( it never happens )
Will start this thread with a disclaimer. I have never invested a rupee in cryptos 😀
But I have studied bull and bear cycles and financial bubbles extensively. Saw 1992, 2000, 2008 with own eyes. The first one as a novice, the next two when I knew to analyze
( it never happens )

----end ---
More from Subhadip Nandy
In a high IV environment or when the market is very volatile
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) January 21, 2022
" OTM options will behave like ATM options", one will get almost the same delta movement
Say we have two options, one 50 delta ATM options and another 30 delta OTM option. Normally for a 100 point move, the ATM option will move 50 points and the OTM option will move 30 points. But in a high volatile environment, the OTM option will also move nearly 50 points
To understand why this happens, first understand why an ATM option is 50 delta. An ATM option has the probability of 50% of expiring as ITM. The price just has to close a rupee above the strike for the CE to be ITM and vice versa for PEs
Now think of a highly volatile day like today. If someone is asked where the BNF will close for the day or expiry, no one can answer. BNF can close freakin anywhere, That makes every option of an equal probability of being ITM. So all options have a 50% probability of being ITM
Hence, when a huge volatile move starts, all OTM options behave like ATM options. This phenomenon was first observed in the Black Monday crash of 1987 at Wall Street, which also gave rise to the volatility skew/smirk
Sir, today #niftybank was continue making new high, but 31700 CE was struggling to go up. I bought at 140, some how managed to sell it at 200. I m ok, in identifying directional edge but options behave differently.
— Vikash Shrivastava\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3 (@VikashS28) May 27, 2019
An option has two parts, intrinsic and extrinsic value. Think of a pack of Lay's potato chips. When you buy and open the pack, what you find is some chips and a lot of air. Intrinsic value is the chips, extrinsic value is air

https://t.co/8ZPv4ZnCiL

https://t.co/icWmqSLENW

https://t.co/vHA6azEmbQ

In financial mathematics, implied volatility of an option contract is
that value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when
input in an option pricing model ) will return a theoretical value equal to the current market price of the option (1/n)
Implied volatility, a forward-looking and subjective measure, differs
from historical volatility because the latter is calculated from known
past returns of a security. .
https://t.co/iC5wVf7kvj (2/n)
To understand where Implied Volatility stands in terms of the underlying, implied volatility rank is used to understand its implied volatility from a one year high and low IV.
https://t.co/NFPOidRRcH
https://t.co/qNqinEqaKY
(3/n)
Options traders are always looking at the IV and IVR/IVP. For option
buyers, a low IV environment is best to initiate positions as the
subsequent rise in IV actually helps their positions . Even if the IV
remains flat, the position is not hurt by volatility (4/n)
Option sellers on the other hand are looking for high IV scenarios, where
the subsequent fall in IV ( known a vol crush , most often seen after
earnings/events) helps their positions. Here also, if the IV does not
rise, it does not hurt a seller's positions (5/n)
For a naked option to make money, it's better if IV rises or at least stays flat.
Rule 3 : DO NOT run or trade everything that moves. Focus on a few stocks and master them. When a move comes, make the max out of that move.
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) October 14, 2021
Example : in this crazy mkt, I did not even trade TataMotors this week. Stayed focussed on ITC and it gave good returns https://t.co/41wkugZg1I
This is a thread I wrote on IV, IVR etc
IV - A thread
— Subhadip Nandy (@SubhadipNandy16) September 20, 2018
In financial mathematics, implied volatility of an option contract is
that value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when
input in an option pricing model ) will return a theoretical value equal to the current market price of the option (1/n)
More from Crypto
You know what's coming:
🔺️ Regulation
🔺️ More shutdowns
🔺️ Banks deciding who gets to do business
It's time you got your own crypto wallet.
Don't know how? I'll show you.
/////THREAD\\\\\
METAMASK
What's metamask? It's a wallet. That you -- I mean YOU -- own.
You see, when you buy crypto through an exchange like CoinBase, you own it but only kind of.
If they get
🔺 Hacked
🔺 Shutdown
🔺 Servers crash
-- your money is STUCK.
We are gonna avoid that 👇

First thing,
Go to
https://t.co/JXAp9o5RzJ
You can download it on your computer. It's a browser extension.
Alternatively, go to the app store on your Android or iPhone. It's there too.
As part of the setup process, you will choose a password.
More importantly though...
SEED PHRASE
As you follow the setup process, you will be given a 12-word seed phrase.
WRITE. THIS. DOWN.
Take it down and guard it like the map to Davey Jones' Locker.
THESE ARE THE ONLY WAY TO RECOVER YOUR ACCOUNT.
DO NOT LOSE.
We good? Great.
Let's continue.

Once you're all setup, your MetaMask wallet is going to look something like the picture below.
See where it says Crypto Address? That's where your actual address will be.
It'll be a random arrangement of letters, numbers, etc.
Click on it to copy to your clipboard
NEXT STEP

Can anyone tell me an estimated time frame that Nexgen could be permitted, start building their mine and be producing #uranium ??? @quakes99 @JekyllCapital @travmcph @NexGenEnergy $nxe
— Michael Pierce (@Big_U_Dawg) January 22, 2021
2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.
3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.
4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.
5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.
If we want more Republicans to exercise Murkowski-like courage, we desperately need election reforms to allow them to do so without fearing for their political futures. https://t.co/pre6aLpnje
— Lee Drutman (@leedrutman) January 9, 2021
2. but at each of the big inflection moments where Trump lost support I've begged non-Rs to consider the fact that if Trump supporters see that they have nowhere to go, they will stay w the only people that DO accept them, & the price might actually be the collapse of democracy
3. which, until Weds, some people thought I was being hyperbolic about. I WASN'T! When the MAINSTREAM of a major political party divorces themselves from democratic norms & values & its supporters turn to a fictionalized world to justify their political party's actions, your
4. country's stability is at risk & one by-product of poor messaging on the Dem side is that extremism on the Right was able to not only take root in the Rep Party, it was able to take OVER the R party & become the party's mainstream- pinnacled w the presidential win via the EC
5. of Donald Trump, w/o the GOP paying any electoral price for their extremism. A healthy Rep Party might have found the courage to reject Trump's nomination & accept the short term costs that would have come w refusing to endorse his 2016 candidacy. But the Rep Party of 2016