Bitcoin recently hit $34,000 yesterday when as recent as October 10th, it was $11,000

Here’s some unsolicited advice: If you feel you have “bad luck” with investing; i.e. you feel that “if you buy Bitcoin today, the price of Bitcoin will drop”; don’t buy in.

Here’s why I say so

I try to never categorically give financial advice because I’d rather show people how I’d make decisions if I were in their shoes and I like (prefer) people to think for themselves and consciously make decisions they feel is best for them or decisions they can live with and not
just go off what some random person on the internet says BUT I’ll make an exception this time and tell you this, if you think you have bad luck with investing, don’t buy in. Here’s why:

People that feel they have bad luck with investing often have 3 things in common:

1. Fear:
This fear might be informed from bad experiences they’ve had in the past or it might be some irrational fear but they have high fear of losing. If you feel like you have bad luck with investing, anything (good/bad) that happens to your investment is going to feed into that fear.
In fact, you could go as far as looking for anything that would confirm your fear that you’ve made a bad decision. You’ll suddenly start seeing news articles saying that asset will drop, you’ll watch the charts and any small drop in price would confirm that fear.

2. Because of
their fear, they’re impatient: Patience is one of the most important attributes to have as an investor. Patience will keep you invested in something even when the asset is having a bad time. When you are afraid that something will go wrong, the moment anything LOOKS like it MIGHT
go wrong, you are quite likely going to run off because that confirms your fear.

3. They make rash decisions: People that feel they have bad luck with investing are often those that make rash decisions with investing. The first decision of buying that asset/investment is the
first rash decision they typically make.

They often don’t do research on the asset to understand how the asset works or what drives the asset. They often invest in things that are “popping” or doing well at a certain time.

They are often among the last people to jump on the
fast moving train of an investment that’s growing fast. They are often among the last adopters because they tell themselves that “I know this asset will drop the moment I buy in”, so they steer clear. But few days/weeks later, the asset keeps rising and maybe they tell themselves
the same thing. Then the asset rises AGAIN, at this point (or after they’ve repeated this dance a few more times), FOMO (fear of missing out) sets in, so they throw their hat in the ring. But the problem is, they got in just at the end of the bull run. So the asset price starts
dropping, which confirms their fear, and drops some more, and because they lack the patience that comes with understanding the asset, they sell at a loss and have their fears “confirmed”.

While Bitcoin’s bull run does not seem to have an end in sight, like all things that go up,
it would come down. It might not crash as low as $4k as it did in March 2020, but it’s price would eventually go down. If you feel like you always have bad luck with investing, you definitely don’t want to jump on a bull run out of FOMO. Be patient, understand the asset. Do this https://t.co/C8ndYoSAPD

More from Crypto

1/ A thread on Nexgen’s Arrow & the #uranium cycle ($NXE)


2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.

3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.

4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.

5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.

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