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Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance 4 years, 9 months ago 746 views

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An Example of what Tailwinds look like:

More from Intrinsic Compounding

Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance

The Art of asking smart questions | When do you really graduate as an investor?

Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

Retweet for Max reach!!

You graduate as an investor when you start asking things like the quality of revenue, incremental quality of earnings and the competitive landscape. Eg:- One API player will grow earnings because of shortage in market for those

APIs but the other one which will grow because of being the lowest cost producer. The markets often give higher Valuations to the latter player.

Another example that comes to mind is Balkrishna Industries vs other tyre players.🚜🚜

Given the fact that it is the lowest cost producer and has the highest margins. It always gets a premium to the other players in the tyre space. Whether at peak or at trough.

One more example is that of APL Apollo, same business got low valuations during the last cycle and collapsed by 50%+ when their EBITDA per tonne reduced. In this cycle, the value added proportion has increased.

Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance

What all do I read to keep myself informed about new opportunities and to keep updating myself with the new happenings in the world?

Time for a thread about all tools I use to research,Find information and update myself about different subjects

🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

Blog Subscriptions I am subscribed to for investing:

1. @borrowed_ideas
2. Non-Gaap Substack
3. The Flywheel substack
4. Read The Generalist
5. Kiran D- has a blog on word press
6. Uncommon Profits
7. Used to read stalwart but they reduced the posting
8. @rohitchauhan

9. @IntelsenseI
10. @SeekingAlpha
11. @themotleyfool
12. Betaoalpha Substack by @mehrotra_saket
13. @MarcellusInvest
14. @PerfectResearch

Others that I like to read

1. @TheKenWeb
2. @EconomicTimes Prime. Recently they have improved
3. @TheEconomist
4. @forbes_india

Sectoral experts/Analysts that I follow:

For Pharma- @AdityaKhemka5 , @unseenvalue & @punitbansal14 + Contract Pharma for cdmo

For Banking- @HemindraHazari , Digant Haria and Ashish Gupta from Credit Suisse (he's terrific)

For chemicals- Rohit Nagraj from Emkay Global

and chemical weekly+Chemical reports monthly from B&K securities

Broker reports that I like to read whenever I can:

1. Spark capital-hands down the best reports in the country.

2. Ambit- publish some good stuff. But rarely available

3. JM Financial- exceptional reports.

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Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance

The Basics of a Cash Flow Statement explained from scratch 🏧🎰🧮

In this thread we will talk about -

1. How Cash flow statement is made?
2. What is CFO,CFI and CFF?
3. Why is CFO/Ebitda important?
4. Finally, we will talk about Free Cash flow statement

Retweet for max reach!

A Cash flow statement shows inflow and outflow of cash and cash equivalents from various activities of a company during a particular period.

The net cash flow at the end of the year tells us about the movement of cash on the balance sheet.

Why is cash flow important? ⤵️

Companies maintain books of accounts as per accrual principle, that means we book revenue or expense as and when it is incurred.

Let's say we make sales of 10,000 so we will record it as when sale is completed and prepare P&L accordingly, here it doesn't matter whether cash is received or not.

Cash flow helps us in knowing whether that 10,000 has been received in cash or not.

For Example:- There are 2 companies selling T-shirts and doing the following transactions:

Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance

Everything about Free cash Flow Simplified!

What we will talk about in this 🧵🧵:

1⃣What is Free Cash Flow
2⃣How to calculate Free Cash Flow
3⃣Types of Free Cash Flow
4⃣Importance & Limitations of Free Cash Flow

Let's dive in ⤵️⤵️

What is Free Cash Flow?

Free cash flow means the cash that is left over after a company pays for its operating expenses and capital expenditures (Capex) like purchasing new machinery, equipment, land & building, etc. and satisfying all its working capital needs.

In simple words, suppose whatever cash that is left with you after you spend your salary or income is known as Free cash flow that you can use for different purposes.

The more FCF a company has, the better it is. Businesses which generate high FCF can:-

1⃣Give investors higher dividends
2⃣Do share buybacks
3⃣Build a war chest for acquisitions or Capex.
4⃣Reinvest in the business when opportunity arises with lesser dependence on debt.

How to calculate Free Cash Flow👇:

To calculate free cash flow, all you need to do is open the Cash Flow Statement and subtract "Net Capital expenditure" from "net cash from operating activities".

Intrinsic Compounding
@soicfinance

Why Indoco Remedies looks Interesting and why FY22-24 growth is likely to be stellar here?

Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵

(Source for ophthalmics data:Nirmal Bang and rest is own work)

Looking at the incremental opportunity in Ophthalmics:-

Market size is not attractive for the Large Generic companies but for someone like Indoco which has a smalll base in exports business

As per the USFDA’s orange book, for Ophthalmic suspension drugs, only 3 out of 17 molecules have an active patent. Among the 14 molecules that are patent expired, 8 molecules are yet to see generic
competition.

Even for the one’s which have seen generic competition, the competitive intensity is very low and there is space for an additional entrant.. Entrenched players like Novartis, Bausch & Lomb and Abbvie have dominated this market with legacy products for decades.

Indoco Remedies and Sun Pharma are the only Indian generic manufacturers to have successfully won approvals for generic version of Ophthalmic suspensions in the US market. Indoco Remedies has recently launched generic version of Azopt (brinozolamide)

More from Ideas

Tren Griffin
@trengriffin

1/ A orders chips. Supplier says "supply is getting tight." A triples order to store them in a warehouse. Supplier tells other customers supply is even tighter. They order extra chips. Quickly there are more chips in warehouses than toilet paper in garages during the pandemic.

2/ Intel's Gelsinger: "I don’t expect the chip industry is back to a healthy supply-demand situation until ’23. For a variety of industries, I think it’s still getting worse before it gets better.”

Are chips in warehouses the prime cause of the shortage? No. Demand is higher.

3/ "Software eating the world" means rising demand for chips.

I'm skeptical that this increase in chip demand is "transitory."

Fabs and backhoes don't increase with Moore's law. https://t.co/m7ZreQTzow

4/ If you invert Nathan's 1st Law:

Software can't expand faster than the chips and memory that enables its magic.

Broadcom's CEO believes chip production is a mature industry that will return to lower growth. I disagree in the medium term at least.

$Balaji Vaidyanath \u26a1\ufe0f$

Balaji Vaidyanath ⚡️...
@nbalajiv

A humble prediction. Seeds are being sown around the world for a comeback of nuclear energy. In the next decade, we can see government’s around the world approving more nuclear reactors as they realize they aren’t going anywhere near net carbon zero with wind and solar. 🧵

Take Australia for example. It is home to 1/3rd of the world’s uranium - the chemical element needed to produce nuclear energy in reactors but doesn’t have a single nuclear reactor to generate electricity.

Which is fine as long as you have other sources of energy that are cheap, plentiful and reliable. But South Australia’s energy prices are arguably the highest in the

The European Commission released a very important report this April. In its assessment, it concluded that nuclear energy had near to zero greenhouse gas emissions in energy generation phase and can be a contributor to climate mitigation

What about radioactive waste management? France which produces 75% of its energy requirements from nuclear is a great example.

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Dinesh Sairam
@Dinesh_Sairam

This thread is for investors or those who are interested in CDSL as an investment. Often the central reason quoted for an investment here is the gush of FCF the business produces and some float money also to boot. But this argument ignores a central problem as well. (1/11)

I completely agree that CDSL is a business that produces ample amount of Free Cash. So, it begs the question: "What are they doing with all that cash?" Generally, firms can utilize the cash on their books in 4 ways: Dividends, Acquisitions, Capex/Investments and Buybacks. (2/11)

CDSL does have a Dividend Payout Ratio of ~35-40%. But Dividends are the least efficient way of utilizing cash, due to the Triple Taxation on Dividends. More

Handled well, Inorganic Growth is so lucrative that some companies build their business models around acquisitions (Say, MSSL or Cyient). However, CDSL literally CAN'T be one such company. Read 7 (c) of the below regulatory document to know more:

https://t.co/071lwnnwJ4

(4/11)

CDSL can also reinvest cash into their own business, like most companies do. But CDSL (And most Exchanges) have little need for Capex/Reinvestment. CDSL's IPO came in at Rs. 523.99 Crores. Two years in, the Cash and Investments on their books stands at Rs. 650 Crores. (5/11)

$Scott Domes \U0001f680$

Scott Domes 🚀
@scottdomes

How to have better, more creative ideas

A thread of wisdom from:
@TheSchoolOfLife
@david_perell
@anthilemoon
@joulee
@stephsmithio
& more

🧵👇

First, recognize that there are no new ideas.

Innovation is just rearranging existing concepts in a revolutionary way.

To get better at that, learn to combine your unique interests.

I wrote about this

offers a five step process for generating inspiration:

1. Gather raw material.

2. Work over them in your mind.

3. Let your subconscious mind process them.

4. Have a “Eureka" moment.

5. Shape and develop your idea — make it

suggests increasing your creativity by being prolific

Generate as many ideas as you can, as often as you can

Have a daily routine that primes your mind for

looks for a specific combination of traits in order to determine if an idea is worth pursuing

The criteria are:
- interesting
- doesn't exist in that exact form
- something she can uniquely contribute

Pritesh Patel
@Pritesh7994

In last 2-3 years we have seen that automobile companies have been in competition in term of car features. Features like digital speedo meter, fully digital instrument cluster, wireless charger, air purifier, digital screen monitor, GPS, IoT, and many other such features. …

…Like kia and Hyundai gives good features in just Rs 17 lakh car as compared with Rs 45 lakh BMW. Kia and Hyundai gives almost all features of BMW in just Rs 17-20 lakh car. So there is huge competition in automobile companies in terms of features, who gives more features in…

…low budget. And in all such digital features ASM TECHNOLOGIES is a leading player. #ASMTechnologies.

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Elizabeth May
@_ElizabethMay

This is NONSENSE. The people who take photos with their books on instagram are known to be voracious readers who graciously take time to review books and recommend them to their followers. Part of their medium is to take elaborate, beautiful photos of books. Die mad, Guardian.

Beautifully read: why bookselfies are all over Instagram https://t.co/pBQA3JY0xm
— Guardian Books (@GuardianBooks) October 30, 2018

THEY DO READ THEM, YOU JUDGY, RACOON-PICKED TRASH BIN

If you come for Bookstagram, i will fight you.

In appreciation, here are some of my favourite bookstagrams of my books: (photos by lit_nerd37, mybookacademy, bookswrotemystory, and scorpio_books)

Alex Oluwatobi
@alexlobaloba

According to psychologists, there are four types of intelligence:

- Intelligence Quotient (IQ)
- Emotional Quotient (EQ)
- Social Quotient (SQ)
- Adversity Quotient (AQ)

1. IQ is the measure of one's ability to comprehend, solve maths; memorize things & recall subject matters.

2. EQ is the measure of your ability to maintain peace with others; keep to time; be responsible; be honest; respect boundaries; be humble, genuine, and considerate.

3. SQ is the measure of one's ability to build a network of friends & maintain it over a long period of time.

4. AQ is the measure of your ability to go through a rough patch in life and come out without losing your mind. It is a new paradigm and can be used to determine who will give up in face of troubles and may abandon their families.

Now to the very interesting & analytical part👇

People that have higher EQ & SQ tend to go further in life than those with high IQ but low EQ &SQ.

Most schools capitalize on improving IQ level while EQ & SQ are played down.

A man of high IQ can end up being employed by a man of high EQ & SQ even though he has an average IQ.

Your EQ represents your character; your SQ represents your charisma. Give in to habits that will improve these three Qs but more especially your EQ and SQ.

EQ and SQ make one manage better than the other.

Try not only to have a higher IQ but also to have higher EQ and SQ.

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Michael Dearing
@mcgd

An irony of facebook's situation.

Sheryl got her MBA at Harvard. One of the most famous cases (Extra Strength Tylenol) in one of the most famous classes (Business History) she took: in 1982, someone put cyanide in Extra Strength Tylenol capsules and killed 7 people in Chicago.

What do you do when someone turns your product into a weapon? When they use the system you built to harm? James Burke, CEO of J&J, was shockingly open with the public, he pulled the product and made significant packaging changes to make product safer (but not tamper-proof).

He over-shared every step along the way re investigation, redesign, stood up as both CEO and human. The reintroduction of new Extra Strength Tylenol succeeded. Burke saved the brand.

But four years later it happened again. A killer put cyanide in the capsules, this time a woman in Yonkers died. Same CEO, Burke, pulled the product again, completely changed the form factor from capsule to caplet and relaunched *again*. It worked *again*. How'd they do that?

Burke (CEO) tapped J&Js goodwill bank account w/ the public. Two big withdrawals from that bank account in four years + 8 dead bodies! But his honesty, openness, humanity (choked up about the deaths more than once), humility kept the goodwill bank balance positive the whole time.

meilong
@meilong15

一个北大毕业的殡葬工自述武汉封城期间的经历，凄惨。这应该才是武汉的真实情景，跟很多人的叙述是吻合的。

https://t.co/QYTO1SYedG

Jaya_Upadhyaya
@Jayalko1

GHATI SUBRAMANYA, DODDABALLAPURA (KAR)
#bharatmandir

One of the most important place for snake worship.
The murtis of Kartikeya and Narasimha are self-manifested.
There is an anthill which is opposite the shrine. Bhaktas pour milk on it as part of rituals.

Here Subramanya performed penance in the form of snake. He sought protection from Narsimha for Nagas from Sri Vishnu’s vehicle Garuda, known for his dislike towards serpents.
The Pushya Suddha Shasti is one of the biggest festivals here believed to be appearance day of Subramanya

It was in this region where Subramanya vanquished Ghatikasura, the demon. Hence called Ghati Subramanya.
Childless couples visit here to seek blessings for getting a child.
The installation of snake murtis near the shrine is believed to be an auspicious act.

The murti of Karthikeya with a seven headed cobra faces eastwards while Narasimha faces westwards.
To ensure that both are visible to bhaktas at the same time, a huge mirror is placed in the rear in the sanctum sanctorum.