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I created a simple table to illustrate the individual impact of the "flexible second dose timing" now recommended in the UK.

Coincidentally, @bob_wachter & @ashishkjha just tackled the US policy question in this important piece. 1/
https://t.co/n5bHkdIo0c


I based this on recent statements from the UK chief medical officers, JCVI, and what we know from prior vaccine development. 2/

JCVI: https://t.co/6FQ25d6MFE

UK Chief Medical Officer (CMO) statement: https://t.co/RTpAIqgE1i

CMO letter to the profession:

This table and thread focuses on the AZ vaccine, where more data on a delayed second dose is available than with the Pfizer vaccine. It is not intended to address questions about single-dose regimens or mix & match approaches. 3/


In the table, persons ā€œAā€ and ā€œBā€ both receive their first dose in January. ā€œAā€ receives their second dose in February (4 weeks later), and ā€œBā€ receives their second dose in April (12 weeks later). ā€œCā€ receives their first dose in April and second dose in May (4 weeks later). 4/


I made a qualitative comparison the potential efficacy during the two months between ā€œAā€ and ā€œB’sā€ second dose, as well as the potential longer-term efficacy after ā€œBā€ receives their second dose. 5/
No one pays much attention to the ramshackle shop on the outskirts of town. It's been there for decades, some swear. Others aren't so sure; they can't remember when it opened, or how long it's been operational--only that the owner, a sturdy man who calls himself "Dice" will fix


anything you bring to him for a fair price, no questions asked. Some of the less-savory characters in their not-so-cosmopolitan town swear he must be an outlaw.

"A name like Dice?" they'd murmur, eyeing him as his massive hands wield a spanner like an elegant weapon,

"he's no mechanic. Ex-empire, maybe? Or in league with the Hutts?"

Dice will regard them evenly, lips curled around a glass of Chandrillan whisky, and say nothing. When he draws himself to his full height, sable hair falling rakishly over one eye, some start to wonder.

Rhusbelid, a grizzled moisture farmer with a penchant for wild theorizing, starts to pay more attention. Years fleecing weapons for the First Order taught him the value of simple observation; tracking the comings and goings of people in the local hives. He recognizes something

familiar in Dice, a regimented way of moving, of existing, that only comes from specialized training. With interest, he begins to watch.

A gown of shimmersilk. A delicate hearthstone. Fresh jogan fruit. An intricately carved knife.

One by one, the pieces fall into place, until
Few comments since this topic is as perennial as the AIT issue among internet H -- of course you may not like it, so don't @ me. The domesticated Bos was a central animal for the subsistence of the Indo-European pastoralists on the steppe. It was also a major domesticate for the


the pre-IE Indian peoples like the Harappans and the neolithic Ash Mound culture of southern India (i.e. the bUti-palli/halli-s; early Dravidians?). What is clear is that these pre-IE & circum-IE entry peoples of India consumed the flesh of cattle. However, it is like the female

animal (henceforth cow) was also valued for milk->curds/cheese(?) among both the Harappan and Ash Mound peoples. The former probably also used them as draught animals. The situation was similar with the IEans on the steppe with their version of Bos cattle playing a major role in

food (both diary and flesh) and as draught animals. Given their value for the IEans, the idea of the protection of cattle was central to their culture (independently of them consuming their flesh). Thus, the cattle raids& countering such were very central to their imagination.

Hence, we may infer that the concept of cattle-protection, emerged entirely independently of their consumption among the steppe IEans. For a IEan king whose wealth was animal herds such protection was a central role. Hence, the ideal of go-pAlana emerged long before beef-taboo.
1/18 Further thread on Air Policing in peacetime and implications for Irish foreign policy: there are so many different options available for air policing on the market that to go into all of them is unrealistic and ends up in a 'top trumps' style contest. @BerryCathal @donlav


2/18 That’s before you get to the whole argument about twin engine vs single engine safety overwater argument. For now, it’s enough to put forward the options in broad outline.

Option 1: Surface-to-Air missiles only

This option is included because there’s always someone...

3/18 ...who will say ā€˜just get missiles’, because they think that this will be somehow cheaper. Modern long-range surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems, however, are not significantly less expensive than fighter jets. They also have an issue in how many times you can use them.

4/18 They have an even bigger issue in that your solution to what may only be an airliner with a broken transponder is to blow it out of the sky.
@ConorHogarty @mupper2 @kevpipps

5/18 While there are many good reasons why the @defenceforces should upgrade its SAM capability, these are largely related to the blended warfare now being rolled out globally with the increasing use of basic drones and larger unmanned aerial systems. @conormlally @RuthMCasey
Yes-- the initial revolution, like in Russia, was plotted by Western powers-- but they lost control of them in time-- Stalin's purges & shift toward a Nationalist platform is similar to Mao's-- both rediscovered "national sovereignty" & represent Napoleonic counter-revolution.


I don't support "Revolutionaries"-- I support Counter-Revolutionaries who complete the Dialectic by synthesizing the Revolutionary with the Traditional-- this is what makes Kojeve more interesting than Marx.

China has undergone massive changes-- Xi represents a "new Mao" in this sense-- & he came to power by purging the "Globalist Liberal" factions of the CCP (most often paid off by the CIA)-- Xi's unlike any other Communist Dictator from the CCP-- he's a Revolutionary Traditionalist

Xi's inspiration comes, simultaneously, from laboring with the rural peasantry & from studying Lee Kuan Yew & Deng Xiaoping-- along with the "Return to Tradition" / "Trust the Classics" revitalization of pre-cultural revolution texts-- such as Han Fei, Confucius, etc.

He's a Chinese Nationalist-- which is to say-- he's building a New Chinese Empire-- following the same tactics the US & British used in earlier time periods-- specifically, pivoting to "Free Trade" after achieving absolute industrial supremacy-- standard British Policy.