Ever wonder how traders get in stocks before they explode? 🧐

Or find options that move 1,000% in a single day/week?🤯

I made a thread going over exactly how I find these stocks BEFORE they take off 🚀
👇👇👇

I've been trading full-time for the past 3 years using my supply/demand strategy

Here's the ONE reason why you're supply/demand strategy isn't working: 🧵

Supply/Demand zones don't work by themselves.

You can't just buy every demand zone and sell every supply zone, otherwise the price would just wedge the whole time

Eventually one side has to break....

The key is following trend

Meaning you should only be buying demand zones that TAKE OUT the corresponding supply zone

Why?

It shows that demand exceeds supply

Buyers are stronger than sellers

Let's take a look at an example👇

Here's $RIVN

You can see that price failed to take out the corresponding high (supply zone)

This shows that sellers are still in control so you DON'T want to be buying at this demand zone

Here's $CRM

Demand is able to take out the previous supply zone (swing high)

This shows buyers are in control, so you want to be buying demand zones

I’m a full time day/swing trader for a living.
I’ve learned a lot through my time trading.
Here’s a thread going over my exact trading strategy
As well as some helpful tips/tricks.
👇👇👇

My trading strategy revolves around three things:
1. Supply and Demand
2. Trend
3. Liquidity
All are important and essential for my trade setup.

Supply and Demand: What is it?
Supply and Demand zones are areas of price where institutional buying or selling is taking place. These zones are key because price is likely to reverse at these zones since institutions want to defend or add to their position.

To find these zones, you want to look at the SPEED of price action. Supply/Demand zones are formed when price moves FAST from an area. Look for wicks or long body candles.

How to draw zones?
To draw these zones, you take the top of the body or wick of the candle PREVIOUS to the explosive candle and draw it down to the bottom. Extend the zone and there it is. (Knowing whether to use the wick or top of the body will take experience)

12 tweets that will teach you more than a $4,997 trading course:

1) Relative Strength

Watch which stocks are green while the market is red

Institutions are most likely buying those up

2) Less is more

If you disagree with this, you're probably not a profitable trader

Take 1/2 the amount of trades you normally do and see what happens

3) The Market Doesn't Care About Indicators

You really think the funds putting millions of dollars into the market are "buying off a 9 ema"???

Get rid of your indicators

Just watch price and volume

4) Sell Options

Market makers, funds, banks, pretty much everyone other than retail is on the opposite side of your weekly OTM option

Collect premium and make money every week

The Truth About Trading (Thread)

1/ Risk Management & Consistency

Everything works in the stock market just NOT all the time. You can trade RSI, MACD, Bollinger bands, Volume, and they all will win for a period of time and lose for a period of time.

2/ YOUR JOB as a trader is to MANAGE RISK. Every good trading strategy WILL boil down to a 50-60% accuracy overtime and I know this from 1000’s of hours of back testing.

3/ To be profitable, follow this SIMPLE LAW:

AVERAGE WINNER > AVERAGE LOSER
Below is a table I’ve created showing the total number of winning trades (per 100) you need to win to be profitable:

4/ As the risk to reward increased the required win rate goes down. The sweet spot I’ve found is scaling out your positions and cutting your losers to get you close to 2X your average loser. In this case, you only need to win 34/100 trades in order to be profitable. YOU CAN DO IT

5/ The key to success in trading (repeat everyday):
1 – I have no attachment to any stock or instrument, my job is solely to manage risk
2 – I am a Casino; I take all trades that fit my trading plan because I know my edge is profitable

You always hear people let your winners ride or cut your losers early. Easier said than done, right?

Well, it's a mathematical fact that implementing this will improve your trading profits

The math behind leaving runners on and cutting losers early 👇👇👇

When trading, you have a 50/50 chance of being right. No matter which side of a trade you take, the stock can either go up or down.

There are certain indicators, levels, or other ways you can increase your odds of being right >50%, but you'll never get significantly higher

So, if our trading record is going to be ~50% right and ~50% wrong, how do we make money?

You HAVE to let your winners run and cut your losers early.

If your losers and winners are the same size (eg losers are -10% and winners are 10%), then you have to win 51% of your trades to make money

Example: you take 100 trades for $100. Winners win $10, losers lose $10. To profit, you need 51 winners (+$510) and 49 losers (-$490)

HOWEVER, if you let your winners run and cut your losers early, the # of trades you have to get right decreases

Example: you take 100 trades for $100. Winners win $20, losers lose $5. To profit, you need 21 winners (+$420) and 79 losers (-$395)

🎲 How to play trigger watchlists 🎲

1. How/When to enter:

This is NOT an exact science, there is no way to avoid fakeouts. These are KEY levels, and for that reason, provide strong moves. However, they can be hard to break due to their significance. You must manage risk.

There are two strategies I follow.
a) Conservative: Wait for a 5 minute candle to close through the trigger level. Ex: if an $AMD put trigger is under 100 and 5 minute candle closes at 10:45AM at 99.85, take the position.

b) Risky: Playing the first sign of follow through. Ex: $AMD closes 5m candle at 10:45AM at 100.15 - No trigger. At 10:47AM, $AMD fails 100 support and closes 10:47 1m candle at 99.80. I would likely take a position off of key support failure.

2. Fakeouts/Stop losses

Taking losses is inevitable in trading. Our job is to minimize them. My rule here is -10% hard stop loss because you can always re-add the position.

Suppose you take a position from Ex a) $AMD immediately reverses and closes 10:50 5m candle at 110.15…

Your position is red, likely down ~10%. Cut the loser and reassess. Your reason for playing was the 100 breakdown, it is now INVALID. As soon as your thesis becomes invalid, cut, take a deep breath, reassess, watch.

Educational Resource Thread! 📌

Key Takeaways from Fintwit's Best Traders

If you want to be the best, you need to spend time studying the best. This article is about some of my favorite posts from the best in technical analysis and the keys to their success.

@ChartingOptions
@ThetaWarrior
@Trendspider_J