More from Sandeep Kulkarni
This is Nifty's chart from 2004 to 2006. Back then also US interest rates had gone up. Markets had corrected well before Fed had hiked rates for first time in 2004, from then it hiked rates 17 times by 4.25% over next 2 yrs and yet market kept making new highs. @shivaji_1983 pic.twitter.com/EAFhske9EE
— Sandeep Kulkarni (@moneyworks4u_fa) February 11, 2022
BTW Nifty Metal has inverse correlation with USDINR. https://t.co/X6cqVcYF3V
We know how our stock market has weathered the FII selling.
— Sandeep Kulkarni (@moneyworks4u_fa) June 10, 2022
But the equally big story is how Rupee has weathered $50bn+ outflows since Oct 2021. Hats off to RBI Governor Das & his team for having the vision of building huge reserves in his tenure. pic.twitter.com/CVuF9dM361
Infosys PEG ratio (1-year fwd PE/EPS growth) down to 1.4x from a peak of 2.7x as PE cut by 27% & EPS growth cut by 5% - trades at 23.3x PE for 11% FY23 growth. If this is a mid-cycle correction, its done BUT if this is the great valuation reset - more fall coming
— ThirdSide (@_ThirdSide_) May 25, 2022
Place your bets pic.twitter.com/9ZlaLDcxPZ
More from Jublfood
Holding this from lower levels - the reason being capitulation.
Jubilant Foodworks https://t.co/M1vLYEbkef
The selling climax is accompanied by volume bars of such magnitude that I highlighted in the chart. In almost all cases, they signify that even the last bull has thrown in the towel & there is no further selling left. Will observe in this case.
— The_Chartist \U0001f4c8 (@charts_zone) March 15, 2022
Jubilant Food pic.twitter.com/j7bGSdhkRW
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Ironies of Luck https://t.co/5BPWGbAxFi
— Morgan Housel (@morganhousel) March 14, 2018
"Luck is the flip side of risk. They are mirrored cousins, driven by the same thing: You are one person in a 7 billion player game, and the accidental impact of other people\u2019s actions can be more consequential than your own."
I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.
In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.
So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.
Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.