
š§µRACISM IN MEDICINE: This is disgusting! @KPMedSchool claims to be committed to diversity, equity & inclusion but SUSPENDS Dr. @ayshakhoury hours after being asked to teach med students about racial disparities in medicine wearing a "I can't breathe" t-shirt 1/10
@DrMarkSchuster

https://t.co/hO3RNmgH4v

At the town hall, medical students presented a petition signed by more than 91% of students demanding Khoury's reinstatement 6/10
https://t.co/8Y3oihmTCw

https://t.co/ADj1K8JeLM

@DrMarkSchuster is telling @KPMedSchool that he\u2019s apologized to me. I did not share the apology because nothing has fundamentally changed since my notice. The difference in the letters is that the new language employs empathy. pic.twitter.com/1V1xwMZhxS
— Aysha H Khoury MD MPH FACP (I-sha Koo-ree) (@ayshakhoury) January 14, 2021
WE will NOT BE SILENT, while @MichaelKanterMD, @DrMarkSchuster, @KPMedSchool, and @aboutKP DESTROY the career of @ayshakhoury! Reappoint her to faculty!!
Reappoint @ayshakhoury to FACULTY so she can continue to teach medical students! /end
https://t.co/hzHhw5sobn
I humbly ask that you, my fellow applicants, contact @KPMedSchool and request answers regarding its treatment of Dr. @ayshakhoury. Too often, we see Black women\u2014patients, faculty, AND healthcare workers\u2014treated unjustly within medicine. We can\u2019t keep allowing this to happen. pic.twitter.com/o7fVsGIjaz
— Isaiah Swann (@swanncell) January 9, 2021
Dr. Aysha Khoury was suspended from her faculty position at @KPMedSchool after hosting frank conversations about racism in medicine. https://t.co/w4ppsqCNmQ
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I've seen many news articles cite that "the UK variant could be the dominant strain by March". This is emphasized by @CDCDirector.
While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.
Here's how: š§µ
One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.
Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:
https://t.co/tDce0MwO61
Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.
Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):
Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.
If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.
Simple example:
Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant
1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%
While this will likely to be the case, this should not be an automatic cause for concern. Cases could still remain contained.
Here's how: š§µ
One of @CDCgov's own models has tracked the true decline in cases quite accurately thus far.
Their projection shows that the B.1.1.7 variant will become the dominant variant in March. But interestingly... there's no fourth wave. Cases simply level out:
https://t.co/tDce0MwO61

Just because a variant becomes the dominant strain does not automatically mean we will see a repeat of Fall 2020.
Let's look at UK and South Africa, where cases have been falling for the past month, in unison with the US (albeit with tougher restrictions):

Furthermore, the claim that the "variant is doubling every 10 days" is false. It's the *proportion of the variant* that is doubling every 10 days.
If overall prevalence drops during the studied time period, the true doubling time of the variant is actually much longer 10 days.
Simple example:
Day 0: 10 variant / 100 cases -> 10% variant
Day 10: 15 variant / 75 cases -> 20% variant
Day 20: 20 variant / 50 cases -> 40% variant
1) Proportion of variant doubles every 10 days
2) Doubling time of variant is actually 20 days
3) Total cases still drop by 50%
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12) Department of Dynamics and Advanced Manufacturing
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13) Refrigeration and Cryogenic Engineering Teaching and Research Office
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14) Power Machinery and Engineering Teaching and Research
1) UCAS School of physical sciences Professor
https://t.co/9X8OheIvRw
2) UCAS School of mathematical sciences Professor
3) UCAS School of nuclear sciences and technology
https://t.co/nQH8JnewcJ
4) UCAS School of astronomy and space sciences
https://t.co/7Ikc6CuKHZ
5) UCAS School of engineering
6) Geotechnical Engineering Teaching and Research Office
https://t.co/jBCJW7UKlQ
7) Multi-scale Mechanics Teaching and Research Section
https://t.co/eqfQnX1LEQ
š Microgravity Science Teaching and Research
9) High temperature gas dynamics teaching and research section
https://t.co/tVIdKgTPl3
10) Department of Biomechanics and Medical Engineering
https://t.co/ubW4xhZY2R
11) Ocean Engineering Teaching and Research
12) Department of Dynamics and Advanced Manufacturing
https://t.co/42BKXEugGv
13) Refrigeration and Cryogenic Engineering Teaching and Research Office
https://t.co/pZdUXFTvw3
14) Power Machinery and Engineering Teaching and Research