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1/21 Thread on the Terms of Reference (lifted from the Press Release for those who haven't read it yet). @BerryCathal @GCraughwell @RACO_DF @ARCOIreland @pdforra
2/21 In addressing the detailed tasks as provided for in its ToR, the Commission will have regard to immediate requirements while also seeking to develop a longer term vision for beyond 2030.
3/21 This is against a backdrop of the high-level Defence goal which is to provide for the military defence of the State, contribute to national and international peace and security and fulfil all other roles assigned by Government.
4/21 This fits within the broader context of the protection of Ireland’s defence and security interests nationally and internationally.
5/21 The Commission’s approach should aim to ensure that the @DefenceForces will remain agile, flexible and adaptive in responding to dynamic changes in the security environment, including new and emerging threats (such as from climate change) and technologies.
Details of the Commission on the Defence Forces attached including ToR and composition:https://t.co/E4Cq2hg2lp
— IDFOC (@_IDFOC) December 15, 2020
2/21 In addressing the detailed tasks as provided for in its ToR, the Commission will have regard to immediate requirements while also seeking to develop a longer term vision for beyond 2030.
3/21 This is against a backdrop of the high-level Defence goal which is to provide for the military defence of the State, contribute to national and international peace and security and fulfil all other roles assigned by Government.
4/21 This fits within the broader context of the protection of Ireland’s defence and security interests nationally and internationally.
5/21 The Commission’s approach should aim to ensure that the @DefenceForces will remain agile, flexible and adaptive in responding to dynamic changes in the security environment, including new and emerging threats (such as from climate change) and technologies.
Is it true that democracies don't go to war with each other?
Sort of. But I wouldn't base public policy on the finding.
Why? Let's turn to the data.
[THREAD]
The idea of a "Democratic Peace" is a widely held view that's been around for a long time.
By 1988, there already existed enough studies on the topic for Jack Levy to famously label Democratic Peace "an empirical law"
The earliest empirical work on the topic was the 1964 report by Dean Babst published in the "Wisconsin Sociologist"
Using the war participation data from Quincy Wright's "A Study of War", Babst produced the following two tables
The tables show that democracies were NOT on both sides (of course, Finland is awkward given that it fought WITH Nazi Germany against the Soviet Union).
Babst expanded his study beyond the World Wars in a 1972 paper in Industrial Research. He confirmed his finding.
Sort of. But I wouldn't base public policy on the finding.
Why? Let's turn to the data.
[THREAD]
Democracies do not go to war with each other. There are a lot of empirical data to support that theory. I summarize that literature here. https://t.co/SQLk9J9rZ8 https://t.co/tLlSyisEIU
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) December 12, 2020
The idea of a "Democratic Peace" is a widely held view that's been around for a long time.
By 1988, there already existed enough studies on the topic for Jack Levy to famously label Democratic Peace "an empirical law"

The earliest empirical work on the topic was the 1964 report by Dean Babst published in the "Wisconsin Sociologist"

Using the war participation data from Quincy Wright's "A Study of War", Babst produced the following two tables

The tables show that democracies were NOT on both sides (of course, Finland is awkward given that it fought WITH Nazi Germany against the Soviet Union).
Babst expanded his study beyond the World Wars in a 1972 paper in Industrial Research. He confirmed his finding.
THREAD: Enemy Combatants
1. There is a preponderance of evidence that the C C P were involved influencing the outcome of the US 2020 election. The details are available to those who wish to look.
I cannot be convinced that the Military didn’t watch all of this, in real time.
2. I cannot be convinced that DNI Ratcliffe isn’t investigating this matter exactly as per the 2018 Executive Order on Foreign Interference in an election.
https://t.co/zsANAInmck
I cannot be convinced that Biden will ever get a security clearance, even as a visitor to the WH.
3. The eyes of the world are now on the US Military and the Supreme Court (SC).
People are talking of war, cyber-terr0rism, treas0n, Chynese Military troops in Canada and US Naval ships off the coast lines.
Remain calm.
A counter-insurgency must involve the nation's citizens.
4. The importance of US Military law and the role of the SC reminded of that intriguing (almost scripted) interview between Sen. Lindsay Graham and SC Judge Brett Kavanaugh during his confirmation hearing.
[Link at end of thread].
5. Firstly, Graham invoked the heartstrings by reminding everyone of the 9/11 tragedy AND then got Kavanaugh to confirm that the US was still legally at war, due the Authorization for Use of Military Force resolution of
1. There is a preponderance of evidence that the C C P were involved influencing the outcome of the US 2020 election. The details are available to those who wish to look.
I cannot be convinced that the Military didn’t watch all of this, in real time.
2. I cannot be convinced that DNI Ratcliffe isn’t investigating this matter exactly as per the 2018 Executive Order on Foreign Interference in an election.
https://t.co/zsANAInmck
I cannot be convinced that Biden will ever get a security clearance, even as a visitor to the WH.
3. The eyes of the world are now on the US Military and the Supreme Court (SC).
People are talking of war, cyber-terr0rism, treas0n, Chynese Military troops in Canada and US Naval ships off the coast lines.
Remain calm.
A counter-insurgency must involve the nation's citizens.

4. The importance of US Military law and the role of the SC reminded of that intriguing (almost scripted) interview between Sen. Lindsay Graham and SC Judge Brett Kavanaugh during his confirmation hearing.
[Link at end of thread].
5. Firstly, Graham invoked the heartstrings by reminding everyone of the 9/11 tragedy AND then got Kavanaugh to confirm that the US was still legally at war, due the Authorization for Use of Military Force resolution of