Don’t have much cash but want to invest in real estate?

Want to get SBA loans and special loan programs so you can buy real estate investments with only 5-10% down?

One word for you:

Don’t.

Here’s why

👇👇👇

Leverage can be a beautiful thing.

Appreciation takes over and all that value you bought with debt grows and you amplify your returns.

But there is another, darker side of debt. https://t.co/IgIq7GPkeK
Values drop 5 or 10% and you’re underwater. You have zero equity or negative equity.

Ask the folks who were over-levered in 2007 what happened on 2011?
Real estate is a frothy space right now. Money flying everywhere and values higher than they’ve ever been.

Debt is cheaper and easier to get than ever.

Will it continue?
Probably.

Money could stay cheap for a long time. There is a ton of negative yielding debt abroad and liquidity ready to flood our market at the drop of a hat.

Rates will likely stay low. Gov will probably keep subsidizing these loans. You’ll probably be okay.
But what about that 25% probability event?

That inflation takes off, rates go up and debt gets tougher to get and more expensive?

You’re totally screwed.
So if you’re not well capitalized wirh the ability to put 25-30% down on your property with another 25-50% in reserve, you’re at risk.

And if your counting on rent growth you’re at risk.

And if you’re counting on cap rates and interest rates staying you’re at risk.
A lot of stuff out of your control.

So my advise is that you shouldn’t.

Real estate isn’t for you unless you either have your own cash or have investors ready to do deals with you.
So the folks telling you to “just do a deal” maybe should just be ignored.

Learn and study and plan, sure.

Chase deals. Underwrite deals. Develop your operational advantage. All of that.
But maybe you should focus on making money another way and spend some time just being patient.
Easy for me to say all this as I’m 5 years in and have a lot more to lose now.

We all took risks early.

If you have a clear value-add play and the chops to pull it off then throw this advice out and get after it!

https://t.co/hO2QKfbguR https://t.co/ufJ3T7zPeI

More from Nick Huber

How to get smarter very fast:

Interact with smart people here on Twitter who have different world-views than you do.

And let them change your mind on something.

Here are the 30 people you should follow (along with my favorite tweet from each)👇👇

Twitter can be terrible if you follow negative people.

It can also be more valuable than a college degree if you follow (and network with) the right people.

You get to look right into their brain and read a daily narrative of HOW they think.

Ok lets go:

#1: @ShaanVP

You know he's all about venture capital based entrepreneurship. I'm about small (non-sexy) business. We disagree on a lot of stuff.

But he's done it and he's won. Bonus follow: @theSamParr (@myfirstmilpod podcast


#2: @fortworthchris

He is where I want to be in 15 years. Has built a massive real estate private equity firm from the ground up. Super grounded with what the way he does business and his podcast @theFORTpodcast is top


#3: @Julian

I'm a scattered thinker and procrastinator.

Julian is a master of clear thinking and simple but effective writing. A world class example of content marketing and

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