BC IDEAS
Saved by @AnmolNarula11

Why Reading and observing different trends matter.

Time for a thread with a live example that is playing out in front of us! 🎵🎵

🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

 “What is elementary, worldly wisdom? Well, the first rule is that you can’t really know anything if you just remember isolated facts and try and bang ‘em back. If the facts don’t hang together on a latticework of theory, you don’t have them in a usable form.”- Charlie Munger
Charlie Munger who is the partner of Warren Buffett, has over the years explained the importance of creating a latticework of mental models. That is basically combining theory with live practical examples
One of the most interesting mental models he talked about in his books was that of Autocatalysis (lets understand this and how we can apply it to a live example):

"Disney is an amazing example of autocatalysis. They had all those movies in the can.
They owned the copyright. And just as Coke could prosper while refrigeration came, When the video cassette was invented, Disney didn’t have to invent anything or do anything except take the thing out of the can and stick it on the cassette.
And every parent and grandparent wanted his descendants to sit around and watch that stuff at home on videocassette. So Disney got this enormous tail wind from life. And it was billions of dollars worth of tail wind.
Obviously, that’s a marvelous model if you can find it. You don’t have to inventanything. All you have to do is to sit there while the world carries you forward."

A live example is the Music Licensing Businesses like Saregama and TIPS. Both the businesses suffered
over the years due to rampant piracy. The entire music industry de-grew due to websites like torrents, song-PK and rampant piracy.
However, here is where the idea of autocatalysis comes in. The patterns of distribution changed. Have you observed how youngsters around you are listening to music over streaming applications like Wink Music or Spotify? Growth of streaming applications has acted like
an autocatalysis for Music Library/IP owners like Saregama or Tips. This is just not it, just look at the growth rates of viewership of YouTube :

https://t.co/ukl1HUYCOI
Such are the tailwinds. Just check the number of views on recently released song by Saregama (Badshah). It has already crossed a mind boggling 500 VIEWS!

Multiple Lollapalooza come together to create extremely strong trends.

https://t.co/zdusVUBEIe
Mini trends completing the lollapalooza here:

1. Growth of streaming business
2. Growth of Youtube viewership in India
3. Increasing internet penetration
4. Usage of retro music and remix in sitcoms, and by OTTs.
5. Insta reels
6. Finally, an optionality of Audio NFT!
Read, read and read. Hope to have a few insights :)

Watch our Saregama Video🎵🎵 to know more about how autocatalysis is playing out! (positively biased)

https://t.co/hfe6zfy8lt

More from Intrinsic Compounding

Intrinsic Compounding
Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance
Commandments of Investing Success!

Some of the key principles of investing that have helped me in my journey.

Retweet for Max reach!

🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

Commandment 1

Investing is a game of probabilities and not a game of possibilities. First thing that is the most important is to adapt your investing philosophy to your own circumstances. Eg:- if you are able to give less time to research then it is foolish to buy

concentrated positions or companies that are just emerging with a higher allocation.

Commandment 2

This is the one where I have been burnt in the past. Hopefully I have learnt my lesson, always pencil in conservative growth estimates. Let the business beat your low

expectations and then take a victory lap. At the end you are here to compound your capital and not look like a hero.

Commandment 3

Have both concentration and diversification work for you. Make a portfolio of 12-20 stocks. Look for different themes. Concentrate in your top

Positions (10-11 stocks) and the other stocks should be like football players who are warming the bench and willing to play as soon as they get on to the pitch to replace any stock (one) who is injured or cannot continue to play.
ALL
Intrinsic Compounding
Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance
Another JV from PI Industries, they recently incorporated another subsidiary by the name of PI Health sciences.

Interesting signalling here:

1. Acquisition of IndSwfit's api business
2. Incorporation of 3 subsidiaries: PI Enzachem Pvt ltd and PI Fermachem Pvt Ltd


Pi Health sciences.

3. Now this JV.

Let's see what is ahead of us, increasing optionalities for sure!
PIINDUSTRIESINFO
Advertisement
Intrinsic Compounding
Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance
A detailed blog on Prince Pipes and what makes a Pipe company successful with comparison across the industry: by @badola_arjun

Link to read🔗: https://t.co/N58Fp4pOdL
STOCKS , PRINCEPIPES
Intrinsic Compounding
Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance
The Basics of a Cash Flow Statement explained from scratch 🏧🎰🧮

In this thread we will talk about -

1. How Cash flow statement is made?
2. What is CFO,CFI and CFF?
3. Why is CFO/Ebitda important?
4. Finally, we will talk about Free Cash flow statement

Retweet for max reach!


A Cash flow statement shows inflow and outflow of cash and cash equivalents from various activities of a company during a particular period.

The net cash flow at the end of the year tells us about the movement of cash on the balance sheet.

Why is cash flow important? ⤵️

Companies maintain books of accounts as per accrual principle, that means we book revenue or expense as and when it is incurred.

Let's say we make sales of 10,000 so we will record it as when sale is completed and prepare P&L accordingly, here it doesn't matter whether cash is received or not.

Cash flow helps us in knowing whether that 10,000 has been received in cash or not.

For Example:- There are 2 companies selling T-shirts and doing the following transactions:
CASH FLOWS
Intrinsic Compounding
Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance
Why Indoco Remedies looks Interesting and why FY22-24 growth is likely to be stellar here?

Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵

(Source for ophthalmics data:Nirmal Bang and rest is own work)

Looking at the incremental opportunity in Ophthalmics:-

Market size is not attractive for the Large Generic companies but for someone like Indoco which has a smalll base in exports business


As per the USFDA’s orange book, for Ophthalmic suspension drugs, only 3 out of 17 molecules have an active patent. Among the 14 molecules that are patent expired, 8 molecules are yet to see generic
competition.

Even for the one’s which have seen generic competition, the competitive intensity is very low and there is space for an additional entrant.. Entrenched players like Novartis, Bausch & Lomb and Abbvie have dominated this market with legacy products for decades.

Indoco Remedies and Sun Pharma are the only Indian generic manufacturers to have successfully won approvals for generic version of Ophthalmic suspensions in the US market. Indoco Remedies has recently launched generic version of Azopt (brinozolamide)
INDOCO

More from Ideas

ishmohit
ishmohit
@ishmohit1
The secret to understand competitive dynamics in gold finance is to focus on the player which has approvals from Rbi to set up more than 2000 branches and not the ones which are facing difficulties in expanding. You know who the real challenger to Muthoot will be
IDEAS
Brian Feroldi
Brian Feroldi
@BrianFeroldi
I asked, “What company is worth less than $10 billion today but you think could be worth $500+ billion in a few decades?”

I received 710 answers

Here are 20 top stocks that have 50x+ potential:

1: Alteryx - $AYX

Market cap: $5.1 billion

What it does: Big data analytics

2: Boston Omaha - $BOMN

Market Cap: $900 million

What it does: Berkshire Hathaway 2.0

3: Beyond Meat - $BYND

Market Cap: $7.9 billion

What it does: Plant-based meat

4: Desktop Metals - $DM

Market Cap: $2.3 billion

What it does: 3D Printing
IDEAS
Advertisement
Sid \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
Sid 🇮🇳...
@resilience1011
@_soniashenoy TPG is looking at a floor of 5x-6x returns 😌

@_soniashenoy Here’s what TPG’s investment brings in (1/2):
a. A much-needed longer runway
b. Strong governance and no-slack attitude
c. Push to get the EV strategy right - start transitioning from buy and assemble to a build in-house model
d. De-risking the existing business
IDEAS
Intrinsic Compounding
Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance
Praj is not just an Ethanol Play. Found this bit to be the best, creating mind map of optionalities requires in-depth understanding and use of knowledge from multiple domains. Hats off @unseenvalue 🙌🙌
https://t.co/XP4SErAZVo
SUGAR , PRAJ , IDEAS
Tushar Bohra
Tushar Bohra
@tusharbohra
@unseenvalue @AdityaKhemka5 I think we may not reach double digit in counting. Not more than 4-5 would be my guess. One of which is a top holding in Aditya's portfolio. :)

The private hospital space in India has long way to go, we are only getting started...
IDEAS

You May Also Like

Tweeting Historians
Tweeting Historians
@Tweetistorian
@ChenHuailun here. I'm adding a supplementary thread before today's scheduled one to expand on the origins and early history of the Church of the East (aka the Nestorian Church) ~ahc #jingjiao 1/


The Church of the East traces its origins to the christological position of the School of Antioch, which held that the human and divine and human essences (ουσία) of Christ were united in a single prosopon (πρόσωπον). ~ahc #jingjiao 2/


This ran against the position of the School of Alexandria, which held that the two essences of Christ were united in a single hypostasis (ὑπόστασις). In general terms, hypostasis is more inherent than prosopon. ~ahc #jingjiao 3/


One implication of the Antiochene rejection of the hypostatic union is that Mary could not accurately be called the Theotokos, or God-bearer. Instead, she is the Christotokos, the Christ-bearer. ~ahc #jingjiao 4/


These Christological debates were further complicated by Syriac terms such as 'kyana' (ܟܝܢܐ), associated with 'ousia' but later translated to 'hypostasis' by Syrian Orthodox; and 'qnoma ' (ܩܢܘܡܐ), sometimes contentiously translated as 'hypostasis' or 'person.' ~ahc #jingjiao 5/
RELIGION
David Rothkopf
David Rothkopf
@djrothkopf
Pretending that voting for Trump or denying climate change or suggesting the solution to every problem is more guns is a legitimate point of view, worthy of respect is not "how America works." It is how it dies.

People in a free society are entitled to any point of view no matter how obviously wrong or outlandish or destructive provided they do not impose their views on others.

But suggesting that something ignorant or divorced from reality warrants the same kind of treatment in public debate as something based in fact or at least credible is absurd and when done on behalf of a society in public media or academic settings it is self-destructive.

We would not grant media coverage or much bandwidth at all to a group that argued that unicorns exist or that there was a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Yet views like denying climate change or basing policy decisions on sweeping, obvious lies, are just as unsound.

Somewhere, somehow, judgments must be made. Some behaviors are wrong and must be condemned. Someone must challenge lies and demand facts. Coddling people who embrace idiocies does not help them no matter how loudly they demand to be coddled.
POLITICS
Advertisement
Vedic Gyaan
Vedic Gyaan
@vedicgyaanindia
The chorus of this song uses the shlokas taken from Sundarkand of Ramayana.

It is a series of Sanskrit shlokas recited by Jambavant to Hanuman to remind Him of his true potential.

1. धीवर प्रसार शौर्य भरा: The brave persevering one, your bravery is taking you forward.


2. उतसारा स्थिरा घम्भीरा: The one who is leaping higher and higher, who is firm and stable and seriously determined.

3. ुग्रामा असामा शौर्या भावा: He is strong, and without an equal in the ability/mentality to fight

4. रौद्रमा नवा भीतिर्मा: His anger will cause new fears in his foes.

5.विजिटरीपुरु धीरधारा, कलोथरा शिखरा कठोरा: This is a complex expression seen only in Indic language poetry. The poet is stating that Shivudu is experiencing the intensity of climbing a tough peak, and likening

it to the feeling in a hard battle, when you see your enemy defeated, and blood flowing like a rivulet. This is classical Veera rasa.

6.कुलकु थारथिलीथा गम्भीरा, जाया विराट वीरा: His rough body itself is like a sharp weapon (because he is determined to win). Hail this complete

hero of the world.

7.विलयगागनथाला भिकारा, गरज्जद्धरा गारा: The hero is destructive in the air/sky as well (because he can leap at an enemy from a great height). He can defeat the enemy (simply) with his fearsome roar of war.
VEDICGYAN
Brian Cates
Brian Cates
@drawandstrike
Great article from @AsheSchow. I lived thru the 'Satanic Panic' of the 1980's/early 1990's asking myself "Has eveyrbody lost their GODDAMN MINDS?!"


The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.

1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!

2) "Repressed memory" syndrome

3) Facilitated Communication [FC]

All 3 led to massive abuse.

"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.

Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.

FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
CULTURE
Hector Navarro
Hector Navarro
@Hectorisfunny
I'm going to attempt to chronologically list all of the Marvel characters Stan Lee had a hand in creating. Working with his genius collaborators, Stan and his team produced an insane amount of iconic characters in a roughy ten year period. (Thread)


With his younger brother, writer Larry Lieber, and Jack "the King" Kirby:

Groot

Tales to Astonish #13 (November, 1960)


With writer Lieber, and artist Kirby:

Fin Fang Foom

Strange Tales #89 (October, 1961)


With the King, Stan gives birth to the Marvel Universe:

The Fantastic Four

Fantastic Four #1 (November, 1961)


With Jack Kirby:

Mister Fantastic

Fantastic Four #1 (November, 1961)
CULTURE