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Saved by @Mollyycolllinss

As promised I am now posting details on #RIL #JIO stack. I shall discuss some advantage that #JIO stack has over peers. Pl do not take this as reco to buy stock. This is purely for information purpose

 Unfortunately, majority of market participants only see the deal value #RIL has managed to clock & there is entire segment of investors who hate #RIL stock.
Those who understand the technical/business depth of #RIL #JIO #RelianceRetail know the scale and future ahead
Talking first about #JIO stack from telecom PoV, it has tons of advantages over likes of Airtel/Idea-Vodafone that #JIO is pure 4G VoLTE network.
Airtel/Idea-Vodafone are forced to maintain 2G/3G network as more than 50% of their customer base is on old network that is cost intensive & burns into profits
Because #JIO is pure 4G VoLTE, they do not have to maintain separate networks, no need to maintain switching function for calls, reducing costs, giving pricing power
Telecom companies are bundling host of services for a reason - to make up for the lost money on maintaining old network/infra.
These bundle of services are typically music streaming, payments/wallets, OTT content etc. What is lost on one side is attempted to be made back via such services
So the application ecosystem is even more important & is a key to understand #JIO stack well. #JIO is an ecosystem, not just telecom play
JioTV, JioCenima, Saavn, Jio Fiber, Jio Holoboard, and soon to be launched gaming set top box are part of this ecosystem along with JioMoney, JioMart, JioCloud, JioCalls, JioSecurity are other apps in the same ecosystem
So while Airtel/Idea-Vodafone trying hard to push content & apps, #RIL has real businesses behind the apps to support. So the business levers are extremely strong compared to anyone else in the domain
Let us focus back on #JIO stack. The entire #JIO ecosystem is much deeper than most know.
#JIO Stack is made up of hardware layer where Jio Smartphone exist, then comes the #JIO network layer, again #RIL owns this too, then comes identification layer, Payments, Account Aggregations and finally comes application layer
Application layer is where most of the #SuperApps are competing at. Payments apps or even apps like PhonePe, PayTM etc are only competing at application layer, while #RIL is present at all layers except identification
That is the biggest advantage of #RIL & #JIO ecosystem. Even TATA is trying to build #SuperApp, SBI YONO is another attempt, but they just don't have any presence on other layers of the tech stack
Aggregation Layer is even more important because it controls the data transmission on a cross app ecosystem

#RIL has account aggregator license since early 2020 and is authorized by RBI already. Seeing the advantages?
#JIO stack controls entry point into Digital Ecosystem for nearly 100 million Jio Phone users. And WhatsApp can provide another 400 million customers an entry point into #JIO ecosystem
Who else control such huge use base + owns entire ecosystem + controls 90% of the tech stack + has pricing power? Nobody!
Embedded Insurance + Embedded Finance is next scale of opportunity for #RIL #JIO via same ecosystem.

Airtel already provides 2L worth term cover on a recharge of 179. That is embedded insurance.
WeChat launched WeSure and TenCent go access to 50 million+ more users. Amazon/Flipkart have bundled insurance very innovatively into their checkout process.
Insuring package is soon becoming norm in E-Commerce domain. Logistic companies work with insurance companies & e-commerce players to provide such bundled services
If #RIL bring insurance into their ecosystem it will be a very big as the customer base is already large enough.
Because apps such as PayTM, PhonePe etc. do not have account aggregator license, they cannot push the insurance products at easy across their stack. They can sell only at application level
Insurance on #JIO can be offered on multiple levels - On recharge/SIM purchases, on wallet transactions, on e-commerce purchasing, and it can be pushed easily via WhatsApp.
WhatsApp can be used single source to push products at easy to large number of customers across different business segments

This is where Facebook comes in as a platform advisor & can help complete the circle of this entire value chain.
With #RIL PoS adoption, micro-finance can reach wider reach! Small ticket insurance can be offered via PoS systems in brick & mortar stores
#RIL acquisition of NetMeds pushes this whole game on a very different level. Opens up entire healthcare domain via NetMed

#RIL also owns NowFloats that boasts of connecting 54mn businesses with over 526mn users in India. Understand the reach?
The potential of #RIL #JIO platform is humongous. If there is someone who really has a chance to be India's TenCent, it is #RIL

However, with such larger than life expectation come many execution risks. Failure of JioChat is one example. WhatsApp pay hasn't pickup steam either.
Is #RIL trying to do too much too soon? The question is at only execution level and not on capability level

I strongly believe FB, Google are in for a reason. They will help build the ecosystem & help it reach wider audience eventually. Until then it is wait & watch game
Many have doubted #RIL's capabilities where doubt should not be on capability, but speed of offerings & reach

Another risk seem to be of succession plan of #RIL as Mukesh Ambani is not in his 40s anymore!
#JIO will mostly list in 2021 on NASDAQ and #RelianceRetail will go for similar listing in India eventually
No matter whoever else tries to build a SuperApp, it is not so easy to become one. It needs whole ecosystem of applications that are backed by real businesses. In my view, if someone has any realistic chance to be one then it is only #RIL

More from Ameya

Ameya
Ameya
@Finstor85
After getting good feedback on yesterday's thread on #routemobile I think it is logical to do a bit in-depth technical study. Place #twilio at center, keep #routemobile & #tanla at the periphery & see who is each placed.


This thread is inspired by one of the articles I read on the-ken about #postman API & how they are transforming & expediting software product delivery & consumption, leading to enhanced developer productivity.

We all know that #Twilio offers host of APIs that can be readily used for faster integration by anyone who wants to have communication capabilities. Before we move ahead, let's get a few things cleared out.

Can anyone build the programming capability to process payments or communication capabilities? Yes, but will they, the answer is NO. Companies prefer to consume APIs offered by likes of #Stripe #twilio #Shopify #razorpay etc.

This offers two benefits - faster time to market, of course that means no need to re-invent the wheel + not worrying of compliance around payment process or communication regulations. This makes entire ecosystem extremely agile
TECH
Ameya
Ameya
@Finstor85
One segment I have been absolutely upbeat is IT/Tech. Tech has always been the hidden moat for many companies - AP/BFL to name a few. Tech is no longer a vertical in market. It has become horizontal that cuts across every single vertical.

Be it Pharma/API, Finance, Insurance, Manufacturing, Retail, CD, or any other segment, Tech is going to give you edge over peers.

The spend on IT/Tech is going to increase stupendously in coming 4/5 years to levels we haven't even imagined. The investment in tech is going to help big get even bigger and put very hard survival barriers to new entrants.

BFL/HDFC Life from Fin/Insurance segment have one of the best tech platforms. IndiaMart relies on customer data monetization, Dmart has a very small but extremely strong team of data scientists

Even Nestle has very strong data scientist pool, Asian Paints story is well knows to everyone now. Not investing in IT/Tech is going to be your biggest mistake in investing journey.
TECH
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Ameya
Ameya
@Finstor85
#LTI is getting ready..Need a strong close above 6530 & then arc BO level of 7566. Take these 2 out & get ready for rally of at least 1948 pts
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Ameya
Ameya
@Finstor85
Time to update reading on #tataelxsi. Note where the last fall was supported. Perfectly near the previous arc BO level. We will make some retracements here & there but now seems to be going for 10391. 3rd arc formation in process & looks very similar to the previous one https://t.co/KwBFN6fkKk
TATAELXSILONGTERM
Ameya
Ameya
@Finstor85
20% more and this position will be 3x. Selan & CPCL hedging the core beautifully. Spot in advance! Covid accelerated IT, EU Energy crisis accelerating Selan/CPCL.
SCREENERS

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JayneshKasliwal
JayneshKasliwal
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𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆-𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗻𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆

Complete Backtest and Indicator link

🧵 A Thread 🧵

𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽:
🔸 Monthly Option Buying
🔸 50 ema on 3 min timeframe
🔸 Supertrend 10 , 3
🔸 Chart : Banknifty , Nifty Futures as we backtested on futures
🔸 Entry 9:20 to 3:00
🔸 Max 3 Entries per day
🔸 Premium nearest to 200 Rs only

[2/18]

Why Monthly Option buying ?
🔸 Less theta decay compared to weekly options
🔸 Less Volatility
🔸 Supertrend and MA Settings
[3/18]


🔸 Indicator Link
🔸 Click on the below 𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘬 -> 𝘈𝘥𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘍𝘢𝘷𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘴 -> 𝘈𝘥𝘥 𝘰𝘯 𝘊𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵 from favourites and start using it !

🔸 https://t.co/zVXavqLBto
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𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀 :
🔸 Max 6 Trades per day ( Both CE and PE buy)
🔸 Timings 9:20 am to 3:00 pm
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Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
THE TRADER'S EDGE: THINKING IN PROBABILITIES

Casinos make consistent profits day after day and year after year, doing something random

At the same time, most traders believe that the outcome of the market's behavior is not random,yet can't produce consistent profits

Thread 🧵


What casino owners ,professional traders know is that probable outcomes can also produce consistent results if you " Have an edge" and trade on a large enough sample size.

The best traders treat trading like a numbers game.

1. To illustrate, let's look at the game of blackjack-


In blackjack, the casinos have approximately a 4.5-percent edge over the player.

This means that casinos will make profit over a large enough sample size, even after several winning streaks and big profits of many players.

At the end of the day, week, month, or year, the casino always ends up with approximately 4.5 percent of the total amount wagered.

That 4.5 percent might not sound like a lot, but let's put it in perspective.

Suppose a total of $100 million dollars is wagered collectively at all of a casino's blackjack tables over the course of a year. The casino will net $4.5 million.

What casino owners and pro traders understand about the nature of probabilities is that each individual hand played
TRADING
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Dr. Ellie Lockhart is the protagonist
Dr. Ellie Lockhart is ...
@BootlegGirl
OK, I guess I have a thing to say about the stock market. I have done kind of what these Reddit folks are doing with it, in that I have invested in the stock market when I was not at all rich, using parts of my paycheck that it probably wasn't wise to risk. I don't now. (thread)

But, like, it worked out okay for me. I even shorted some stuff. I didn't coordinate with anyone or whatever, but I don't think on the individual level the stock market is *inherently* malicious. If you're privileged, you're going to be exposed to it (through 401ks, etc.)

And I don't think it's wrong for people to try to make money off of it outside of the 401k/retirement context that's socially normal, *especially* if they're desperate like I was. There *are* strategies that you can use that, while risky, aren't exactly like gambling

Like, gambling is risky in a different way. You are always working with a fairly consistent set of probabilities in gambling, and they're never in your favor (outside of grey area gambling like between friends, where you could hypothetically actually still card count)

Anyway, like, on shorts: I don't think they're evil. I think they're dangerous. For an individual, a short always carries a small risk of individual bankruptcy. There's USUALLY not even a huge upside to them; they're not mystical or magical, they're basically reverse "longs"
TRADING
Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
#NIFTY

Bearish engulfing on monthly or bullish harami on Weekly , which one will play out?

Outlook for the week Jan 2 - 6, 2022.

THREAD: Deconstructing NIFTY on 5 different TF's.

#NIFTY

1. Monthly TF:

• Although the structure in monthly TF is of HH-HL, December monthly candle is a more of a bearish engulfing.

• However it is exactly at the support

• 17800-18000 looks like a strong support.


#NIFTY

2. Weekly TF:

• 17800- 1800 used to be a resistance in April & August 2022.

• However post BO of those levels, they might act as an immediate support.

• Current weekly candle is closer to the support (erstwhile resistance)


#NIFTY

3. Daily TF:

• After a sharp vertical fall, we expected a buying momentum

• Also Nifty filled the Gap.

• Strong support at 17800


#NIFTY

4. Hourly TF:

Moving within the rising channel, albiet the channel is quite steep.
TRADING
Richard Chu
Richard Chu
@richard_chu97
1/ I used to think that the biggest gains had to come from stocks that no one knew about

One of the harder lessons for me to internalize has been that oftentimes, unknown stocks stay unknown for a reason and you can still earn attractive returns from stocks everyone's bullish on

2/ While I’m not contrarian just for the sake of being contrarian, I do think it’s important to question everything.

When I started out, I would buy "quality" stocks like FB or TSLA without doing much research.

But an opinion being consensus doesn’t make it the truth.

3/ So owning the most popular stocks made me nervous. If a winner is so obvious then either it's priced in or maybe I'm missing something?

I preferred owning stocks that others weren’t aware of or were bearish on for the wrong reasons (more room for upside surprises).

4/ But there are degrees

Despite being widely popular, stocks like SHOP have been some of the best performers because they exceeded even the most bullish projections

And some stocks like TSLA are partly popular because they are great consumer products which is an important sign

5/ On the other hand, while the biggest winners can be found in micro-caps, many of which started out very undervalued with no analyst coverage, on average, they tend to underperform larger caps

Picking out the big winners earlier on is very difficult and there is no set formula
TRADING

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Anu Satheesh \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
Anu Satheesh 🇮🇳...
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Yoga Ramar Temple
#Nedungunam
#TamilNaduTemples 🚩

Yoga Ramar Temple is located near Thiruvannamalai. Shri Rama is seated with eyes closed, without any weapons. Mata Sita  pointing to the feet of Rama telling that  everyone is safe at his feet. Lakshmana standing near Shri Rama


Hanuman is seen chanting Vedas obediently sitting before Shri Rama.

Sthala Puranam says that, Sukabrahma Maharishi had been doing Tapasya here, for the darshan of Sri Rama. Prabhu Shri Ram, pleased with his tapasya, came here after Rama Ravana yudham. Since Rama was returning


after the war, he did not have any weapons with him.

Another gopuram called Kili Gopuram is there for Sukabrahma Maharishi. There is a hill nearby called Dheergachala. According to Sthala puranam, Sri Padham of Prabhu Rama are found on the top of the hill


It is said that this is the place where Shri Rama gave darshan to Suka Maharishi. Nedumgunam means which shows all qualities of Shri Rama who is Maryadha purushottam. Shri Ramanavami is very famous here.

Jai Sri Ram
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George Mack
George Mack
@george__mack
THREAD: 15 of the most useful razors and rules I've found.

Rules of thumb that simplify decisions.

Bezos' Razors:

• If unsure what action to take, let your 80-year-old self make it.

• If unsure who to work with, pick the person that has the best chances of breaking you out of a 3rd world prison.

Skinner's Law:

• If procrastinating on an item, you only have 2 options:

1. Make the pain of not doing it greater than the pain of doing it.

2. Make the pleasure of doing it greater than the pleasure of not doing it.

Luck Razor:

• If stuck with 2 equal options, pick the one that feels like it will produce the most luck later down the line.

I used this razor to go for drinks with a stranger rather than watch Netflix.

In hindsight, it was the highest ROI decision I've ever made.

Bragging Razor:

• If someone brags about their success or happiness, assume it’s half what they claim.

• If someone downplays their success or happiness, assume it’s double what they claim.

The map is not the terrain.
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Anu Satheesh \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
Anu Satheesh 🇮🇳...
@AnuSatheesh5
Stories of Guruvayurappan
Shri Krishna Leela

This is a beautiful story of Guruvayurappan. Once there lived in Guruvayur a poor family. Kitta, his wife & kids were struggling for their daily needs. With only a coconut tree in house, he earned a living by selling coconuts.


Kitta was from a low caste family. He was a great devotee of Guruvayurappan. Everyday before going to work he always prayed infront of a picture of Guruvayurappan in his house. His only wish was to worship at Guruvayur & have annadanam in temple. But he was not allowed there


It was Utsavam time in Guruvayur. From far behind kitta and family worshipped Guruvayurappan. Annadanam was given daily and no one was left empty stomach. Only Kitta didn't receive. That night, it was only Kitta's family who was sleeping without food. After temple nada closed


Shri Krishna, dressed himself as a Brahmin went to temple Kitchen. He packed food and went directly to kitta's house. Reaching Kitta's house, Shri Krishna told he was sent by a cook of Guruvayur temple and gave them the food he packed. Kitta and family was very happy seeing food.


When Kitta finished his food, Brahmin asked it will be better if he get a tender coconut( karikku)to drink. Kitta climbed the tree and gave all coconuts to him. After having 1 tender coconut, the Brahmin asked to bring remaining coconuts to Guruvayur temple the next day.
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Vibhu Vashisth
Vibhu Vashisth
@VIBHU_Tweet
महाभारत की कहानी कौन नहीं जानता।लेकिन क्या आपको पता है कि महाभारत के ज्यादातर पात्र किसी न किसी श्राप में फंसे थे।अगर ये श्राप न होते तो कदाचित महाभारत की कहानी कुछ और होती।हिन्दु पौराणिक ग्रंथों में विभिन्न श्रापों का वर्णन मिलता है व हर श्राप के पीछे कोई कहानी अवश्य होती है।


आइए आज जानते हैं महाभारत कथा में वर्णित कुछ श्रापों के बारे में।

1) राजा पाण्डु को ऋषि किन्दम का श्राप

एकबार महाराज पाण्डु शिकार खेलने वन गए।झाडियों के पीछे कुछ हिल रहा था। मृग है सोचकर राजा ने बाण चलाया जो जाकर ऋषि किन्दम और उनकी पत्नी को लगा।वे दोनो रति-क्रीड़ा में लिप्त थे।

जब राजा ने उन्हें देखा तो बहुत दुखी हुए कि ये मुझसे क्या पाप हो गया।बहुत क्षमा याचना के बाद भी किन्दम ऋषि ने पाण्डु को श्राप दे दिया कि जब भी वो किसी स्त्री को काम भावना से स्पर्श करेंगे उसी क्षण उनकी मृत्यु हो जाएगी।पश्चाताप करने, वे सिंहासन पे अन्धे राजा धृतराष्ट्र को बैठाकर...


..स्वयं अपनी रानियों कुंती व माद्री के साथ वन चले गए।पांडवों का जन्म भी कुंती को ऋषि दुर्वासा द्वारा दिए गए मंत्र से हुआ था जिसमे किसी भी देव का स्मरण कर उस देव से कुंती,पुत्र प्राप्त कर सकती थी।एक बार माद्री पे मोहित हो जब पांडु ने उसे स्पर्श किया,उसी क्षण पांडु की मृत्यु होगयी।


2) उर्वशी का अर्जुन को श्राप

महाभारत युद्ध से पहले जब अर्जुन दिव्यास्त्र प्राप्त करने स्वर्ग गए तो वहां उर्वशी नाम की अप्सरा उन पर मोहित हो गयी। अर्जुन ने जब उन्हें अपनी माता के समान बताया तो यह सुनकर उर्वशी क्रोधित हो गयी और अर्जुन को श्राप दे डाला कि तुम नपुंसक की भांति...
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Andrey \uf8ff Azimov
Andrey  Azimov
@AndreyAzimov
The best way to know if people like your product is NOT:

- Have a lot of emails in the waiting list
- Become #1 on PH
- Become #1 of HN or Reddit
- Have people that saing "I'll pay"
- Have a lot of free users

The best way to know if they're actually pay for it.

The only thing that matters is your product providing a value, and you can't know this until people will pay money for it.

We can have a first signal of a product/market fit after the launch by check how many sales we've got in the first 24h. Some scale:

200+ This has a high potential.
100+: This has a potential.
50+: Some people need it.
10+: People almost don't need it.
0+: People don't need it.

This is for a single time payment product. For a subscription probably it should be less because people hate subscription.

And obviously, you should have a lot of traffic like 3-5k+.

Here is a stat for my products (macOS apps) for the first 24h after the launch:
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