BC TRADING
Saved by @Shubham51ngh

"90% of the traders lose money, But do they lose it all the time?"

Most of them do make money, its just that they give it all back.

Lets analyze why and how a trader makes and loses money
[Thread]:

 Below is the equity curve which is most traders dream.
This is equity curve of an average trader:

Most traders do make money, but they give it back to the markets .

Because of trading errors.

What are trading errors?
Trading errors are those errors which happen because of wrong Position sizing, Leverage , etc.

I am not making this up, check your P&L, 90 % of your losses would have come from less then 10% trades.

Most of these happen because of No knowledge, No plan, bad position sizing .
Now, we know what's the problem, lets talk about the solution.

1. Learn the Basics first-

If you don’t get the basics clear then how can you make money?

Learn How to use Support and resistances
Learn How to use trend lines
Learn about trend, it will solve 90% of your problem
2. Plan-

The number 1 problem is that you don’t have a plan,
And by plan I mean set of written rules.

If you don’t have a plan then you really aren't serious enough to consider making any money.

So, Make a plan.

How does a plan looks like?
3. Position sizing-

Money management is that part of your system that answers "How much?" throughout the course of the trade.

How much essentially means how big a position you should have at any given time throughout the course of a trade.
Attaching a thread on how position sizing affect the account-
https://t.co/H9UBHy0CSt

you can see that risking the appropriate amount of money is necessary for your equity curve growth.

There are two type of position sizing strategies,

1. Martingale
2. Anti-martingale
1. Martingale strategies increase the risk per trade when equity decrease.
2. Anti martingale strategies increase risk per trade when equity increases.

There are further many anti martingale strategies
I will be explaining this further in upcoming days as this thread will get super long if I do it now.

Tip-

When you start to trade ,trade small for the first 20-30 trade , at-least 1/3rd of the risk what you think you will trade.
This will give you confidence and you can follow the plan effectively when you do not have fear of losing.

4. Be ready for Black swan events.

What are black swan events?

Big gap-downs, Flash crash, Big news, Market or stock hitting Upper or lower circuit.
Think about can your account be wiped in these conditions?

If yes, then correct the parameter due to which you can have big draw-down.

4. Next is psychology, Read the book trading in the zone, that will cover all your psychology related problems.
Attaching some threads which can help you.

Thread on law of large numbers-
https://t.co/Hg0BnWGYrV

Tweets on psychology-

https://t.co/1CJT0sZcUs

https://t.co/8rIYnkLKTa

These are some of the things that can help you become a better trade.

Thank you for reading till here.
Tagging some accounts from where you can learn almost everything -
@PharmaBull20_22 - Best short term trader
@sanstocktrader - Most humble person and finest price action trader
@kirubaakaran - one of the Best system trader
@sakuag333 - System trader and rising star
@AnandableAnand - Experienced System and discretionary trader
@sohamtweet - Bade bhai and Finest algo trader
@jitendrajain - All rounder, system trader.
@quatltd - Best algo trader in stocks.
@ST_PYI - Price action master and super humble person.

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A thread on Risk and Returns


Trader X -

Net-worth - 5 Cr
Trading capital - 25 lakh

Trader Y -

Net-worth - 30 lakh
Trading capital - 25 lakh

Trader X take risk of 2% per trade and he makes about 30-40 % Return on trading capital per month,

Whereas Trader Y only risk 0.25% per trade and he makes about 3-4 % on Trading capital per month.

Trader Y saw how much trader X is making with the same amount of capital that he has.

He is frustrated with his mediocre results as compared to Trader X, though he don’t know the fact that Trader X Is only trading with 5 % of his total net worth.

Trader X has much more risk taking ability in Rupee terms as compared to the Trader Y because he has higher net-worth.

Trader X will not have much impact when he goes into deep Drawdowns , 40-50% where as if the Trader Y goes below 15% DD , it will have deep psychological impact on him.

Even if the Trader X makes 100% return on his trading capital , turns 25 lakh into 50 lakhs ,
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Pyramiding 2.0

A thread-


What is pyramiding?

It is simply adding to your winners.

Why use pyramiding?

1. It makes your winners bigger than your losers.

• Because you are adding positions when your trades are going your way, you are increasing your gains but your losers will be small comparatively.

2. You lose less during Draw-down time ( it saves you from losing big during whipsaws )

• Many times when the market is in sideways mode, Entering a trade with full risk might not be the best idea.

• So, you test the waters with a small position first, it could be ⅓ or ¼ of your total risk.

• So if the Breakout fails or whipsaws come, then you will only lose a small part of your overall risk.

• Then when position starts to go in your favor you can add to it.

3. It helps you to concentrate on a few trades,

They say that don’t put all your eggs in one basket, but don’t put them in too many either.

• See, Everyone can see charts and find breakouts, pullbacks etc.
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Trader knight
@Traderknight007
A thread on SCALING IN - OUT METHOD -


What is scaling in - out?

1. Scaling in is adding on to the positions when they move in our favor (Pyramiding).

2. Scaling - out is exiting the portion of the position when the trade moves in our favor.

I have explained about pyramiding in previous tweets.

// Why use scaling out instead of exiting all position at once ?

When you are using ALL - out method where you exit positions at once, mostly you use wider Trail SL as you want to capture big moves and exit all when trail sl hits.

The problem with this method is that either you make too big or many times your medium size winners turns out to become Scratch trades.

So, when we use the scaling out method, we are trying to capture most of our medium size trades , so that they do not turn into scratch trades.

// How to use scaling out method -

Say we have to got a signal to enter in a trade, and we have to buy 1200 qty according to our Position sizing.

So, we have to divide this 1200 qty into parts, how much? It depends on you.

We can divide into 3 parts, each part 400 qty.
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How to use Moving averages like a Pro.👇

https://t.co/7VbuGovmee
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@Traderknight007
THE TRADER'S EDGE: THINKING IN PROBABILITIES

Casinos make consistent profits day after day and year after year, doing something random

At the same time, most traders believe that the outcome of the market's behavior is not random,yet can't produce consistent profits

Thread 🧵


What casino owners ,professional traders know is that probable outcomes can also produce consistent results if you " Have an edge" and trade on a large enough sample size.

The best traders treat trading like a numbers game.

1. To illustrate, let's look at the game of blackjack-


In blackjack, the casinos have approximately a 4.5-percent edge over the player.

This means that casinos will make profit over a large enough sample size, even after several winning streaks and big profits of many players.

At the end of the day, week, month, or year, the casino always ends up with approximately 4.5 percent of the total amount wagered.

That 4.5 percent might not sound like a lot, but let's put it in perspective.

Suppose a total of $100 million dollars is wagered collectively at all of a casino's blackjack tables over the course of a year. The casino will net $4.5 million.

What casino owners and pro traders understand about the nature of probabilities is that each individual hand played
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@Traderknight007
A thread on SCALING IN - OUT METHOD -


What is scaling in - out?

1. Scaling in is adding on to the positions when they move in our favor (Pyramiding).

2. Scaling - out is exiting the portion of the position when the trade moves in our favor.

I have explained about pyramiding in previous tweets.

// Why use scaling out instead of exiting all position at once ?

When you are using ALL - out method where you exit positions at once, mostly you use wider Trail SL as you want to capture big moves and exit all when trail sl hits.

The problem with this method is that either you make too big or many times your medium size winners turns out to become Scratch trades.

So, when we use the scaling out method, we are trying to capture most of our medium size trades , so that they do not turn into scratch trades.

// How to use scaling out method -

Say we have to got a signal to enter in a trade, and we have to buy 1200 qty according to our Position sizing.

So, we have to divide this 1200 qty into parts, how much? It depends on you.

We can divide into 3 parts, each part 400 qty.
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JayneshKasliwal
JayneshKasliwal
@JayneshKasliwal
𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆-𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗻𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆

Complete Backtest and Indicator link

🧵 A Thread 🧵

𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽:
🔸 Monthly Option Buying
🔸 50 ema on 3 min timeframe
🔸 Supertrend 10 , 3
🔸 Chart : Banknifty , Nifty Futures as we backtested on futures
🔸 Entry 9:20 to 3:00
🔸 Max 3 Entries per day
🔸 Premium nearest to 200 Rs only

[2/18]

Why Monthly Option buying ?
🔸 Less theta decay compared to weekly options
🔸 Less Volatility
🔸 Supertrend and MA Settings
[3/18]


🔸 Indicator Link
🔸 Click on the below 𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘬 -> 𝘈𝘥𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘍𝘢𝘷𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘴 -> 𝘈𝘥𝘥 𝘰𝘯 𝘊𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵 from favourites and start using it !

🔸 https://t.co/zVXavqLBto
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𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀 :
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🔸 Moving Average 50 ema
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Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:

Short straddle is non-directional strategy

Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.

Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.

(1/n)

*RETWEET for max response

Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.

Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.

You can sell straddle as per your market view.

If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.

(2/n)

Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.

In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%

(3/n)


If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.

Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.

(4/n)

Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.

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Everyone should own a digital asset that earns $2,000 per month.

Here are 10 dead-simple ways you can make your First $1 online (from people who actually did it):

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1. Find a B2B/B2C niche that needs offline data
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3. Move the data to the digital platform
4. Hire someone on Fiverr to do it
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H/t @SachinRamje

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If you are good at designs:

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Option Trading is very difficult to master as there are so many things to understand.

Here is a master thread related that will help a beginner to understand about Options Trading.

A complete course worth Rs 50K for free.

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1/People I know on the Right tend to be obsessed with the idea of "crimethink", taboos, and the (supposedly) oppressive, omnipresent enforcement of liberal cultural norms.

Why?

My new theory: A lot of it is guilt.

2/It's true that in some circles - the media, universities, many big corporations - liberal norms *are* enforced to some degree, and the enforcement has probably gotten stronger in recent years.

But I don't think this explains all of the Right's obsession.

3/The stereotype is that people on the Right tend to be more threat-sensitive. That would help explain the perception that liberal norm-enforcers are lurking everywhere, ready to pounce and anathematize anyone who makes a misstep.

But I don't think that's all of it either.

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You learn the 75/25 law.

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The law of charisma...👇

Let's address the over thinkers first.

Do you have any idea why you overthink?

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A major no no in the social world.

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