Short thread on how DfE sneaked out a £250 million cut to school budgets in the middle of a pandemic and how it will impact the poorest and most vulnerable pupils

No publicity, no great public announcement as @educationgovuk cut £1/4 billion from its Pupil Premium budget

Pupil Premium (PP) is extra funding to help disadvantaged children & those living in poverty, it’s funding to help with levelling up & social mobility

Schools receive extra money for pupils claiming free school meals, it’s currently £935 for secondary & £1320 for primary
The funding was calculated based on the second annual school census which is in January, the first census being early October

This gives schools time to encourage FSM registration & check everything before the dataset is used
As of last Januarys census there were 1.44 million pupils registered to receive Free school meals

Then we had COVID

Despite the government’s furlough scheme & other support, we saw a huge increases in job insecurity and a rise in numbers claiming Universal credit
By October the number of pupils claiming free school meals had risen to over 1.6million

That’s an extra 200,000 pupils below the UC threshold & entitled to FSM

It seems highly likely the numbers continued to rise, especially with a 2 month lag between UC claims & eligibility
For those who don’t know, Schools have been working tirelessly throughout the pandemic, filling in for the failings in social care, becoming beacons in their communities

They’ve opened food banks, testing centres, provided laptops to vulnerable families, never closing
Then on December 17th, the last day of term for many, the government sneaked out a tiny change to their data collection. A change that will have huge implications for schools

@educationgovuk announced they would calculate PP using the October census data rather than January’s
What this means in practice is that anyone who becomes eligible for FSM after the first week of October 2020, will not receive any Pupil Premium funding until they appear on the census next October

Whereas previously PP would have been triggered in January
So assuming FSM eligibility continued to rise at a similar rate, that’s 200,000 pupils missing out on PP for a whole year

This deprives schools of around £250,000,000 in extra funding, hitting the poorest communities the hardest
Ministers argued “The move to the October census simplifies the school funding system, and provide both schools and the Department with greater certainty around future funding levels earlier in the year”

Of course that’s utter claptrap

https://t.co/MsAlsVsw9M
@educationgovuk undermine their own argument by continuing to use the January data for alternative provision schools

They could have given notice of the change, used this Januarys data and then gone to October next year
This looks like a cynical move to suppress Pupil Premium spending during a period when poverty is rising and Free School Meal eligibility would have sky rocketed

@GavinWilliamson saved himself £1/4 billion by taking PP away from thousands of vulnerable children
It’s hard to see this as anything other than a cost cutting exercise

@educationgovuk didn’t give any notice, it was simply imposed

Schools will know FSM numbers & will budget accordingly, they will have spent money expecting to receive PP

Again it’s the poorest hit hardest
Here’s the kicker

Just imagine if @educationgovuk had been ADDING an extra £250 million to school budgets rather than taking it away

We’d see announcement after announcement, @GavinWilliamson doing the rounds of every TV studio, whimpering on about helping disadvantaged pupils
Perhaps I should add that I can see this government ending the Ever 6 PP funding as soon as it feels it’s politically convenient

They may hang on until there is a review of FSM, but my view is they will stop this funding at some point

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I credit Fintwit for my learnings.

Here's 10 key concepts every investor must know:

1. $$ needed to retire
2. Researching a business
3. Reading annual reports
4. Reading earnings calls
5. Criteria of a multi bagger

(Read on...)

6. Holding a multi bagger
7. Economic moats
8. When to buy a stock
9. Earnings vs cashflow
10. Traits of quality companies

Here's my 10 favourite threads on these concepts:

1. How much $$ do you need to retire

Before you start, you must know the end game.

To meet your retirement goals...

How much $$ do you need in your portfolio?

10-K Diver does a good job explaining what's a safe withdrawl rate.

Hint: It's NOT


2. Research a business

Your investment returns are a lagging indicator.

Instead, your research skills are the leading predictor of your results.

Conclusion?

To be a good investor, you must be a great business researcher.

Start with


3. Reading annual reports

This is the bread and butter of a good business analyst.

You cannot just listen to opinions from others.

You must learn to deep dive a business and make your own judgments.

Start with the 10k.

Ming Zhao explains it

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