BC NANDY SIR CHART PATTERN

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Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16 2 years, 10 months ago 371 views

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I see a lot of traders following classical chart patterns . Being a pattern follower myself for some years , here is my advice to them as I feel some pointers will improve their accuracy . Again , this is not the only correct way but what I have learnt from my experiences

1. Volume confirmation is a must. Without the volume rules being fulfilled , there is no importance to the pattern

2. Understand where the pattern is taking place within the major price structure of the index/stock. An inverse head and shoulders bottom reversal occurs at market bottoms , not at market tops

3. If a pattern is valid, it will leap out at you from the computer screen . If it takes a lot of time for you to "see" the pattern , you are probably imagining things

4. Understand how the market players operate so that a pattern is created . Understand the psychological basis of market participants within the pattern . Best resource : Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Edwards and Magee . You should read the book at least 10 times or more

5. A pro tip : Use line charts while searching for patterns . Bar charts or candlesticks will be confusing , a line chart consisting of only closing prices is much easier on the eye

6. Check whether major support/resistance zones exist after a pattern breakout. In short , check whether the breakout has empty spaces to run

7. Define an entry stop and how you will trail the trade once it get's going. Define when and why you will exit if something changes . Have your plan ready before you enter the trade.

8. Use modern indicators to support the pattern breakout. See whether a price breakout is supported by a momentum , volume or volatility breakout. If so , it adds weight to chances of success for the breakout

9. Last but not the least , use some for of money mgmt for initial position sizing and then scaling in or scaling out.
#bestofluck trading patterns :)

10. Trading patterns will need years of practice , there is no shortcut. The amount of time you spend and see the patterns working out will add to your experience . Took me 5 years to successfully trade patterns :)

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Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Ok here is the explanation. Grab a cup of coffee and read on. If you have not read/noticed this, you will see intraday options movement in a new light.

In a high IV environment or when the market is very volatile
" OTM options will behave like ATM options", one will get almost the same delta movement
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) January 21, 2022

Say we have two options, one 50 delta ATM options and another 30 delta OTM option. Normally for a 100 point move, the ATM option will move 50 points and the OTM option will move 30 points. But in a high volatile environment, the OTM option will also move nearly 50 points

To understand why this happens, first understand why an ATM option is 50 delta. An ATM option has the probability of 50% of expiring as ITM. The price just has to close a rupee above the strike for the CE to be ITM and vice versa for PEs

Now think of a highly volatile day like today. If someone is asked where the BNF will close for the day or expiry, no one can answer. BNF can close freakin anywhere, That makes every option of an equal probability of being ITM. So all options have a 50% probability of being ITM

Hence, when a huge volatile move starts, all OTM options behave like ATM options. This phenomenon was first observed in the Black Monday crash of 1987 at Wall Street, which also gave rise to the volatility skew/smirk

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy

This friend had trouble making money in options though he was directionally right. Let us see how a basic understanding of greeks would have helped him, This thread will be about two attributes of option pricing, extrinsic value and theta

Sir, today #niftybank was continue making new high, but 31700 CE was struggling to go up. I bought at 140, some how managed to sell it at 200. I m ok, in identifying directional edge but options behave differently.
— Vikash Shrivastava\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3 (@VikashS28) May 27, 2019

An option has two parts, intrinsic and extrinsic value. Think of a pack of Lay's potato chips. When you buy and open the pack, what you find is some chips and a lot of air. Intrinsic value is the chips, extrinsic value is air

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Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Since lot of discussions on ITC, had a simple look at the chart. With each passing day, the probability of a large breakout increases. Watch the behaviour of MFI, but wait for prices to trade above the trendline with volumes

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

The most common problem faced by day-traders and it's easy solution which is extremely difficult to implement.
A thread.
( uses concepts I have discussed many times before in separate threads)

Problem : I have a good system, I understand charts and/or price action, but I simply can't make money. I hold my losses too long or ( this is most common) I get out of profitable positions too fast and cannot sit for the whole move

At many firms at NASDAQ, day-traders are seen as elite sportspersons playing in a difficult taxing game. That's why, they have regular sessions with sports psychologists. They are advised to follow the basic routine of sportspersons.
Train ---- Play tournaments --- Rest

The cycle repeats

We retail day-traders here neither rest nor train.

Rest = taking time off markets
Train = trading in markets in training mode

Understanding REST is easy, simply take time off markets and spend time with family or do something you love

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

@Random37938918 @nuraniraj This is a paid course, extremely economically priced. This covers MFI in detail, check if you are

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