Assume a country to be like a company, which has income & expenses. Income source can be tax collections & expense can be government employee salaries, defence sendingâs, social security schemes etc. (2/13)
Is US going to default on its debt?
This đ§” will surely help you understand. Do âre-tweetâ & help us educated investors (1/13)
Assume a country to be like a company, which has income & expenses. Income source can be tax collections & expense can be government employee salaries, defence sendingâs, social security schemes etc. (2/13)
Similarly US has been borrowing & the total debt today roughly stands at a whooping $28.5T. (3/13)
Ideally a yes but they are not allowed to borrow more! (5/13)
During the 1st world war, US understood if they keep spending money on the war, the debt will be a big liability 4 the future generation & hence they introduced a ceiling on the maximum debt US could take. In 1917, this was capped at $1 Billion
Political parties would pass a legislation to increase the debt limits. From $1B in 1917, the debt ceiling has been moved up multiple times to the current $28.5T (https://t.co/XaLWSSGxN5), which is about to get reached now (7/13)
Political parties (Like India has BJP & congress, US has Democrats & Republicans) need to agree on either suspending the debt ceiling all together or increasing the limit of borrowing by passing legislation like they have been doing in the past (8/13)
May be, but republicans r nt in favor of suspension or âŹïž in the debt ceiling. But this is common, has happened multiple times in the past. Till the legislation is passed, the government shuts down for few days & is back in action as soon as it is passed
A suspension or rise in the debt ceiling can be passed through a process known as budget reconciliation, due to Democrat's majority in the Senate. But some conservative democrats may not support âŹïžin spending so this may face challenges
Doomsday! US can't borrow more & can default eventually!
-US will not be able to pay salaries to government employees, will not be able to release social security payments, will not be able to pay other liabilities (11/13)
- $ will crash
- Both of the above to have a massive impact on world trade & markets as still 84% of the world trade happens in $ & other countries have huge investments in US treasuries (12/13)
Have earlier written on,
-Sector Analysis - Banking, Paints, Logistic, REIT, InvIT, Sugar, Steel
- Macro
- Debt Markets
- Equity
- Gold
- Personal Finance etc.
You can find them all in the link below https://t.co/UrRt87xaU7 (END)
Here\u2019s a compilation of Personal Finance threads I have written so far. Thank you for motivating me to do it.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) December 13, 2020
Hit the 're-tweet' and help us educated more investors
More from Kirtan A Shah
Should you add more in Equity or redeem right now?
A thread đ§”to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do âre-tweetâ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)
But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally
If you r new to fundamentals, đ can help
Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are âve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
A thread đ§”to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do âre-tweetâ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
Some investors feel that markets are trading at a PE of 27 vs 10 years historical average of 20 and a market-cap to GDP of 105 vs historical average of 79 and hence markets look expensive (2/n)
But, in such crazy liquidity driven markets, prices can move much ahead of the fundamentals & suddenly we start hearing commentaries of how the market is pricing in the earnings of FY 22 & 23 to justify the rally
If you r new to fundamentals, đ can help
Market PE at 40 and yet the market is not falling, why? Getting asked this question multiple times. Here's a thread covering \u2018very basic\u2019 premier on valuation for my retail investor friends.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) January 14, 2021
Do hit the \u2018re-tweet\u2019 and help us educate more investors (1/n) pic.twitter.com/8oCkBmmOXY
Results for Q4 have come out very well but that is also because of the lower base effect of the last year.
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
There are a lot of over hangs in the near term,
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are âve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
Personal Finance 101 â My learningâs about investing
This topic is for everyone, whether you manage your money yourself or through your advisor, it will go a long way in managing your finances.
Do re-tweet & help us educate retail investors (1/n)
Subscribe to our YouTube for some interesting educational content around Personal Finance - https://t.co/jvgNEDWiAZ
And you can also join our Telegram channel for regular updates â https://t.co/Ekz6I8pDGt (2/n)
(1) Lets start with Life Insurance
Term Insurance is the best way to take an insurance cover & probably the only product to buy in life insurance. Make sure u disclose all the necessary information before taking the insurance. Smoking, Alcohol, any pre-existing deceases etc(3/n)
Have atleast 10-15 times of your annual income as insurance cover
But there are variants of term insurance that you should avoid (4/n)
(A) Term plan with return of premium
For a non-smoker born on the 1st Jan 1985 & policy term 39 years (till age 75), the regular premium for a 1-cr term insurance is 22,157 (inclusive of GST) but with returns of premium is 42670 (inclusive of GST). An increase of 20,513 (5/n)
This topic is for everyone, whether you manage your money yourself or through your advisor, it will go a long way in managing your finances.
Do re-tweet & help us educate retail investors (1/n)
Subscribe to our YouTube for some interesting educational content around Personal Finance - https://t.co/jvgNEDWiAZ
And you can also join our Telegram channel for regular updates â https://t.co/Ekz6I8pDGt (2/n)
(1) Lets start with Life Insurance
Term Insurance is the best way to take an insurance cover & probably the only product to buy in life insurance. Make sure u disclose all the necessary information before taking the insurance. Smoking, Alcohol, any pre-existing deceases etc(3/n)
Have atleast 10-15 times of your annual income as insurance cover
But there are variants of term insurance that you should avoid (4/n)
(A) Term plan with return of premium
For a non-smoker born on the 1st Jan 1985 & policy term 39 years (till age 75), the regular premium for a 1-cr term insurance is 22,157 (inclusive of GST) but with returns of premium is 42670 (inclusive of GST). An increase of 20,513 (5/n)
You May Also Like
A list of cool websites you might now know about
A thread đ§”
1) Learn Anything - Search tools for knowledge discovery that helps you understand any topic through the most efficient
2) Grad Speeches - Discover the best commencement speeches.
This website is made by me
3) What does the Internet Think - Find out what the internet thinks about anything
4) https://t.co/vuhT6jVItx - Send notes that will self-destruct after being read.
A thread đ§”
1) Learn Anything - Search tools for knowledge discovery that helps you understand any topic through the most efficient
2) Grad Speeches - Discover the best commencement speeches.
This website is made by me
3) What does the Internet Think - Find out what the internet thinks about anything
4) https://t.co/vuhT6jVItx - Send notes that will self-destruct after being read.
1/x Fort Detrick History
Mr. Patrick, one of the chief scientists at the Army Biological Warfare Laboratories at Fort Detrick in Frederick, Md., held five classified US patents for the process of weaponizing anthrax.
2/x
Under Mr. Patrickâs direction, scientists at Fort Detrick developed a tularemia agent that, if disseminated by airplane, could cause casualties & sickness over 1000s miÂČ. In a 10,000 miÂČ range, it had 90% casualty rate & 50% fatality rate
3/x His team explored Q fever, plague, & Venezuelan equine encephalitis, testing more than 20 anthrax strains to discern most lethal variety. Fort Detrick scientists used aerosol spray systems inside fountain pens, walking sticks, light bulbs, & even in 1953 Mercury exhaust pipes
4/x After retiring in 1986, Mr. Patrick remained one of the worldâs foremost specialists on biological warfare & was a consultant to the CIA, FBI, & US military. He debriefed Soviet defector Ken Alibek, the deputy chief of the Soviet biowarfare program
https://t.co/sHqSaTSqtB
5/x Back in Time
In 1949 the Army created a small team of chemists at "Camp Detrick" called Special Operations Division. Its assignment was to find military uses for toxic bacteria. The coercive use of toxins was a new field, which fascinated Allen Dulles, later head of the CIA
Mr. Patrick, one of the chief scientists at the Army Biological Warfare Laboratories at Fort Detrick in Frederick, Md., held five classified US patents for the process of weaponizing anthrax.
2/x
Under Mr. Patrickâs direction, scientists at Fort Detrick developed a tularemia agent that, if disseminated by airplane, could cause casualties & sickness over 1000s miÂČ. In a 10,000 miÂČ range, it had 90% casualty rate & 50% fatality rate
3/x His team explored Q fever, plague, & Venezuelan equine encephalitis, testing more than 20 anthrax strains to discern most lethal variety. Fort Detrick scientists used aerosol spray systems inside fountain pens, walking sticks, light bulbs, & even in 1953 Mercury exhaust pipes
4/x After retiring in 1986, Mr. Patrick remained one of the worldâs foremost specialists on biological warfare & was a consultant to the CIA, FBI, & US military. He debriefed Soviet defector Ken Alibek, the deputy chief of the Soviet biowarfare program
https://t.co/sHqSaTSqtB
5/x Back in Time
In 1949 the Army created a small team of chemists at "Camp Detrick" called Special Operations Division. Its assignment was to find military uses for toxic bacteria. The coercive use of toxins was a new field, which fascinated Allen Dulles, later head of the CIA