BC TRADING
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

1/5

2020 Predictions Report Card

Item 1 - Tesla will lose more money in 2020 than 2019.
❌
I missed this one clearly. Didn't realize that they could recognize three years of credits in a single year, because I was using GAAP. Tesla does not appear to be conforming to GAAP here.

 Doubt the auditors make a stink about it but who knows.
Also note that the total net income for the first nine months of 2020 ($451M) matches almost exactly the increase in A/R balance ($433M). A/R balance is now 1.76B, dwarfing their reported profits of $451M.
Item 2 - Model S will be discontinued.

✔️❌
They didn't discontinue. They dropped the price $10,000 instead. Combining this will the price cuts in 2019, including free EAP, gross margins for the Model S are now decisively negative. Giving myself partial credit on this one. (:
Item 3 - Model Y price will be cut $2K after initial orders are filled.

✔️
Ding ding ding. Prices were cut $3K right after initial backlog was filled.
Item 4 - MY SR+ will be released

❌
Missed this one. My best guess is that M3 SR+ are so low, they don't want to offer a similar MY variant.
Item 5 - Q1 Losses

❌
Again, missed this one. Price cuts had no effect on reported margins and China appears to have been profitable even running at 20% capacity. Other manufacturers need to run at 80% capacity to be profitable. Not Tesla. Magical automotive company.
Item, 6 - No robotaxis

✔️
That one was a layup of course.

Item 7 - FTC lets Tesla sell robotaxi software.

✔️
Another layup.

Item 8 - Teslas will continue to hit stationary objects

✔️
I'm on a roll. Three in a row.
Item 9 - Q4 '20 EU deliveries will be down 80% YOY, or prices will be cut at least $5K.

✔️
Price were cut $5.5K in Germany, and $4.5K in other EU countries.
Item 10 - China will lose money in each quarter

❓
Well, Tesla didn't bother to report China profit and loss, even though they are suppose to be rule. So we don't know. From Fremont numbers, we can imply that they are claiming China is profitable. Love to see the numbers.
So 5.5 right. 4.5 wrong. And one, unknown.

Not great, but not bad. Of course, the none of this matters. Stock price bro!

Happy New Year's!

More from Trading

Fabiana Cecin \U0001f3f4 \U0001f339
Fabiana Cecin 🏴 🌹...
@fabianacecin
I'm having difficulty seeing the need for any other currency in the world other than G$.

If it works, and it is decentralized, then why would we need more than one global-reach currency?

If it does the job perfectly, then why do we need another?

I don't mean there won't be others. What I mean is that maybe Crypto UBI will be like the existing non-democratic crypto market ranking. There will be a first-place market cap amount, and exponential decay to the #2, #3, #4, etc.

This is in contrast to the simplistic view where we assume there will be X systems and they all have more or less the same abstract Y market cap or reach, and they all add up to an integrated system with X*Y market cap.

All you have to do is design the controls the way they want to be designed. If you don't introduce some unneeded damage in it, then there won't be the need to come up with another system that fixes the damage and actually does complete "the system" that we will use.

E.g. Bitcoin would have worked, except it introduced the damage that is Proof-of-Work, which means it is unusable and will be replaced by Ethereum, which will use PoS, thus fixing the damage.
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Aaron D.
Aaron D.
@MrBrownEyes2020
So what will be the aftermath of this GME event?

These are simply my guesses, I don't actually know.

Wallstreet will likely push for licenses being necessary to trade, or put more limits on how many trades you can make, or some other way to screw the average person trading. 1/

FYI, you can only make 4 trades in a day, but if you have more than $25,000 in your account you can make as many as you want.

The system is rigged against the poor, and weighted heavily in favour of the rich. 2/

Will the government shut down the market?

It's possible, but I doubt it.
It would open up new precedents and the optics would be terrible- i.e. shutting down the market because greedy hedgefunds fucked up, and normal people are taking them to the cleaners. 3/

If the government gives in to Wallstreet, they lose all credibility, because this story is basically David vs Goliath, where the Reddit guys are the good guys, and the hedgefunds are the bad guys.

4/

Likely they will implement similar rules to Europe, that stops naked short selling.

Anything more than that, I'm not sure.
I think the media will push the threat of the government shutting down trading, in order to scare people into selling, to give short sellers a way out. 5/
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Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
A THREAD:

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TRADING , OPTIONSLEARNINGS
il Capo Of Ethereum
il Capo Of Ethereum
@CryptoCapo_
As a former professional poker player, I'm very clear about the importance of psychology in investing/trading.

You can have a very solid strategy, but if the mental aspect fails, everything fails, no matter how good you are.

Thread 👇

In this thread I will briefly describe the most important aspects of trading psychology, and give some simple tips to try to improve them.

It's good to always be aware of these aspects, to be able to detect them and act in time.

1) FEAR

This is one of the most important. It can make you get out of a position at the wrong time.

One of the main reasons you can have fear is because you are putting more at risk than you are willing to lose.

Tip: reduce the size of your position until you are comfortable.

2) GREED

Greed can be even worse than fear. It leads you to be overpositioned and to destroy your average entry.

Tip: learn to conform to what you have. Practice gratitude for everything that comes your way. Remember that the most important thing is to stay in the game.

3) TILT

This is well known in poker. There are many reasons why tilt can appear (downswings, injustice, mistakes...)

Tilt takes you away from your perfect strategy. From your A game.

After a losing streak you may think that the market is being unfair to you.
TRADING
JayneshKasliwal
JayneshKasliwal
@JayneshKasliwal
𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆-𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗻𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆

Complete Backtest and Indicator link

🧵 A Thread 🧵

𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽:
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Why Monthly Option buying ?
🔸 Less theta decay compared to weekly options
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🔸 Click on the below 𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘬 -> 𝘈𝘥𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘍𝘢𝘷𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘴 -> 𝘈𝘥𝘥 𝘰𝘯 𝘊𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵 from favourites and start using it !

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𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀 :
🔸 Max 6 Trades per day ( Both CE and PE buy)
🔸 Timings 9:20 am to 3:00 pm
🔸 Supertrend : 10,3
🔸 Moving Average 50 ema
[5/18]
ALL , TRADING , A OPTION BUYING INDICATOR

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Thread on
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(1/n)

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Billy Bostickson \U0001f3f4\U0001f441&\U0001f441 \U0001f193
Billy Bostickson 🏴👁&👁 ...
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Enough Jaw Jaw, this is War!
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Dr. Shipmans, Saboteurs, Devils in White Coats!


Organisations to be Investigated
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WCDC
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SinoPharm
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DTRA
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TUNNELL
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