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@mugecevik is an excellent scientist and a responsible professional. She likely read the paper more carefully than most. She grasped some of its strengths and weaknesses that are not apparent from a cursory glance. Below, I will mention a few points some may have missed.
1/
The paper does NOT evaluate the effect of school closures. Instead it conflates all āeducational settings' into a single category, which includes universities.
2/
The paper primarily evaluates data from March and April 2020. The article is not particularly clear about this limitation, but the information can be found in the hefty supplementary material.
3/
The authors applied four different regression methods (some fancier than others) to the same data. The outcomes of the different regression models are correlated (enough to reach statistical significance), but they vary a lot. (heat map on the right below).
4/
The effect of individual interventions is extremely difficult to disentangle as the authors stress themselves. There is a very large number of interventions considered and the model was run on 49 countries and 26 US States (and not >200 countries).
5/
1/
I've recently come across a disinformation around evidence relating to school closures and community transmission that's been platformed prominently. This arises from flawed understanding of the data that underlies this evidence, and the methodologies used in these studies. pic.twitter.com/VM7cVKghgj
— Deepti Gurdasani (@dgurdasani1) February 1, 2021
The paper does NOT evaluate the effect of school closures. Instead it conflates all āeducational settings' into a single category, which includes universities.
2/
The paper primarily evaluates data from March and April 2020. The article is not particularly clear about this limitation, but the information can be found in the hefty supplementary material.
3/
The authors applied four different regression methods (some fancier than others) to the same data. The outcomes of the different regression models are correlated (enough to reach statistical significance), but they vary a lot. (heat map on the right below).
4/
The effect of individual interventions is extremely difficult to disentangle as the authors stress themselves. There is a very large number of interventions considered and the model was run on 49 countries and 26 US States (and not >200 countries).
5/
It's lovely to see Tove Ditlevsen gaining her deserved recognition in the world! But it is not true that she is unanimously celebrated in Denmark. She has always been at the center of a almost century long discussion of taste and literary quality. Thread
@PenguinUKBooks @fsgbooks
Just this Saturday, in an article in major Danish newspaper Politiken about Ditlevsens' emerging international succes, the journalist wrote that she "had never reached modernism".
Ditlevsen has been taught in Danish schools as the harper's article says, but 15 years ago in 2006 (she died in the 1970ies!) the omission of her poems on a list for mandatory poems for schoolchildren sparked a fierce debate.
Head of the committee selecting the poems stated that Ditlevsen simply did not meet their standard for quality. No other female writers (or writers of color) had poems on the list. It contained 24 poems from the Middle ages - today. You can see it here:
This list was issued by the Ministry of culture in a dare I say right wing attempt by the prime minister at the time Anders Fogh Rasmussen to dominate the cultural debate and make way for a shift in values. In this he was succesful.
@PenguinUKBooks @fsgbooks
\u201cSad girls in Europe\u201d have become a marketing clich\xe9, elevated from the domain of steadfast bloggers and thoughtful small presses to the interest of major cultural institutions, as with the @nytimes Overlooked obituary series."@laurenoyler https://t.co/wCag5XFGRG
— Harper's Magazine (@Harpers) January 10, 2021
Just this Saturday, in an article in major Danish newspaper Politiken about Ditlevsens' emerging international succes, the journalist wrote that she "had never reached modernism".
Ditlevsen has been taught in Danish schools as the harper's article says, but 15 years ago in 2006 (she died in the 1970ies!) the omission of her poems on a list for mandatory poems for schoolchildren sparked a fierce debate.
Head of the committee selecting the poems stated that Ditlevsen simply did not meet their standard for quality. No other female writers (or writers of color) had poems on the list. It contained 24 poems from the Middle ages - today. You can see it here:
This list was issued by the Ministry of culture in a dare I say right wing attempt by the prime minister at the time Anders Fogh Rasmussen to dominate the cultural debate and make way for a shift in values. In this he was succesful.
(1) Some haters of #Cardano are not only bag holders but also imperative developers.
If you are an imperative programmers you know that Plutus is not the most intuitive -> (https://t.co/m3fzq7rJYb)
It is, however, intuitive for people with IT financial background, e.g. banks
(2)
IELE + k framework will be a real game changer because there will be DSLs (Domain Specific Languages) in any programming language supported by K framework. The only issue is that we need to wait for all this
(3) Good news is that the moment we get IELE integrated into Cardano, we get some popular langs. To my knowledge we should get from day one: Solidity and Rust, maybe others as well?
List of langs: https://t.co/0uj1eBfrYj, some commits from many years ago..
@rv_inc ?
#Cardano
(a) Last but not least, marketing to people with Haskell, functional programming with experience and decision makers in banks is a tricky one, how do you market but not tell them you want to replace them. In the end one strategy is to pitch new markets, e.g. developing world
(b) As banks realize what is happening they maybe more inclined to join - not because they would like to but because they will have to - in such cases some development talent maybe re-routed to Plutus / Cardano / Algorand / Tezos
If you are an imperative programmers you know that Plutus is not the most intuitive -> (https://t.co/m3fzq7rJYb)
It is, however, intuitive for people with IT financial background, e.g. banks
(2)
IELE + k framework will be a real game changer because there will be DSLs (Domain Specific Languages) in any programming language supported by K framework. The only issue is that we need to wait for all this
(3) Good news is that the moment we get IELE integrated into Cardano, we get some popular langs. To my knowledge we should get from day one: Solidity and Rust, maybe others as well?
List of langs: https://t.co/0uj1eBfrYj, some commits from many years ago..
@rv_inc ?
#Cardano
(a) Last but not least, marketing to people with Haskell, functional programming with experience and decision makers in banks is a tricky one, how do you market but not tell them you want to replace them. In the end one strategy is to pitch new markets, e.g. developing world
(b) As banks realize what is happening they maybe more inclined to join - not because they would like to but because they will have to - in such cases some development talent maybe re-routed to Plutus / Cardano / Algorand / Tezos
I'm going to have to draw the line here. And, that's in reaction to a piece from, of all people, Greg Sargent - whom I regard as perhaps the @washingtonpost's top regular political columnist.
A text search shows the words "Christian","evangelical","fundamentalist" are absent...
Consider the context - back on January 6th, protestors gathered in small groups on the Mall, and called upon their deity to consecrate what they were about to do. Then, in a howling mob, attacked the Capitol Building. Once inside the House chamber, they consecrated it to Jesus.
Now, let's walk it back a couple of years. In early 2017, I thought to myself, "OK, this is gonna be kind of predictable, but I'm going to look into the radical evangelicals flooding into the new Trump Administration."
See, I knew that would happen. It was transactional...
4) Trump cut a deal w/the evangelicals, along the lines of "vote me in, and I'll let your people do whatever the hell they want to do in my administration."
And it was so. In early 2017 I wrote this:
5) I was, to my knowledge, the 1st to write about this phenomenon, Ralph Drollinger's in-house theocratic bible study for Trump's cabinet.
Over the next few years, covering Drollinger's thingy become quite a media cottage industry. Predictably, none of the pieces mentioned mine
A text search shows the words "Christian","evangelical","fundamentalist" are absent...
Marjorie Taylor Greene approved of executing Dems, yet she'll get little to no punishment. But the story here is much bigger: GOP failure to police extremists goes back half a century.
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) January 28, 2021
\u201cThe dictum now is \u2018No enemies to the right,'" @RuleandRuin tells me:https://t.co/DTlzGomy5h
Consider the context - back on January 6th, protestors gathered in small groups on the Mall, and called upon their deity to consecrate what they were about to do. Then, in a howling mob, attacked the Capitol Building. Once inside the House chamber, they consecrated it to Jesus.
Now, let's walk it back a couple of years. In early 2017, I thought to myself, "OK, this is gonna be kind of predictable, but I'm going to look into the radical evangelicals flooding into the new Trump Administration."
See, I knew that would happen. It was transactional...
4) Trump cut a deal w/the evangelicals, along the lines of "vote me in, and I'll let your people do whatever the hell they want to do in my administration."
And it was so. In early 2017 I wrote this:
5) I was, to my knowledge, the 1st to write about this phenomenon, Ralph Drollinger's in-house theocratic bible study for Trump's cabinet.
Over the next few years, covering Drollinger's thingy become quite a media cottage industry. Predictably, none of the pieces mentioned mine
I've talked about how governments are doubling down as denial that they might have been scammed. Let's talk about how individual persons react.
The constant panic mindset of these people may be chalked up to virtue signalling, but it's also an indication of implicit denial of the idea that their measures have little to no effect
This is the sunk cost effect to being scammed, and so we see the wider acceptance of this virus being more deadly than the alternative of NPI's having minimal effect
Think of it this way, you spent a lot of money on masks, followed every rule to your detriment, and you have nothing to show for it e.g., your neighbor not following measures hasn't died yet
You can cut your losses and be more proportional with your behavior, but tons of factors make justifying measures in the form of exaggerating virus damages a better option
Consider: Is it possible that most people want this pandemic to be worse than it is just so they can justify the actions they've done?
— No New Normal \U0001f600 (@mwmjenard) January 31, 2021
The constant panic mindset of these people may be chalked up to virtue signalling, but it's also an indication of implicit denial of the idea that their measures have little to no effect
This is the sunk cost effect to being scammed, and so we see the wider acceptance of this virus being more deadly than the alternative of NPI's having minimal effect
Think of it this way, you spent a lot of money on masks, followed every rule to your detriment, and you have nothing to show for it e.g., your neighbor not following measures hasn't died yet
You can cut your losses and be more proportional with your behavior, but tons of factors make justifying measures in the form of exaggerating virus damages a better option
