What does the Trade and Cooperation Agreement mean for the UKs #extradition arrangements with the EU27?

Lets take a quick look

Thread

A reminder of the respective positions of the UK and the EU in their negotiations that the UK Government considered a 'UK WIN'

As rightly said by @StevePeers, the reality is that the Agreement appears to be closer aligned to the EUs objectives, particularly given the EU wins in relation to dual criminality, ability to determine applicability for political offences and surrender for own nationals. EU WIN?

To begin with, as per previous arrangements, #extradition is referred to throughout as a 'mechanism of surrender'. Unlike the Council Framework Decision on the European Arrest Warrant, the surrender arrangement does not appear to be based on mutual trust and recognition

Despite the UK Governments negotiating position of not seeking participation in the EAW scheme, the Agreement provisions on surrender closely follows the wording of the Framework Decision on the European arrest warrant

#NIFTY

Bearish engulfing on monthly or bullish harami on Weekly , which one will play out?

Outlook for the week Jan 2 - 6, 2022.

THREAD: Deconstructing NIFTY on 5 different TF's.

#NIFTY

1. Monthly TF:

• Although the structure in monthly TF is of HH-HL, December monthly candle is a more of a bearish engulfing.

• However it is exactly at the support

• 17800-18000 looks like a strong support.

#NIFTY

2. Weekly TF:

• 17800- 1800 used to be a resistance in April & August 2022.

• However post BO of those levels, they might act as an immediate support.

• Current weekly candle is closer to the support (erstwhile resistance)

#NIFTY

3. Daily TF:

• After a sharp vertical fall, we expected a buying momentum

• Also Nifty filled the Gap.

• Strong support at 17800

#NIFTY

4. Hourly TF:

Moving within the rising channel, albiet the channel is quite steep.

1 Introduction

Fascism: what is it and why does it get such a bad rap?

This thread is for information purposes only

2 Fascism itself is used as a pejorative and most, whether on the right or left, lack conception of Fascism’s origins. ‘Fascist’ is a curse word in much the same vain as Nazi.

3 Fascism is a much maligned ideology/philosophy which makes sense only when those origins are understood. Likewise, the zeitgeist which prevailed at the time must also be understood, stripped down and thoroughly analyzed.

4 Whilst Fascism bears some similarities to National Socialism, they are really only close cousins.

5 The style of Fascism prevalent in the 1920s and 1930s is different from the ‘Fascism’ prevailing in the 2020s, and then it must be distinguished from that which existed, or still exists, in most Third World countries.

ChartIQ charts on Kite web just got an upgrade with custom timeframe charts, new indicators, backtesting from charts, and much more.

Here’s how you can switch to the new version of ChartIQ: https://t.co/rhXrQ330G7

A thread on all the new features 👇

Custom timeframe charts

Charts with timeframes of 75 and 125 minutes were amongst the most popular feature requests. With the custom timeframe feature, you can now not only access 75 and 125-minute charts, but you can also do so for any timeframe of your choice.

Download historical data in CSV

You can now download chart data to Excel to run your own analyses.

Backtesting from charts

@StreakTech allows you to create and backtest trading strategies without any coding. Streak is now integrated with Kite charts. Clicking on the Streak icon will start a backtest of widely used strategies with the indicators applied on the charts.

Shortcut keys for various functions

Chart shortcuts are now available on ChartIQ 8. Shortcuts can be used to quickly perform actions such as invoking the order window, accessing drawing tools, zooming, etc.

#Global #ETF Weekly & Month-end (thread): 29 Jan 2021

- 2020 worst perf #sector making comeback in 2021 $IXC

- This is helping #oil producing countries with #Nigeria & #UAE in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $NGE $UAE

- #SouthAfrica $EZA moved into top15 YTD performers

2/12

#EmergingMarkets #ETF still storming ahead against #DevelopedMarkets ETF, still not relatively "overbought" yet, but getting close.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+0.2%) continued 2nd half on 2020 recovery against $URTH (-0.8%)

3/12

#Global #Value #stocks still making short-term recovery, with $IWVL #ETF still looking strong relatively over the short-term. Over 3yr period it is however still lagging quite substantially.

4/12

This one is worrying, but then again, it's been for some time. #Global #Tech #stocks relative to #MSCI All Country World Index is definitely creating some concern. Be very careful.

$IXN vs $ACWI

5/12

#Internet companies still big driver on performance, with US Internet Co's #ETF growing 1.8% in January (YTD) in USD versus #MSCI World $URTH losing 0.8% over same period

#Chinese Internet Co's $KWEB however grew 13% in Jan. Wow! That helped #Naspers/#Prosus & also SA $EZA

Are stocks overpriced? How much growth is required to justify a P/E of 100?

In this article, we shall explore how the one- and two-stage Gordon Growth Models, and Dividend Discount Model, relate growth rates, valuations, earnings, dividends, inflation, and return on investment.

Let
E = earnings
d = dividend
P = price
r = discount rate
g = (terminal) dividend growth rate

Then
y = d/P is dividend yield
Y = E/P is earnings yield
P/E = 1/Y
p = d/E is dividend payout ratio

According to the Gordon Growth Model (GGM),

y = d/P = r - g.

Hence,

Y = y/p.

So, for example, if r = 10% is the required return, and growth rate is g = 3%, then dividend yield should be y = 7%.

If also the payout ratio is 70%, then the P/E must be 10.
If the payout ratio is p = 100%, then the P/E can be ~14.

It may appear counter-intuitive that higher retention requires a lower P/E. But remember that we are talking about dividend growth rates, g, not earnings growth rates.

So if a firm is able to grow dividends without retaining earnings, this likely means that it benefits from pricing power, protecting from inflation, or that it has conservative accounting.

However, when the dividend is zero, g cannot be measured, and the model breaks down.

THREAD: A lot of my students have been asking me about the current events involving GameStop, Bitcoin/Dogecoin, minimum wage, stimulus checks, so I thought I'd make a thread that carefully explains this stuff for people who feel out of the loop: (1/97)

On May 28, 2016, a three-year-old boy climbed into a gorilla enclosure at the Cincinnati Zoo and Botanical Garden and was grabbed and dragged by Harambe, a 17-year-old western lowland gorilla. Fearing for the boy's life, a zoo worker shot and killed Harambe.

The incident was recorded on video and received broad international coverage and commentary, including controversy over the choice to use lethal force. A number of primatologists and conservationists wrote later that the zoo had no other choice under the circumstances, and that

it highlighted the danger of zoo animals near humans and the need for better standards of care.

Harambe (/həˈrɑːmbeɪ/ hə-RAHM-bay) was born at the Gladys Porter Zoo in Brownsville, Texas, on May 27, 1999. He was named by Dan Van Coppenolle, a local area counselor who won a naming contest sponsored by the zoo.[1] He came up with the name after listening to the song "Harambe

Mkt view :
Only 290 companies trading above dec 2017 prices which was top of overall broader market. If one looks at nifty which is concentrated in 5 stocks, then it may scare them. Whereas individual stocks have yet lot of room to grow.

In history of markets, when interest rates can not grow and remain so low for another 1 year minimum then stock prices are bound to soar.

How to play in current markets :
1. Debt free and low working capital companies ( as% of sales) with less receivable days and small cash conversion cycles . This ensures company always has money to operate n stay afloat.

2. High growth companies with above 1st condition. Top line of 10% plus and bottom line of 25% plus consistently with increasing or stable operating margins make the company do better in robustness of share price.

In such pandemic corona conditions or earlier demonetization, nbfc liquidity crunch, ilfs, small & midcap dwnfall from 2018: if all of these situations can not stop these companies then What will?

$TSLAQ Instead of having an accrual palooza, I will dribble these out as I have time and available information. The first account to be reviewed: Automotive Leasing Revenues. The remainder of the planet calls this Sales-Type Leasing (ASC 842.) (1/n)

GAAP allows revenue recognition if a manufacture or dealer leases the preponderance of useful life and economic value of inventory. Computer manufactures are significant users of this accounting treatment. The journal entries for this type of leasing are: (2/n)

The sales are the present value of the payments plus down payment. COGS is the cost of the equipment less the present value of the residual payment. (3/n)

The final receivable entry is the residual value added to the lease payment receivable to remove inventory from the financial statements. $TSLA classifies the lease receivable as an Operating Lease Vehicles, net on the balance sheet and they are subject to depreciation. (4/n)

The assumptions in the calculation that can be subject to manipulation: the implicit interest rate of the lease and the residual payments. Lower rates increase capitalization of the lease which gives higher revenues. Larger residual decreases cost of goods sold. (5/n)

There's just days until the Northern Ireland protocol enters into force on 1 Jan. The Joint Committee has made it's decisions, the UK and EU have agreed an FTA (the TCA), and the UK have announced lots of new schemes, but what does this all mean for the Irish Sea Border ⛴️🚛🧵

Tariffs💵The Joint Committee already agreed that most goods moving GB-NI that are for sale or final use in NI will not be subject to tariffs. Businesses will need to register for the UK Trader Scheme to certify that their goods qualify.

Registrations for the UK trade scheme opened on 15 December so cutting it a bit fine. But the JC decision allows for any applications to the scheme to be provisionally approved for up to 4 months. The zero-tariff UK-EU deal has relieved some of the strain on the scheme because..

A lot of goods moving GB-NI will qualify for tariff-free access whether the goods are staying in NI or going to the EU, so many businesses may not bother using it. But it could still be important for goods who don't meet the Rules of Origin threshold

Customs formalities 📑 The same paperwork, including customs declarations, will be required on goods going GB-NI as going GB-EU. The UK-EU have agreed some simplifications in the TCA & UK officials applying EU law in NI will no doubt be as light touch as possible.

Important update regarding the 'Trades I liked' chart:

I'M GOING NAKED 😱

Don't worry, there is method behind the madness 😉 This is a thread, grab a coffee or a glass of wine. Or you could just have an Irish Coffee instead, cover all bases😊

I used to take trades all the time off various levels & vwaps. All these give off some great trades! However more recently, the majority of my trades have been off the naked bars. Not a lot beats trading wicks for me, it's a simple setup that repeats all day long!

As Matt used to say in the room "If you're not using something, why the fuck is it on your chart"? I found myself thinking the same thing tonight when explaining my chart to someone.

Now altho I haven't been taking that many trades off levels or vwaps, I still want to know where they are. E.G. If I'm long & I can see we're going to run into the PSH (Previous Session High) or Day 3 VWAP, I'll think abt adding-on (to bring target below) or killing trade there.

Context is so important. The 15m chart with the levels and vwaps on give me what I need to see (the overall picture with where the potential road blocks for the day will be). For the 1m chart, I don't actually need them on there.

A lot has been written today about the $GME pump on /r/WallStreetBets from a financial angle.

But I think there's another angle - this it also works as a *multiplayer game* and one with an interesting design.

Don't believe me? Let's look at it structurally!

1/

WSB pump of $GME exhibits a number of gamelike elements:
1. resource mechanics
2. multiplayer social mechanics
3. progression mechanics
4. multi-system interactions
5. prediction complexity, and
6. a powerful player fantasy to tie them together

2/

1. Just by itself, the stock market is an engrossing game (for those who can afford the time and money). It's got a variety of simple resource mechanics (buy / sell stocks), more complex mechanics (buy / sell options), super complex mechanics (would you like some futures?) ... 3/

... and a very high analytic complexity (which mechanic should I apply to maximize return, short term or long term?).

Like in chess, this analysis is very hard but therefore interesting.

And the system gives somewhat clear feedback about how well you're playing ($$$). 4/

2. Now WSB specifically adds social mechanics. Being a lone wolf timing the market is one thing - but banding together to see what you can do together, now that's something else!

Specifically WSB allows not just socializing/meta, but also for coordination. 5/

1) As the miserable year of 2020 reaches its end, it's time to return to the offices of Hindsight Capital LLC.

For those unfamiliar, this great, albeit imaginary, hedge fund invests with the benefit of a style guaranteed to beat all others: hindsight

2) As such perfect vision would allow infinite returns, certain limits are imposed on Hindsight Capital’s managers:

🚫It can't trade during the year
🚫It can't use leverage
🚫It can't invest in individual stocks
✅It must make broader or sectoral

3) Hindsight can, however, make “long-short” trades.

But the hedge fund must be able to explain how someone might have made such a trade based on only what they knew at the time. Foreknowledge of earthquakes and hurricanes, for instance, is not allowed

4) As for the pandemic, Hindsight Capital’s managers were aware of the novel coronavirus in Wuhan and had little difficulty in predicting how the world would react and what its effects would be.

That was crucial, as will be seen in this thread

5) Hindsight Capital always bases itself in the country with the year’s weakest currency.

In 2020, that was Brazil, giving its managers a great excuse to live out the pandemic from an office overlooking Ipanema Beach