Assume a country to be like a company, which has income & expenses. Income source can be tax collections & expense can be government employee salaries, defence sending’s, social security schemes etc. (2/13)
Is US going to default on its debt?
This 🧵 will surely help you understand. Do ‘re-tweet’ & help us educated investors (1/13)
Assume a country to be like a company, which has income & expenses. Income source can be tax collections & expense can be government employee salaries, defence sending’s, social security schemes etc. (2/13)
Similarly US has been borrowing & the total debt today roughly stands at a whooping $28.5T. (3/13)
Ideally a yes but they are not allowed to borrow more! (5/13)
During the 1st world war, US understood if they keep spending money on the war, the debt will be a big liability 4 the future generation & hence they introduced a ceiling on the maximum debt US could take. In 1917, this was capped at $1 Billion
Political parties would pass a legislation to increase the debt limits. From $1B in 1917, the debt ceiling has been moved up multiple times to the current $28.5T (https://t.co/XaLWSSGxN5), which is about to get reached now (7/13)
Political parties (Like India has BJP & congress, US has Democrats & Republicans) need to agree on either suspending the debt ceiling all together or increasing the limit of borrowing by passing legislation like they have been doing in the past (8/13)
May be, but republicans r nt in favor of suspension or ⬆️ in the debt ceiling. But this is common, has happened multiple times in the past. Till the legislation is passed, the government shuts down for few days & is back in action as soon as it is passed
A suspension or rise in the debt ceiling can be passed through a process known as budget reconciliation, due to Democrat's majority in the Senate. But some conservative democrats may not support ⬆️in spending so this may face challenges
Doomsday! US can't borrow more & can default eventually!
-US will not be able to pay salaries to government employees, will not be able to release social security payments, will not be able to pay other liabilities (11/13)
- $ will crash
- Both of the above to have a massive impact on world trade & markets as still 84% of the world trade happens in $ & other countries have huge investments in US treasuries (12/13)
Have earlier written on,
-Sector Analysis - Banking, Paints, Logistic, REIT, InvIT, Sugar, Steel
- Macro
- Debt Markets
- Equity
- Gold
- Personal Finance etc.
You can find them all in the link below https://t.co/UrRt87xaU7 (END)
Here\u2019s a compilation of Personal Finance threads I have written so far. Thank you for motivating me to do it.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) December 13, 2020
Hit the 're-tweet' and help us educated more investors
More from Kirtan A Shah
You May Also Like
Tip from the Monkey
Pangolins, September 2019 and PLA are the key to this mystery
Stay Tuned!
1. Yang
2. A jacobin capuchin dangling a flagellin pangolin on a javelin while playing a mandolin and strangling a mannequin on a paladin's palanquin, said Saladin
More to come tomorrow!
3. Yigang Tong
https://t.co/CYtqYorhzH
Archived: https://t.co/ncz5ruwE2W
4. YT Interview
Some bats & pangolins carry viruses related with SARS-CoV-2, found in SE Asia and in Yunnan, & the pangolins carrying SARS-CoV-2 related viruses were smuggled from SE Asia, so there is a possibility that SARS-CoV-2 were coming from
Pangolins, September 2019 and PLA are the key to this mystery
Stay Tuned!
1. Yang
Meet Yang Ruifu, CCP's biological weapons expert https://t.co/JjB9TLEO95 via @Gnews202064
— Billy Bostickson \U0001f3f4\U0001f441&\U0001f441 \U0001f193 (@BillyBostickson) October 11, 2020
Interesting expose of China's top bioweapons expert who oversaw fake pangolin research
Paper 1: https://t.co/TrXESKLYmJ
Paper 2:https://t.co/9LSJTNCn3l
Pangolinhttps://t.co/2FUAzWyOcv pic.twitter.com/I2QMXgnkBJ
2. A jacobin capuchin dangling a flagellin pangolin on a javelin while playing a mandolin and strangling a mannequin on a paladin's palanquin, said Saladin
More to come tomorrow!
3. Yigang Tong
https://t.co/CYtqYorhzH
Archived: https://t.co/ncz5ruwE2W
4. YT Interview
Some bats & pangolins carry viruses related with SARS-CoV-2, found in SE Asia and in Yunnan, & the pangolins carrying SARS-CoV-2 related viruses were smuggled from SE Asia, so there is a possibility that SARS-CoV-2 were coming from