On a bullish Trend Ratio if Balance breaks, expect all longs to be trapped . Can short with stop above upper breakout figure. And vice versa
Along with the levels, there is Trend Ratio.
Near 1 or below is bearish, near 2 or above is bullish
( this as per last day's closing).
If Trend Ratio is bullish, expect support at Balance or breakout above Upper level will mean rally will continue.
On a bullish Trend Ratio if Balance breaks, expect all longs to be trapped . Can short with stop above upper breakout figure. And vice versa
1. DO NOT play bearish is market above Balance
2. DO NOT play bullish is market below Balance
The Balance basically tells you which side is a bit trapped
Nifty fut : Has closed on Friday below the Balance for Monday. So if Nifty opens a little below, will go short with a stop above Balance. Below lower levels will short more
More from Subhadip Nandy
The most important question now on the mind of all analysts and traders. Is this a bear market rally or is this the start of a bull move. Retweeting this as I will need a few tweets to explain my view
Everyone knows the HH-HL or LH-LL as per Dow theory. This can be a bit confusing on how one marks the Highs and Lows. Long back, I picked up this trick from one of the neo-Dow theorists on what to do in scenarios like this
Simply plot a 5 period exponential moving average on a different panel. A 5-EMA simply shows you a running weekly perspective and kind of smoothens the price where a single spike high/low is not of that much importance
You will see this 5-ema also making HH.HL.LH.LL. So now, rather than focusing on the highs/lows on the charts, focusing on highs/lows on the 5-ema gives a cleaner perspective
As per this charts, unless the 5-ema now closes above 17540 ( the ema, not Nifty price) I will not play this as a bull market. I will deal with this market as a counter move against the major bear trend
Is Nifty bullish, or bearish?
— AP (@ap_pune) March 19, 2022
Replies MUST be ONLY with charts, not just 'views', no Russia Ukraine, crude, gold etc.
Can be levels....abv/below
Just technicals....maybe with trend lines, indicators or any other study (EW, harmonics etc)
Charts can be daily, weekly or monthly.
Everyone knows the HH-HL or LH-LL as per Dow theory. This can be a bit confusing on how one marks the Highs and Lows. Long back, I picked up this trick from one of the neo-Dow theorists on what to do in scenarios like this
Simply plot a 5 period exponential moving average on a different panel. A 5-EMA simply shows you a running weekly perspective and kind of smoothens the price where a single spike high/low is not of that much importance
You will see this 5-ema also making HH.HL.LH.LL. So now, rather than focusing on the highs/lows on the charts, focusing on highs/lows on the 5-ema gives a cleaner perspective
As per this charts, unless the 5-ema now closes above 17540 ( the ema, not Nifty price) I will not play this as a bull market. I will deal with this market as a counter move against the major bear trend
This friend had trouble making money in options though he was directionally right. Let us see how a basic understanding of greeks would have helped him, This thread will be about two attributes of option pricing, extrinsic value and theta
An option has two parts, intrinsic and extrinsic value. Think of a pack of Lay's potato chips. When you buy and open the pack, what you find is some chips and a lot of air. Intrinsic value is the chips, extrinsic value is air
https://t.co/8ZPv4ZnCiL
https://t.co/icWmqSLENW
https://t.co/vHA6azEmbQ
Sir, today #niftybank was continue making new high, but 31700 CE was struggling to go up. I bought at 140, some how managed to sell it at 200. I m ok, in identifying directional edge but options behave differently.
— Vikash Shrivastava\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3 (@VikashS28) May 27, 2019
An option has two parts, intrinsic and extrinsic value. Think of a pack of Lay's potato chips. When you buy and open the pack, what you find is some chips and a lot of air. Intrinsic value is the chips, extrinsic value is air
https://t.co/8ZPv4ZnCiL
https://t.co/icWmqSLENW
https://t.co/vHA6azEmbQ
Study this thread and then check the VIX charts and Nifty charts from 1st Oct 2018. There is a reason I am retweeting this now :)
1. IV > HV
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) October 5, 2018
2. High IVR
3. Sell strangles 2SD away
This is the crux of all complicated option selling strategies . Nothing so simple can work across all market conditions .