Good Investing Checklist that goes thru Basics, Financials, Valuation & Behavioral factors. h/t Nicole Seah (not sure if it's @startingfromnix)

I guess there's a reason for why I❤️E-commerce so much. These lessons are as important as the returns.

Sharing with few Fintwit friends. @saxena_puru @FromValue @dhaval_kotecha @richard_chu97 @adventuresinfi @BahamaBen9 @TMFJMo @7Innovator @borrowed_ideas @investing_city

Thank god I didn't wait for consistent GAAP profitability before investing in them (like I do for most other sectors). 😂

Positions : $MELI $AMZN $BABA $SHOP $ETSY $W $SE $CHWY

Watchlist : $JD $PDD $FTCH $MWK

Haven't analyzed much : $JMIA $OZON

E-Commerce is one of those sectors where you have to understand the Business model and lot of non-GAAP (but Business driving) metrics & KPIs.

I'm not an expert by any means, but these are some of the things I broadly think about.

✔️Is the Company a Marketplace (1st party, 3rd party, both?) or a Platform, a combination?

✔️Does it handle inventory?

✔️Does it handle payments in house?

✔️What other services is it offering to Merchants (Logistics, Shipping, Credit, Marketing ...)

✔️What other services is it offering to Buyers (Digital Wallet, fast shipping, loyalty rewards....)

✔️How is the Company leveraging the Marketplace or Data Network effects?

Excellent article on Investor psychology & Market cycles based on Howard Marks' "Mastering the Market Cycle".

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid

My fav pts 👇

continued...

Excellent pts 👇

✔️Mania and risk
"The combination of feedback loops and irrational exuberance, where newfound expectations and enthusiasm, encourages investors to bid up and rationalize extraordinary growth in asset prices.

By contrast, during periods of fear and pessimism, many face difficulties with identifying potential future value beyond the immediate-term.

An understanding of where attitudes to risk sits within the current investor psychology cycle can be a useful knowledge advantage.

"6 Rules From 6 of the World's Top Investors" - Nice article with some good lessons for long-term investors.

1⃣ Let Winners Run
2⃣ Do the Research
3⃣ Have Conviction
4⃣ Patience Is Key
5⃣ Be Wary (of random advice)
6⃣ Look

1⃣ Let Winners Run : "Be patient with winning trades; be enormously impatient with losing trades."

Although this is in reference to trading, it applies well to long-term investors also. Be patient and don't take quick/small gains when you're invested in wonderful companies..

..acquired at decent prices with lot of growth ahead.

At the same time, if the thesis is broken and you no longer believe in the Company which has been a loser in your Portfolio, don't stay invested with a hope of coming out even.

2⃣ Do the Research : "First, look at the quality of the company, then at the price. Looking at the quality of a company requires that you read financial statements, listen to conference calls, and vet management.

Then, only after you have confidence in the quality of the company, should the price be evaluated.

If a company isn't a quality company, don't buy it just because the price is low. Bargain-bin companies often produce bargain-bin results."

One of my all-time favorite articles on "Investing Mistakes". h/t Altais Advisors @basrars @vishalmittal22 👏

So many good lessons here for long-term investors in individual stocks. My fav pts in the thread below.

1⃣ Selling good businesses too early: without giving due importance to long term growth outlook and the potential of the business to scale.

If you are invested in a growing business, do not sell it for temporary overvaluation,

there may be some time correction which is fine, which should be managed at a portfolio level. At the same time, one needs to be careful of slowing growth or fundamental deterioration in the business.

2⃣ Going down the Quality curve: Selling good companies, which were growing well, and investing in cheaper but low quality/ growth companies. Over the cycle, this results in sub optimal returns.

3⃣ Waiting for a little lower price to buy: Losing 10-20 baggers waiting for 20-25% lower price! Missing the boat on so many opportunities trying to just get them a bit cheaper, which never comes.

"The Intelligent Investor" is a fantastic book for learning about Investor & Market psychology.

Great compilation of quotes from the book. h/t @KenFaulkenberry

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

Use this great book for those timeless principles, not for the hard & fast rules and quantitative stuff that used to work 70 yrs ago.

My fav quotes in the thread below, categorized into few sections.👇👇

✔️Discipline

Investing isn’t about beating others at their game. It’s about controlling yourself at your own game.

The sillier the market’s behavior, the greater the opportunity for the business like investor.

By developing your discipline and courage, you can refuse to let other people’s mood swings govern your financial destiny. In the end, how your investments behave is much less important than how you behave.

The investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.

Even the intelligent investor is likely to need considerable will power to keep from following the crowd.

IT WAS RISHI KANADA WHO GAVE THE ATOMIC THEORY & TALKED ABOUT THE GRAVITY OF EARTH, 2600 YEARS BEFORE AN APPLE FELL IN FRONT OF NEWTON'S EYES:

Scientists of the modern world credit an English scientist John Dalton (1766 CE -1844 CE) for the Atomic Theory.

And this is because, most of us are not even aware of an ancient Indian Sage named Kanada, who was the first to formulate the theory of atoms, almost 2600 yrs before Dalton and talk about earth's gravity.

Rishi Kanada was born around 600 BCE in Dwarka, Gujarat and he was the son of a philosopher named Ulka. He was fascinated with the minute detailing of the things right from his childhood. Once, when he was very young, he accompanied his father on a journey to Prayaga.

He saw plentiful grains scattered along the path leading to the shore of river Ganga. It's a tradition in Hindu families to scatter the grains for the ants and birds to feed on them. Suddenly, an ant caught his attention, who was feeding on a rice grain.

He was mesmerised by this very fact that how a small grain of rice becomes food for the ant but to satisfy the hunger of a person so many grains are needed together. This incidence made him realize the importance of a single grain of rice.

Here is the detailed information of about strategy,

Entry time : 9.30 - 10
Exit : Upto you

Strategy :
Sell weekly ATM CE & PE at almost equal price
For ex : Sell Nifty 17250 CE at 50 and Nifty 17250 PE at 48 so it will become short straddle

Buy monthly ATM or near ATM CE & PE at matching price (5-10 points diff should be fine) as hedge
For ex : Buy Nifty 17250 CE at 150 and Nifty 17300 PE at 155 so it will become long straddle.

Weekly Short straddle + Monthly Long straddle

Adjustment:

• If you feel slightly bullish/bearish then no adjustment needed
• If Nifty moves 50 up or down and sustain then just simply roll up or down half of qnty and keep rest of the quantity. If market goes up or down further then roll up or down rest.

• If Nifty moves one side or about to breach BEP then add equal amount of lot. This can balance tested side. For ex: If I bought 17300 CE 4 lot as hedge then add 4 lot so you will have only one side risk . Note: Remember to keep SL at cost price (only for additional lot bought)

Capital requirement:
2.2 L for 4 lot
Adjustment requires additional capital upto 1L

Note : High risk high reward strategy, please don’t execute until you fully understand. Kindly do paper trading or backtest.
RR : 1:1
POP : 45-55%

Kolaru Pathigam-Thevaram hymn composed by ThiruGnana Sambandar- #Thread

In Tamil Kol means planets,Aru means cut- set of songs in Kolaru Pathigam addresses all Navagrahas& last 2 lines of every song with end a plea to Bhagwan Shiva to reduce/erase the ill effects of Navagrahas

கோளறு பதிகம் - This pathigam was sung by Thirugnana Sambandar at Thirumaraikadu Kshetram -Vedaranyam,Tamilnadu

Thirugnana Sambandar & Appar(Thirunavukkarasar) travelled together to various Shiva Alayam to spread shivam & bhakti among people.They both reached Thirumaraikadu.

Thirumaraikadu(Vedaranyam) -
Appar & Sambandar were asked to enter the temple through side entrance.The main door was locked by Vedas many years ago.Appar&Sambandar sang devotional hymns praising Shiva, after which the gates opened & closed.After which main door opened for all.

After darshan of Bhagwan Shiva at Thirumaraikkadu,Sambandar received a message to travel to Madurai.
During that time, Samanam was on the rise in the Pandya Kingdom.The Pandya King converted to Samanam.The Queen Mangaiyarkkarasi was a staunch Shiva devotee and was upset.

Kularchirai Nayanar ,Chief Minister of Pandya kingdom was in agony by the turn of events.Queen requested Kulachirai Nayanar to escort Thiru gnana Sambandar to Madurai.Kularchirai Nayanar met Thiru gnana Sambandar at Thirumaraikkadu & requested him to visit Madurai.

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