But they again end up changing them after next losing trade.
If you believe in the law of large numbers then;
"Don't change the trading rules after every trade."
If you do change them frequently then this thread is for you.
Let's talk about the law of large numbers and how it benefits traders to be profitable.
[Thread]👇👇👇
But they again end up changing them after next losing trade.
If you believe in the law of large numbers then;
Law of large numbers is best illustrated by the example of a coin flip :
It has a 50% chance of landing on heads.
The probability of getting 5 heads and 5 tails on ten flips is just 8% but that probability keeps increasing as we increase the sample size.
When the market conditions are not in favour of a strategy, it's normal that it will suffer from drawdown.
In this period most traders can't face the heat,
And in those process, they fit the best possible rules for the last few trades.
But you know they again and up in loss. because they never stick to the strategy for along time.
More from Trader knight
A mega thread, this contains some of my popular threads which may help you in your trading.
Thanks for reading :)
Pyramiding
Don't change your trading
Trendlines
Scaling in-out
Thanks for reading :)
Pyramiding
A thread on Pyramiding- pic.twitter.com/8EOSSFMZ2w
— Trader knight (@Traderknight007) December 27, 2020
Don't change your trading
"Don't change the trading rules after every trade."
— Trader knight (@Traderknight007) November 29, 2020
If you do change them frequently then this thread is for you.
Let's talk about the law of large numbers and how it benefits traders to be profitable.
[Thread]\U0001f447\U0001f447\U0001f447 pic.twitter.com/pEUr0wH354
Trendlines
A thread on Trend-lines pic.twitter.com/GsLGzl8A3c
— Trader knight (@Traderknight007) January 2, 2021
Scaling in-out
A thread on SCALING IN - OUT METHOD - pic.twitter.com/bJ1N5ZjAiK
— Trader knight (@Traderknight007) January 9, 2021
More from Trading
Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
Short straddle is non-directional strategy
Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.
Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.
(1/n)
*RETWEET for max response
Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.
Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.
You can sell straddle as per your market view.
If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.
(2/n)
Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.
In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
Maximum profit: 16k and Loss: Unlimited, Winning probability: 50%
(3/n)
If market staying near at 14350 then win. Probability increase slowly. Rewards also increase slowly.
Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.
(4/n)
Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.
(5/n)
Fake chats claiming to be from the Irish African community are being disseminated by the far right in order to suggest that violence is imminent from #BLM supporters. This is straight out of the QAnon and Proud Boys playbook. Spread the word. Protest safely. #georgenkencho
There is co-ordination across the far right in Ireland now to stir both left and right in the hopes of creating a race war. Think critically! Fascists see the tragic killing of #georgenkencho, the grief of his community and pending investigation as a flashpoint for action.
Across Telegram, Twitter and Facebook disinformation is being peddled on the back of these tragic events. From false photographs to the tactics ofwhite supremacy, the far right is clumsily trying to drive hate against minority groups and figureheads.
Declan Ganley’s Burkean group and the incel wing of National Party (Gearóid Murphy, Mick O’Keeffe & Co.) as well as all the usuals are concerted in their efforts to demonstrate their white supremacist cred. The quiet parts are today being said out loud.
The best thing you can do is challenge disinformation and report posts where engagement isn’t appropriate. Many of these are blatantly racist posts designed to drive recruitment to NP and other Nationalist groups. By all means protest but stay safe.
There is co-ordination across the far right in Ireland now to stir both left and right in the hopes of creating a race war. Think critically! Fascists see the tragic killing of #georgenkencho, the grief of his community and pending investigation as a flashpoint for action.
Across Telegram, Twitter and Facebook disinformation is being peddled on the back of these tragic events. From false photographs to the tactics ofwhite supremacy, the far right is clumsily trying to drive hate against minority groups and figureheads.
Be aware, the images the #farright are sharing in the hopes of starting a race war, are not of the SPAR employee that was punched. They\u2019re older photos of a Everton fan. Be aware of the information you\u2019re sharing and that it may be false. Always #factcheck #GeorgeNkencho pic.twitter.com/4c9w4CMk5h
— antifa.drone (@antifa_drone) December 31, 2020
Declan Ganley’s Burkean group and the incel wing of National Party (Gearóid Murphy, Mick O’Keeffe & Co.) as well as all the usuals are concerted in their efforts to demonstrate their white supremacist cred. The quiet parts are today being said out loud.
There is a concerted effort in far-right Telegram groups to try and incite violence on street by targetting people for racist online abuse following the killing of George Nkencho
— Mark Malone (@soundmigration) January 1, 2021
This follows on and is part of a misinformation campaign to polarise communities at this time.
The best thing you can do is challenge disinformation and report posts where engagement isn’t appropriate. Many of these are blatantly racist posts designed to drive recruitment to NP and other Nationalist groups. By all means protest but stay safe.
You May Also Like
I just finished Eric Adler's The Battle of the Classics, and wanted to say something about Joel Christiansen's review linked below. I am not sure what motivates the review (I speculate a bit below), but it gives a very misleading impression of the book. 1/x
The meat of the criticism is that the history Adler gives is insufficiently critical. Adler describes a few figures who had a great influence on how the modern US university was formed. It's certainly critical: it focuses on the social Darwinism of these figures. 2/x
Other insinuations and suggestions in the review seem wildly off the mark, distorted, or inappropriate-- for example, that the book is clickbaity (it is scholarly) or conservative (hardly) or connected to the events at the Capitol (give me a break). 3/x
The core question: in what sense is classics inherently racist? Classics is old. On Adler's account, it begins in ancient Rome and is revived in the Renaissance. Slavery (Christiansen's primary concern) is also very old. Let's say classics is an education for slaveowners. 4/x
It's worth remembering that literacy itself is elite throughout most of this history. Literacy is, then, also the education of slaveowners. We can honor oral and musical traditions without denying that literacy is, generally, good. 5/x
As someone\u2019s who\u2019s read the book, this review strikes me as tremendously unfair. It mostly faults Adler for not writing the book the reviewer wishes he had! https://t.co/pqpt5Ziivj
— Teresa M. Bejan (@tmbejan) January 12, 2021
The meat of the criticism is that the history Adler gives is insufficiently critical. Adler describes a few figures who had a great influence on how the modern US university was formed. It's certainly critical: it focuses on the social Darwinism of these figures. 2/x
Other insinuations and suggestions in the review seem wildly off the mark, distorted, or inappropriate-- for example, that the book is clickbaity (it is scholarly) or conservative (hardly) or connected to the events at the Capitol (give me a break). 3/x
The core question: in what sense is classics inherently racist? Classics is old. On Adler's account, it begins in ancient Rome and is revived in the Renaissance. Slavery (Christiansen's primary concern) is also very old. Let's say classics is an education for slaveowners. 4/x
It's worth remembering that literacy itself is elite throughout most of this history. Literacy is, then, also the education of slaveowners. We can honor oral and musical traditions without denying that literacy is, generally, good. 5/x
MASTER THREAD on Short Strangles.
Curated the best tweets from the best traders who are exceptional at managing strangles.
• Positional Strangles
• Intraday Strangles
• Position Sizing
• How to do Adjustments
• Plenty of Examples
• When to avoid
• Exit Criteria
How to sell Strangles in weekly expiry as explained by boss himself. @Mitesh_Engr
• When to sell
• How to do Adjustments
• Exit
Beautiful explanation on positional option selling by @Mitesh_Engr
Sir on how to sell low premium strangles yourself without paying anyone. This is a free mini course in
1st Live example of managing a strangle by Mitesh Sir. @Mitesh_Engr
• Sold Strangles 20% cap used
• Added 20% cap more when in profit
• Booked profitable leg and rolled up
• Kept rolling up profitable leg
• Booked loss in calls
• Sold only
2nd example by @Mitesh_Engr Sir on converting a directional trade into strangles. Option Sellers can use this for consistent profit.
• Identified a reversal and sold puts
• Puts decayed a lot
• When achieved 2% profit through puts then sold
Curated the best tweets from the best traders who are exceptional at managing strangles.
• Positional Strangles
• Intraday Strangles
• Position Sizing
• How to do Adjustments
• Plenty of Examples
• When to avoid
• Exit Criteria
How to sell Strangles in weekly expiry as explained by boss himself. @Mitesh_Engr
• When to sell
• How to do Adjustments
• Exit
1. Let's start option selling learning.
— Mitesh Patel (@Mitesh_Engr) February 10, 2019
Strangle selling. ( I am doing mostly in weekly Bank Nifty)
When to sell? When VIX is below 15
Assume spot is at 27500
Sell 27100 PE & 27900 CE
say premium for both 50-50
If bank nifty will move in narrow range u will get profit from both.
Beautiful explanation on positional option selling by @Mitesh_Engr
Sir on how to sell low premium strangles yourself without paying anyone. This is a free mini course in
Few are selling 20-25 Rs positional option selling course.
— Mitesh Patel (@Mitesh_Engr) November 3, 2019
Nothing big deal in that.
For selling weekly option just identify last week low and high.
Now from that low and high keep 1-1.5% distance from strike.
And sell option on both side.
1/n
1st Live example of managing a strangle by Mitesh Sir. @Mitesh_Engr
• Sold Strangles 20% cap used
• Added 20% cap more when in profit
• Booked profitable leg and rolled up
• Kept rolling up profitable leg
• Booked loss in calls
• Sold only
Sold 29200 put and 30500 call
— Mitesh Patel (@Mitesh_Engr) April 12, 2019
Used 20% capital@44 each
2nd example by @Mitesh_Engr Sir on converting a directional trade into strangles. Option Sellers can use this for consistent profit.
• Identified a reversal and sold puts
• Puts decayed a lot
• When achieved 2% profit through puts then sold
Already giving more than 2% return in a week. Now I will prefer to sell 32500 call at 74 to make it strangle in equal ratio.
— Mitesh Patel (@Mitesh_Engr) February 7, 2020
To all. This is free learning for you. How to play option to make consistent return.
Stay tuned and learn it here free of cost. https://t.co/7J7LC86oW0