BC ITC

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16 3 years, 11 months ago 674 views

Since lot of discussions on ITC, had a simple look at the chart. With each passing day, the probability of a large breakout increases. Watch the behaviour of MFI, but wait for prices to trade above the trendline with volumes

More from Subhadip Nandy

IV - A thread

In financial mathematics, implied volatility of an option contract is
that value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when
input in an option pricing model ) will return a theoretical value equal to the current market price of the option (1/n)

Implied volatility, a forward-looking and subjective measure, differs
from historical volatility because the latter is calculated from known
past returns of a security. .
https://t.co/iC5wVf7kvj (2/n)

To understand where Implied Volatility stands in terms of the underlying, implied volatility rank is used to understand its implied volatility from a one year high and low IV.
https://t.co/NFPOidRRcH

https://t.co/qNqinEqaKY

(3/n)

Options traders are always looking at the IV and IVR/IVP. For option
buyers, a low IV environment is best to initiate positions as the
subsequent rise in IV actually helps their positions . Even if the IV
remains flat, the position is not hurt by volatility (4/n)

Option sellers on the other hand are looking for high IV scenarios, where
the subsequent fall in IV ( known a vol crush , most often seen after
earnings/events) helps their positions. Here also, if the IV does not
rise, it does not hurt a seller's positions (5/n)

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Will start this thread with a disclaimer. I have never invested a rupee in cryptos 😀

But I have studied bull and bear cycles and financial bubbles extensively. Saw 1992, 2000, 2008 with own eyes. The first one as a novice, the next two when I knew to analyze

The amount of chatter I am seeing in friends, family and social media about cryptos has gone through the roof. For everyone, it's a dream to make 100x or even 1000x easily. Basically, become stinking rich easily
( it never happens )

In any financial bubble, the top is made in extreme speed and violence. The distribution happens on the way down. Unless one saw the rates of 65k on bitcoin, one wouldn't buy at 30-35k or 20k. That 65k is an anchor point which leads to greed

During the tulipmania, a single piece of tulip reached a price of $750,000 in today's money. When we see that history, we think "what idiots". But consider this, as of now meme coins generated by someone in their garage are being traded at absurd prices

Then there is this joke called NFT. A piece of "digital art" basically made by someone on their computer ( who is not even a known artist) are being sold for millions of dollars

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Along with the levels, there is Trend Ratio.
Near 1 or below is bearish, near 2 or above is bullish
( this as per last day's closing).
If Trend Ratio is bullish, expect support at Balance or breakout above Upper level will mean rally will continue.

If Trend Ratio is bearish, look for break or Balance or lower levels .

On a bullish Trend Ratio if Balance breaks, expect all longs to be trapped . Can short with stop above upper breakout figure. And vice versa

Normally the Trend Ratios of both indices are in sync, a little bit of difference. But here BNF is bullish while Nifty is bearish. So, if playing bullish tomorrow concentrate on BNF, If playing bearish, concentrate on Nifty

Major Rule :
1. DO NOT play bearish is market above Balance
2. DO NOT play bullish is market below Balance

The Balance basically tells you which side is a bit trapped

As long as the market stays within the upper and lower levels, option sellers ( whether they have sold on friday or will sell tomorrow) are at an advantageous position and make money. Whichever side this level is broken, that side sellers will be trapped

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

The BNF OI puzzle, what I think happened. This is post mortem analysis 😀

COi was going up like crazy since early March, positions were being created in far month ( go thru my previous tweets)

OI = net shorts = net longs. So informed traders were taking a huge position expecting a parabolic move ( we did not know whether up or down). As of now, my guess is that the whole position was a long position. Someone had the info of the rate cut

You can see that the positions were cut hugely on 1st April. What happened on 1st April ?

This happened 👇👇

If the rollback did not happen ( due to whatever reason), BNF would have gapped up by 1000-1500 points and the shorts would have been killed, and longs would have been laughing all the way to the bank. See the cut on 1st April

But since the rollback did happen, what we now had were trapped longs. that's why we are seeing any upmove getting sold as longs get rid of their positions. COI now is down to normal levels as you can see

Subhadip Nandy
@SubhadipNandy16

Received quite a few messages from traders who lost big in yesterday's BankNifty expiry . This includes both buyers and sellers .

The common refrain is " It's operators / big players who screwed the retail , BankNifty should not move like this , SEBI should investigate "

Are you fucking kidding me ?

The volatility yesterday was minimal , max 1% upmove dowmove . If you or your strategy cannot handle this , you should not be in this game

Let me give an example :
In order to play cricket , you go thru net practice by practising batting against slow medium pace bowlers . You do this for a few days

Then you arrive for a match on a fast bouncy pitch with some tearaway quicks in the opposition. Your lack of technique and experience is brutally exposed , obviously .

More from Itc

Sonali Palande
@Supra_traders

#ITC
Daily and Weekly chart
265 is a very important resistance.
A weekly close above this here can be positive.

#Nifty50

$JK\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3$

JK🇮🇳
@PAlearner

How to get Financial freedom by using equities?

Answer is given below -

ITC is Diamond for many. look at the massive wealth creation and yearly dividend income.

Only you needs to have long term vision and conviction.

$Alok Jain \u26a1$

Alok Jain ⚡
@WeekendInvestng

After every stop #ITC jumps 4x.
Lets hope it does it again

This is not a reco to buy /sell*

DTBhat
@dtbhat

#ITC futures on daily timeframe - medium term. #BREAKOUTSTOCKS #onemanarmy

DTBhat
@dtbhat

#ITC gave an opportunity to pyramid today.
Intraday and daily charts.
It was a momentum stock today (intra-day) and at EOD also
Stock is in super bullish mode https://t.co/aZOyXvw2tQ

What's the PF chart says about ITC?
— Growth Builder (@KETANPA50636298) April 8, 2022

A thread on HN about bad code in legacy projects both makes me think how little we've learned as a discipline over the years and, honestly, how little credit we give ourselves for some pretty major

Fun going down this list and thinking: "Hmm, plausible at a well-run modern software shop", "Hmm, possible, but requires implausible tradeoffs", "Literally disallowed by languages", and "If you were to attempt doing that our test suite wouldn't let you merge."

I think we as an industry celebrate (not quite the right word) failure too much and don't celebrate success nearly enough. There is no DailyWTF for competent execution, word of which generally stays pretty local to the source while incompetence passes into legend.

Alrighty let me try to thread the needle on being the change I want to see in the world while not giving away anything that will get me in trouble:

Ruby has wonderful developer ergonomics. Typed languages are easier for machines to guarantee the correctness of. We built a type checker for Ruby (and I believe it is slated for OSS release sometime).

c.f.

Jonathan Ware
@ReassessHistory

So when it first appeared in Normandy, the Sherman Firefly and it's meaty 17 pounder represented an ideal combo of reliable chassis, great gun and devastating firepower right?

Ummm...

Truth is a bit more complex. /1
#WW2 #SWW #History

Deliveries of Firefly to units only commenced in April 1944,
just a few weeks before Overlord & left minimal time for familiarisation.

Armoured Regiments mostly utilised Fireflies on a basis of 1 per troop of 4 tanks. /2

Finally each armoured regiment troop had access to integral, meaty, anti-tank firepower capable of dealing serious damage to any German AFV likely to be encountered. /3

The dual purpose 75mm gun was quite capable of laying down a reasonable HE shell or AP round for dealing with Panzer III or IV.

Firefly's 17 Pounder had.... problems with HE, but excelled at tank killing. So Tigers and Panthers would need to be wary. /4

Firefly's design history dated back to March 1943 when the General Staff published "Policy on Tanks" which effectively stated the majority of tanks should have a good HE weapon and...

[See image below] /5

Rudy Havenstein, liste...
@RudyHavenstein

I hate when I learn something new (to me) & stunning about the Jeff Epstein network (h/t MoodyKnowsNada.)

Where to begin?

So our new Secretary of State Anthony Blinken's stepfather, Samuel Pisar, was "longtime lawyer and confidant of...Robert Maxwell," Ghislaine Maxwell's Dad.

"Pisar was one of the last people to speak to Maxwell, by phone, probably an hour before the chairman of Mirror Group Newspapers fell off his luxury yacht the Lady Ghislaine on 5 November, 1991." https://t.co/DAEgchNyTP

OK, so that's just a coincidence. Moving on, Anthony Blinken "attended the prestigious Dalton School in New York City"...wait, what? https://t.co/DnE6AvHmJg

Dalton School...Dalton School...rings a

Oh that's right.

The dad of the U.S. Attorney General under both George W. Bush & Donald Trump, William Barr, was headmaster of the Dalton School.

Donald Barr was also quite a

Donald Barr had a way with words. pic.twitter.com/JdRBwXPhJn
— Rudy Havenstein, listening to Nas all day. (@RudyHavenstein) September 17, 2020

I'm not going to even mention that Blinken's stepdad Sam Pisar's name was in Epstein's "black book."

Lots of names in that book. I mean, for example, Cuomo, Trump, Clinton, Prince Andrew, Bill Cosby, Woody Allen - all in that book, and their reputations are spotless.