BC TRADING

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Trader knight
@Traderknight007 5 years, 8 months ago 1484 views

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A thread on Risk and Returns

Trader X -

Net-worth - 5 Cr
Trading capital - 25 lakh

Trader Y -

Net-worth - 30 lakh
Trading capital - 25 lakh

Trader X take risk of 2% per trade and he makes about 30-40 % Return on trading capital per month,

Whereas Trader Y only risk 0.25% per trade and he makes about 3-4 % on Trading capital per month.

Trader Y saw how much trader X is making with the same amount of capital that he has.

He is frustrated with his mediocre results as compared to Trader X, though he don’t know the fact that Trader X Is only trading with 5 % of his total net worth.

Trader X has much more risk taking ability in Rupee terms as compared to the Trader Y because he has higher net-worth.

Trader X will not have much impact when he goes into deep Drawdowns , 40-50% where as if the Trader Y goes below 15% DD , it will have deep psychological impact on him.

Even if the Trader X makes 100% return on his trading capital , turns 25 lakh into 50 lakhs ,

it will be only 5% gain on his total net-worth.

Where as Trader Y who is using almost 80% of his total capital on his net-worth as Trading capital, so even if he makes 5% on his trading capital , it will have significant impact on his Net-worth.

Learning-

1. Don’t compare your trading results with anyone, because you don’t know there total capital, there source of income , Risk taking levels, Mindset

2. Anything is possible in markets, True, but it’s also a fact that The more % you make the more risk you have to take,

Sometimes you just don’t see that risk, but its there.

If someone making 10-20% in a day, then you accept it or not they are also taking the similar risk, Leverage is a good tool,but like Driving a car at 200 might not take you to the hospital this time, but eventually it will.

3. Market is a Money making machine, not in a single day, not In a single trade but only over a long period of time.

As @anandableanand say " There are old traders and there are bold traders, but there are no old and bold traders".

Cheers,

Trader knight

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Trader knight
@Traderknight007

A thread on Trend-lines

// What are trend-lines?

Trend-lines are support and resistance lines which are formed by connecting Important swing points.

The beauty of using them is that We can use them when stock is not Respecting the Horizontal S&R zones, they can indicate us when the trend may change.

// Things To consider while Making trendlines?

• A trendline formed by using 3 Major-Swing points is a potential trendline, But we will also use 2 points to form a trendline, will discuss how, as you read further.

• Trendline can be formed by two ways-

1. Wicks-

In this method we only connect the wicks to make a trendline, this is a precise way of making a trendline.

// Why only connect the wicks?

There are two type of levels - Precise and Less precise (Which we call zones).

So what we are doing is by only connecting the wicks we are making a precise level where we can take trades, either Mean reversion or Breakout trades.

Examples-

Trader knight
@Traderknight007

Trailing Stop loss.

The most underrated yet most important tool in trading.

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Trader knight
@Traderknight007

Are we Inherently Risk takers or Risk averse?

A thread-

You might have heard this word “Mental capital”

What does it mean actually ?

In the context of markets, It's the Risk that our mind is able to digest seeing the P&L.

If we breach this ceiling of Risk ,Our mind goes berserk, and we are not able to take rational decisions.

So can we increase this Mental capital level?

Let's dive into my story of how My mental capital levels changed over time, that will answer the question that are we inherently Risk takers or Risk averse.

When I started trading a few years back, with about 3 lakh capital, I was not a greedy person, and I had limited expectations from the markets.

Like every other beginner, First 1.5 years were great, made a lot of money,

which I wasn't even expecting to make, turned that 3 lakh to more than 12+ lakhs in that period.

This was only possible by taking huge leverage, which i didn’t know at that time was a big mistake i was doing.

Trader knight
@Traderknight007

"90% of the traders lose money, But do they lose it all the time?"

Most of them do make money, its just that they give it all back.

Lets analyze why and how a trader makes and loses money
[Thread]:

Below is the equity curve which is most traders dream.

This is equity curve of an average trader:

Most traders do make money, but they give it back to the markets .

Because of trading errors.

What are trading errors?

Trading errors are those errors which happen because of wrong Position sizing, Leverage , etc.

I am not making this up, check your P&L, 90 % of your losses would have come from less then 10% trades.

Most of these happen because of No knowledge, No plan, bad position sizing .

Now, we know what's the problem, lets talk about the solution.

1. Learn the Basics first-

If you don’t get the basics clear then how can you make money?

Learn How to use Support and resistances
Learn How to use trend lines
Learn about trend, it will solve 90% of your problem

Trader knight
@Traderknight007

Breakout Trading 101, All you really need to know. 👇
https://t.co/DhDE4H1Oiz

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Meet Shah
@ms89_meet

Thread on "The Final Checklist"
by Peter Lynch.

~ Ideas can come from anywhere - Peter Lynch.

~ If you can't find any companies that you think are attractive, put your money in the bank until you discover some - Peter Lynch.

~ All you need for a lifetime of successful investing is a few big winners, and the pluses from those will overwhelm the minuses from the stocks that don’t work out - Peter Lynch.

~ Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies - Peter Lynch.

Trader knight
@Traderknight007

FEAR - It’s the re-experience of failure in advance.

Many traders face the issue of Not entering in trades because of fear.

A thread on How to pull the trigger when the opportunity knocks.

Lets First start from knowing the cause of this "FEAR" of pulling the trigger.

A traders goes through many phases before becoming Profitable.

The first phase is the " APUN HI BHAGWAN HAI" phase-

When we first begin Trading, we don’t know any concepts, we don’t know about the risks , the dangers.

So we start trading, and like most guys by beginners luck we start making good, we start to calculate how much money we will make in next 1yr, 5 yrs, Greed start to Hop in.

We get introduced to Various instruments, F&O, LEVERAGE.

We take big positions as we don’t have any FEAR cause we haven't seen those bad phases yet.

Now we get the Big blow, account down -50%, or in many cases wiped out.

The first phase ends here.

Now we know How the market can kick our ass, we now know the risk that comes with those big positions.

"THE LEARNING PHASE"-

Now we know that we were just lucky initially and now we have to learn why we get those losses, so we start learning concepts , fundamental, Technicals.

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Anshika Sharma⚡
@Anshi_________

Full Technical Analysis in Single Thread🧵

This whole course is worth 40-50K-

1- Candle sticks and how to use

2- Advanced price action

3- The dow theory

4- Moving

Richard Chu
@richard_chu97

1/ I used to think that the biggest gains had to come from stocks that no one knew about

One of the harder lessons for me to internalize has been that oftentimes, unknown stocks stay unknown for a reason and you can still earn attractive returns from stocks everyone's bullish on

2/ While I’m not contrarian just for the sake of being contrarian, I do think it’s important to question everything.

When I started out, I would buy "quality" stocks like FB or TSLA without doing much research.

But an opinion being consensus doesn’t make it the truth.

3/ So owning the most popular stocks made me nervous. If a winner is so obvious then either it's priced in or maybe I'm missing something?

I preferred owning stocks that others weren’t aware of or were bearish on for the wrong reasons (more room for upside surprises).

4/ But there are degrees

Despite being widely popular, stocks like SHOP have been some of the best performers because they exceeded even the most bullish projections

And some stocks like TSLA are partly popular because they are great consumer products which is an important sign

5/ On the other hand, while the biggest winners can be found in micro-caps, many of which started out very undervalued with no analyst coverage, on average, they tend to underperform larger caps

Picking out the big winners earlier on is very difficult and there is no set formula

Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary

An option buyer made Rs. 58 lacs from Rs. 2 lac capital in a span of just one month (March 2020 COVID crash).

He is none other than Mr. Subasish Pani.

THREAD: 11 things you must know to become an option buyer.

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

•Don't get carried away with the kind of return that Mr. Pani made in such a short period of time.

•This requires a high level of skill, and discipline in terms of which strike to choose, which time to trade, and which days to trade.

•It also comes with higher drawdown.

1/ Screen Time:

• Indian markets function from 9:15-15:30.

• Dividing this time zone into 3 sub parts:
- 9:15 to 10:30: trending market
- 10:30 to 13:30: for retracement
- 13:30 to 3:30: trending

2/ Focus on momentum:

• Option buyers make money when the momentum is quick.

• However if the market remain sideways for few days then the option starts to lose its value.

• This is because theta decay works against option buyers.

3/ Option buyers need momentum to make money:

• Hence focus on the 1st & 2nd time zone where the markets are trending.

• Avoid taking trades between 10:30am till 13:30.

• Special focus on Wednesday & Thursday as premiums are low and if you can catch momentum then good R/R.

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