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1. Something that's really struck me in the Brexit negotiations this year is the surprisingly fragile confidence the EU seem to have in the competitive advantage conferred by the single market. Sounds strange, but bear with me.
(Thread)
2. The single market is the most comprehensive trade area in the world. It includes considerable regulatory alignment on products and services, free movement of people etc.
Yet the EU seems to think that a mere FTA would allow post-Brexit UK to outcompete that single market. 🤔
3. Their current position seems to be that unless an FTA is accompanied by extremely onerous level-playing field provisions (explained by @RaoulRuparel here), then an FTA with the UK isn't worth doing because it would be a threat to the single
4. But if you voted Remain (as I did), the idea that a mere FTA with, say, enforceable non-regression clauses rather than "dynamic alignment by the back door" is going to give post-Brexit Britain a competitive trading advantage over the single market is quite a strange one...
5. I mean, whatever happened to "non-tariff barriers are more important than tariffs"? Even with an FTA, the UK will face:
- Customs and regulatory barriers
- No free movement
- Rules of origin
Hardly a menu for out-competing the SM, you'd think, even with more freedom on LPF.
(Thread)
2. The single market is the most comprehensive trade area in the world. It includes considerable regulatory alignment on products and services, free movement of people etc.
Yet the EU seems to think that a mere FTA would allow post-Brexit UK to outcompete that single market. 🤔
3. Their current position seems to be that unless an FTA is accompanied by extremely onerous level-playing field provisions (explained by @RaoulRuparel here), then an FTA with the UK isn't worth doing because it would be a threat to the single
Have heard similar. This essentially amounts to trying to force dynamic alignment through the back door. I don't think UK can or will accept this. A thread with some potential solutions & noting some irony... 1/ https://t.co/1mIB1hWyVX
— Raoul Ruparel (@RaoulRuparel) December 9, 2020
4. But if you voted Remain (as I did), the idea that a mere FTA with, say, enforceable non-regression clauses rather than "dynamic alignment by the back door" is going to give post-Brexit Britain a competitive trading advantage over the single market is quite a strange one...
5. I mean, whatever happened to "non-tariff barriers are more important than tariffs"? Even with an FTA, the UK will face:
- Customs and regulatory barriers
- No free movement
- Rules of origin
Hardly a menu for out-competing the SM, you'd think, even with more freedom on LPF.
The end of a calendar year is often a time when 'lists' come out. I have never made one, but this year I wanted to briefly talk about what I spent a lot of my time* this year on - The Seen and Unseen podcast hosted by @amitvarma
* not even counting reading from show notes
1/n
I am going to talk what stuck in my mind, made me reflect, gave me reason to pause and question my beliefs. The list is not in any order, just going with the flow of my thoughts.
(Went to the site to find out episode numbers)
2/n
"Consultants have confidence, researchers have confidence intervals" @karthik_econ in his marathon 4 hour episode (where he spoke at 1.5x) on the state of education in India. His findings on what impacts quality were eye-opening. Episode 185
https://t.co/VWqGH6Ewox
3/n
RSS shakhas are not about indoctrination, they are mainly about team building. A trait carried forward into the BJP which has never split in spite of differences.
@vinay_sitapati talking about the jugalbandi of ABV and LKA leading to the rise of the BJP. Episode 202
4/n
The Ibadat khana of Akbar was a place where he would be provocative & trigger discourses on religion.
@quizzicalguy in Episode 173
5/n
* not even counting reading from show notes
1/n
I am going to talk what stuck in my mind, made me reflect, gave me reason to pause and question my beliefs. The list is not in any order, just going with the flow of my thoughts.
(Went to the site to find out episode numbers)
2/n
"Consultants have confidence, researchers have confidence intervals" @karthik_econ in his marathon 4 hour episode (where he spoke at 1.5x) on the state of education in India. His findings on what impacts quality were eye-opening. Episode 185
https://t.co/VWqGH6Ewox
3/n
RSS shakhas are not about indoctrination, they are mainly about team building. A trait carried forward into the BJP which has never split in spite of differences.
@vinay_sitapati talking about the jugalbandi of ABV and LKA leading to the rise of the BJP. Episode 202
4/n
The Ibadat khana of Akbar was a place where he would be provocative & trigger discourses on religion.
@quizzicalguy in Episode 173
5/n
Webinar on tools for assessing national #climate pledges (NDCs) by @WRIClimate. @davidwaskow reminds: #ParisAgreement is meant to work thru an iterative process of increasing ambition (faster emission reductions), leading to #netzero emissions by 2050. (Thread 1/n)
The world is currently WAY over our #carbonbudget for where we need to be to align with #ParisAgreement. Orange= countries will do under any event; red = conditional (e.g., will do if they get needed finance). We have LOTSA emissions to reduce fast @davidwaskow @WRIClimate (2/n)
Of 21 indicators assessed for #ParisAgreement:
2 are on track (e.g., crop yields)
13 right direction but too slow (e.g., need electric vehicle sales to be 22x faster than now)
2 in wrong direction: forests, ag emissions
@davidwaskow from @climateactiontr, @WRIClimate et al 3/n
Current state of play: 12 Dec 2021= 5 year #ParisAgreement anniversary. Look for more announcements of national climate pledges. Some new pledges already released, but many govt's focused on #COVID19 recovery- important to link with climate-compatible recovery. @davidwaskow 4/n
What is https://t.co/kymb46d9yv?
100s of credible datasets,
100,000s of data points
to assess #climate trends, targets, bring transparency to inform + drive #ClimateAction.
For govts, biz, researchers, NGOs
Run by @JohannesFried.
(See also other forest, energy, ... tools) 5/n
The world is currently WAY over our #carbonbudget for where we need to be to align with #ParisAgreement. Orange= countries will do under any event; red = conditional (e.g., will do if they get needed finance). We have LOTSA emissions to reduce fast @davidwaskow @WRIClimate (2/n)
Of 21 indicators assessed for #ParisAgreement:
2 are on track (e.g., crop yields)
13 right direction but too slow (e.g., need electric vehicle sales to be 22x faster than now)
2 in wrong direction: forests, ag emissions
@davidwaskow from @climateactiontr, @WRIClimate et al 3/n
Current state of play: 12 Dec 2021= 5 year #ParisAgreement anniversary. Look for more announcements of national climate pledges. Some new pledges already released, but many govt's focused on #COVID19 recovery- important to link with climate-compatible recovery. @davidwaskow 4/n
What is https://t.co/kymb46d9yv?
100s of credible datasets,
100,000s of data points
to assess #climate trends, targets, bring transparency to inform + drive #ClimateAction.
For govts, biz, researchers, NGOs
Run by @JohannesFried.
(See also other forest, energy, ... tools) 5/n
