Why Reading and observing different trends matter.
Time for a thread with a live example that is playing out in front of us! 🎵🎵
🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
"Disney is an amazing example of autocatalysis. They had all those movies in the can.
A live example is the Music Licensing Businesses like Saregama and TIPS. Both the businesses suffered
https://t.co/ukl1HUYCOI
Multiple Lollapalooza come together to create extremely strong trends.
https://t.co/zdusVUBEIe
1. Growth of streaming business
2. Growth of Youtube viewership in India
3. Increasing internet penetration
4. Usage of retro music and remix in sitcoms, and by OTTs.
5. Insta reels
6. Finally, an optionality of Audio NFT!
Watch our Saregama Video🎵🎵 to know more about how autocatalysis is playing out! (positively biased)
https://t.co/hfe6zfy8lt
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Sequent will teach many people about what Hyperbolic Discounting and Myopic Loss aversion means. 2 Mental models which an equity investor has to understand about. No other way. Disc: invested, not a reco
Having multiple facilities accredited with certifications from the best authorities from globe is a hidden moat in itself... 10-20% pop and then retracement should not shake confidence... Business focus and longevity should build conviction
— Harinder S Nanda (@harindersnanda) July 14, 2021
\U0001f436\U0001f431\U0001f434\U0001f42e\U0001f437\U0001f411@unseenvalue @soicfinance
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22 Powerful Ideas from Startup Founders
Startups succeed when they solve
Choose your customers
Resist the lure of new ideas when the real work begins:
Consider all paths and points of
Startups succeed when they solve
\u201cA genuine intention to solve a problem\u201d is the best startup strategy you can have.
— Al Caan (@caan_al) January 15, 2022
Do not lose sight of the intention behind your service, as you scale up.
Choose your customers
$600 Client \u2014 Complain, complain, complain
— Will Cannon (@iamwillcannon) September 12, 2021
$60,000 Client \u2014 \u201cMoney sent, thanks\u201d
Resist the lure of new ideas when the real work begins:
Beginner\u2019s Dilemma:
— Barrett O'Neill (@barrettjoneill) February 6, 2022
New endeavors are so challenging that other options appear an easier route to success.
If you choose to switch, rather than iterate and optimize, you\u2019ll always be a beginner.
And things will always seem hard.
Consider all paths and points of
90% of new startups fail.
— Chris Munn (@chrisxmunn) February 4, 2022
Consider buying a business instead.
This thread is for investors or those who are interested in CDSL as an investment. Often the central reason quoted for an investment here is the gush of FCF the business produces and some float money also to boot. But this argument ignores a central problem as well. (1/11)
I completely agree that CDSL is a business that produces ample amount of Free Cash. So, it begs the question: "What are they doing with all that cash?" Generally, firms can utilize the cash on their books in 4 ways: Dividends, Acquisitions, Capex/Investments and Buybacks. (2/11)
CDSL does have a Dividend Payout Ratio of ~35-40%. But Dividends are the least efficient way of utilizing cash, due to the Triple Taxation on Dividends. More
Handled well, Inorganic Growth is so lucrative that some companies build their business models around acquisitions (Say, MSSL or Cyient). However, CDSL literally CAN'T be one such company. Read 7 (c) of the below regulatory document to know more:
https://t.co/071lwnnwJ4
(4/11)
CDSL can also reinvest cash into their own business, like most companies do. But CDSL (And most Exchanges) have little need for Capex/Reinvestment. CDSL's IPO came in at Rs. 523.99 Crores. Two years in, the Cash and Investments on their books stands at Rs. 650 Crores. (5/11)
I completely agree that CDSL is a business that produces ample amount of Free Cash. So, it begs the question: "What are they doing with all that cash?" Generally, firms can utilize the cash on their books in 4 ways: Dividends, Acquisitions, Capex/Investments and Buybacks. (2/11)
CDSL does have a Dividend Payout Ratio of ~35-40%. But Dividends are the least efficient way of utilizing cash, due to the Triple Taxation on Dividends. More
Handled well, Inorganic Growth is so lucrative that some companies build their business models around acquisitions (Say, MSSL or Cyient). However, CDSL literally CAN'T be one such company. Read 7 (c) of the below regulatory document to know more:
https://t.co/071lwnnwJ4
(4/11)
CDSL can also reinvest cash into their own business, like most companies do. But CDSL (And most Exchanges) have little need for Capex/Reinvestment. CDSL's IPO came in at Rs. 523.99 Crores. Two years in, the Cash and Investments on their books stands at Rs. 650 Crores. (5/11)
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So the cryptocurrency industry has basically two products, one which is relatively benign and doesn't have product market fit, and one which is malignant and does. The industry has a weird superposition of understanding this fact and (strategically?) not understanding it.
The benign product is sovereign programmable money, which is historically a niche interest of folks with a relatively clustered set of beliefs about the state, the literary merit of Snow Crash, and the utility of gold to the modern economy.
This product has narrow appeal and, accordingly, is worth about as much as everything else on a 486 sitting in someone's basement is worth.
The other product is investment scams, which have approximately the best product market fit of anything produced by humans. In no age, in no country, in no city, at no level of sophistication do people consistently say "Actually I would prefer not to get money for nothing."
This product needs the exchanges like they need oxygen, because the value of it is directly tied to having payment rails to move real currency into the ecosystem and some jurisdictional and regulatory legerdemain to stay one step ahead of the banhammer.
If everyone was holding bitcoin on the old x86 in their parents basement, we would be finding a price bottom. The problem is the risk is all pooled at a few brokerages and a network of rotten exchanges with counter party risk that makes AIG circa 2008 look like a good credit.
— Greg Wester (@gwestr) November 25, 2018
The benign product is sovereign programmable money, which is historically a niche interest of folks with a relatively clustered set of beliefs about the state, the literary merit of Snow Crash, and the utility of gold to the modern economy.
This product has narrow appeal and, accordingly, is worth about as much as everything else on a 486 sitting in someone's basement is worth.
The other product is investment scams, which have approximately the best product market fit of anything produced by humans. In no age, in no country, in no city, at no level of sophistication do people consistently say "Actually I would prefer not to get money for nothing."
This product needs the exchanges like they need oxygen, because the value of it is directly tied to having payment rails to move real currency into the ecosystem and some jurisdictional and regulatory legerdemain to stay one step ahead of the banhammer.
