BC FINANCE

Saved by @tradrdoc

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju 4 years ago 535 views

Save to PDF Share See On Twitter

One of my fav docs to come back to during all market cycles. Covering Investment principles, checklists, economic cycles/bubbles, value traps & more. Phenomenal compilation by @pcordway👏

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

Some of my fav content.⬇️

https://t.co/TIkvktVoJC

Pretty good process and checklist.

Tenets from "The Warren Buffett Way"

Some lessons from Ben Graham

Phil Fisher's 15 Questions and 10 Don'ts.

Mistakes and biases from the book "Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes".

Howard Marks' wisdom.

The 2nd pic with "Investment and Credit Cycles" is an essential understanding.

✔️Principles of Good Corporate Governance
✔️Principles of Focused Investing
✔️Bill Ruane's Four Rules of Smart Investing

Some Financial shenanigans

Lessons from Jim Chanos on shorting (and stuff to avoid on the long side)

Seven traits shared by great investors

Common mental mistakes and behavioral biases (from Whitney Tilson)

Business checklist from Tom Gardner

Lessons from Akre Capital

Good explanation of bubbles

Guy Spier's "25 Common Mental Mistakes"

Ending with some Life lessons from Buffett & Munger

Of course, for someone investing in individual stocks, the LT results primarily depend on the economics of the business (including quality, durability, financials), Valuation, holding period and reactions to (non business) volatility...

..but this document gives a pretty good overview of many good investing principles that could be incorporated as they fit into your process and being aware of all the detractions in the markets (poor quality Cos, bubbles, cycles, behavioral biases...)

/END

More from Ram Bhupatiraju

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Good Investing Checklist that goes thru Basics, Financials, Valuation & Behavioral factors. h/t Nicole Seah (not sure if it's @startingfromnix)

1.The Story
Do I understand the business?
Do I believe in the mission?
Moat?
How well do I trust Mgmt?
Do I know the key risks?
Do I have an idea why the company is trading at a discount to its intrinsic value?
What are the potential catalysts?
Is there room for future growth?

2. Financial Metrics
Financial statements and footnotes
Cyclical, countercyclical?
Inflation impact
Operating Leverage
Assessing Working Capital + Capex
Trends in Revenues, Margins, Cash flows...
Recent investments, acquisitions?

3.Valuation
Relative Valuation
DCF

Good pts on few of the behavioral biases to watch out for 👇

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

🔟Investing Philosophies I greatly admire. Learning from the best Investing Teams out there (that match your Philosophy/Strategy) and improving your own process is one of the best investing hacks. What are some others that you admire?

🔟of my principles at the end.
⬇️⬇️

1⃣ Buffett : Gotta start with the🐐

https://t.co/RKO4BAMbpT

2⃣ Ensemble Capital : @IntrinsicInv @ToddWenning

https://t.co/6Cozku3Vmn

3⃣ Fundsmith : Terry Smith

https://t.co/WqBHvN4RiU

4⃣ Silver Ring Value Partners : Gary Mishuris

https://t.co/hjDC2VBIum

Advertisement

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Sharing the latest holdings and some random thoughts.

@FromValue @dhaval_kotecha @SeifelCapital @saxena_puru @BahamaBen9 @richard_chu97 @TMFJMo @7Innovator @investing_city @SagaPartners @adventuresinfi

Individual Investing is a very personal journey where we need to match our strengths and strategies to our goals, while ignoring all the noise but also constantly learning and improving our process.

W/O understanding the other person's situation, interests, competency etc we shouldn't quickly offer unsolicited advice that they should be doing this or that with their portfolio.

Like "Why don't you just own ARK funds instead of holding so many SaaS stocks"? Maybe that's because I like searching for and studying solid companies from different sectors in my own free time, and buy each one after personally understanding them...

...and buy them at my own timeframe slowly over the years. As long as the med-long term Portfolio results are better than the indexes and comparable ETFs, that's a worth-wile endeavor.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

One of my all-time favorite articles on "Investing Mistakes". h/t Altais Advisors @basrars @vishalmittal22 👏

So many good lessons here for long-term investors in individual stocks. My fav pts in the thread below.

1⃣ Selling good businesses too early: without giving due importance to long term growth outlook and the potential of the business to scale.

If you are invested in a growing business, do not sell it for temporary overvaluation,

there may be some time correction which is fine, which should be managed at a portfolio level. At the same time, one needs to be careful of slowing growth or fundamental deterioration in the business.

2⃣ Going down the Quality curve: Selling good companies, which were growing well, and investing in cheaper but low quality/ growth companies. Over the cycle, this results in sub optimal returns.

3⃣ Waiting for a little lower price to buy: Losing 10-20 baggers waiting for 20-25% lower price! Missing the boat on so many opportunities trying to just get them a bit cheaper, which never comes.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

My biggest mistakes in the last decade & what I learned.

There are 2 types of Investors in the Market. Those who make mistakes & admit them openly while learning, and those who give the illusion that they never make mistakes. I want to be firmly in the former camp.

Here we go⬇️

Putting those mistakes/examples/lessons down again in the thread below for easy reading.

Note that the lessons learned are very subjective. They are not recommendations. It depends on each person's Portfolio goals & strategies.

OK let's go. ⬇️⬇️

1⃣ Mistake : Actions not aligning to goals & competencies.

Ex : Mainly during 2010-14 - Dabbling in cheap (low quality) stocks & Options (LEAPS, but w/o clearly identified catalysts)

Lesson : Make sure your process and actions are leveraging your interests/strengths and aligned to your Portfolio goals. For me, that was leveraging my patience and interest in quality Cos. Monitor & improve the process over time.

2⃣ Mistake :Confusing between Quality/Durability and Temporary Business momentum or ST stock momentum.

Ex : Buying GILD/SAM in 2016, PTON/FVRR etc in early 2021.

More from Finance

Orwell & Goode
@OrwellNGoode

This year has been quite something.

But let's try to pick some of the most clownish stories this year had to offer.

Here's to 2020's end of year thread 1/50

Have you got a license for that opinion?

2/50

At least academics remain the same.

3/50

And Sweden didn't change

4/50

Don't have much to say about this one

5/50

Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing

ATROCIOUS big pharma price gouging of insulin:

This crying mother can’t afford the $1000 for her son’s insulin.

📌yet, it only costs pharma $5 to produce.

📌Insulin was invented 100 years ago by Fred Banting—who donated patent for $1 to make it free for all.

Let that sink in.

2) Insulin is one of the most disgusting cases of price gouging ever.

America has long taken a free market approach to pharmaceuticals.
Drug companies haggle separately over drug prices with a variety of private insurers across the

3) “Meanwhile, Medicare, the government health program for those over age 65 — it’s also the nation’s largest buyer of drugs—is barred from negotiating drug prices. That gives pharma more leverage, and it leads to the kind of price surges of EpiPens, opioid antidotes, & insulin.”

4) In 2018:
Johnson & Johnson CEO made $30M
Pfizer CEO made $28M
Merck CEO made $18M
Eli Lilly CEO made $16M
Gilead CEO made $16M

Meanwhile:

📌Americans spent $535B on Rx drugs

📌1/4 of diabetics rationed insulin to survive

📌500K Americans went bankrupt from medical bills.

5) What’s the right price patients should pay for medications? ZERO dollars, because no copay ==> more patients get their medicine ==> saves lives and saves money. Copays decrease adherence, and copays hurt patients who actually need them.

Advertisement

The Profitabull | Inve...
@theprofitabull

It's been more than 60 years since Philip Fisher wrote the investment classic in "Common Stocks & Uncommon Profits".

The book is famous for the 15 questions which one must ask before investing in any company.

THREAD

These are the questions which help us in determining the "quality" of a business.

Warren Buffett has time and again said that he is 85% Graham and 15% Fisher.

Let's have a look at these 15 questions.

P.S.: Stocks listed in this thread are not to be taken as recos.

1. Does the company have products or services with sufficient market potential to make possible a sizable increase in sales for at least several years?

The important point which you must note here is that you must not just look at the size of the company.

You must also look at the opportunity size of the market in which the company exists.

Let's take the case of HDFC Bank. Although it is a huge bank, but it controls just 9% of the total credit market in India, suggesting an enormous opportunity for it to capture.

2. Does the management have a determination to continue to develop products or processes that will still further increase total sales potentials when the growth potentials of currently attractive product lines have largely been exploited?

Thomas Chua
@SteadyCompound

Buffett's letters taught me more about investing than any business school ever could.

Even after investing for 14 years, I uncover new insights every time I reread his letters.

Recently, I reread his letters from 1977 to 2020 for a third time.

Here are my key insights:

1. Moat is NEVER stagnant

A company's competitive position either grows stronger or weaker each day.

Widening the moat must always take precedence over short-term targets.

2. Commodity businesses

A business without moat will have its returns competed away.

Regardless of improvement, your competitors will quickly copy your advantage away.

Where returns on capital is dismal, reinvestment will only destroy value.

3. The flywheel effect

Buffett was preaching about the flywheel effect before it became cool.

Back then, newspapers were similar to today's platform businesses like Amazon, Meta, and App Store.

More readers beget more advertisers beget more readers.

4. Operating leverage

Companies with high fixed costs and low variable costs will see earnings rise faster than revenue.

However, it cuts both ways.

It becomes a disaster when revenue is declining.

Check out my article on how operating leverage works: https://t.co/Nv747oBAK0

Max Koh
@heymaxkoh

This is value investor, Allan Mecham.

He dropped out of college at age 22 to start his fund, Arlington Value.

From 2008-2016, they did a CAGR of 30% over 8.5 years!

And in his fund letters, he shared his best frameworks for investing in companies.

Here's a breakdown of each:

1. Adopt a mindset for longevity

He focuses on variables that affect a business' durability.

Stuff like valuation doesn't matter if the business quality is misjudged.

Since a company's value is determined by its future cash flows...

Hence evaluating its future is key

2. Stay within your circle of competence

Allan is aware that his CoC is tiny!

Thus, he rarely buys companies that he:

• Hasn't researched
• Hasn't followed for at least a few years.

Because the best way to study a business is to observe its execution overtime.

3. Embrace volatility as a gift

Public markets offer you amazing deals you will never get in the private markets!

It's all about being patient.

The underlying value of a business is much more stable than the stock.

So you can buy great businesses that are mispriced!

4. Avoid noise and news

More information can give you a false sense of confidence.

It can create an illusion of "knowledge", and make you think many things are important.

The key is to know what are the 3-5 main variables in the company, and focus on those.

Ignore the rest.

You May Also Like

Nicolas Cole
@Nicolascole77

🚢 Atomic Essays Republishing Framework 🚢

1. Write Atomic Essay
2. Post image on Twitter
3. (Bonus) Copy/paste text as thread
4. Find relevant Question on Quora. Copy/paste Atomic Essay + image.
5. Copy/paste again on Medium.
6. Again on LinkedIn
7. Win

Guide below ✍️🚢👇

Step 1: Write Atomic Essay

I really enjoy writing right inside the Figma template. It helps give me a good sense of exactly how much "real estate" I have/have left before my time us up and I'm out of space.

Once finished, I export the image and send to my phone on Slack.

Step 2: Post image on Twitter

Before I publish my Atomic Essay on Twitter, I use the Edit/Photo Markup function on the iPhone to highlight standout sentences.

These are usually power-phrases: things the reader skims and thinks, "That's interesting," prompting them to read more.

Step 3: For the Ship 30 for 30 challenge, I only turn Atomic Essays into threads if...

1. The piece is SUPER actionable and lends itself well to the thread format (lots of bullets, quick points, lists, etc.)

or...

2. I'm referencing research and want to link to the pieces.

Step 4: Find relevant Question on Quora. Copy/paste Atomic Essay + image.

Search on Quora around the topic you wrote about. Find a related Question. Copy/paste the whole Atomic Essay as your "answer" (& fix formatting). Then include image so it appears in the thumbnail.

George Mack
@george__mack

THREAD: 15 of the most useful razors and rules I've found.

Rules of thumb that simplify decisions.

Bezos' Razors:

• If unsure what action to take, let your 80-year-old self make it.

• If unsure who to work with, pick the person that has the best chances of breaking you out of a 3rd world prison.

Skinner's Law:

• If procrastinating on an item, you only have 2 options:

1. Make the pain of not doing it greater than the pain of doing it.

2. Make the pleasure of doing it greater than the pleasure of not doing it.

Luck Razor:

• If stuck with 2 equal options, pick the one that feels like it will produce the most luck later down the line.

I used this razor to go for drinks with a stranger rather than watch Netflix.

In hindsight, it was the highest ROI decision I've ever made.

Bragging Razor:

• If someone brags about their success or happiness, assume it’s half what they claim.

• If someone downplays their success or happiness, assume it’s double what they claim.

The map is not the terrain.

Advertisement

dan spaceman
@ohlaika

ugh i wanted to do a thread about the wars in Star Wars and how the two outlying wars (the clone wars in the prequels and the cold war/civil war in the sequels) are really weird but i don't feel like it any more.

my first argument is that the Clone Wars were a really complex morally gray moment in Star Wars canon in like, 5 different directions and I'd kind of like to know why Lucas did that.

especially with the direct line that's drawn in the OT with the allegory of WW2 and Vietnam with the rebels being the Vietnamese and the Empire being America. That...doesn't exist in the Clone Wars.

for starters: it's weird it's called the Clone Wars. I get why, because that's what Kenobi calls it in STAR WARS, but the clones are a small facet in the larger story of the war.

the clones basically only exist as a macguffin in AOTC that is...extremely confusing ultimately. Because if you accept that Sidious has this grand master plan to use this war to destabilize the Republic and form an Empire...it's way too complex.

$Lumina\u2728$

Lumina✨
@Anaphora_Lumina

I present to you all, my (possibly) superthread On how and why the Unknown God from Genshin Impact, and The Herrscher of Void/God Kiana/Sirin from Honkai Impact!

First off! We’ll start with the obvious things that constitute a possible connection.

They share the same Japanese Voice actress! Rie Kugimiya.
Usually this is a stretch reason, but considering everything else, it’s not unlikely that it’s the same character.

Secondly, their Appearances.
The both have very long white hair with identical bang style, and a very noticeable small piece of hair on top that curls upwards. That’s a defining part Of all of Kiana’s hairstyles, and for it to be shared with this god says something.

Another notable thing is their eyes. They both have Glowing golden eyes with very similar appearances. They contain a ring, and a 4-point star pupil. Resemblant of a scope if you will. That’s The Herrscher of Void’s defining characteristic

If you’d even like to take a look at their outfits, there’s resemblances including the black fur collar, the designs on the torso and chest, and the use of something similar to coat tails/skirt. The Herrscher can change their outfit and they aren’t stuck with one. Sirin does this

Enigma
@ainittomai

The Eye of Horus. 1/*

I believe that @ripple_crippler and @looP_rM311_7211 are the same person. I know, nobody believes that. 2/*

Today I want to prove that Mr Pool smile faces mean XRP and price increase. In Ripple_Crippler, previous to Mr Pool existence, smile faces were frequent. They were very similar to the ones Mr Pool posts. The eyes also were usually a couple of "x", in fact, XRP logo. 3/*

The smile XRP-eyed face also appears related to the Moon. XRP going to the Moon. 4/*

And smile XRP-eyed faces also appear related to Egypt. In particular, to the Eye of Horus. https://t.co/i4rRzuQ0gZ 5/*