BC TRADING
Saved by @Mollyycolllinss

Quick thread on #NIODay from this weekend, the effect it is having on $TSLA, $BYDDF, $QS, $LAZR, $NVDA, CATL, and what is to come.

The NIO ET7 boasts 621mi range (150kWh battery) for $70k-$80k & Level 3 autonomy. This prices right in-between Model 3 SR+ & base Model S.

 2/ $TSLA is down -6% today, largely on this news. Not surprising, but TSLA bulls aren't flinching from this. NIO ET7 isn't really expected to hit the roads until late next year–enough time for Tesla to refresh S/X & boost pack size, TSLA bulls think.

$NIO is up 8.5% today.
3/ BYD (1211 HK) was up 6.7% in China on Monday partially on the news of its surprise unveiling this morning of 3 new "super hybrid" models (PHEV): Qin PLUS DM-i, Song PLUS DM-i, & Tang DM-i.

$BYDDF is up 3.5% today
4/ BYD is also benefiting from #NIODay, as investors are excited about NIO ET7 specs, but it is still at least a year out. More investors are discovering BYD & how far ahead it is TODAY. BYD Han in particular already looks similar to NIO ET7...

$BYDDF $BYDDY
5/ ...and you can buy a Han today for only $32k. Lots of investor attention has been brought to BYD Blade battery, as well.

More on BYD here: https://t.co/rbiX4sZtdN

https://t.co/SYLpij5dTe

$BYDDF $BYDDY
6/ Investors are boiling it all down:

BYD is still the only car manufacturer producing its own batteries.

Blade battery is the cheapest & safest battery in the industry.

BYD is profitable, has the most diversified EV line-up, by far, & stock is cheap.

https://t.co/uxSlmQGBRv
7/ @QuantumScapeCo $QS is down -6.9% today, mostly on news of how NIO ET7 will achieve 621mi range: high-density solar-state battery. This is similar to what $QS is working on, but NIO's timeline for a SSB (Q4 2022) is ahead of QS's, which rules QS out as NIO's SSB supplier.
8/ As for the mystery supplier of $NIO's new SSB, it will likely be CATL; however, the market didn't know how to handle CATL stock, which closed -3.6% in China, despite high trading volume.
https://t.co/hIoslU9iim
9/ CATL currently supplies NIO with all of its batteries.

NIO CEO Li Bin said it will "adopt" this technology, but didn't say from whom.

Also, anyone who thinks NIO is making these batteries itself probably also believes Tesla will produce 10GWh of 4680 cells this year...
10/ NIO also debuted its approach to autonomy (Level 3), which will use 1550nm LiDAR from Innovusion, in which NIO's venture arm invested in 2018.

@luminartech's Iris LiDAR has comparable specs, but similar to how $QS is reacting to #NIODay, $LAZR is down -5.5% today.
11/ $NVDA is up 4.6% today partially on #CES2021 GPU news, but also on news NIO ET7 will use 4 @NVIDIADRIVE Orin chips to power NIO's Adam supercomputer for "NIO Autonomous Driving" (NAD). Similar to BaaS, NIO will offer Autonomy-as-a-Service AaaS (I'm coining that) for $105/mo.
TL;DR
$NIO ET7: Ready for tomorrow, not today. The market is confused, as usual.

More from Trading

Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
A thread on SCALING IN - OUT METHOD -


What is scaling in - out?

1. Scaling in is adding on to the positions when they move in our favor (Pyramiding).

2. Scaling - out is exiting the portion of the position when the trade moves in our favor.

I have explained about pyramiding in previous tweets.

// Why use scaling out instead of exiting all position at once ?

When you are using ALL - out method where you exit positions at once, mostly you use wider Trail SL as you want to capture big moves and exit all when trail sl hits.

The problem with this method is that either you make too big or many times your medium size winners turns out to become Scratch trades.

So, when we use the scaling out method, we are trying to capture most of our medium size trades , so that they do not turn into scratch trades.

// How to use scaling out method -

Say we have to got a signal to enter in a trade, and we have to buy 1200 qty according to our Position sizing.

So, we have to divide this 1200 qty into parts, how much? It depends on you.

We can divide into 3 parts, each part 400 qty.
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LearnLifeWealthTravel | Dream Big, Think Growth !!
LearnLifeWealthTravel ...
@AnyBodyCanFly
Model Portfolio 3

Time Horizon 3 years or earlier ~ Depends on if the stock performs significantly well in faster time. Review of business performance important every quarter.

This portfolio is suitable for aggressive investors who believe in risk taking and look for growth

Name %allocation

~ Laurus Labs 15%
~ Balaji Amines 15%
~ Deepak Nitrite 15%
~ Kopran 10%
~ Pokarna 10%
~ Eveready 10%
~ Dynpro 10%
~ Manorama 5%
~ Adani Enterprises 5%
~ SHIL 5%

~ Laurus Labs
~ Kopran

My top two picks in pharma sector are Laurus Lab and Kopran.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly.

~ Balaji Amines
~ Deepak Nitrite
~ Dynpro

These three are my top picks in Chemicals.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly

~ Pokarna
~ Eveready
~ SHIL

These three are my top picks in Home Consumption.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly.
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Robot James
Robot James
@therobotjames
In my 20 years of trading I have noticed this cycle play out again and again with traders that "make it":

1. Overconfidently reach for returns
2. Get humbled by the market
3. Simplify + concentrate on clear, high probability edges.

1/n

Nearly everyone starts with a lack of respect for how hard it is to consistently make money trading.

That leads them to pass over high-probability sources of returns in favor of more marginal ideas.

Or they overcomplicate the trading of a good edge.

2/n

Here's an example...

It is 2015. You look at a simple strategy.

You hold an equal dollar exposure to:
- Cap Weighted US Stocks (VTI)
- 20+ Yr US Treasury Bonds (TLT)
- Gold (GLD)

And rebalance each month.

(I've extended back a bit with mutual fund prices.)

3/n


It made money consistently with a few blips.

You'd have 4x your money from 1997 to 2015.

It makes sense. It's harnessing two big sources of risk premia (equity + duration).

It diversifies across 3 macro assets that tend to outperform in different econ environments

4/n

But, naturally, you turn your mind to how you could do better...

And here is where it gets dangerous!

There are good ways to try to "do better", and there are bad ways to try to "do better".

5/n
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Investment Books
Investment Books
@InvestmentBook1
Knowledge sharing initiative Book 3: "Zurich Axioms" by Max Gunther

The book crystallizes how to think about taking investment bets (position sizing), and how to reduce risks in investing & speculation. It focuses on teaching a balance between rewards & risks.

(1/n)


Here are the key takeaways from the book:

1. Take sizeable bets in life: Taking small bets will give you a good night's sleep as you have very little to lose, but the important point is "it won't ever make you rich".

(2/n)

2. Taking size-able risk is necessary to get rich but make sure you don't go bankrupt taking that risk.

3. Don't diversify too much as gains & losses will nullify each other.

(3/n)

4. Be less greedy to make money - Book some profits when you see a sudden huge increase in wealth - fear of regret will stop you from booking profits but don't be greedy as consistent streaks of lucks are rare in life.

(4/n)

5. Cut losses when you go wrong don't start praying that your losses will recover rather act quickly take some loss and sell out.

(5/n)
TRADING
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
How to manage risk in Option Selling?

10 frameworks to improve your risk management in 1 month:

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

In this thread you'll how to manage risk with:

1. Directional markets
2. Range-bound markets
3. Mtm stop loss
4. Booking profits
5. Overnight hedging
6. Event Risk
7. Position Sizing
8. No leverage
9. Reducing positions when wrong
10. Calculating risk upfront

Let's go ↓

Directional markets:

There is no point in the market being directional and you adjusting a non-directional trade.

As a general rule, you should only adjust once or maximum twice and then give up on firefighting.

Then you should side with a directional move.

Mistake of a non-directional trader:

Non-directional traders face heavy losses in directional markets.

If you are able to limit your losses in such scenarios, your risk management will improve.

The "I can adjust any move" mindset has to vanish for this to improve.

Big Range:

Moves in a big range are usually violent, and this is where non-directional traders lose money despite the fact that they are correct in assuming that the market is range bound.

Level-based stops work best in such an environment with reduced quantities.
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5. Copy/paste again on Medium.
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Once finished, I export the image and send to my phone on Slack.


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Before I publish my Atomic Essay on Twitter, I use the Edit/Photo Markup function on the iPhone to highlight standout sentences.

These are usually power-phrases: things the reader skims and thinks, "That's interesting," prompting them to read more.


Step 3: For the Ship 30 for 30 challenge, I only turn Atomic Essays into threads if...

1. The piece is SUPER actionable and lends itself well to the thread format (lots of bullets, quick points, lists, etc.)

or...

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Step 4: Find relevant Question on Quora. Copy/paste Atomic Essay + image.

Search on Quora around the topic you wrote about. Find a related Question. Copy/paste the whole Atomic Essay as your "answer" (& fix formatting). Then include image so it appears in the thumbnail.
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Aron Hyman
@aron_hyman
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