1/5

2020 Predictions Report Card

Item 1 - Tesla will lose more money in 2020 than 2019.

I missed this one clearly. Didn't realize that they could recognize three years of credits in a single year, because I was using GAAP. Tesla does not appear to be conforming to GAAP here.

Doubt the auditors make a stink about it but who knows.
Also note that the total net income for the first nine months of 2020 ($451M) matches almost exactly the increase in A/R balance ($433M). A/R balance is now 1.76B, dwarfing their reported profits of $451M.
Item 2 - Model S will be discontinued.

✔️❌
They didn't discontinue. They dropped the price $10,000 instead. Combining this will the price cuts in 2019, including free EAP, gross margins for the Model S are now decisively negative. Giving myself partial credit on this one. (:
Item 3 - Model Y price will be cut $2K after initial orders are filled.

✔️
Ding ding ding. Prices were cut $3K right after initial backlog was filled.
Item 4 - MY SR+ will be released


Missed this one. My best guess is that M3 SR+ are so low, they don't want to offer a similar MY variant.
Item 5 - Q1 Losses


Again, missed this one. Price cuts had no effect on reported margins and China appears to have been profitable even running at 20% capacity. Other manufacturers need to run at 80% capacity to be profitable. Not Tesla. Magical automotive company.
Item, 6 - No robotaxis

✔️
That one was a layup of course.

Item 7 - FTC lets Tesla sell robotaxi software.

✔️
Another layup.

Item 8 - Teslas will continue to hit stationary objects

✔️
I'm on a roll. Three in a row.
Item 9 - Q4 '20 EU deliveries will be down 80% YOY, or prices will be cut at least $5K.

✔️
Price were cut $5.5K in Germany, and $4.5K in other EU countries.
Item 10 - China will lose money in each quarter


Well, Tesla didn't bother to report China profit and loss, even though they are suppose to be rule. So we don't know. From Fremont numbers, we can imply that they are claiming China is profitable. Love to see the numbers.
So 5.5 right. 4.5 wrong. And one, unknown.

Not great, but not bad. Of course, the none of this matters. Stock price bro!

Happy New Year's!

More from Trading

FREE MINI STOCK MBA
If you wish to learn abt trading,psychology,options,business etc
You can go through this thread.
Other than this I do post videos on my YT channel : -Abhishek Kar & Tradiostation
-Intraday views on FREE telegram : Abhishek Kar Official
RT will be appreciated

1. Threads to learn Options
https://t.co/wabkek43I8

2. https://t.co/OIDenHKdWN

3. Some core rules to investing
https://t.co/37d1pygp7P

4.Summing up 2020 Trading lessons
https://t.co/jSUb1lSGbQ

5.Effects of margin change on


6. Exciting story about a trader who destroyed a Bank
https://t.co/CsEEhIsD3q

7. Some Thought Provoking facts about stock markets
https://t.co/IjxpX5Wx24

8. A dose on Trading and investing


9. Top 5 resources to learn everything about stocks
https://t.co/6KnIySBGIG

10. Some Pro Tips on Trading
https://t.co/EiSGikt7jv

11. Wisdom on stuffs you should not do
https://t.co/bI2dH0XTSS

12. Reasons why you are losing the


13. The DARK side of stock market
https://t.co/qsteGcbquI

14. Stocks where you should NOT invest
https://t.co/2tD5q0K3UQ

15. Lessons from MILLIONAIRE trader
https://t.co/Pec6LmUtGa

16. Lessons from my
1/ Feels like a good time to tell the story of how I went from broke to a millionaire to broke again in 2017/18 again...

Yesterday was brutal for some people...

Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.

2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.

https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0

tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it

2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.

3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.

If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.

4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information

And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.

5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?

I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record

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प्राचीन काल में गाधि नामक एक राजा थे।उनकी सत्यवती नाम की एक पुत्री थी।राजा गाधि ने अपनी पुत्री का विवाह महर्षि भृगु के पुत्र से करवा दिया।महर्षि भृगु इस विवाह से बहुत प्रसन्न हुए और उन्होने अपनी पुत्रवधु को आशीर्वाद देकर उसे कोई भी वर मांगने को कहा।


सत्यवती ने महर्षि भृगु से अपने तथा अपनी माता के लिए पुत्र का वरदान मांगा।ये जानकर महर्षि भृगु ने यज्ञ किया और तत्पश्चात सत्यवती और उसकी माता को अलग-अलग प्रकार के दो चरू (यज्ञ के लिए पकाया हुआ अन्न) दिए और कहा कि ऋतु स्नान के बाद तुम्हारी माता पुत्र की इच्छा लेकर पीपल का आलिंगन...

...करें और तुम भी पुत्र की इच्छा लेकर गूलर वृक्ष का आलिंगन करना। आलिंगन करने के बाद चरू का सेवन करना, इससे तुम दोनो को पुत्र प्राप्ति होगी।परंतु मां बेटी के चरू आपस में बदल जाते हैं और ये महर्षि भृगु अपनी दिव्य दृष्टि से देख लेते हैं।

भृगु ऋषि सत्यवती से कहते हैं,"पुत्री तुम्हारा और तुम्हारी माता ने एक दुसरे के चरू खा लिए हैं।इस कारण तुम्हारा पुत्र ब्राह्मण होते हुए भी क्षत्रिय सा आचरण करेगा और तुम्हारी माता का पुत्र क्षत्रिय होकर भी ब्राह्मण सा आचरण करेगा।"
इस पर सत्यवती ने भृगु ऋषि से बड़ी विनती की।


सत्यवती ने कहा,"मुझे आशीर्वाद दें कि मेरा पुत्र ब्राह्मण सा ही आचरण करे।"तब महर्षि ने उसे ये आशीर्वाद दे दिया कि उसका पुत्र ब्राह्मण सा ही आचरण करेगा किन्तु उसका पौत्र क्षत्रियों सा व्यवहार करेगा। सत्यवती का एक पुत्र हुआ जिसका नाम जम्दाग्नि था जो सप्त ऋषियों में से एक हैं।
Margatha Natarajar murthi - Uthirakosamangai temple near Ramanathapuram,TN
#ArudraDarisanam
Unique Natarajar made of emerlad is abt 6 feet tall.
It is always covered with sandal paste.Only on Thriuvadhirai Star in month Margazhi-Nataraja can be worshipped without sandal paste.


After removing the sandal paste,day long rituals & various abhishekam will be
https://t.co/e1Ye8DrNWb day Maragatha Nataraja sannandhi will be closed after anointing the murthi with fresh sandal paste.Maragatha Natarajar is covered with sandal paste throughout the year


as Emerald has scientific property of its molecules getting disturbed when exposed to light/water/sound.This is an ancient Shiva temple considered to be 3000 years old -believed to be where Bhagwan Shiva gave Veda gyaana to Parvati Devi.This temple has some stunning sculptures.