BC TRADING
Saved by @Mollyycolllinss

1/ Having built online trading platforms, I can share insights what is happening with #RobinhoodApp, why their businessmodel is shady and how this $GME 🚀🚀🚀squeeze makes this all a pretty messy affair.

So, a thread 👇🏻

 2/ Firstly, the well hidden truth of online trading platforms is that most of the active traders lose money. And most does not mean 51%, but this is more like 90-95%. Clients burn out quite quickly as well.
3/ Some research:
a) from Brazil: "97% of traders lose money" https://t.co/DVEfRkyvuS
b) from Taiwan: "Less than 1% of daytraders consistently earn positive returns"
https://t.co/920redEG3D
4/ If we take a 100 year stock market chart, one can clearly see that longterm investing makes a lot of sense, whereas active trading most often is not a very rational thing to do. People do it because they think they can be better than the average.
5/ Every online broker should say to their clients "just do long term buy and hold, please-pretty-please do not do any trading stuff." But have you seen messages like that? Me neither.

The reason is that one active trader can bring fees like 500 passive investors.
6/ Robinhood goes extra mile with making leverage and options available to small investors that will probably increase the number of clients that will burn out even more.

The chart below shows how call option activity in US has made all time records due to Robinhood customers
7/ Since novice traders usually play the long side, extraordinarily good times on markets will increase the % of traders with positive returns. But only temporarily.

Last 6 months have been super bullish and therefore r/wallstreetbets has such a big number of active traders.
8/ In addition to all that Robinhood sells it's clients trading flows to Citadel et al. This is the way they can offer free trading.

Citadel can then use flow data to their own benefit and that is very likely totally against the benefit of Robinhood customers.
9/ Comparison to Facebook is a suitable one for Robinhood. "If you are not paying, you are not the customer you are the product". Free trades is a marketing gimmick to lure in investors, usually they would be better off trading elsewhere and paying some commissions.
10/ An important detail: most of the accounts at RH are margin accounts. If Robinhood goes belly up, then the stocks on your account are not yours they are on RH's balance sheet. "Cash account" is the account type where you own shares. If that gets more publicity - bank run.
11/ We do not have enough facts to decide if Citadel also pushed Robinhood to limit $GME trading. On one hand it makes a lot of sense for some parties to pressure RH with that and Wall Street is even more connected than everybody thinks. But RH also really has a liquidity problem
12/ All the $GME saga pushed aside, the stuff above shows that Robinhood really is doing some nasty business. Selling trading info to big players and pushing novice investors to trade, that is just plain ugly. And complete opposite of Robin Hood principles.
13/ This all also is a reason why I have not started another brokerage project. Most of the money is made there on the trading side. A reasonable approach would be to push people towards longterm investing, but it's hard to make money there.
14/ At least their masks are now off. Robinhood probably needs another bailout and the ugly PR-fiasco with $GME is pretty lethal, lots of customers will leave - business will never be the same for them.

"Do no evil" still should be a key principle for every startup.
15/ If just this $GME thing can cause Robinhood such liquidity problems they must have a pretty horrible risk management. Should make customers worried.

Taleb's take on VaR used by RH and regulators is just not smart at all:
https://t.co/IJwwc244bX

More from Trading

Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
FINDING EDGE IN OPTIONS

24/08/15: Nifty gap down 250 points & another 250 after that. Previous few months return gone, but since I'm quick to take my losses, was saved from ruin. Before that my only edge in option selling was adjustments & my forever edge of following PA. (1/n)

I soon realised that theta decay with sound adjustments is not an edge, which i earlier thought was & which gave me good returns over the years. After that i went deeper in understanding volatility behaviour, how/where it manifests & all the discrepancies in option chain. (2/n)

With finding edge in logistics i mean how to keep the greeks in check, SL in place & optimum ways of adjustments with minimum slippages. So the main aim here is to write theta without following vol behaviour & having any actual knowledge of what's going on in the markets. (3/n)

A dedicated trader can learn all this in few years & it is something which is 'obvious' to become successful. But majority can't reach this level, as this also requires consistent hustle in live markets. All the seminar/webinar business teaches you till this level only.(4/n)

If you get passed this level though, the real work starts, when you have to find your real edge. This can't be taught in a webinar. It needs serious introspection of your trading skills, psychology & strategies in use, which ultimately allow you to book excellent profits. (5/n)
TRADING
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
12 TRADING SETUPS used by professional traders:🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll learn in this thread:

1. Capture Overnight Theta Decay
2. Trading Opening Range Breakouts
3. Reversal Trading Setups
4. Selling strangles and straddles in Bank Nifty
6. NR4 + IB
7. NR 21-Vwap Strategy

Let's dive in ↓

1/ STBT option Selling (Positional Setup):

The setup uses price action to sell options for overnight theta decay.

Check Bank Nifty at 3:15 everyday.

Sell directional credit spreads with capped


@jigspatel1988 2/ Selling Strangles in Bank Nifty based on Open Interest Data

Don't trade till 9:45 Am.

Identify the highest OI on puts and calls.

Check combined premium and put a stop on individual


@jigspatel1988 3/ Open Drive (Intraday)

This is an opening range breakout setup with a few conditions.

To be used when the market opens above yesterday's day high

or Below yesterday's day's
OPTIONSLEARNINGS , TRADING , ALL
Advertisement
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
A thread on Pyramiding-


What is pyramiding?

In pyramiding we add on to a position when it is going in our direction. Its basically opposite of averaging down.

MOMENTUM - Success of a pyramiding trade depend on this ingredient, the more the momentum the better pyramiding.


There are many way to enter and exit in a stock-

1. ALL IN - ALL OUT
2. ALL IN - SCALE OUT
3. SCALE IN - SCALE OUT
4. SCALE IN - ALL OUT ( I use this one)

Why traders use Pyramiding ?

More than anything what pyramiding do is keep your losers small and your winners - Big.

Pyramiding in my view keeps your dd smaller as your losers are very small because you enters with only a fraction of what you would have entered Normally.

BUT, not necessarily it should be more profitable than ALL IN- ALL OUT, Where one enters all at once and sell all at once.

HOW TO DO PYRAMIDING-

There are various methods which are used by traders for pyramiding ,while keeping the basic concept of adding onto the strength.

1. PYRAMIDING AND TRAILING BASED UPON STRUCTURE-

In this method we scale in or pyramid the qty when the stock breaks above
TRADING
Gurleen
Gurleen
@GurleenKaur_19
A Thread on~ O V E R T R A D I N G

Sitting and observing the numbers flicker on the screen might be very exciting.


But have you ever felt like you might've done better? Or you're just too tired of waiting that you punch an order right in?

That's a Bad Idea.

So, Let's understand the reasons behind it and try to find a way out.

1. Not having a trading plan makes you clueless.
Your impulses start to take control of you.

2. Having a trading plan; But still taking impulsive/ random trades.
Because of adrenaline rush or gambling instinct.

3. Revenge trading
When you try to force a trade in order to recover from a previous loss.
TRADING
Varsity
Varsity
@ZerodhaVarsity
A 🧵on the basics of block and bulk deals.

Block and bulk deals are large purchases of stocks by investment banks, mutual funds, hedge funds, pension funds, FIIs, and promoters. Tracking block and bulk deals can help give you a sense of what these large players are thinking.

A single transaction where shares more than Rs 10 crores or the number of shares traded are more than 5 lakh is considered a block deal.

Block deals are carried out in separate trading windows. This trading window operates in two shifts of 15 minutes each:

Morning trading window from 8:45 AM to 9:00 AM.
Afternoon trading window from 2:05 PM to 2:20 PM

Block deals happen in different windows to reduce volatility and sudden price movements. Given that they are traded in a separate window, they do not show up on the volume charts.

Brokers facilitating the transaction are required to inform the exchange. You can track bulk and block deals on NSE & BSE:
https://t.co/pwTyzWTnUL

https://t.co/g9BbHiEag3
FINANCE , MARKETINFO , BLOCK DEALS

You May Also Like

Julien \U0001f332
Julien 🌲
@julien
1/ there is this sense when you are young that your accomplishments need to be a list of things that seem impressive to others. A list of several items you did.

This isn't actually right, so here is another suggestion.

2/ I remember being 26 and writing about reading 52 books a year. I wrote blog posts about it. They got copied. It became "a thing." Now it's in Twitter bios. It looks impressive but it's insanely useless and I shouldn't have done it.

3/ what I should have known at that time is that only young idiots like myself, with no accomplishments, find list of tiny achievements impressive. Anyone who has actually done anything of substance doesn't gaf

4/ what is actually difficult, and worthwhile, instead is to do ONE single thing for a very, very long time. It's much harder and much rarer and results in outlier outcomes much more often.

Of course you can find this out too late if you are chasing the dragon of Ted talks etc

5/ if I had only worked on a startup for a year, I would've gotten nowhere, the same way that if you lift for 3 months, it achieves nothing. Everything good in life comes from perseverance, but at the beginning, you're just like "I need to be somebody!!!"
LIFE
Richard James
Richard James
@RJSHutton
I think a plausible explanation is that whatever Corbyn says or does, his critics will denounce - no matter how much hypocrisy it necessitates.


Corbyn opposes the exploitation of foreign sweatshop-workers - Labour MPs complain he's like Nigel

He speaks up in defence of migrants - Labour MPs whinge that he's not listening to the public's very real concerns about immigration:

He's wrong to prioritise Labour Party members over the public:

He's wrong to prioritise the public over Labour Party
POLITICS
Advertisement
KENYAN\U0001f1f0\U0001f1ea HISTORY\U0001f1f0\U0001f1ea
KENYAN🇰🇪 HISTORY🇰🇪...
@historykenya101
Have you ever wondered why the sons and daughters of the colonial chiefs and guards who were collaborators live a good life while those of the MAU MAU fighters live in abject poverty?

***THREAD***


It should be known that the colonialists reached a point that they knew they had 2 leave Kenya since they couldn't handle the Mau Mau war & the world was moving toward accepting independent Africa.However,the colonialists devised an evil scheme that still eats Kenya upto this day

Under this scheme, the colonial state came up with a plan that saw the first crop of chiefly “big men” being empowered financially to take their children to schools and eventually have those children go to England for further studies...

...and eventually providing a ready-made socio-economic & political class whom state power could be entrusted in the post-colonial era.This explains why their children & grandchildren still hold majority of important positions in govt or in the private sector supported by state.

This also explains why children and grandchildren of these homeguards are always given preferential treatment when it comes to government appointments. Wewe na masomo yako you are always asking why you can never get a job in government...yet you're qualified..now you know.
HISTORY
Sam Dylan Finch \U0001f937\U0001f3fb\u200d\u2642\ufe0f
Sam Dylan Finch 🤷🏻‍♂️...
@samdylanfinch
I had the most bizarre experience outside of a bar yesterday, which my partner very aptly described as "toxic mask-unlinity." (A Thread.)

I was standing outside, waiting for a lyft to get home, when two cis men came out of the bar to smoke cigarettes. They're discussing the masks that folks are wearing in California at the moment because of the very dangerous air pollution from the fires happening.

I happen to be wearing one of those masks, because I think lungs are important and I like breathing. I dunno. One of the men notices me standing there, and says, "Like this f*cker right here. What is this shit?"

He goes on a homophobic rant about me, the pansy with a mask, and what a Very Manly Man he is because he's not afraid to smoke a pack of cigarettes while California is on fire. He doesn't need a mask, because something-something-heterosexual-something.

And part of me is just... impressed by the fact that this dude thinks he's Owning The Gay Libs by not wearing a mask to protect his lungs from smoke and particles in the air that are literally DANGEROUS... while chain-smoking. Outside of a bar.
SOCIETY
Justin Jackson
Justin Jackson
@mijustin
A lot of bootstrappers think they have a marketing problem:

"I need to get better at marketing."

But, it's more likely that you have a product problem:

"Do customers really want this? Do they care enough about this to switch to a new solution?"

☝️ this is why most of my book, @marketingdevs, is about:

1. Choosing the right market
2. Building something they want

"If your product is remarkable, getting noticed is a lot easier." – @peldi


I was reminded of this concept again this morning while reading @pjrvs' book (Company of One):

"Sales increase when you honestly evaluate what someone needs and then teach them the value of what you're selling."


To succeed, your product has to offer an outcome that is highly desirable to a large group of customers.

The number of sales your product receives is a multiple of these two variables:

1. How big is the target market?
2. How desirable is the outcome you're offering them?
STARTUPS


Category Partner: Enkryptopedia