@RaoulGMI 1/ Ari is mostly right. The @grayscale vehicles provide an amazing way to get exposure at a fraction of the publicly traded price of these vehicles.

Let's start with $LTC.

The $LTCN NAV is $9.97. This is where LP's get to purchase.
The stock is trading at $329.48

@Grayscale 2/ If you put $100,000 into the trust, you get back close to 10k shares of $LTCN.

So immediately your $100k is worth $3.3m approx. Not a bad deal.

BUT, you have to hold it for a year. (the risk)

BUT, how big is that risk? How low would $LTCN have to go to lose money.

@Grayscale 3/ You don't have to be a genius to understand that the price of $LTCN would have to drop by 97% or so in order for you to lose. Those are my kind of odds.

Keeping this in mind, if $LTCN went down by 80% in a year, and $LTCN was $65, you would STILL make over 600% on your money

@Grayscale 4/ I am not going to say this is truly a case where the rich can get richer, but it certainly favors the accredited investor in a huge way.

You can repeat this with $BCH ($BCHG), $XLM, $XRP, $BTC, $ETH, etc.

Now, history tells us that the premium decreases over time as LP's..

@Grayscale 5/ get liquidity. However, using $ETHE as a barometer, while premiums were high initially, they eventually normalized in the hundreds of % points and when the big liquidity push came and investors unlocked it came down around 40%. NOW, with interest revived, back to 200%.

1/

This whole thing is SO shady for so many reasons.

GameStop shares continue their rapid fall back toward earth, along with AMC Entertainment and Express

2/

A Reddit forum has played a big part in this.

Let's start there.

How r/WallStreetBets gamed the stock of GameStop

3/

🇨🇳
February 2019

"Chinese tech giant Tencent now plans to lead a new Series D funding round for Reddit, the social news forum plagued by controversy over the past decade."

Tencent Buys Stake In Another U.S. Social Network -- Reddit

4/

🇨🇳
Tencent, the world's largest video game vendor, invested in a company, Reddit, which is *banned in China*?

Weird.🤔

Reddit, Banned in China, Is Reportedly Set to Land $150 Million Investment From a Chinese Censorship Powerhouse

5/

These guys that are under investigation.

🇨🇳
U.S. government reportedly looking into 'League of Legends' owner Tencent's gaming stakes

As 2020 draws to a close, here's a few posts for my 2020 annual review! 👇

Focus is on the types of trade I made, the underlyings traded, & strategy outcomes, rather than just showing the overall % return

To kick it off, below is the 2020 equity curve of my main account 💰

So what did I trade? As you can see, Options have significantly contributed to 2020 Realized & Unrealized profits, with almost two thirds of gains coming from this asset class. Otherwise I have some net gains on short & longer term Stocks, and a loss in Futures 😊

I traded around 70 underlyings in 2020; here they are, ordered by % contribution to my annual Realized & Unrealized gains

$CRWD, $NET, $WYNN & $FSLY are my top winners! 🚀

I made a bit more than 200 opening trades in 2020. By far the most common are Long Stock and Short Put trades

Best performer = Short Puts, with an 84% win rate! Another 7% were rolled into new strikes, and only 1.43% were a loss 😮

Win rate on long stock is lowest. This is skewed as I’m only using Realized gains, and most of my profitable stock positions are still open

1 Introduction

Fascism: what is it and why does it get such a bad rap?

This thread is for information purposes only

2 Fascism itself is used as a pejorative and most, whether on the right or left, lack conception of Fascism’s origins. ‘Fascist’ is a curse word in much the same vain as Nazi.

3 Fascism is a much maligned ideology/philosophy which makes sense only when those origins are understood. Likewise, the zeitgeist which prevailed at the time must also be understood, stripped down and thoroughly analyzed.

4 Whilst Fascism bears some similarities to National Socialism, they are really only close cousins.

5 The style of Fascism prevalent in the 1920s and 1930s is different from the ‘Fascism’ prevailing in the 2020s, and then it must be distinguished from that which existed, or still exists, in most Third World countries.

THREAD: A lot of my students have been asking me about the current events involving GameStop, Bitcoin/Dogecoin, minimum wage, stimulus checks, so I thought I'd make a thread that carefully explains this stuff for people who feel out of the loop: (1/97)

On May 28, 2016, a three-year-old boy climbed into a gorilla enclosure at the Cincinnati Zoo and Botanical Garden and was grabbed and dragged by Harambe, a 17-year-old western lowland gorilla. Fearing for the boy's life, a zoo worker shot and killed Harambe.

The incident was recorded on video and received broad international coverage and commentary, including controversy over the choice to use lethal force. A number of primatologists and conservationists wrote later that the zoo had no other choice under the circumstances, and that

it highlighted the danger of zoo animals near humans and the need for better standards of care.

Harambe (/həˈrɑːmbeɪ/ hə-RAHM-bay) was born at the Gladys Porter Zoo in Brownsville, Texas, on May 27, 1999. He was named by Dan Van Coppenolle, a local area counselor who won a naming contest sponsored by the zoo.[1] He came up with the name after listening to the song "Harambe

Last year I co-founded Selva Ventures, a CPG-focused VC firm, as a solo GP

This week I’ve been reflecting on our first year in business and wanted to share some of the lessons learned in building a small investment firm
Thread 👇

1/ As a solo GP I wear 2 hats

Investor: Always challenging but familiar. Same thing I was doing before

Entrepreneur: Incredibly ambiguous and scary, but also the greatest source of fulfillment

2/ Early on, seemingly simple decisions took an eternity: naming the firm, designing a logo, choosing a fund admin partner to name a few

I was so scared of getting these things wrong, but it was so important to be excited about those decisions to build early momentum

3/ Fundraising could be its own thread, but in fund 1 narrow focus is everything

Build a narrative that can get people excited and DO NOT stray from it, even though it can be tempting

Anything that doesn’t fit? Use an SPV or let it go

4/ Starting out I knew nobody else doing this, but the content about this growing field of “Solo Capitalists” has been both educational and therapeutic

@nbt’s substack (below), @Samirkaji’s podcast (Venture Unlocked) and @oper8rio really stand out

Support MSME

The Australia China trade war has resulted in China seeking support for import of of iron ore from Africa. Africa is building its iron or system which will take nearly the next five years to develop completely till then China is looking at India for its import.

This is a very crucial time for the Indian market to understand its own local and domestic needs and fulfill it before exporting the much-needed iron and steel raw materials to China.

This will in turn result in increasing prices of iron and iron materials in China and therefore India can capitalise this opportunity to export and products made of these important commodities at much higher prices.

The Indian Steel market has been under great pressure due to skyrocketing prices as the after effects of the covid-19 lockdown still persist increasing the ever growing gap between the huge demand and the shortening supply.

The manufacturers have not been receiving their pending payments due to which they are not able to procure enough raw material to make the products.

What does the Trade and Cooperation Agreement mean for the UKs #extradition arrangements with the EU27?

Lets take a quick look

Thread

A reminder of the respective positions of the UK and the EU in their negotiations that the UK Government considered a 'UK WIN'

As rightly said by @StevePeers, the reality is that the Agreement appears to be closer aligned to the EUs objectives, particularly given the EU wins in relation to dual criminality, ability to determine applicability for political offences and surrender for own nationals. EU WIN?

To begin with, as per previous arrangements, #extradition is referred to throughout as a 'mechanism of surrender'. Unlike the Council Framework Decision on the European Arrest Warrant, the surrender arrangement does not appear to be based on mutual trust and recognition

Despite the UK Governments negotiating position of not seeking participation in the EAW scheme, the Agreement provisions on surrender closely follows the wording of the Framework Decision on the European arrest warrant

#Global #ETF Weekly & Month-end (thread): 29 Jan 2021

- 2020 worst perf #sector making comeback in 2021 $IXC

- This is helping #oil producing countries with #Nigeria & #UAE in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $NGE $UAE

- #SouthAfrica $EZA moved into top15 YTD performers

2/12

#EmergingMarkets #ETF still storming ahead against #DevelopedMarkets ETF, still not relatively "overbought" yet, but getting close.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+0.2%) continued 2nd half on 2020 recovery against $URTH (-0.8%)

3/12

#Global #Value #stocks still making short-term recovery, with $IWVL #ETF still looking strong relatively over the short-term. Over 3yr period it is however still lagging quite substantially.

4/12

This one is worrying, but then again, it's been for some time. #Global #Tech #stocks relative to #MSCI All Country World Index is definitely creating some concern. Be very careful.

$IXN vs $ACWI

5/12

#Internet companies still big driver on performance, with US Internet Co's #ETF growing 1.8% in January (YTD) in USD versus #MSCI World $URTH losing 0.8% over same period

#Chinese Internet Co's $KWEB however grew 13% in Jan. Wow! That helped #Naspers/#Prosus & also SA $EZA

1/7: I understand that #Ripple's selling concerns many people. But the question is... how do you responsibly distribute Ripple's 50B $XRP? Ripple holding so much #XRP is one of the biggest complaints about XRP and why so many people don't like it and may also prevent ODL adoption

2/7: Escrow was introduced to help this, but that $XRP is still in Ripple's custody. They really need to distribute it. But how? Ideally, it should already have already been done years ago, but you can't go back in time to do it. @JoelKatz has talked about this challenge before.

3/7: So we're against them holding it and we're also against them selling it. So how do they distribute it? They can't give it away, who gets it, how do they choose? Giveaways this late in the game also negatively affect prices. Higher supply = lower demand = lower prices.

4/7: Ideally, they would only distribute this to Financial Institutions for use in #ODL, but unfortunately, there's not enough demand for the utility of XRP through ODL. Perhaps because Finacial Institutions don't want to hold it/use it due to regulatory uncertainty.

5/7: As I see it, there are a few options for distribution:
a) Incentivize the use of ODL despite regulatory clarity - such as giving incentives to #Moneygram,
b) Lock it back up in escrow, effectively reducing supply, but giving #Ripple custody.

(1) BELGIUM: @alexanderdecroo @GLBouchez @ducarmedenis Number of false PCR positives of asymptomatic people still high and obviously not showing right picture. Deaths way down and show the absolute uselessnes of mass testing.

(2) On top of that, overall mortality during expected winter resurgence not nearly as high as during first wave whatever the media may tell you. Excess mortality clearly above average for ONE MONTH in autumn.

(3) Graph missing last month so would be even more normal. The BE curve follows all models for new viruses that we saw ONE YEAR AGO. Measures have had extremely limited impact - arguable made the curves sharper and harder to deal with for hospitals (pp locked up = indoors).

(4) Mortality in BE within the usual threshold (Covid replacing influenza) for at least one month. Compare below to the narrative and you see that the virus is well on its way to becoming endemic. The winter "wave" has been over for a long time.

(5) Include in this the faulty PCR (most estimate 35% false positives and many declared + after they died, or when they died from other conditions, and a couple of things become obvious:

$TSLAQ Instead of having an accrual palooza, I will dribble these out as I have time and available information. The first account to be reviewed: Automotive Leasing Revenues. The remainder of the planet calls this Sales-Type Leasing (ASC 842.) (1/n)

GAAP allows revenue recognition if a manufacture or dealer leases the preponderance of useful life and economic value of inventory. Computer manufactures are significant users of this accounting treatment. The journal entries for this type of leasing are: (2/n)

The sales are the present value of the payments plus down payment. COGS is the cost of the equipment less the present value of the residual payment. (3/n)

The final receivable entry is the residual value added to the lease payment receivable to remove inventory from the financial statements. $TSLA classifies the lease receivable as an Operating Lease Vehicles, net on the balance sheet and they are subject to depreciation. (4/n)

The assumptions in the calculation that can be subject to manipulation: the implicit interest rate of the lease and the residual payments. Lower rates increase capitalization of the lease which gives higher revenues. Larger residual decreases cost of goods sold. (5/n)