IMO we need Bitcoin to make a real run before it brings back the dumb money.
Thread:
"When is Alt Season?" is a question we all ask a lot so let's take a look at a possible scenario that could answer that question.
IMO we need Bitcoin to make a real run before it brings back the dumb money.
That FOMO didn't begin until roughly November of 2017, 11 months AFTER Bitcoin entered price discovery.
And the mania didn't begin until early December 2017 almost 1 year after Bitcoin entered price discovery.
Google Confirmation Bias if you dont know it.
THAT is when we see an alt season. It will be once Bitcoin is far enough along into this new stage of price discovery
That is the point where you will see the mania begin again and that is when alts will move for real. I don't mean 2x or 5x. I mean 10x in one day, 100x in 1 month. Those are the moves that the mania produces.
More from Trading
Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
12 TRADING SETUPS used by professional traders:🧵
Collaborated with @niki_poojary
Here's what you'll learn in this thread:
1. Capture Overnight Theta Decay
2. Trading Opening Range Breakouts
3. Reversal Trading Setups
4. Selling strangles and straddles in Bank Nifty
6. NR4 + IB
7. NR 21-Vwap Strategy
Let's dive in ↓
1/ STBT option Selling (Positional Setup):
The setup uses price action to sell options for overnight theta decay.
Check Bank Nifty at 3:15 everyday.
Sell directional credit spreads with capped
@jigspatel1988 2/ Selling Strangles in Bank Nifty based on Open Interest Data
Don't trade till 9:45 Am.
Identify the highest OI on puts and calls.
Check combined premium and put a stop on individual
@jigspatel1988 3/ Open Drive (Intraday)
This is an opening range breakout setup with a few conditions.
To be used when the market opens above yesterday's day high
or Below yesterday's day's
Collaborated with @niki_poojary
Here's what you'll learn in this thread:
1. Capture Overnight Theta Decay
2. Trading Opening Range Breakouts
3. Reversal Trading Setups
4. Selling strangles and straddles in Bank Nifty
6. NR4 + IB
7. NR 21-Vwap Strategy
Let's dive in ↓
1/ STBT option Selling (Positional Setup):
The setup uses price action to sell options for overnight theta decay.
Check Bank Nifty at 3:15 everyday.
Sell directional credit spreads with capped
A thread about STBT options selling,
— Jig's Patel (@jigspatel1988) July 17, 2021
The purpose is simple to capture overnight theta decay,
Generally, ppl sell ATM straddle with hedge or sell naked options,
But I am using Today\u2019s price action for selling options in STBT,
(1/n)
@jigspatel1988 2/ Selling Strangles in Bank Nifty based on Open Interest Data
Don't trade till 9:45 Am.
Identify the highest OI on puts and calls.
Check combined premium and put a stop on individual
Thread on
— Jig's Patel (@jigspatel1988) July 4, 2021
"Intraday Banknifty Strangle based on OI data"
(System already shared, today just share few examples)
(1/n)
@jigspatel1988 3/ Open Drive (Intraday)
This is an opening range breakout setup with a few conditions.
To be used when the market opens above yesterday's day high
or Below yesterday's day's
#OpenDrive#intradaySetup
— Pathik (@Pathik_Trader) April 16, 2019
Sharing one high probability trending setup for intraday.
Few conditions needs to be met
1. Opening should be above/below previous day high/low for buy/sell setup.
2. Open=low (for buy)
Open=high (for sell)
(1/n)
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This is NONSENSE. The people who take photos with their books on instagram are known to be voracious readers who graciously take time to review books and recommend them to their followers. Part of their medium is to take elaborate, beautiful photos of books. Die mad, Guardian.
THEY DO READ THEM, YOU JUDGY, RACOON-PICKED TRASH BIN
If you come for Bookstagram, i will fight you.
In appreciation, here are some of my favourite bookstagrams of my books: (photos by lit_nerd37, mybookacademy, bookswrotemystory, and scorpio_books)
Beautifully read: why bookselfies are all over Instagram https://t.co/pBQA3JY0xm
— Guardian Books (@GuardianBooks) October 30, 2018
THEY DO READ THEM, YOU JUDGY, RACOON-PICKED TRASH BIN
If you come for Bookstagram, i will fight you.
In appreciation, here are some of my favourite bookstagrams of my books: (photos by lit_nerd37, mybookacademy, bookswrotemystory, and scorpio_books)