1) Let's talk about Tesla's China strategy. There's a few questions here - why did the Chinese government actively encourage them to set up in Shanghai? What's in it for Tesla? Why is Tesla continously discounting their cars?
Spoiler alert: $TSLA go brrr
Sales increased and the EV market steady grew
Chinese government hardened their resolve.
Similar to Baidu, complacency was a killer.
Similar to how introducing Apple and Samsung brought up Xiaomi, One Plus and Oppo, they decided to introduce foreign competition from the best EV brand there was - Tesla.
Tesla's domestic model 3 constantly sells out (and is 65% cheaper than US model) and Tesla is estimated to have ~20% of the Chinese EV market right now.
Chinese consumers love it, they love how cool Musk is and by extension how cool the car is. They don't have Twitter
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Many of you have seen the famous Westrum Organizational Typology model, so prominently featured in State of DevOps Research, Accelerate, DevOps Handbook, etc.
This model was created Dr. Ron Westrum, a widely-cited sociologist who studied the impact of culture on safety
Thanks to Dr. @nicolefv, I was able to interview him for an upcoming episode of the Idealcast! 🤯
It was a very heady experience, and while preparing to interview him, I was startled to discover how much work he's done in healthcare, aviation, spaceflight, but also innovation.
I've read 4+ of his papers, so I thought I was familiar with his work. (Here's one paper: https://t.co/7X00O67VgS)
I was startled to learn he has also studied in depth what enables innovation. He wrote a wonderful book "Sidewinder: Creative Missile Development at China Lake"
Dr. Westrum writes about China Lake Research Labs: "its design and structure had one purpose: to foster technical creativity. It did; China Lake operated far outside the normal envelope... Sidewinder & others were "impossible" accomplishments,
I love this book because it describes traits of organizations that routinely create and maintain greatness: US space program (Mercury, Gemini, Apollo), US Naval Reactors, Toyota, Team of Teams, Tesla, the tech giants (Amazon, Google, Netflix, Google)
This model was created Dr. Ron Westrum, a widely-cited sociologist who studied the impact of culture on safety
Thanks to Dr. @nicolefv, I was able to interview him for an upcoming episode of the Idealcast! 🤯
It was a very heady experience, and while preparing to interview him, I was startled to discover how much work he's done in healthcare, aviation, spaceflight, but also innovation.
I've read 4+ of his papers, so I thought I was familiar with his work. (Here's one paper: https://t.co/7X00O67VgS)
I was startled to learn he has also studied in depth what enables innovation. He wrote a wonderful book "Sidewinder: Creative Missile Development at China Lake"
Dr. Westrum writes about China Lake Research Labs: "its design and structure had one purpose: to foster technical creativity. It did; China Lake operated far outside the normal envelope... Sidewinder & others were "impossible" accomplishments,
I love this book because it describes traits of organizations that routinely create and maintain greatness: US space program (Mercury, Gemini, Apollo), US Naval Reactors, Toyota, Team of Teams, Tesla, the tech giants (Amazon, Google, Netflix, Google)
Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
I spent over 100 hours studying the best patterns in Technical Analysis taught to me by @niki_poojary.
Turns out, patterns trading is simple—if you follow these 8 Patterns:
Let's start: ↓
While studying her Twitter profile and with constant talks with her, I found these to be the most important patterns she focuses on always.
Then I wrote a small summary of what each pattern means.
Also attached are some examples from her tweets.
1/ Cup and handle Pattern
Happens during an uptrend.
The cup portion has a U-shaped appearance.
The bears are getting weaker as they are unable to drive the prices below the last low.
Subhasish Pani uses this a lot in stocks to spot bullish trades.
Eg
Eg
Turns out, patterns trading is simple—if you follow these 8 Patterns:
Let's start: ↓
While studying her Twitter profile and with constant talks with her, I found these to be the most important patterns she focuses on always.
Then I wrote a small summary of what each pattern means.
Also attached are some examples from her tweets.
1/ Cup and handle Pattern
Happens during an uptrend.
The cup portion has a U-shaped appearance.
The bears are getting weaker as they are unable to drive the prices below the last low.
Subhasish Pani uses this a lot in stocks to spot bullish trades.
Eg
5: When to play directional:
— Nikita Poojary (@niki_poojary) December 18, 2022
Whenever the index is moving in a single direction, its important to go with the trend.
A few weeks ago when BNF broke out of the cup and handle pattern, all we had to do was sell PEs.
Pls note: weekly TF chart is attached to just show the C&H BO pic.twitter.com/z0wgUzJW8t
Eg
#VOLTAS Another cup & handle pattern for cash positional pic.twitter.com/Jsc99xJfwY
— Nikita Poojary (@niki_poojary) October 23, 2019
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1/OK, data mystery time.
This New York Times feature shows China with a Gini Index of less than 30, which would make it more equal than Canada, France, or the Netherlands. https://t.co/g3Sv6DZTDE
That's weird. Income inequality in China is legendary.
Let's check this number.
2/The New York Times cites the World Bank's recent report, "Fair Progress? Economic Mobility across Generations Around the World".
The report is available here:
3/The World Bank report has a graph in which it appears to show the same value for China's Gini - under 0.3.
The graph cites the World Development Indicators as its source for the income inequality data.
4/The World Development Indicators are available at the World Bank's website.
Here's the Gini index: https://t.co/MvylQzpX6A
It looks as if the latest estimate for China's Gini is 42.2.
That estimate is from 2012.
5/A Gini of 42.2 would put China in the same neighborhood as the U.S., whose Gini was estimated at 41 in 2013.
I can't find the <30 number anywhere. The only other estimate in the tables for China is from 2008, when it was estimated at 42.8.
This New York Times feature shows China with a Gini Index of less than 30, which would make it more equal than Canada, France, or the Netherlands. https://t.co/g3Sv6DZTDE
That's weird. Income inequality in China is legendary.
Let's check this number.
2/The New York Times cites the World Bank's recent report, "Fair Progress? Economic Mobility across Generations Around the World".
The report is available here:
3/The World Bank report has a graph in which it appears to show the same value for China's Gini - under 0.3.
The graph cites the World Development Indicators as its source for the income inequality data.
4/The World Development Indicators are available at the World Bank's website.
Here's the Gini index: https://t.co/MvylQzpX6A
It looks as if the latest estimate for China's Gini is 42.2.
That estimate is from 2012.
5/A Gini of 42.2 would put China in the same neighborhood as the U.S., whose Gini was estimated at 41 in 2013.
I can't find the <30 number anywhere. The only other estimate in the tables for China is from 2008, when it was estimated at 42.8.