Before we discuss the indicator, let us understand an important concept.
Thread: Alligator indicator
#Alligator #Indicators #Definedge
Before we discuss the indicator, let us understand an important concept.
Moving average at bar B is moving average price of bar A (5 candles behind). This is shifting of moving average price. What does it mean?
https://t.co/WkNxKU9n8u
Let us discuss the Alligator indicator.
Thread:- How Ichimoku indicator is calculated. pic.twitter.com/pM7AZvJjMj
— Prashant Shah (@Prashantshah267) April 15, 2020
Williams suggested Fib numbers 13, 8 and 5 period averages.
The averages are calculated on median price.
Median price = (High + low) / 2.
So, there are three lines plotted on the chart.
13-period MA is shifted by 8 bars
8-period MA is shifted by 5 bars
5-period MA is shifted by 3 bars
So, default parameters of Alligator indicator are 13,8,5 and 8,5,3.
The 13-period MA to 8 (13,8) is called as Alligator’s Jaws.
8-period MA to 5, the Teeth and
5-period MA to 3, the Lips.
When three lines are close to each other, the Alligator is sleeping.
If the Lips crosses the Teeth and Jaws upward or downward, the Alligator is waking up.
If Price crosses above or below the three lines, the Alligator is eating.
When three lines are close to each other, there is no clear trend.
When short-term average crosses other two upward or downward, the trend might emerge.
When three lines are trending, and price is above them, then it indicates strong uptrend.
Over a period, market trends roughly 20% – 30% times, it remains in a range rest of the time.
If Alligator sleeps more (long consolidation), it will become hungrier and eat more (Strong trend).
There are two important observations on this indicator which I found useful:
2 – Price low is above three averages and all averages are rising = Strong up trend. Price high is below averages and all averages are falling = strong downtrend.
These readings are also possible using other indicators and charts. Idea was to talk about the concept.
More from Prashant Shah
Thread: P&F Super Pattern
An effective price pattern defined using properties of P&F charts.
#Superpattern #Pointandfigure #Definedge
Point & Figure is an oldest charting method where price is plotted vertically, and the chart moves only when price moves. It is a different way of looking at the price, the objective box-value and reversal value offers advantage of identifying objective price patterns.
When price is moving up, it is plotted in a column of 'X'. When it is going down, it is plotted in a column of ‘O’. Normally, three-box reversal criteria is used to define the trend & reversal. Unlike a bar or candle, the P&F column can have multiple sessions in it.
Link to know more about the subject:
https://t.co/2xtLAVPBvm
See below chart. Price is in a strong uptrend, P&F chart would produce a long of column of 'X' with more number of boxes in it.
If such a trend is followed by some time bars without meaningful price correct, P&F chart would not move, and it will remain in column of 'X' in such a scenario.
An effective price pattern defined using properties of P&F charts.
#Superpattern #Pointandfigure #Definedge
Point & Figure is an oldest charting method where price is plotted vertically, and the chart moves only when price moves. It is a different way of looking at the price, the objective box-value and reversal value offers advantage of identifying objective price patterns.
When price is moving up, it is plotted in a column of 'X'. When it is going down, it is plotted in a column of ‘O’. Normally, three-box reversal criteria is used to define the trend & reversal. Unlike a bar or candle, the P&F column can have multiple sessions in it.
Link to know more about the subject:
https://t.co/2xtLAVPBvm
See below chart. Price is in a strong uptrend, P&F chart would produce a long of column of 'X' with more number of boxes in it.
If such a trend is followed by some time bars without meaningful price correct, P&F chart would not move, and it will remain in column of 'X' in such a scenario.
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#HindCopper
10% more gains to 127.75 !! 🍻🔥🚀
Expecting it to consolidate now in coming days before a final move to 145-150 levels. #Copper RSI is overheated and needs to cool down.
Negative divergence building up on hourly charts. https://t.co/sBU4O6QZsq
10% more gains to 127.75 !! 🍻🔥🚀
Expecting it to consolidate now in coming days before a final move to 145-150 levels. #Copper RSI is overheated and needs to cool down.
Negative divergence building up on hourly charts. https://t.co/sBU4O6QZsq
#HindCopper
— Anchit Goel (@anchitsays) February 23, 2021
20% Upper Circuit at 118.05 now!! \U0001f389\U0001fa85\U0001f525\U0001f680\U0001f973\U0001f37b\U0001f60d
Conviction and patience has given excellent results. https://t.co/T5y2CBY9Lt pic.twitter.com/xvDeR91PkL
4 factors to measure the performance of a trading system:
1 - Accuracy
There is no such thing as 90% Accuracy without compromising on other factors (like profit factor, etc)
Fact - A good trading system will have only 35-60% accuracy without compromising other factors.
(1/n)
2 - Profit Factor (PF)
It is similar to risk-reward. It is derived using the below formula:
Profit Factor = Total Profit by winning trades / Total loss by losing trades
Fact - A trading system above 1.2 PF is good if it scores well with other factors.
(2/n)
3 - Maximum Drawdown
The maximum drawdown also plays a vital role psychologically while picking a trading system.
Fact - Maximum Drawdown in any trading system should not exceed 20%. I suggest picking only the techniques which have less than 10% maximum drawdown.
(3/n)
4 - Maximum Consecutive Losers
We all feel bad even if we lose only Rs.1,000 in a trade. Because it is not only about the money, it is emotionally difficult to accept the failure.
Fact - A good trading system will have less than 15 consecutive losing trades.
(4/n)
TRADE LIKE CRAZY
10 Profitable Intraday Trading Systems, which are backtested against 10-years of Banknifty Historical Data!
(n/n)
https://t.co/BuUie17Ish
1 - Accuracy
There is no such thing as 90% Accuracy without compromising on other factors (like profit factor, etc)
Fact - A good trading system will have only 35-60% accuracy without compromising other factors.
(1/n)
2 - Profit Factor (PF)
It is similar to risk-reward. It is derived using the below formula:
Profit Factor = Total Profit by winning trades / Total loss by losing trades
Fact - A trading system above 1.2 PF is good if it scores well with other factors.
(2/n)
3 - Maximum Drawdown
The maximum drawdown also plays a vital role psychologically while picking a trading system.
Fact - Maximum Drawdown in any trading system should not exceed 20%. I suggest picking only the techniques which have less than 10% maximum drawdown.
(3/n)
4 - Maximum Consecutive Losers
We all feel bad even if we lose only Rs.1,000 in a trade. Because it is not only about the money, it is emotionally difficult to accept the failure.
Fact - A good trading system will have less than 15 consecutive losing trades.
(4/n)
TRADE LIKE CRAZY
10 Profitable Intraday Trading Systems, which are backtested against 10-years of Banknifty Historical Data!
(n/n)
https://t.co/BuUie17Ish
Here are my top 10 best tweets of the week: 1st September.
• Lessons learned from Trading Mistakes
• Moneycontrol article on a pro option seller
• Rakesh Jhunjhunwala investing strategy.
• What do you really need?
• Stocks to invest for long term
A thread 🧵
Best Trading books to read - check the comments section for some great
Lessons learned from some trading
In spite of being rejected in many things, we can still be
Moneycontrol article on @Pathik_Trader to learn how to trade breakouts with good risk management & position
• Lessons learned from Trading Mistakes
• Moneycontrol article on a pro option seller
• Rakesh Jhunjhunwala investing strategy.
• What do you really need?
• Stocks to invest for long term
A thread 🧵
Best Trading books to read - check the comments section for some great
What's the best trading book you've ever read?
— Steve Burns (@SJosephBurns) September 30, 2021
Lessons learned from some trading
Trading Mistakes & Lessons Learnt \U0001f9f5
— Sourabh Sisodiya, CFA (@sourabhsiso19) September 30, 2021
1) I always keep my mistakes & lessons learnt in front of my screen while trading.
Bcz we as traders tend to commit the same mistakes everytime.
So seeing your learnt lessons everyday ensures that you avoid them.
#trading #mistakes pic.twitter.com/4MYFlCS9Hi
In spite of being rejected in many things, we can still be
I had been rejected many times in my life few are:
— ASAN (@Atulsingh_asan) September 30, 2021
-I was Rejected in a BPO job interview 2006
-I was Rejected in Indian Idol 2011
But Market accepted me as a student since 2013 and journey on
Don\u2019t lose hope when you rejected by someone, keep trying you will succeed.#ASAN
Moneycontrol article on @Pathik_Trader to learn how to trade breakouts with good risk management & position
Small article on my trading journey covered by Shishir in moneycontrol. Thanks a lot shishir.\U0001f942\U0001f942
— Pathik (@Pathik_Trader) September 27, 2021
It's kind of dream come true moment. \U0001f60d\U0001f942
Thank you everyone for inspiration & support. Special thanks to @sanstocktrader@Stockengg @VRtrendfollower\U0001f942\U0001f942https://t.co/0fk2gpd1qv
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(1) Kushner is worth $324 million.
(2) Since 2016, Kushner has connived, with Saudi help, to force the Qataris (literally at a ship's gunpoint) to "loan" him $900 million.
(3) This is consistent with the Steele dossier.
(4) Kushner is unlikely to ever have to pay the "loan" back.
2/ So as you read about his tax practices, you should take from it that it's practices of this sort that ensure that he's able to extort money from foreign governments while Trump is POTUS without ever having to pay the money back. It also explains why he's in the Saudis' pocket.
3/ It's why the Saudis *say* he's in their pocket. It's why emoluments and federal bribery statutes matter. It's why Kushner was talking to the Saudi Crown Prince the day before the murdered Washington Post journalist was taken. It's why the Trump administration now does nothing.
(2) Since 2016, Kushner has connived, with Saudi help, to force the Qataris (literally at a ship's gunpoint) to "loan" him $900 million.
(3) This is consistent with the Steele dossier.
(4) Kushner is unlikely to ever have to pay the "loan" back.
Jared Kushner has a net worth of almost $324 million. But it appears that he paid little or no federal income taxes from 2009 to 2016, according to a review of confidential financial documents obtained by NYT. https://t.co/pMQDeCeDNq
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 13, 2018
2/ So as you read about his tax practices, you should take from it that it's practices of this sort that ensure that he's able to extort money from foreign governments while Trump is POTUS without ever having to pay the money back. It also explains why he's in the Saudis' pocket.
3/ It's why the Saudis *say* he's in their pocket. It's why emoluments and federal bribery statutes matter. It's why Kushner was talking to the Saudi Crown Prince the day before the murdered Washington Post journalist was taken. It's why the Trump administration now does nothing.
The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
The story doesn\u2019t say you were told not to... it says you did so without approval and they tried to obfuscate what you found. Is that true?
— Sarah Frier (@sarahfrier) November 15, 2018
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
