1/x ‘Twas the night before Christmas & all through the market not an order was stirring not even for $TGT.
The bonuses were entered into payroll with care,
In hopes that next year would bring a similar fare;
The Bulls were nestled all snug in their beds;

2/x While visions of $TSLA danced in their heads;
& Biden in his Covid mask, & Powell with his still flowing money tap,
Had just settled their brains for a long winter's nap,
When out on the screen there arose such a clatter,
All sprang from their beds to see what was the matter.
3/x Away to their monitors they flew like a flash,
Tore open their Bloombergs & threw up the dash(board).
The S. Claus rally in markets, that all of us know,
Paired w/vaccine reopening, Gave a bid to the market, leaving old prices below,
When what to their wondering👀 did appear?
4/x But a Georgia runoff rushing up to them with complacency, not fear...
With once reliable Vanna flows no longer lively & quick,
They knew in a moment the markets might get quite sick...
Unexpected, 2 Georgia Dem peaches into Congress they came,
5/x Whistling & shouting they called for more fiscal, ‘CARES Too’ its new name:
"Now, Healthcare! Now, Infrastructure! Now Green Energy & Protectionism!
On, Labor rights! on, Minimum Wage! on, Basic Income & Populism!
To middle class households, To the poorest of them all!
6/x Now spend away! Spend away! Spend away all!"
As prices that before the wild 🚁 money flies,
When met w/fiscal stimulus, mount to the skies;
So up longterm rates, up they flew!
W/ commodities & real estate too-
& then, in a twinkling, they heard a crack in IPO’s & the SPAC’s.
7/x The faltering & slowing of growth names like ‘Slack’.
As they drew in their head & looked @ the market all around,
Down the chimney multiples slid with a bound!
Backed with only speculative cash, from retail’s Wall Street Bets,
& w/ shares priced on eyeballs like 2000’s $PETS
8/x A bundle of junk without any more free money for bills,
The ‘growth’ complex began to look like a Nikola truck rolling down hills...
But Value investors—how their portfolios twinkled! Their relative performance, how merry!
9/x W/the real economy, smelling like roses, demand for goods, what a flurry!
For the 1st time in decades their mouths drawn up like bows,
@ their backs, to their surprise, the beginnings of actual passive flows!
Gone buybacks, now antitrust hearings & regulatory action w/ teeth,
10/x In their stead, Discounted Cash Flows encircled the head of Value Stocks like a wreath;
Household incomes expanded, returning status & food to the working class belly,
That, after decades, shook again, when they laughed, like a bowl full of jelly.
11/x Chubby & plump, the now shiny new, rust belt, turned to Biden, that senile, jolly old elf,
They all began to laugh when they heard him say, ‘Folks...’, in spite of themselves;
A wink of his eye & a twist of his head,
12/x Soon gave the electorate even MOAR stimulus, making them believe they had nothing to dread...
So, despite equity markets’ continued decline, he went straight back to work,
Rebuilding ‘Back Better;’ then inflation ticked up, with even more of a jerk,
13/x And Powell & Yellen, heading a re-emergent Phillips curve, forcibly set down their monetary hose,
And giving a nod, up the yield curve even more the rates rose;
Savers delighted, as the TINA effect gave its last whistle,
And away the economy flew like the down of a thistle.
14/14 So, 4 years later, despite poor real market returns, We could still hear Biden exclaim, with his 2024 re-election victory in sight—
“The Economy Is Not the Stock Market...
Merry Christmas...& to all a good night!”

More from Cem Karsan 🥐

More from Trading

1/ Feels like a good time to tell the story of how I went from broke to a millionaire to broke again in 2017/18 again...

Yesterday was brutal for some people...

Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.

2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.

https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0

tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it

2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.

3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.

If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.

4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information

And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.

5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?

I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record

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"I lied about my basic beliefs in order to keep a prestigious job. Now that it will be zero-cost to me, I have a few things to say."


We know that elite institutions like the one Flier was in (partial) charge of rely on irrelevant status markers like private school education, whiteness, legacy, and ability to charm an old white guy at an interview.

Harvard's discriminatory policies are becoming increasingly well known, across the political spectrum (see, e.g., the recent lawsuit on discrimination against East Asian applications.)

It's refreshing to hear a senior administrator admits to personally opposing policies that attempt to remedy these basic flaws. These are flaws that harm his institution's ability to do cutting-edge research and to serve the public.

Harvard is being eclipsed by institutions that have different ideas about how to run a 21st Century institution. Stanford, for one; the UC system; the "public Ivys".