How to select stocks for your long term portfolio :

A Thread 🧵⤵️

(i) Selecting the sectors
(ii) Selecting the companies
(iii) How to review and decide
(iv) Perfect time to exit/pyramiding

Do Like and Share to help us educate maximum investors.

(1/n)

(i) Selecting the sectors :

• Sectors which are unaffected due to any slowdown or in other words, non-cyclical sectors should be preferred.

• Which are having good demand of their products / tailwinds in their favour. IT/Pharma is the recent example.

(2/n)

• Govt. policies in favour of the sector by imposing any duties or providing incentives to the industry.

• Always check for proxy plays, Example :

- Realty boom - Building materials, Appliances, Cement (Proxy)

• Sector which is the need of the hour - Renewables.

(3/n)

(ii) Selecting the companies :

• 2 ways to select the companies :

- Based on past financials / historical data
- Estimating forward valuations

• By analysing past data, you can identify the company which performed the best, can be classified as the leader.

(4/n)

• Companies with consistent higher OPM, RoCE, RoE and OCF conversion are considered good for investing.

• For example, leaders in various sectors :

- Diagnostic - Dr Lal Pathlabs
- Amines - Alkyl Amines
- Cement - Shree Cement

(5/n)

*STRONG MONOPOLIES* :

*IRCTC* 100% Market share in Rail Network.

*IEX* > 90% market share in power trading.

*Zydus wellness* > 90% market share in sugar free product.

*Eicher motors* > 85% market share in 250cc bikes category.

*MCX* >85% market share in commodity trading.

*Coal India* >80% market share in coal production in India.

*ITC* >75% market share in cigarettes.

*Honda Siel* >75% in portable power generators.

*Hindustan Zinc* >75% market share in primary zinc industry.

*Asahi India Glass* >70% market share in automotive glass.

*NRB Bearings* >70% market share in needle roller bearings.

*Pidilite* >65% market share in adhesives.

*CAMS* >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.

*Time Technoplast* >65% market share in polymer based industrial packaging.

*Concor* >65% market share in domestic container cargo transport.

*Exide* >60% market share in lead batteries.

*Naukri* >60% market share in the Indian job market space.

*Praj* >60% market share in ethanol plant installing.

*Indiamart Intermesh* >55% market share in the online B2B Classified space.

*Borosil Renewables* >55% market share in Lab glass.

*Vst Tillers* >50% market share in
Power tillers.

*Delta corp* >50% in online poker games

There are over 30 million podcast episodes.

and you don't have time to listen to them.

So let me save you time with 7 that will make you smarter today🧵

My First Million with @ShaanVP + @theSamParr

Best Episode: #171 How to Generate Millions from Paid Events

Sam made $100k in 8 weeks hosting paid events with without any previous audience.

He gives a play by play to print money.

The @tferriss Show (the OG)

Best Episode: #341 with @nickkokonas

The most important concept in the damn world is asymmetric risk.

This episode was my first exposure to it.

Been a huge Kokonas fan ever since

20VC with @HarryStebbings

Best Episode: Jan. 4th, What happened in 2020? What can we expect looking forward to 2021?

He got Bill Gurley and Howard Marks... for the same episode.

Need I say anything else?

The @naval Podcast

Best Episode: First 25 episodes which are 2-5 minutes each

Ok, I'm cheating here

but when Naval breaks down the most popular twitter thread of all time: "How to Get Rich wIthout Getting Lucky"

...you stop and listen

In India, 'RBI' is responsible for 'Monetary Policy' through which it controls 'Inflation' and Economic Growth'.

In this thread, I am going to focus mainly on the role of RBI and how it uses ‘CRR’ and ‘SLR’ as two major tools to control economy. 🧵👇
(1/n)

Let us first understand few basics before we dig into the details. (2/n)

👉The Businesses:
They are the producers of the goods and services. Any business would be happy if it is growing and the prices of the goods and services sold are ever rising. They would be more interested in ‘Economic growth’. (3/n)

👉The Households:
These are the people who are consumers and they spend money to buy goods/ services which are sold by the businesses. Any consumer would be happy if the prices of goods/ services are low. Hence, they would be interested in ‘Less Inflation’. (4/n)

As the prices of goods and services rise, there will be economic growth in nominal sense but then there will also be inflation which is perceived as a problem in developing countries like India. (5/n)

I have an MBA in finance

But I’ve learned 10x more about investing from listening to podcasts than I did in school

Here are 24 podcasts that I regularly listen to that will make you a better investor⬇️

1/ Acquired -- @AcquiredFM

This podcast "tells the stories of great companies"

Ben Gilbert & David Rosenthal do a great job of talking through acquisitions & have a stellar list of guests

2/ Animal Spirits

@awealthofcs & @michaelbatnick break down financial news, share insights that they are thinking about, and recommend TV shows & movies

3/ The Business Brew

@BillBrewsterSCG does long-form, in-depth, discussions about capital allocation and the psychology of investing/business

4/ Capital Allocators

@tseides has an amazing series of guests that discuss all facets of investing

His recent book -- Capital Allocators -- takes all of the top learners from his interviews and condenses them into a book

1/

Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll tell you a story about a man and his dog.

This will help you think more clearly about volatility, risk, and the relationship between the two.

2/

This is Mr. Biswas Singh.

Friends call him "Biz".

He's 50 years old. He owns and operates several gas stations and convenience stores around town.

3/

This is Spock.

He's a 4 year old Golden Retriever who belongs to Biz.

He's a Good Boy.

4/

Every morning, Biz takes Spock out for a walk.

They go to a local park that has a beautiful trail.

They get there around 6am.

They walk along the trail for about an hour -- until 7am or so.

Then they make their way back home.

5/

Biz walks more or less at a steady speed -- say, 3.5 miles per hour.

Spock, of course, does no such thing.

Sometimes, Spock races ahead of Biz -- straining his leash.

Other times, Spock lags behind Biz, distracted by a lamp post or a squirrel.

While learning accountancy a student is taught to
👉Debit all expenses, credit all income.
👉Debit all assets, credit all liabilities.
👉Debit the receiver, credit the giver.
Why is it so?
Let us find out the rationale behind three golden rules of accounts. 👇🧵 (1/n)

'Balance Sheet' and 'Profit & Loss Account' are two important aspects to learn accountancy.
Let us first understand how to interpret a Balance Sheet. (2/n)

Balance sheet is a simple snapshot of ‘Sources of funds’ (‘Liabilities’) and ‘Application of funds’ (‘Assets’) as on a ‘particular’ day. (3/n)

It is important to note that the Balance sheet may change every day. That’s because the liabilities side and the assets side may change frequently.
Example: The customer from whom the amount was receivable (Debtor) will get converted into Cash the moment he pays money. (4/n)

Suppose a businessman starts a business with his own money (equity/owner’s fund) and uses this money to buy various assets. (5/n)

𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙢𝙮 𝙬𝙞𝙨𝙙𝙤𝙢 𝑾𝒐𝒏'𝒕 𝒃𝒆 𝒔𝒖𝒓𝒑𝒓𝒊𝒔𝒆𝒅 𝒊𝒇 𝒕𝒐𝒎𝒐𝒓𝒓𝒐𝒘 𝒖 𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒅 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒔𝒂𝒎𝒆 𝒔𝒕𝒖𝒇𝒇 𝒊𝒏 50𝒌 𝒘𝒐𝒓𝒌𝒔𝒉𝒐𝒑 𝒐𝒓 𝒔𝒐𝒎𝒆𝒐𝒏𝒆 𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒈𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒚𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝒎𝒐𝒏𝒆𝒚 𝒘𝒊𝒕𝒉 𝒔𝒂𝒎𝒆 𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄
Simple and effective way 2 make Money

Idea 1:- Use pivot level like 14800 in case of nifty and sell 14800straddle monthly expiry (365+335) exit if nifty closes on daily basis below S1 or above R1

After closing below S1 if it closes above S1 next day or any day enter the same position again vice versa for R1

Idea2:- Use R1 and S1 corresponding strikes multiple
Incase of R1 15337 take 15300ce
N in case of S1 14221 use 14200pe
Sell both and hold till expiry or exit if nifty closes below S1 or above R1 around closing
If the same bounces above S1 and falls below R1 re-enfer same strikes

Use same criteria for nifty, usdinr and banknifty

(This is must)Use this margin rule for 1lot banknifty pair keep 4Lax margin
For nifty one lot keep 3Lax
For usdinr 100lots keep 4Lax

I bet you if you do this on consistent basis your ROI will be more than 70% on yearly basis.

Couldn't explain easier than this

Criticisms are most welcomed.

Too many ppl want to trade in Options without knowing which stocks are 'CONSISTENTLY LIQUID' in options.

Both words important -

'CONSISTENTLY'
'LIQUID'

Please stick to the front line stocks for trading in Options;

giving a list below of such stocks
(can be a few more too)

Are you planning to learn Python for machine learning this year?

Here's everything you need to get started.
🧵👇

In this thread, we'll look at all the concepts in Python you need to know for machine learning along with free resources to help you out.

All of this is based on my experience of successfully teaching 300+ students how to code using Python.

(2 / 19

You can use many languages for machine learning, why Python?

Because of 2 reasons:
- Comparatively easier to learn than other languages
- Has the biggest and most mature community

This makes Python a no-brainer to learn for machine learning as a beginner.

(3 / 19)

These are the absolute basics which you must know about:

- Basic terminal commands
- Basic arithmetic (+,-,/,*)
- Accepting user input
- For & While loops
- Exception handling
- If-Else statements
- Functions, modules & Imports

(4 / 19)

Then comes the more tougher concepts which you must know about:

- Object oriented programming in Python:Classes, Objects, Methods
- PIP (Pypi)
- List slicing
- String formatting
- Dictionaries & Tuples
- Managing environments
- Dunder methods like __init__

(5 / 19)

All the books (all 34 of them) I read this year and a one-line review on them!

My last thread for 2020 🧵

#Books #Reading

Let's get started 👇

1/n

Alibaba - The house that Jack Ma Built

Rejected 10 times in Harvard, rejected in 30 jobs, first 2 businesses didn’t work out.

This book is extremely motivating as it tells how a man from humble beginnings built Alibaba into one of the largest internet companies

2/n

The Peaceful investor & Company Analysis Volumes 1, 2, 3, and 4 (covers 40 stocks in total) by @drvijaymalik

After reading these, you learn the fundamental analysis process completely!

@drvijaymalik is rightly called the Doctor of stocks, he is the best in fundamentals!

3/n

Ode To Geniuses

The book discusses philosophers and poets from the Renaissance era - Epictetus, Euclid, Horace, Nikola Tesla, and a few more

It's fascinating to note how they started out and the way they ended up in their respective fields to make a big mark!

4/n

Beyond the End

This is about unfinished masterpieces of art -This is also very interesting as the stories of incompletion and the artists behind them grip you completely!

Note - This book + the one before are private publications, they were gifted to me by @Sharad9Dubey