BC FINANCE

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Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju 1 year, 10 months ago 247 views

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One of my fav docs to come back to during all market cycles. Covering Investment principles, checklists, economic cycles/bubbles, value traps & more. Phenomenal compilation by @pcordway👏

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

Some of my fav content.⬇️

https://t.co/TIkvktVoJC

Pretty good process and checklist.

Tenets from "The Warren Buffett Way"

Some lessons from Ben Graham

Phil Fisher's 15 Questions and 10 Don'ts.

Mistakes and biases from the book "Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes".

Howard Marks' wisdom.

The 2nd pic with "Investment and Credit Cycles" is an essential understanding.

✔️Principles of Good Corporate Governance
✔️Principles of Focused Investing
✔️Bill Ruane's Four Rules of Smart Investing

Some Financial shenanigans

Lessons from Jim Chanos on shorting (and stuff to avoid on the long side)

Seven traits shared by great investors

Common mental mistakes and behavioral biases (from Whitney Tilson)

Business checklist from Tom Gardner

Lessons from Akre Capital

Good explanation of bubbles

Guy Spier's "25 Common Mental Mistakes"

Ending with some Life lessons from Buffett & Munger

Of course, for someone investing in individual stocks, the LT results primarily depend on the economics of the business (including quality, durability, financials), Valuation, holding period and reactions to (non business) volatility...

..but this document gives a pretty good overview of many good investing principles that could be incorporated as they fit into your process and being aware of all the detractions in the markets (poor quality Cos, bubbles, cycles, behavioral biases...)

/END

More from Ram Bhupatiraju

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Phenomenal compilation of summaries of🔟important Business/Finance/Investing books. h/t @EdelweissFin 👏
An excellent weekend read.👍

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

https://t.co/Nl4eWteJKK

Snapshots of the Key Takeaways of the books discussed.

1⃣ "A Piece of the Action" is an excellent book to understand the Finance Industry evolution in the US.

2⃣ The obvious classic "The Intelligent Investor".

3⃣ Ray Dalio's "Principles"

4⃣ Howard Marks' "The Most Important Thing"

5⃣ "Thinking Fast and Slow" is a good book on Behavioral Finance.

6⃣ Another obvious classic "One Up on Wall Street"

7⃣ "The Little Book of Behavioral Investing" is another good behavioral finance book.

8⃣ "The Black Swan" by Taleb. A very important book about unpredictability and cautioning against over-relying on Models/predictions.

9⃣ "The Millionaire Next Door". I haven't read it, but hear it's a good personal Finance book.

🔟"Nudge" about improving decision making.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

On Seeking Alpha, "Integrator" (not sure about Twitter presence) is one of my favorite authors along with
@FromValue
@andrescardenal
@EconomyApp
Bert Hochfeld
👏👏

Few of my fav articles of his.

1⃣ The 5 Elements That Make For An Outstanding

2⃣ On Lessons from Buffett.

-Seek Economic Moats in any investment
-Having an awareness of your circle of competence
-Investing for the ultra long term
-Take advantage of a bargain hiding in plain sight
-Preservation of Capital, Above

3⃣ 5 Common Mistakes In Evaluating High-Growth Companies

-It has already gone up so much.
-Fearing short interest
-Fearing future Competition
-Fearing stock dilution due to secondary offerings
-Fearing current

4⃣ Ways Investors Cheat Themselves Out Of Long-Term Wealth Creators

-This business doesn't make any money!
-Thinking that you're too late
-Stock volatility
-High Valuation
-About Voting rights
-Aversion to 'averaging

5⃣ The 5 Important Rules For Surviving A Major Economic Downturn

-Strong cash reserves
-Low debt levels
-Good cash flow generation
-An absence of secular headwinds
-Transparent and easily understood

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Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Excellent article on Investor psychology & Market cycles based on Howard Marks' "Mastering the Market Cycle".

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

My fav pts 👇

Excellent pts 👇

✔️Mania and risk
"The combination of feedback loops and irrational exuberance, where newfound expectations and enthusiasm, encourages investors to bid up and rationalize extraordinary growth in asset prices.

By contrast, during periods of fear and pessimism, many face difficulties with identifying potential future value beyond the immediate-term.

An understanding of where attitudes to risk sits within the current investor psychology cycle can be a useful knowledge advantage.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

"4 Simple Rules To Protect Your Portfolio From Yourself" h/t @EconomyApp 👏👏

Excellent article for the current environment (with big drawdowns in many high growth including some quality Co.'s)

My fav parts from the article in the thread below.

"The real threat to your portfolio is not volatility. It's your ability to cope with it. As a result, your portfolio doesn't need to be protected from volatility. It needs to be protected from yourself." 👏

"Volatility refers to how dramatically the price of an investment may change. On the other hand, risk refers to the probability that an investment will underperform the market or result in a permanent loss of capital."

"In short, a stock that sees very large swings in its price over time may be a less risky investment than one that barely moves. The true risk over a long timeframe depends on the underlying business more than the sheer volatility of its share price."

"How much volatility can I tolerate?"

That's the key question that we all need to answer, but it might be the wrong way to tackle the question of temperament.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Insights from Philip Fisher. One of the best docs I came across for individual investors.

Phenomenal effort by @SiddharthVoraPL @PLIndiaOnline 👏👏

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

https://t.co/K19gWk9TFO

Philip Fisher's 15 points, simplified. ⬇️

His Investment strategy and Search strategy. ⬇️

Full scale scuttlebutt is not possible for individual investors (lack of time, resources, contacts), but with efficient search & communication online (tuning out the noise), there are still some ways to do good research.

Good sequence of steps to filter from a wider universe of companies to the few promising ones that meet the criteria. ⬇️

Excellent Checklist for Business, Management and Financial characteristics. ⬇️

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Investment Books
@InvestmentBook1

Mega Thread on Personal Finance 101

👇👇👇

Rule of 72 (Double Your Money)
Rule of 114 (Triple)
Rule of 144 (Quadruple)
Rule of 70 (Inflation)
4% Withdrawal Rule
100 - Minus Age Rule
10, 5, 3 Rule
50-30-20 Rule
3X Emergency Rule
40℅ EMI Rule
Life Insurance Rule

♻ Rule of 72

No. of yrs required to double your money at a given rate, U just divide 72 by interest rate
Eg, if U want to know how long it will take to double your money at 8% interest, divide 72 by 8 and get 9 yrs

At 6% rate, it will take 12 yrs
At 9% rate, it will take 8 yrs

📋Rule of 114

No. of years required to triple your money at a given rate, U just divide 114 by interest rate.

For example, if you want to know how long it will take to triple your money at 12% interest, divide 114 by 12 and get 9.5 years

At 6% interest rate, it will take 19yrs

🗒️ Rule of 144

No. of years required to, quadruple your money at a given rate, U just divide 144 by interest rate.

For eg, if U want to know how long it will take to quadruple your money at 12% interest, divide 144 by 12 and get 12 yrs

At a 6% interest rate, it will take 24yrs

🗒️ Rule of 70

Divide 70 by the current inflation rate to know how fast the value of your investment will get reduced to half its present value.

The inflation rate of 7% will reduce the value of your money to half in 10 years.

Grant Williams
@ttmygh

1/ I'm thrilled to announce the launch of my new website, a one-stop shop for all the content I'm creating.

There you'll find links to all my podcasts, the TTMYGH newsletter, and other exciting future projects.

2/ In 2020, I reignited my passion for interviewing brilliant people by launching The Grant Williams Podcast in various forms, including The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, and The Narrative Game.

3/ Starting February 1, I'm taking the bold step of moving these podcasts completely behind a paywall.

For the very affordable price of only $10 a month, listeners can gain access to the Copper Tier of https://t.co/fxUfH8maI4, which includes all current & future podcasts.

4/ Why am I doing this? First and foremost, I aspire to create VALUABLE content. By definition, if something is priced at $0, it isn’t valuable. The time, effort and creativity that goes into these episodes is substantial. To keep doing them properly, they can no longer be free.

5/ I also strongly believe content creators should be able to make a living creating content. If everything is free, that’s not possible. I never seriously considered accepting outside sponsors – complete integrity is too critical to me.

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$Bankinstein \U0001f1f1\U0001f1e7$

Bankinstein 🇱🇧...
@bankinsteinlb

Last week Hizbollah's finance institution Al Qard el Hasan was hacked by Spiderz. A group of people took that Data and tried to make sense out of it. Below are the findings

https://t.co/eGLqvb28o5

Loans are provided to borrowers for gold deposits or other guarantees, to the association's members and to unsecured applicants.

AQAH had a carried forward loan balance of $450 million as of December 31, 2019. This balance has been increasing at a yearly rate of 13.4%.

AQAH laundered around $475 million in 2019 in the form of disbursed loans paid to more than 20,000 borrower accounts; mostly to borrowers with gold deposits.

Deposits accounts have been offered to 307,000 members of the association, 83,000 contributors as well as to 600 companies. AQAH closed 2019 with an overall depositors accounts balance of around $500 million.

Vikrant
@Trading0secrets

Full chart learning course 🎓
In single thread 🧵

Process of trading through
price action ✨👇

1⃣Time frame - always start looking chart 📊 with higher time frame (weekly/monthly) then after go for lower one .

Positional trader - weekly/monthly

Swing trader - daily /3hours

Intraday trader - 15/30min

2⃣ demand /supply zone - then draw major/minor demand & supply zone .।।।

Ex : #SIS

3️⃣ Trading style -

⚡If you are positional trader then focus on major demand & supply zone.

⚡If you are swing trader then focus on minor demand & supply zone.

Wait for price to come on it then, 👇

4⃣find consolidation -

⚡Positional trader - consolidation should be above 1/2years.

⚡ swing trader - consolidation should be below 1/2 years

⚡Intraday trader - consolidation should above 5/10 days.

Ex - #galxo / #triveni / #vimta

$Route 2 FI \U0001f4c8$

Route 2 FI 📈
@Route2FI

I reached financial independence and quit my 9-5 job this week at 33 years old to work with my own projects.

A thread with lessons about:

-freedom
-time
-money

One day in 2018 when I was in my 9-5 cubicle, I thought to myself while I stared out of the window:

How could I continue waking up every morning and be totally unexcited about everything I was going to do day after day?

This led me to Google:

“How to quit my job forever”.

You know the rest of the story.

Early Retirement Extreme and Mr. Money Mustache are the first pages popping up.

I read everything in a couple of days.

There was really no way back.

WTF, could I quit my job in a couple of years by investing?

I have always been pretty good at handling money, but earlier on I'd just pay down my mortgage faster.

Now I was going all-in on investing.

I started saving and earning more money by changing my 9-5 job.

Starting out I had a savings rate of 40%.

Last 5 months SR: over 90%

I got addicted to investing.

It was like a game.

My salary was increasing every month and on top of that, I started earning more online than I did in my 9-5.

I started dreaming about $100M.

But, then I reflected:

"What will I sacrifice if I continue like this for 30+ years?

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I can explain all. It is largely the fault of a set of US laws called SESTA and FOSTA.

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(Thread)

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In the early 2000s, the banks in the USA were giving out loans to people for buying houses.

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In that backdrop, the banks found giving home loans safer.

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Kieran Snyder
@KieranSnyder

1 There's a chasm between an NLP technology that works well in the research lab and something that works for applications that real people use. This was eye-opening when I started my career, and every time I talk to an NLP engineer at @textio, it continues to strike me even now.

2 Research conditions are theoretical and/or idealized. A huge problem for so-called NLP or AI startups with highly credentialed academic founders is that they bring limited knowledge of what it takes to build real products outside the lab.

3 A product is ultimately a thing that people pay for - not just cool technology or user experience. But I’m not even talking about knowledge gaps in go-to-market work. I'm talking purely technical gaps: how you go from science project to performant + delightful user experience.

4 Most commoditized NLP packages solve well-understood problems in standard ways that sacrifice either precision or performance. In a research lab, this is not usually a hard trade-off; in general, no one is using what you make, so performance is less important than precision.

5 In software, when you’re making something for real people to use, these tradeoffs are a big deal. Especially if you’re asking those people to pay for what you’ve made (can’t get away from that pesky GTM thinking). They expect quality, which includes precision AND performance.

SK
@sk_diary1

Kolaru Pathigam-Thevaram hymn composed by ThiruGnana Sambandar- #Thread

In Tamil Kol means planets,Aru means cut- set of songs in Kolaru Pathigam addresses all Navagrahas& last 2 lines of every song with end a plea to Bhagwan Shiva to reduce/erase the ill effects of Navagrahas

கோளறு பதிகம் - This pathigam was sung by Thirugnana Sambandar at Thirumaraikadu Kshetram -Vedaranyam,Tamilnadu

Thirugnana Sambandar & Appar(Thirunavukkarasar) travelled together to various Shiva Alayam to spread shivam & bhakti among people.They both reached Thirumaraikadu.

Thirumaraikadu(Vedaranyam) -
Appar & Sambandar were asked to enter the temple through side entrance.The main door was locked by Vedas many years ago.Appar&Sambandar sang devotional hymns praising Shiva, after which the gates opened & closed.After which main door opened for all.

After darshan of Bhagwan Shiva at Thirumaraikkadu,Sambandar received a message to travel to Madurai.
During that time, Samanam was on the rise in the Pandya Kingdom.The Pandya King converted to Samanam.The Queen Mangaiyarkkarasi was a staunch Shiva devotee and was upset.

Kularchirai Nayanar ,Chief Minister of Pandya kingdom was in agony by the turn of events.Queen requested Kulachirai Nayanar to escort Thiru gnana Sambandar to Madurai.Kularchirai Nayanar met Thiru gnana Sambandar at Thirumaraikkadu & requested him to visit Madurai.

Jaya_Upadhyaya
@Jayalko1

AHOBILAM NARASIMHA SWAMY KSHETRAM: KURNOOL (AP)
#andhratemples

Ahobilam is the place where Prabhu appears in his fierce form, called Ugra Narasimha, who is Svayambhu (self-manifest).
Ahobilam is one of the 108 Divya Desams. It has 9 shrines for different forms of Narsimha.

Ahobilam was the exact place where Sri Narasimha appeared and tore apart Hiranyakashipu to save Prahlad. At that moment, all the Devas appeared and praised him as Ahobala (Aho is mighty and bala is strength). So the place came to be called Ahobilam.

Out of the 9 shrines, most famous is the Ahobila Narasimha Swamy where Prabhu is seen as Ugra Narasimha.
In another shrine, Prabhu appears as Malola Narasimha Swamy. Malola means beloved of Lakshmi. Here Prabhu is in peaceful mudra with his consort Ma ChenchuLakshmi.

Jwala Narasimha Swamy shrine is the actual spot where the fierce anger of Prabhu reached its culmination when he tore Hiranyakasipu.

Ugra Stambham is the pillar from which Narasimha appeared with such force that the entire hill split into two.