elsewhere.
For example, see this @CarnegieEndow report by @MiraRappHooper, @Michael_S_Chase, Matake Kamiya, Shin Kawashima, & @Yuichi_Hosoya.
https://t.co/CqOnaq2Gp1
https://t.co/zvonnh78IS
https://t.co/bdfGhpBFjL
The full version of this anonymously authored "Longest Telegram" is fascinating in some ways, but the attempt to claim Kennan's mantle is hobbled by questionable assumptions and logical contradictions. Thread: (1/x) https://t.co/5CliU03uKB
— Eric Hundman | \u4f55\u8af3\u92b3 (@ehundman) January 29, 2021
More from Paul Poast
Sort of. But I wouldn't base public policy on the finding.
Why? Let's turn to the data.
[THREAD]
Democracies do not go to war with each other. There are a lot of empirical data to support that theory. I summarize that literature here. https://t.co/SQLk9J9rZ8 https://t.co/tLlSyisEIU
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) December 12, 2020
The idea of a "Democratic Peace" is a widely held view that's been around for a long time.
By 1988, there already existed enough studies on the topic for Jack Levy to famously label Democratic Peace "an empirical law"
The earliest empirical work on the topic was the 1964 report by Dean Babst published in the "Wisconsin Sociologist"
Using the war participation data from Quincy Wright's "A Study of War", Babst produced the following two tables
The tables show that democracies were NOT on both sides (of course, Finland is awkward given that it fought WITH Nazi Germany against the Soviet Union).
Babst expanded his study beyond the World Wars in a 1972 paper in Industrial Research. He confirmed his finding.
Rather than debate that question here (or in another forum), I'm making it an assignment. Specifically, I'm asking my Quantitative Security students to determine if it belongs in our coup/attempted coup datasets.
[THREAD]
A core goal of this course is to introduce students to how Large-N data on violence and security are created.
We put WAY TOO much emphasis on estimators & software (Stata v R 🙄); not enough on the quality of the data going into the analysis.
First, what happened? @johncarey03755 offers a succinct
Second, I'll ask the students to read some of the recent pieces that say the event was NOT a coup attempt.
These include...
...detailed twitter threads by
Let me try this again\u2026 What would it look like if this were a coup (failed, in progress, or otherwise)? 1/n
— Kristen Harkness (@HarknessKristen) January 7, 2021
Consider the nomination of the 3rd Secretary of Defense: George Marshall
[THREAD]
In 1950, Truman wanted to fire the second SecDef, Louis Johnson, and install George Marshall as Secretary of Defense.
There was a problem: when the Department of Defense was created in 1947, section 202 of the 1947 National Security Act (which created the DoD, then called "The National Military Establishment") would not allow recently retired officers to serve as SecDef
https://t.co/bWx4h1OFah
Marshall had only retired as a 5-star General in 1947
Of course, by 1950 Marshall had already served as Secretary of State and had proposed the "Marshall Plan" for the recovery of Europe
More from World
Mitch McConnell's buddy, Oleg Deripaska, is
Let's not forget that McConnell enabled sanctions to be lifted from Deripaska's companies, EN+, Rusal, and EuroSibEnergo, even though a bipartisan group of Senators were against
https://t.co/RlIDzdUOD3
Deripaska's Rusal then invested $200M in a proposed KY aluminum mill. McConnell's statement that this had nothing to do with blocking the vote against allowing the Treasury Dept. to lift sanctions is
Article that ABC published covering the same information that is in the above linked broadcast on
I'll do a thread of countries outside Nigeria where you younglings + all of you "young at heart" making smart internet money can get Permanent and Temporary residencies, allowing multiple entries and exits.
— Ikenna Ronald Nzimora (@ronaldnzimora) February 18, 2021
As always the idea is for you guys to have a PLAN B.
Tonight. 8 PM.
So today, I am going to quickly talk about 4 or 5 countries where you can get residence visas.
Why residence visas?
For starters, they are cheaper, FAR CHEAPER than passports, and offer almost all the benefits, not not, but a large swathe of them.
Second, residencies can be...
a pathway to citizenship.
In one or two of the countries I will talk about tonight, if you renew your residencies long enough, and fulfill all requirements, according to their law, which differs from country to country, you become eligible to apply for full citizenship.
So...
you can see why they are good enough?
Cool. Alright, let's begin.
The first country is
1. Barbados
Yes, @Rihanna's country.
The first thing I love about it is it's fully black, majority descendants of ex-slaves of Igbo extraction.
That's why they refer to their country...
Barbados last year officially launched its 12-month Barbados Welcome Stamp, a new visa that allows remote workers to live and work from the Caribbean country for up to a year.
Applicants must electronically submit documents, such as a copy of their international passport and...