BC STOCKSLEARNINGS
Saved by @SAnngeri

Thread: Alligator indicator

#Alligator #Indicators #Definedge

 Alligator indicator is created by Bill Williams. He was a popular trader and author.

Before we discuss the indicator, let us understand an important concept.
Here is a chart showing 10 day moving average at bar A. Price of the stock is 100, Moving average price is 90.
What if we shift this moving average to 5 bars further? See the chart below.

Moving average at bar B is moving average price of bar A (5 candles behind). This is shifting of moving average price. What does it mean?
Simple explanation is – shifting the moving average can help one compare current price with past period moving average easily. It results in smoothening instead of increasing the moving average parameter. This is also known as Forward Displaced moving average.
Displacing the average could be an interesting experiment. This concept is also used in many other indicators including Ichimoku cloud. Here is the link that explains Ichimoku indicator.

https://t.co/WkNxKU9n8u

Let us discuss the Alligator indicator.
First step is to plot three simple moving averages or the Triple moving average.

Williams suggested Fib numbers 13, 8 and 5 period averages.

The averages are calculated on median price.

Median price = (High + low) / 2.

So, there are three lines plotted on the chart.
Next step is to shift all these moving averages to future bars.

13-period MA is shifted by 8 bars
8-period MA is shifted by 5 bars
5-period MA is shifted by 3 bars

So, default parameters of Alligator indicator are 13,8,5 and 8,5,3.
Williams called it Alligator. He used the following terminology to describe these averages:

The 13-period MA to 8 (13,8) is called as Alligator’s Jaws.
8-period MA to 5, the Teeth and
5-period MA to 3, the Lips.
Behavior of the indicator:

When three lines are close to each other, the Alligator is sleeping.

If the Lips crosses the Teeth and Jaws upward or downward, the Alligator is waking up.

If Price crosses above or below the three lines, the Alligator is eating.
Basically it means:

When three lines are close to each other, there is no clear trend.

When short-term average crosses other two upward or downward, the trend might emerge.

When three lines are trending, and price is above them, then it indicates strong uptrend.
When the three lines are trending, and price is below them then it indicates strong downtrend.

Over a period, market trends roughly 20% – 30% times, it remains in a range rest of the time.
We should not be trading markets when Alligator is sleeping, monitor when it is waking up and trade when it is eating.

If Alligator sleeps more (long consolidation), it will become hungrier and eat more (Strong trend).
So, basically Alligator indicator is forward displaced triple-moving average. It smoothens the averages, but it also increases the lag in the indicator.

There are two important observations on this indicator which I found useful:
1 – Three averages close to each other: there is a possibility of strong trend to emerge. Trade breakouts.

2 – Price low is above three averages and all averages are rising = Strong up trend. Price high is below averages and all averages are falling = strong downtrend.
Ignore other bars. With this approach, you will trade mostly clear trends.

These readings are also possible using other indicators and charts. Idea was to talk about the concept.
It can be compared with triple moving average, Alligator shifts the moving averages.

My best take from the indicator is concept of shifting the moving average to explore further, and that we can divide price in to bullish, bearish, and neutral phase using averages.
Understanding of the concept and principles behind the techniques helps a lot in the long run. We cannot use all the indicators, but we can learn the logic behind those methods that can give us more ideas or improving on what we are doing currently.

More from Prashant Shah

Prashant Shah
Prashant Shah
@Prashantshah267
Thread: Parabolic SAR Indicator

Parabolic SAR (PSAR) indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder.

#PSAR #Indicators #Definedge


The calculation of this indicator is a bit complex, but the concept is extremely useful. I will try to simplify it and explain the logic. I will briefly explain the concept, calculation and reading.

Let us think about creating an indicator that shows the trend.

Using the indicator, we can identify & ride the trend using the trailing stop-loss method.

For trailing the stop in uptrend, indicator needs to be placed below the candle. Similarly, it should be placed above the candle for trailing in a downtrend. We will plot it using ‘dots’.


So, the indicator & stop-loss will be rising in uptrend & falling in downtrend.

Let us define the trend as:

If Low of the candle > Stop-loss level in bull market = Trend remains bullish.

If High of the candle < Stop-loss level in bear market = Trend is bearish

Imagine you are driving a car on highway; you would like to accelerate if the road is clear. You will slow down if the road is bumpy.
TRADING
Prashant Shah
Prashant Shah
@Prashantshah267
Thread: Pivot levels

Trading based on Pivot levels is one of the popular approaches. Both short-term and intraday traders track Pivot levels to identify support and resistance levels in any instrument.

Let’s discuss how these levels are calculated.


The pivot calculation method considers the previous day prices to calculate the support and resistance levels.

There are seven levels marked on the chart when we plot Pivot as a tool.

There is a Pivot level, 3 support levels (S1, S2 & S3) & 3 resistance levels (R1, R2 & R3).


We have four prices for any trading session - Open, High, Low, Close.

They give us the important information about what happened during that session. Levels is calculated using the High, Low & Closing price of the previous day. Let’s understand Pivot calculation with an example


The difference between high and low is a range of the day.

High – Low = Range
In our example, range of the session is 10 points.

105 – 95 = 10

Mid-price of the session is average of high and low price.

The Mid-price in this case would be 100.
(105 + 95) / 2.


Mid-price is average of range of the session. How about including the closing price to this calculation?

If we calculate the average of High, Low and Closing price - we get the Pivot point.

(105 + 95 + 103) = 101 is the Pivot level in our example.
ALL
Advertisement
Prashant Shah
Prashant Shah
@Prashantshah267
Thread: Darvas Box Theory

#Darvas #knowledgesharing #Definedge


Nicolas Darvas (1920 – 1977) was a professional dancer and he travelled around the world. He founded a Dance company in 1950s. Someone offered him shares against his Dance programme and that is how he came across stock market and the business of trading.

He reportedly turned thousand dollars into millions in the late 1950s.

He wrote a popular book during 1960 “How I made $2000000 in Stock Market” in which he explained his Box theory. It is a must read.

He used a combination fundamental and technical approach for investing.

He believed in investing in only growth stocks. I think he did not explain a few things in his book, and I found some difference in interpretation of box-theory at various places because of that. This post is my interpretation of his theory.

Darvas was tracking stocks only making new high. I do not think he really talked about 52-week high. He mentioned about stocks breaking 2-3 year high. But 52-week high is mostly tracked for this theory so let us keep it that way to begin with for the sake of objectivity.
ALL
Prashant Shah
Prashant Shah
@Prashantshah267
Thread: Decoding 2-period RSI

#trading


2-period RSI is a popular concept introduced by Larry Connors.

Many traders are using this method in their strategy.

There are two simple rules in the strategy that Larry Connors explained.

For buying:
• Price should be above 200-DMA (Long-term trend is up)
• 2-period RSI should be below 10 (better below 5)

For selling:
• Price should be below 200-DMA (Long-term trend is up)
• 2-period RSI should be above 90 (better above 95)

He also recommended exiting trades in profit. Exit if stock goes above 5 DMA after buying and exit of stock goes below 5 DMA after shorting. You can use DMA, higher period RSI such as 5 period or 14 period, ADX, Super trend etc. Possibilities are endless.

Bottom line is that he recommended exiting into profit instead of trailing. He did not recommend stop-loss because it can hurt the overall profitability according to him.

Let’s focus on the 2 rules stated above.

What is the logic of the system? It is a pullback trading system.
ALL
Prashant Shah
Prashant Shah
@Prashantshah267
Nifty and RSI divergence. It is all about knowing your indicator well. Quick video (Hindi) :-)
STOCKLEARNINGS

More from Stockslearnings

Parveen Bhansali \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
Parveen Bhansali 🇮🇳...
@ParveenBhansali
🥏Lots of my followers were asking or interested in knowing abt d name of stocks i holds in my non core portfolio for long term.
🥏I m sharing d list below. Do ur own due diligence before investing. 🥏Some of the stocks in the list i feel can create immense wealth in next 10 yrs.
STOCKSLEARNINGS
HMK alias MANOJ
HMK alias MANOJ
@scorpiomanojFRM
#FreeTip
#PriceAction
This PA concept is not avlb in any textbooks:
In an uptrending market if the candle size decreases
a) but in an upward trajectory, the chances of price falling is high.
b) but in an horizontal / downward trajectory, the chances of continuing trend high
STOCKSLEARNINGS , ALL , STOCKLEARNING
Advertisement
HMK alias MANOJ
HMK alias MANOJ
@scorpiomanojFRM
#FreeTip
A simple illustration to analyse stocks in a very simple way:
1) Prepare a list of stocks with more than say, 400% returns last 1 year and currently above 3 digits. U will have around 30-40 NSE listed stocks.
2) Look at each stock chart just before breakout
.....

....
3) Take a note book and right down against each stock, the behaviour of MAs Vis a vis the stock, for eg., 30 week MA / daily 200 ma / 150 ma, 50 ma, etc.); the behaviour of Relative Strength (RS); behaviour in terms of volume; any pattern like rectangular breakout etc.
...

....
4) Might take 3 plus hours for the above exercise. Once you are done, see the common elements against all stocks. That is the edge you have knowing the behaviour of super performance stocks. U need not hold for 400%. U can atleast get 20% out of it.
....

...
5) A eg. is -- few of the stocks had 3 year rectangular breakouts with RS at new high / 52w high. This is just an example. Dont immediately look for only this criteria. I can help you out with a list of triple digit stocks in excess of 400% over last 1 year.
GoodLuck.
STOCKSLEARNINGS
The Chartians
The Chartians
@chartians
A Master thread on @Singh7575 Sir's Long Only Setups with examples on Charts!

This setup is a gift to anyone who trades long ideas and those who want to trade in CASH due to Capital Constraint. Fits best for people who don't do FNO as this picks some amazing scripts.

1⃣ Before heading on to the set-up we want to make sure the entire system credit goes to @Singh7575 . We are just here to share it and make people aware of such simple set-ups that can give money considering risk is

2⃣How to Set it Up?
This setup best fits in @tradingview /@zerodhaonline or any broker that provides charting. We only need 2 Indicators.
Indicator 1- 13EMA
Indicator 2 - 34EMA
Both indicators are compulsory and should be exponential(EMA) instead of Simple moving average.(SMA)

3⃣ How to use this Setup?
Whenever this Setup meets a condition where 13EMA crosses 34EMA from below as depicted in the chart. Whenever the 13EMA crosses 34EMA from below it is a LONG (BUY) SIGNAL.

❗️Timeframe needs to be Daily Only!


4⃣ When to Place Order?
The Condition is to place order above the Day's High when crossover happened. Place buying bid above Previous Day’s high. If on current day the stock
doesn’t cross previous day’s high, place a buying bid the next day above current day’s high. For E.g.
STOCKSLEARNINGS , BUYONLYSTRATEGY
HMK alias MANOJ
HMK alias MANOJ
@scorpiomanojFRM
#FreeTip
Some of the past market turns that were signaled by the % stocks above 30 week MA in weekly chart.
In daily there were even more and also the famous feb/mar2020 crash...
Have used N500 as it represents more stocks.
STOCKSLEARNINGS

You May Also Like

Cookie Cyboid
Cookie Cyboid
@CookieCyboid
“Why are Tumblr and Facebook cracking down on sex so much? And why is Facebook in so over zealous about it? It’s all Apples fault!” Etc etc

I can explain all. It is largely the fault of a set of US laws called SESTA and FOSTA.
TECH
Noah Smith
Noah Smith
@Noahpinion
1/Politics thread time.

To me, the most important aspect of the 2018 midterms wasn't even about partisan control, but about democracy and voting rights. That's the real battle.

2/The good news: It's now an issue that everyone's talking about, and that everyone cares about.

3/More good news: Florida's proposition to give felons voting rights won. But it didn't just win - it won with substantial support from Republican voters.

That suggests there is still SOME grassroots support for democracy that transcends

4/Yet more good news: Michigan made it easier to vote. Again, by plebiscite, showing broad support for voting rights as an

5/OK, now the bad news.

We seem to have accepted electoral dysfunction in Florida as a permanent thing. The 2000 election has never really
POLITICS
Advertisement
Sahil
Sahil
@sahilypatel
A list of cool websites you might now know about

A thread 🧵

1) Learn Anything - Search tools for knowledge discovery that helps you understand any topic through the most efficient

2) Grad Speeches - Discover the best commencement speeches.

This website is made by me

3) What does the Internet Think - Find out what the internet thinks about anything

4) https://t.co/vuhT6jVItx - Send notes that will self-destruct after being read.
ALL , LINKS , EDUCATION
Rudy Havenstein, listening to Nas all day.
Rudy Havenstein, liste...
@RudyHavenstein
I hate when I learn something new (to me) & stunning about the Jeff Epstein network (h/t MoodyKnowsNada.)

Where to begin?

So our new Secretary of State Anthony Blinken's stepfather, Samuel Pisar, was "longtime lawyer and confidant of...Robert Maxwell," Ghislaine Maxwell's Dad.


"Pisar was one of the last people to speak to Maxwell, by phone, probably an hour before the chairman of Mirror Group Newspapers fell off his luxury yacht the Lady Ghislaine on 5 November, 1991." https://t.co/DAEgchNyTP


OK, so that's just a coincidence. Moving on, Anthony Blinken "attended the prestigious Dalton School in New York City"...wait, what? https://t.co/DnE6AvHmJg

Dalton School...Dalton School...rings a

Oh that's right.

The dad of the U.S. Attorney General under both George W. Bush & Donald Trump, William Barr, was headmaster of the Dalton School.

Donald Barr was also quite a


I'm not going to even mention that Blinken's stepdad Sam Pisar's name was in Epstein's "black book."

Lots of names in that book. I mean, for example, Cuomo, Trump, Clinton, Prince Andrew, Bill Cosby, Woody Allen - all in that book, and their reputations are spotless.
EPSTEIN NETWORK
Chris Herd
Chris Herd
@chris_herd
The 2020s will be known as the Remote Work decade

A few predictions of what is likely to emerge

[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍

🏦Third Space: Office and Working from Home will be joined by somewhere close by that a number of people will use

Supermarkets or local bank branches should emerge as a convenient ubiquitous location option – if they are smart

⏰Asynchronous Work: Offices are instantaneous gratification distraction factories where synchronous work makes it impossible to get stuff done

Tools that enable asynchronous work are the most important thing globally remote teams need. A lot of startups will try to tackle this

⚽️Hobbie Renaissance: Remote working will lead to a rise in people participating in hobbies and activities which link them to people in their local community

This will lead to deeper, more meaningful relationships which overcome societal issues of loneliness and issolation

🚜Rural Living: World-class people will move to smaller cities, have a lower cost of living & higher quality of life

These regions must innovate quickly to attract that wealth. Better schools, faster internet connections are a must
REMOTE WORK