BC TRADING
Saved by @SteveeRogerr

EXTREMELY IMPORTANT INTERVIEW FOR INVESTORS
Especially new ones!

I disagree with most of it, but ULTRA-IMPORTANT!

Here's why
1/
https://t.co/THWfs2SI2y
@stevenmarkryan
@jpr007 @stekkerauto @garyblack00 @TeslaBest @iamtomnash @TeslaPodcast @EvaFoxU @WR4NYGov
$TSLA #Investing

 2/ Grantham from GMO is labeled as a value investor, but don't let it fool you. Unlike other "geniuses" he doesn't just check P/E or P/S, but also factors in growth, including possibly huge growth.

Ultimately his preference or bias is for dividend stocks, but he's doing it right
3/ He sees the current condition as a bubble that should burst in. 2 months - unless further inflated by the fed.

If you disagree don't stop reading. Important!
4/ Before pointing to where i agree and where i don't, i think it's ULTRA IMPORTANT for investors to hear opposing views, when they have firm grounds

Fine to disagree but bad to just dismiss or ignore - do that and you might lose everything

(that's the only ADVICE i give, BTW)
5/ Grantham sees the market as a bubble that should burst in. 2 months - unless further inflated by the fed

History shows that on bull mkts once everyone is HUGELY optimistic and put EVERYTHING they have in the mkt, there is nowhere else to go (unless fed gives even more money)
6/ He's right on the optimism part.
Bc "The opportunity is too good to miss out" I not only put ALL my savings in stocks, i also borrowed to do so.

I won't sell on bad news, but those leveraged like me who will sell (in panic or margin calls) could lose everything
7/ B4 going with what IMO he has right and what very wrong, another pointer that this is no Gordon Johnson.
He invests in clean energy, he believes we should all make the world (not just shareholders) happy,

His analysis is bright, he's just wrong on some assumptions and facts
8/ OK.. He's right in thinking many stocks are a huge bubble inflated by faith. He invested in QuantumScape but admits that a company with no product, no revenues for at least 4years should NOT be larger than GM

He hates SPACs. Much better to make regular IPOs more accessible
9/ We saw how big the $NKLA bubble got before bursting.

We saw Tilman Fertitta roll his Golden Nugget company's debt to the LCA SPAC he also ran that purchased it.

We see vaporware companies getting huge valuations. What happens when they pop?
10/ Robin Hooders sometimes see stocks as a money printing machine that never goes down. This is dangerous.

He says that if (artificial) federal bond rates are low, this changes the temptation to invest in companies - but NOT the basic tech and fundamentals of the company
11/ He sees bitcoin as a 0 Dividend stock based on pure faith. You can sell a bitcoin for $1m if someone believes it's worth it; but there's no intrinsic value. No dividend and you can't eat it

Smart interviewer said same true for gold, and Grantham's answer didn't convince ๐Ÿ™‚
12/ I agree to a lot and will keep watch for warning signs - but more importantly I disagree on the bottom line.

I'm NOT investing in balloon SPACs.
I'm NOT investing in 0-value companies just bc "they're like Tesla"

The only investments I make are in companies ...
13/ i only invest in disruptive companies for which i am fairly certain I can calculate a future stream of revenues far higher than what mkt assumes
If cash-Fed ๐Ÿ˜‰ spac/ev bubble explodes, Tesla will still make lotsa cars which will have lotsa demand (Despite lower luxury sales)
14/ Same for my smaller holdings (FUV, NVX, ARKK, ARKG). They could suffer once the overall party's over, but NOT NEARLY AS MUCH as the bubble stocks

And two years later the dip will be forgotten bc long-term value won't change

That's a risk i'm willing to take 4 current upside
@Vivishkaa @Cosmicstrenght3 @wendishen99 @IamKarsten @WholeMarsBlog @jackfarrington
@LimitingThe @Gfilche
#investing #bullMarket #StockBubble
@threadreaderapp unroll, bro
PS forgot to add he says the way to invest despite the bubble is either emerging markets (ho hum) or RENEWABLE ENERGY companies

Did anyone say Tesla?

More from Trading

Abhishek Kar
Abhishek Kar
@Abhishekkar_
๐“๐ก๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ
The entire thread will have some quick pointers on options trading. These bullet points are based on experience and learning and even if you are completely new,will help you to build some perspective. So,lets go :

-When new,prefer trading monthly options over weekly options to reduce risk
-Set up your trades with greater than 50% Probability Of Profit
- Use implied volatility in your decision making process
-Book some trades at 50% of max profit i.e. locking of profit incase u are buyer

-Donโ€™t adjust losing defined risk strategies. A lot of people get into the bad habit of averaging and run the risk of losing a lot
-Diversify your portfolio across product, direction, and time,this has to be considered while you are planning to put in multiple strikes in folio

-Short Strangles are one of our go-to strategies because of their high probability of profit and increased profit potential.A little effort with understanding of volatility would help
-Allocate no more than 5% of your account to any one trade

-Trade small, trade often to increase your number of occurrences. Some might deny but this works
-In options you might have heard of spreads.Multiple options legs create an options spread. For example, a short strangle consists of selling a call and selling a put simultaneously.
TRADING
JayneshKasliwal
JayneshKasliwal
@JayneshKasliwal
๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜†-๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜†

Complete Backtest and Indicator link

๐Ÿงต A Thread ๐Ÿงต

๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฝ:
๐Ÿ”ธ Monthly Option Buying
๐Ÿ”ธ 50 ema on 3 min timeframe
๐Ÿ”ธ Supertrend 10 , 3
๐Ÿ”ธ Chart : Banknifty , Nifty Futures as we backtested on futures
๐Ÿ”ธ Entry 9:20 to 3:00
๐Ÿ”ธ Max 3 Entries per day
๐Ÿ”ธ Premium nearest to 200 Rs only

[2/18]

Why Monthly Option buying ?
๐Ÿ”ธ Less theta decay compared to weekly options
๐Ÿ”ธ Less Volatility
๐Ÿ”ธ Supertrend and MA Settings
[3/18]


๐Ÿ”ธ Indicator Link
๐Ÿ”ธ Click on the below ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ -> ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด -> ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜Š๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต from favourites and start using it !

๐Ÿ”ธ https://t.co/zVXavqLBto
[4/18]

๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ :
๐Ÿ”ธ Max 6 Trades per day ( Both CE and PE buy)
๐Ÿ”ธ Timings 9:20 am to 3:00 pm
๐Ÿ”ธ Supertrend : 10,3
๐Ÿ”ธ Moving Average 50 ema
[5/18]
ALL , TRADING , A OPTION BUYING INDICATOR
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M Lebon
M Lebon
@LongTplexTrader
So..had a great conversation last night with older investment types, old friends whom I traded with/against and managed money against or for. Age diff from me is > 10+ years so the takes were interesting but the common theme was a little disturbing (depends on your view)

Was looking at the landscape of the world & quite concerned where we are (I do not share your optimism for a shinny happy future). I am a Bond guy + Cycles & my view approach is ALWAYS what is the worst that can happen (that is how I was taught to trade & manage money) As a Bond

Money manager you never every want to apologize for a negative year, most people don't understand bonds can lose lots and lots and lots of money. So my view on life is always negative & fuck you approach.

The others are similar but have more equity exposure and FX, one other is really good via commodities so the conversation was from a top down look with some bottom up approaches. So.....after looking at the notes of the great conversation this is how it looked:

basically the world changed 2007/2008 especially North America. The GFC set in motion financial engineering games and here we are. The issues pre this (2000 to 2007) set ALL this up so lots of blame to go around but to pin point certain things the real problems started with QE &
TRADING , ALL
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
Overthinking - The art of creating problems which weren't even there.

Thread on How Over-analysis leads to decision Paralysis-


What is Analysis paralysis?

In simple terms, analysis paralysis is a person's tendency to over-analyze or over-think upon a decision to such an extent that he/she fails to make a choice resulting in a paralyzed state of inaction.


How a retail trader trades-

A trader named Rahul, He know all the basics of markets, He also has made a system which gives signals on nifty, he has also encorporated good Risk management and Position sizing into his system.

One day he gets a signal to buy Nifty at 13500 with stop at 13450, he wanted to take the trade, but he wanted to get sure that the trade he has take should be a winner.

So he says just let me check the RSI if its above this level I will buy , he checks it and it was above his

level, then again he wants to check another indicator named MACD, he wanted to get sure man, Now he do the most intelligent thing to get sure he gets right.

He goes to twitter and ask his twitter Friend Trader knight he ask him that should I buy nifty at 13500,
TRADING
JayneshKasliwal
JayneshKasliwal
@JayneshKasliwal
How to Avoid Big Losses In trading ?

1. Avoid Stocks Below 200 ema
2. Sell Stocks in Stage 4 Down Trend
3. Dont Trade Stocks that are moving in Circuits
4. Avoid News based Trading

A thread With examples๐Ÿ”–

Retweet to Educate Your Trading Friends !
1/n

A Study Shows that 90% of the winning Stocks stay above 200 ema before a big Advancing Phase

1. Simply Not Holding or Buying Stocks below 200 ema Saves a lot of time and Money.
2. You can looses opportunity Cost if you buy stocks below 200 ema.
3. TimeFrame: Daily 200 ema

2/n


B. Sell Stocks in Stage 4 Down Trend

1. Stocks Exhibiting this are in complete Bear Grip
2. The 30 week ema acts as reference for stage analysis
3. These Stocks can be short sold on pullback to 30wema
4. Happens after Topping Phase
5. TimeFrame : Weekly , 30 Week Ema

3/n


C. Dont Trade Stocks that are moving in Circuits

1. Mostly these stocks are Speculatve and Operator Driven.
2. You never know what is the top of the trend and may get Stuck with Huge Losses

Example : TTML , Alok , Ruchi etc
This is Pyramid Structure and news driven also
4/n


D. Avoid News based Trading
1. Whenever a postive News comes in Market People Jump in Buying the Stocks without thinking .
2. Most of the the times the news is factored in or gets factored after heavy buying
3. Your Money may get Stuck

Example : PnbBousing , AdaniPower
5/n
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WORLD OF SANATAN DHARMA
WORLD OF SANATAN DHARM...
@world_sanatan
MINUTE DETAILS ABOUT THE ATTACK ON SHAISTA KHAN AT LAL MAHAL

Remarkable Commando op

A long ๐Ÿงต but worth your time

Aurangzeb sent his maternal uncle Shaista Khan with powerful army over 1,50,000 on the request of Badibegum Sahiba, Adilshahi sultanate

1/


Shaista Khan entered Deccan to kill Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj & to destroy his empire. Shahista Khan captured a lot of province and fort of Chakan near Pune.

2/


Till 3 years he gave lot of troubles to the subjects of Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj and he personally made Lal Mahal his destination to live at , which was the property of Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj . Lal Mahal, where Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj spent his childhood.

3/

1. In the April 1663 Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj personally made a surprise attack on Shahista Khan in the Lal Mahal Pune.

2. Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj attacked with 300 soldiers at the midnight while Lal Mahal had strong security of 1.5 lac soldiers for Shahista Khan.

4/

3. He entered in Pune, he made a drama of wedding ceremony to enter in Pune near Lal Mahal.

4. During the night they made big hole at the wall of Lal Mahal and entered into the palace.

5/
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Andrew Chen
Andrew Chen
@andrewchen
๐Ÿ‘‡Thread.

Published a new essay: The red flags and magic numbers that investors look for in your startupโ€™s metrics โ€“ 80 slide deck included!


This was a deck that I created on my (longish) interview process with @a16z. It was a long path, starting with meeting folks at the firm 10 years ago. But the purpose of the deck was to explain how I would use my superpower in an investing context

Here's what I explain in the deck. As investors (whether angel or VC) we're often confronted with an up-and-to-the-right graph. Is it going to go up? Or down?


One solution to forecast these growth curves is the Growth Accounting Framework, where you add up New+Reactivated and subtract churned users. In each time period that gives you the difference in monthly actives.


The problem with this is that it's a lagging metric, not a leading one. We need to go one level deeper and look at the underlying loops that drive these numbers, to understand the quality.
STARTUPS
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Brittany Packnett
Brittany Packnett
@MsPackyetti
We should stop confusing what someone was doing when we became aware of them with all they are capable of, interested in, or ever hope to be

Let folks have their many talents, interests and gifts. Life is far more fun with variety, loves.

A lot of folks have come to know me as an activist & Iโ€™m grateful that folks care to know me at all.

But I wasnโ€™t born in 2014. I was a whole teacher, executive, policy person, speaker, arts and culture lover, reader, writer, woman of faith, fashion and more before 4 yrs ago ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿพโ€โ™€๏ธ

We rightfully complain that marginalized people are not allowed to be fully human.

But we internalize and transfer our oppression daily. Itโ€™s a smog. We all breathe it in & act it out.

And then tell WoC โ€œgirl ainโ€™t you supposed to be a _______? Why you doing ____?โ€

Can I live?

And donโ€™t go reading anything personal into this-this isnโ€™t about me necessarily and itโ€™s no subtweet (I try hard not to do that.)

Iโ€™ve just been observing that behavior more and more lately. Especially when it comes to marginalized folks.

Evolution should be our aspiration.

โ€œCanโ€™t knock the hustleโ€ should be our anthem.

As long as someone isnโ€™t bringing active and continual harm, why canโ€™t they explore their many sides?
SOCIETY
Seth Abramson
Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
(MAJOR NOTE) The reason Manafort took over Trump's campaign in just 3 weeks despite being hired as a mere delegate counter is that ROGER STONE initiated a whisper campaign against Corey Lewandowski. That campaign started...days after Manafort returned from meeting with WikiLeaks.

2/ Stone and Manafort are longtime business partners; we'd expect Manafort to tell Stone what Assange told him, and for him to expect Stone to then pressure the campaign not only to hire him but quickly elevate him.

And who was Stone in touch with at the campaign? Trump himself.

3/ I bet you Manafort's late March emails are very interesting and that some of them are to/from his longtime business associate Roger Stone. And I bet Roger Stone's late March phone calls are very interesting and that some of them are to/from his longtime friend Donald Trump.

4/ At the end of March 2016, Trump suddenly convenes a NatSec meeting. At that meeting he directs his NatSec team to change the RNC platform in July to benefit Putin. Who later takes credit for that change?

Paul Manafort's business associate, Kremlin agent Konstantin Kilimnick.

5/ Why did Donald Trump suddenly convene a NatSec meeting 3 days after he finally hired Manafort? Why did he issue a pro-Kremlin directive at that meeting that Manafort's camp would later take credit for? What did Manafort tell Trump in the days leading up to that NatSec meeting?
POLITICS
libertyandjusticeforall
libertyandjusticeforal...
@Mark923to25
1. #Qanon told us that Saudi Arabia is a central piece of the puzzle in taking out the Deep State...we are watching the Deep State attempt to remove Crown Prince MBS and disrupt Pres Trump's administration's ties with MBS and the "new" Saudi/US coalition. Early in his admin,


2....@Potus sent Jared Kushner (JK) to SA on an undisclosed trip and told King Salman that business as usual was over, and if he wanted Pres Trump's support, Prince Alwaleed would have to be divested of $ and power; Alwaleed is one of top Deep State $ men and was tied to HRC.


3. @Potus knew that before he could begin cleansing the US and the rest of the world of the DS, he would have to cut one of the financial head's off the snake (Alwaleed). After JK met w/ King Salman, Alwaleed was arrested and divested of billions; MBS became leader of SA.


4. SA loves Pres Trump because he's a man of his word; SA could not trust Hussein or Clintons because they use SA for oil and leverage; SA has many factions, but essentially you have the new and upcoming SA that is attempting to modernize through Crown Prince MBS, and then you


5...have the old guard represented by Alwaleed who was one of the Deep State financial heads and loyal to the DS more than SA; SA knew Hussein was financing Iran to hold western world hostage, and SA was caught in middle of Deep State black mail; this is why @Potus was celebrated
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