1/  We've reached a critical inflection point in bitcoin's adoption curve.

A moment wholly unique in the history of markets.

Are you ready for what comes next? 👇

#Bitcoin

2/ A perfect storm of demand dynamics is driving #Bitcoin price.

I think something shifted in the market -- and active investors & traders would do well to adjust their mindset.

3/ After years asleep at the wheel, institutional leaders are now jarred awake, en masse.

If they want this asset: they'll have to hustle, compete with the masses and FOMO in above ATH's.

Against a backdrop of scarcity unlike anything they've ever seen.

4/ They will buy *all* dips.

Their bots will not stop buying.

There isn't enough supply for all of them, and they know it.

5/ And the whales who accumulated much lower?

How much appetite will strong hands have to market sell, just to run stops?

In the opening hours of the greatest bull market of their lives.

In a liquidity crisis.

1/

Mini Thread:

Every time I think there is no more postmodernism in Christianity, I find more postmodernism in Christianity.

This time @KaitlynSchiess

2/
We start out with acknowledging a shift in how "truth" is thought about.

Which, I mean, yeah just read some Stanley Grenz and you can see it coming. It is called *taps mic*
🥐🦭🥐🦭🥐🦭🥐🦭

POSTMODERNISM

🥐🦭🥐🦭🥐🦭🥐🦭

3/
Pic 1: We are sinful and as such we are epistemicly flawed

Pic 2: Because we are flawed and imperfect we must adopt the philosophy of Richard Rorty: "The truth is out there but we can't get it."

Although she hedges slightly with "every time."

4/
Next "There is no universal basis for evaluating our environment."

This is her argument for that:

1. our perspectives are limited,
2. our communities suffer from generational and structural biases,
Therefore:
3. there is no universal basis for evaluating our
environments.

5/
This whole argument (much like the whole essay) is totally confused.

For one, the conclusion does not follow from the premises. She goes from different perspectives and people have bias directly to there is no foundation for the discovery of truth.

now....

1/Part 2 on #diabetes #prevention based on the @TheLancet diabetes commission report.

Individual level prevention of type 2 diabetes (T2D) gets a lot of attention. Part 2 reflect this - but don’t worry, there will be more on the other levels in part 3..

Let’s get going..

2/Several large randomized controlled trials (RCT) have shown that lifestyle interventions (diet, exercise, metformin) can prevent/delay onset of T2D as well as prevent later complications like cardiovascular disease and eye disease.

3/This has led to the implementation of diabetes prevention programmes for people at high risk of T2D in some high-income countries (HIC) like Germany, Finland, USA, UK, Poland and Singapore.

4/Evaluation of such real-world interventions is important as they may not provide similar benefits as in the RCTs that included volunteers that were very closely supervised. Evaluation of the US DPP has observed favorable weight loss at 1 year. Similar efforts are underway in UK

5/Although the individual level interventions overall work when there is adherence, it is often only a small proportion of the population that can adhere over time. Hence...

On December 29 we were dillucidating here if the drops meant "surprise, relatively neutral expression" or "a negative expression, horror" (Remember: https://t.co/J2gjQjAENw ). Well, December 22 drops seem to clarify it. First, the December 29 drop that generated the confusion 1/*

didn't appear in today drops, while several old ones have been posted again. I would say that all December 22 drops regarding facial expression mean and clarify "surprise". 2/*

More 3/*

And more. So, they didn't point to a negative event, just to one that generates surprise. 4/*

All these drops were completed with a Christmas gift one, confirming the surprise neutral meaning and adding a related positive one connected to the surprise. 5/*

THREAD: Why do Kenyans view anti-BBI sentiment as an endorsement of Ruto? Githeri media journalists are projecting our refusal to adopt a misguided constitutional review, as part of a mock cock-fight between political rivals.

Far from it. Ruto is a thief and we know it.

We are currently paying high electricity prices because of Ruto. During his first term, he planted Kalenjin thieves in the energy sector, beginning with Chirchir and then Keter, who have cause nothing but misery and untold suffering on young Kenyans.

The “last mile” KPLC project consumed resources to electrify peasant households, yet the same energy could have been diverted to industries. Industries create jobs and wealth. Peasants and slum dwellers don’t.

The social carnage inflicted by KPLC’s arbitrary power hikes is astronomic. Job losses for young Kenyans, turning once enterprising folks into beggars. Salons, Kinyozi’s, DVD joints, Cyber Cafe’s, photocopy, car-wash, etc. over 5 million informal jobs lost because of Ruto.

Don’t forget that Ruto also panders to religious hypocrites. He endorsed Uhuru’s misguided war against “illicit” alcohol, a lie crafted by Githeri media. Essentially they only wanted to forcefully acquire Keroche & Humphrey Kariuki’s business empires.

So, deal or no-deal? I'm afraid it looks gloomy. Too many outstanding issues, a political context that is not conducive to compromise, and a tunnel leaking like mad. Quite possibly forming between them a vicious cycle. So, is this it? I suspect not... 1/n

Recall, this UK-EU negotiation is attempting to put in place an agreement unusually extensive (haulage, aviation, security, as well as trade) in a record timescale (9 months start to implementation) at a time of pandemic. That was always optimistic. 2/

A process driven EU against a naive yet overconfident UK in a short timeframe was also never going to be easy. In particular the UK's sole evident negotiating strategy, to say we'll walk away, is still in overdrive, making compromise harder. 3/

On the up side the UK has been inching slowly away from the purist notions of sovereignty which would prevent any deal towards a more realistic haggle over details, but possibly too late to resolve them, barring unexpected deep late concessions from either side. 4/

Geography isn't changing, and trading more with neighbours isn't either. Virtually all countries in the world have deals with their neighbours. It is unrealistic for the UK to be the sole developed country exception. Even if it takes a while. 5/

Lunchtime #humour - Ordering a Pizza in 2021!
CALLER: Is this Pizza Delight?

GOOGLE: No sir, it's Google Pizza.

CALLER: I must have dialed the wrong number. Sorry.

GOOGLE: No sir, Google bought Pizza Delight last month.

CALLER: OK, I would like to order a pizza.

Contd... 1/9

GOOGLE: Do you want your usual, sir?

CALLER: My usual? You know me?

GOOGLE: According to our caller ID data sheet, the last 12 times you called you ordered an extra-large pizza with 3 slices of cheese, sausage, pepperoni, mushrooms, and meatballs on a thick crust.

Contd... 2/9

CALLER: OK! That’s what I want.

GOOGLE: May I suggest that this time you order a pizza with ricotta, arugula, sun-dried tomatoes, and olives on a whole wheat gluten-free thin crust?

CALLER: What? I detest vegetables!

GOOGLE: Your cholesterol is not good, sir.

Contd... 3/9

CALLER: How the hell do you know?

GOOGLE: Well, we cross-referenced your home phone number with your medical records. We have the result of your blood tests for the last 7 years.

Contd... 4/9

CALLER: Okay, but I do not want your rotten vegetable pizza! I already take medication for my cholesterol.

GOOGLE: Excuse me sir, but you have not taken your medication regularly.

Contd... 5/9

THE STRUCTURE, IMPORTANCE AND ADVANTAGES OF VISHNU PURAN.

Vishnu puran has twenty three thousand shlokas. It has the power to destroy all your sins. In its first part it contains the dialogue between Parashar rishi and Maitrey rishi.

The main topics discussed here are Aadikaraan sarg, origin of devtas, Samudra manthan, the vansh of Daksh, stories of Dhruv and Pruthu, Prachetas analysis, Prahlads story, the distribution of different powers to the various sections of society.

The second part consists of description of Priyavrat vansh, description of Dweeps, Varsh, Swarg, Narak, description of various planet movements, Bharat charitra, Muktimarg and dialogue between Nidhag and Ribhu.
Next is the description of Manvantars, avtaar of Vedvyas,

and ways to get freedom from Narak. Then we find a dialogue between Sagar & Aurva rishi, structure of Dharma, Shradh Kalp,Varnashram dharma, good behavior and story of Maya & Moha.

In the 4th part we find the description of Chandra vansh along with the description of its rulers.

Next are the questions regarding Krishnavtar, Gokul, the slaying of Putna, atrocities of demon Aghasur, Killing of Kansa, leela in Mathura, demons slayed by Krishna in order to ease the load of Prithvi, Krisha's marriages and sermon by Ashtavakra.

.1

WoW

Did YOU know this

So some dude who clearly knows nothing about the military in the comment section claims i am dancing to the drum of my paymaster. The Nigerian army uses T-34 tanks made during World war two he claims. I wont bother replying comments like of this natur, but after seeing nearly

ten lines of replies of which nobody challenges or corrects such a ridiculous claim its only fair i point out his falacy. As of December 23 2020 these are the main battle tanks fielded by the Nigerian army.

VT-4 Main Battle Tank (Frontline tank of the Nigerian army). Arguably the most sophisticated Main Battle Tank in Africa today.

T-72 M Main Battle Tank.

Vickers Mk.3 Eagle Main Battle Tank

Radio silence for 1 hour, binge-watching cartoons for over an hour and other #Christmas memories from my childhood – a thread to the past in Iceland and Christmas there in the countriside #isolation in the 1970’s where Radio and TV played a key role.

I grew up on a farm just outside the village of Vopnafjörður northeast-Iceland. The village with ca 600 people is surrounded by a few farms like ours but the next living soul is more than 40 km away! It is one of the most isolated places in Iceland (8 hours from Reykjavik).

Back in the 1970´s the roads out of Vopnafjörður were frequently closed for weeks, even months. So apart from flying in or out (not cheap!) via the airport, our only connection to the outside world was the radio and the TV. But until the mid 1980´s Iceland had one radio station!

This sole station is still known as RUV @RUVohf an abbreviation which stands for the State Radio! And there was only one TV station – you guessed it, the State TV, established 1966 (available in colour from 1977).

The radio and TV were operated by the State to provide news and useful information and to promote culture (particularly Icelandic) to the public. The idea of “fun” was pretty low on the priority list. Being State owned meant also the State Employee Rep. Union had a strong say.

here’s a slightly wonky thread that people who use post-nominal letters will not like: let’s talk about real-time learning in quant-driven strategies and how to do it in practice, because a lot us do this as a result of real-world constraints. its basically TA with a dress-code.

so lets say you found a nee factor, but data is limited becuse it is new-ish? how the hell do you implement it without waiting eons in market-time? first: in small size because distributions are unknown. second: you update the calibration parameters dynamically as you go.

sometimes i am asked why i favor matching assets with volatility estimators instead of betas:
1) volatilities are not stationary but they undergo relatively synchronized regime changes
2) exponentially weighted vols are more responsive to changes in current conditions

3) betas are not stable in shorter terms and identifying changes takes longer and in the short term you get measurement errors if your sample is driving your benchmark
4) honestly the numerical methods are just simpler and i’m a dumdum so it makes it easier for me

5) for long-only baskets of different assets it avoids painful assumptions which may be wrong about correlation, which is good when you know your sample is low quality
6) for long-short baskets of like assets it avoids painful assumptions about intercepts (and therefore betas)

1.
WoLF submitted an excellent brief defending women’s rights under Title IX👇👇:

"Plaintiffs ask the Court to proclaim that women & girls are no longer a discrete category worthy of civil rights protection, but men and boys who claim to have a female ‘gender identity’ they are”

2.

If the Court rules in their favor, it will mark a truly fundamental shift in American law and policy that strips women of their Constitutional right to privacy, threatens their physical safety, undercuts the means by which women can achieve educational equality, and

3.

[...] ultimately works to erase women and girls under the law. It would not only revoke the very rights and protections that specifically secure women’s access to school athletics, but would do so in order to extend those rights and protections to men claiming to be women."

4.

"Women and girls are thus protected under the law from subjective beliefs about whether and how women should work, vote, have children or not have children, and how they ought to look and behave.

5. U.S. civil rights law recognizes the need to protect people from the subjective beliefs of others, including subjective beliefs founded on sex- stereotypes. ...In stark contrast, being ‘transgender’ depends on the continued existence of sex-stereotypes.”

Thread on Al Qaeda & Taliban:

Ever since Joe Biden has won the elections, we’ve seen some fascinating proposals about the future strategy of Afghanistan. Almost all the analysts and think tanks were dissatisfied with Talibans commitment to break ties with Al Qaeda,...

1/9

... which is a serious matter of concern for the United States.
Although the Taliban have agreed to break ties with Al Qaeda but we’ve seen some recent reports that the two groups are sill collaborating.

2/9

The relationship between Al Qaeda & Taliban is decades old, they’ve helped & stood for each other in most difficult times. When the Taliban agreed to begin negotiations with the U.S, they knew that they would have to break ties with Al Qaeda or other Islamist militants.

3/9

Taliban knew that breaking ties with Al Qaeda will be America’s primary demand, they entered the negotiations after they had a consensus on breaking ties with Al Qaeda.

So far we’ve seen evidence that Al Qaeda has endorsed US-Taliban peace agreement, this suggests that...

4/9

... Taliban had Al Qaeda’s consent for negotiations with the US. Both parties agreed that breaking ties was the only viable option in order to achieve their primary goal of expelling ‘all foreign forces’ from Afghanistan.

5/9

Here's this year's thread of all the Christmas trees at my brother's house this year:

Here are the living room trees

Here's the Princess Elsa tree, the blue balls tree, the covid candy tree and our first family tree that started my brother's spiral into Christmas fiend

More trees

Hey guess what more trees inc. The Big Gay Tree

The Ancient Egyptians Were Writing Around 3100BC....

Thread!!!

Ancient Egyptian writing formed somewhere before the Early Dynastic Period. The idea of the written word was first created in Mesopotamia and spread through trade into Egypt, according to some scholars.

Although there was probably cross-cultural contact between the two regions, Egyptian hieroglyphics are entirely of Egyptian origin; there is no evidence of early writings documenting non-Egyptian ideas,

locations, or artifacts, and early Egyptian pictographs have no connection with early Mesopotamian signs.

The Ancient Sumerian civilisation in the Middle East developed writing around 3400 BC, and a few hundred years later the Egyptians were doing the same.

The Egyptians may have developed their system of symbols independently of Sumeria, but it is ultimately impossible to say.