1) Let's talk about Tesla's China strategy. There's a few questions here - why did the Chinese government actively encourage them to set up in Shanghai? What's in it for Tesla? Why is Tesla continously discounting their cars?

Spoiler alert: $TSLA go brrr

2) Our story starts all the way back in 2013, when smog was so bad Beijing didn't see any blue sky for months. Policy pivots were in order, and new energy bills with specific support for electric vehicles (EV) were introduced.

3) Over the next few years subsidies from the government were handed out to any car companies that said they were going electric. A single EV could get up to $22k worth of subsidies (provided they could drive for 250 km).

Sales increased and the EV market steady grew

4) However at the end of 2017, there was no standout Chinese EV company. Far too much of the subsidies went to fraudsters and the Chinese EV market was lagging behind the EU market.

Chinese government hardened their resolve.

Similar to Baidu, complacency was a killer.

5) The aim was to have a thriving worldclass EV market in the long term.

Similar to how introducing Apple and Samsung brought up Xiaomi, One Plus and Oppo, they decided to introduce foreign competition from the best EV brand there was - Tesla.

A thread of my favourite investing compilations, resources and rabbitholes I like to dive into:

The goat of compilations @kgao1412

Clark Square Capital (@ClarkSquareCap) has a great site of speeches, interview, books and other resources

Highly underrated is @choctopcap's neocities site

My good mate Erick Mokaya (@ekmokaya) has a great @mjmauboussin resource list

1. I JUST RECENTLY BOUGHT $493,000 of $ROKU stock.

I missed the +217% one year run up in 2020. But as of today, I'm up about 27% for a 2 month hold so far.

Here's my extensive 25-post due diligence on #ROKU.

(read the full thread)

2. First, stop thinking of $ROKU as a hardware company.

STOP!

They started that way, but have shifted into a much more lucrative space - their 'Platform.'

More on that shortly.

Think of them as having part of their biz as hardware, but most of it as their Platform.

3. Most people I talk to say, "Why do I need #ROKU if my TV already has its own build in apps?"

I get it. People don't yet realize what ROKU offers. But they will. Just like people didn't understand other tech at the start (Paypal, Amazon, Netflix, etc.)

4. Beginnings - #ROKU is the japanese word for "6." CEO Anthony Wood named it this because it's his 6th company.

Anthony created the world's first DVR and then sold the company in 2002 and founded $ROKU.

He also worked as a VP at $NTFLX.

5. In 2008, $ROKU released the Netflix player.

Later they added more hardware: sticks, TVs, etc.

People still associate $ROKU as a hardware company.

They're missing the big picture. That's the BIGGEST confusion with $ROKU.

The play here is... "The Platform."

So You Made Some Money On GameStop And Want To Learn More About The Stock Market?

Here Are 7 Investment Books Worth Reading

With stocks in the news, there's been a lot of talk about where to learn investing.

Many suggestions are terrible with comments promoting Forex scammers, overpriced courses, or dull academic books like "The Intelligent Investor."

Luckily, there are also plenty of fun and interesting books on finance. Many of which are written by legendary investors who consistently beat the market.

And, there are plenty of fantastic biographies, covering historical market events and old school traders.

Below are SEVEN titles worth reading.

The first book is my personal favorite, but none of the others are in any particular order.

DISCLAIMER: I'm Using Amazon Referral Links Below, But It Doesn't Influence The List. Also, You Can Get All These At Your Local Library.

1. ONE UP ON ALL STREET BY PETER LYNCH

Peter Lynch is the greatest investor of all-time, outperforming Warren Buffett.

This is a fantastic, easy-to-read look at how to successfully buy winning stocks and multiple your money.

Individual decisions will always supercede to those of masses.

One of the theories which justifies why ITC struggles to have a big rally as other stocks have.

FMCG stocks' analysis from a different
view

Thread:

It is always easy to convince 10 people that you have something valuable to offer than to convince the same thing to 1000 people.

The same thing happens with ITC too.

The total number of shares outstanding of various FMCG companies are as follows

PGHH : 3.2 Crores
Nestle : 9.6 Crores
Marico: 129 Crores
Dabur : 177 Crores
HUL : 216 Crores

And just have a guess at what might be the number for ITC.

ITC has 1229 Crore Shares outstanding!!!!

Obviously some portion is held by promoters and FII/DIIs and some portion is not available for trading on a daily basis because it has some lock-in period.

When does a rally happens in a stock?

When every investor is just trying to buy the shares and the supply is too low.

This is what happened in Ruchi Soya when the free float was so less that even a small demand caused the upper circuit in the stock.

1) Let's talk about my favourite video platform Bilibili. What is it, what it isn't and and how it makes money. It's been called the Chinese YouTube that that framing lacks imaginary.

The $bili stock also 5x in 2020 - who knew weebs could be so lucrative

2) Grossly simplified, it's the Chinese equivalent of Youtube. Except it's not. It's like if Youtube, Twitch, Steam, Patreon, TokyoPop and Netflix had a CRISPR-baby, and that baby was a weeb, but that weeb is also super down with Chinese Gen Z

3) Bilibili was founded in 2010 by avid Anime, Gaming and Comics (AGC) fan Yi Xu from a frustration that the mainstay Chinese anime platform kept crashing with no consistent access to his beloved vocaloid Miku

4) Serial entrepreneur Rui Chen went from an angel investor to CEO, having obtained Yi Xu's trust by correctly identified the origin of Bilibili as from the anime "A Certain Scientific Railgun". Anime knowledge is life.

5) Currently it's the biggest mainstream portal for the Chinese Gen Z with user-generated video sharing, live streaming, mobile gaming, online comics and event ticketing. It’s also diversified its content coverage with coverage on beauty, e-sports, pop culture and many others.

Yesterday, I contemplated life. I thought about how we make plans and wait for the stars to align before finally living. I thought about how we rarely enjoy the fruits of our labour because we learnt to manage while coming up. 🧵

Moving from a scarcity to a prosperity mindset is difficult. It's why we keep reserving things for visitors and keep waiting for vacations before resting. It's why we accept less than ideal love and learn to compromise the sacred.

So, yesterday I decided to do something about the restlessness in my spirit. Something symbolic.

I discovered I typically sleep on only one side of my bed. It's a habit I picked up because I prefer being near the door. I chose to sleep in the middle instead and to "spread out". To use my multiple pillows instead of one.

Rather than start the day in my study, I drank coffee on my balcony, as I gazed at the beautiful mango tree in this thread. I realised there are chairs I've never sat on in my home and so, I sat on them.

As promised, a thread on one of my largest holdings going into the new year...

Allow me to introduce Smart Eye, "the king of DMS"

A little background first

Driver monitoring systems (DMS) are a soon-to-be-introduced safety feature in cars.

As the name suggests, they monitor drivers to ensure they are not tired or distracted while driving and gives them a nudge if they are.

This is going to be legally required to be in all new cars in Europe and North America by the middle of the decade.

As auto OEMs sell on a global basis, what happens in developed markets usually ends up in emerging markets as well.

As a result of this legislation, there is a pretty clear path for increased penetration of DMS in the auto industry.

The slide below shows industry forecasts of around 60% penetration in new cars sold globally by 2025.

As a small aside, Volvo did a great ad for DMS last year. Just priming consumers for what's to

1/#VeFam, I see a lot of heated discussions regarding $VTHO and it’s speculative value. I thought I’d write a thread to clear out some misconceptions.

First up, VTHO is NOT yield from an investment ( $VET).The whole argument that VET has to give xx% returns via VTHO is pointless

2/Why? Because VTHO is a utility token required for network participation. While it is good that we ordinary holders can trade it, its primary purpose is to enable entities to use the network. VTHO is not a dividend, it is not yield, it’s simply a network participation enabler

3/is it undervalued? depends on if you’re talking about value arising from utility or speculation. Regarding the former, as long as the daily burn rate is lower than daily generation rate (~37m), value appreciation from utility is not a factor. But this will change.

4/regarding the latter,it’s anyone’s guess. It can go 1000x overnight,like anything in crypto.But remember,this is not a good thing for an enterprise focused utility token
Why?
Bcoz value appreciation from utility is organic. @vechainofficial and their customers can plan for this

5/value appreciation from speculation is not organic. It can disrupt budgets and planning. This is the reason there are several levers in place to cushion the speculation around VTHO. Read this article to understand what they

The insights of the Austrian School of Economics will prove invaluable to investors navigating the distorted global economy of 2021.

This 18-tweet thread walks you through the definitive guide "Austrian School for Investors" by @scholarium_at, @RonStoeferle and @MarkValek.👇

1/ The roots of the Austrian School can be traced back to its founder Carl Menger, whose 1871 book Principles of Economics provided a new foundation for economic theory and solved the age-old "Paradox of Value".

From Menger's work we can derive 4 pillars of Austrian Investing.

2/ 1: The Subjective Theory of Value recognises that value is not determined by any inherent property of a good, nor by the amount of labor necessary to produce it, but by the importance an acting individual places on it for the achievement of their desired ends.

3/ 2: The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility recognises that as more units of a homogenous good are acquired, the utility derived from each additional unit declines.

This wide-ranging insight helps explain important economic phenomena such as the historical emergence of money.

4/ 3: Methodological Individualism is the principle that economic phenomena result from the actions of individuals.

Collective magnitudes like “the people” cannot act, & therefore cannot be treated as ultimate causes.

Austrians are cautious in their use of economic aggregates.

Quick Summary of @Arthur_0x on the FTX Podcast. How he made an 80x return on his fund in 2 years of Defi investing. 0/8👇

1/ Look for projects that have resilient founders that don’t give up. $SNX and $AAVE survived the last bear market and adapted to make the most of the the Defi market as it took off.

2/ Look for big brain discussions early on with intellectually curious developers. Interestingly he cites Hal Finneys thought experiments on Bitcoins Total Addressable Market on Bitcointalk. Link

3/ Community focus. SNX reacted well to a frontrunning issue by Airdropping to those affected. @kaiynne stepping back shows how it is community managed now.

4/ Focus on fundamentals and be active. Look to help teams and you will build a reputation and get more information as a result. Being active also means using the app an seeing some evidence of traction. Become a power user.

1/15
By now you have undoubtedly seen the craziness going on in the stock market, with a selection of stocks surging hundreds if not thousands of percent in a matter of days or even hours, along with a whole bunch of financial jargon. So what exactly is going on? #velshi

2/15
One major term you have heard is "shorting" - which is just placing a bet that a stock will go down in price. #velshi

3/15
An investor can make money on this type of gamble by borrowing shares from a broker, w/o initially paying for them, selling them immediately & then later buying the shares at a lower price & returning them to the broker, keeping the difference in price as profit. #velshi

4/15
For example, an investor borrows 1 share of stock XYZ at $200 & sells it. The investor now has $200 at an initial cost of $0. However, the investor stills owes the broker that 1 share. #velshi

5/15
The gamble is that the price of the stock XYZ will go down - let's say to $100 a share. The investor can then buy the 1 share that it owes the broker at that lower $100 price. #velshi

Robinhood sells your orders to Citadel. This controversial practice is known as "payment for order flow."

Like true scumbags, Citadel actually urged the SEC to ban this in 2004.

"Citadel Group urges the Commission to ban payment for order

"This practice distorts order routing decisions, is anti-competitive, and creates an obvious and substantial conflict of interest between broker-dealers and their customers."

"Broker-dealers accepting payment for order flow have a strong incentive to route orders based on the amount of order flow payments, which benefit these broker-dealers, rather than on the basis of execution quality, which benefits their customers."

"Furthermore, the parties making such payments (either voluntarily or through an exchange-mandated program) are forced to find other ways to recoup the amounts of such payments..."

"...whether through wider spreads or a reduction in other benefits that otherwise could, and should, be provided to customers."

1/ What Happens with More Funds than Stocks? (Madhavan, Sobczyk, Ang)

"Funds differ meaningfully in terms of individual stock holdings, and we examine the factor exposures of the typical fund and the cross section of holdings of different funds."

https://t.co/d6vU4Fgszg

2/ * Data on fund holdings are from Morningstar
* Sample: Jan. 1, 2007 to Dec. 31, 2018
* Only funds with at least 80% of holdings from the Russell 3000 universe are considered
* Mean AUM-weighted expense ratio for mutual funds (ETFs) is 70 bps (14.2 bps) as of Q4 2018

3/ "The holdings of ETFs and active mutual funds across U.S. stocks can be efficiently summarized by approximately 10 canonical funds.

"There is more commonality explained by the first few canonical funds for active mutual funds than for ETFs."

4/ "Commonality among equity mutual funds has remained approximately constant, but there has been increased dispersion in ETF offerings.

"We see no apparent rise in concentration or crowding for mutual funds over the period from January 2007 to December 2018."

5/ "We examine commonality in active mutual funds in Morningstar style box categories. While Value and Blend commonality has remained roughly constant over the period 2007-2018, Growth funds have exhibited a marked increase in crowded positions."

1/

This whole thing is SO shady for so many reasons.

GameStop shares continue their rapid fall back toward earth, along with AMC Entertainment and Express

2/

A Reddit forum has played a big part in this.

Let's start there.

How r/WallStreetBets gamed the stock of GameStop

3/

🇨🇳
February 2019

"Chinese tech giant Tencent now plans to lead a new Series D funding round for Reddit, the social news forum plagued by controversy over the past decade."

Tencent Buys Stake In Another U.S. Social Network -- Reddit

4/

🇨🇳
Tencent, the world's largest video game vendor, invested in a company, Reddit, which is *banned in China*?

Weird.🤔

Reddit, Banned in China, Is Reportedly Set to Land $150 Million Investment From a Chinese Censorship Powerhouse

5/

These guys that are under investigation.

🇨🇳
U.S. government reportedly looking into 'League of Legends' owner Tencent's gaming stakes