#FreeTip
#Intraday
An intraday pattern that usually results in a big move; Doesn't occur very frequently; If it happens, most of the time the move is big.
Intraday VCP. - U shaped Higher lows (2-5) for an upmove (usually without HHs). n shaped LHs for downmove (usually w.o. LLs

#FreeTip
#Scalping
To succeed in scalping, it should necessarily be a rule based approach.
A simple scalping strategy in indices:
1) Timeframe - 2 min (STF)
2) RSI 5
3) RSI 5 in 10 min chart (2x of STF)
Strategy:
Long condition:
1) 3 should be above 50
2) Entry when 2 dips ..

...
below 30 and crosses above 30.
3) Keep 0.5% risk
4) Exit at 1: 2 plus RR.
Short condition:
1) 3 should be below 50
2) Entry when 2 moves above 70 and dips below 70.
3) Keep 0.5% risk
4) Exit at 1:2 plus RR.
practice required.
Need to be in front of screen.
Discount broker.

#FreeTip Most of the stocks after coming out of a base moves 20%-25% after which it starts consolidating to form another base. So ideally book profits at 20%-25%.Only exception is when a stock goes up 20% within 3 wks of breakout,in which case hold for min 8 wks. O Neil Rule.

#FreeTip
#PriceAction
This PA concept is not avlb in any textbooks:
In an uptrending market if the candle size decreases
a) but in an upward trajectory, the chances of price falling is high.
b) but in an horizontal / downward trajectory, the chances of continuing trend high

#SRF
2700
Breaking out of weekly box consolidation / W pattern.
The higher the tf, more effective the patterns. High possibility of going up further.
Long suggested at CMP for targets of 3300-3400 zones with a 8% stop.

#FreeTip Highest weekly volume with highest weekly price range ——>
If it happens after a strong uptrend, it is sign of end of trend / consolidation/ reversal .
If it happens before an uptrend above 30 week ma, it is a sign of beginning of a trend.

Bull Market Rotation: We all have heard about bull market rotation over last few months. 

Let's see how it looks. Below is the comparative chart of IT (candlestick chart) vs Metals (blue line chart). Let's see how it has moved from March'20 bottom till now. 

(1/4)

1) March'20 to July'20: Both going up but IT clearly outperforming metals during the period.

2) July to Aug: IT consolidating, metals outperforming.

3) Aug to Oct: IT moving up, metals under retracement.

(2/4)

4) Oct to Nov: Tables turning again in favour of metals.

5) Nov to Jan: Both moving up, but IT outperforming.

6) Jan to May: Metals outperforming IT after some initial retracement in first few weeks of Jan. Since last week of Jan to May, it's been all metals.

(3/4)

7) May to July: IT again leading, with metals consolidating.

Let's see how it turns from here.

(4/4)

Impact of crude oil on various sectors…

In a recent interview with Udayan Mukherjee, the big bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala made an interesting bold statement - "I think nobody has read the Electricity (Amendment) Bill. Once it passes, it will be bigger than 1991 reforms."

A thread🧵dissecting the ongoing Power reforms 👇

2/17
In summary, the Amendment Bill 2021 says:
⚡️ Delicensing of state monopoly- open to competition
⚡️ Consumers can choose discoms (like telcos)
⚡️ Smart meters to plug leakages
⚡️ Easy resolution of disputes
⚡️ Right to 24x7 electricity
⚡️ Rewarding consumers shifting to solar

3/17
We'll discuss these in detail. But first, some context.

India's is the 3rd largest consumer of electricity. But also one of the most inefficient (measured via AT&C losses - electricity that is generated but does not reach intended customers)
AT&C: 22% vs 8% global. Chart 👇

4/17
Currently, only 9% Indians are served by private discoms (Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Delhi).

AT&C loss for Delhi has declined from 55% in 2002 to 9% in 2020 after power distribution was taken over by three private licensees. Makes a strong case for broader delicensing of discoms.

5/17
What are discoms?

The Power value chain:
Raw material (Coal, Fuel) --> Generation --> Transmission --> Distribution --> Consumption

In this chain, Distribution companies (or discoms) have been the weakest link for last 3 decades.

---THREAD ON F&O BAN---

📛 What’s F&O Ban?
Stock goes into ban when combined Open Interest (OI) of both Future & Options contracts across series & across exchanges exceeds 95% of Market Wide Position Limit (MWPL)

Reason for stock going in ban is to curb EXCESSIVE SPECULATION

📛 What happens when stock goes into ‘FNO ban’?
-One CANNOT take Fresh positions
-But CAN square off existing position

📛 Can you trade?

Yes, you can take ‘INTRA-DAY’ position ONLY if your broker allows

But If intraday position ‘NOT CLOSED ‘

Then exchange levies PENALTY of 1% of value of increased position subject to minimum penalty of 5k & max of 1 lakh

📛 When stock is in ban can you reverse an existing position in a stock that is in FNO ban?

'YES'

Example

-If you are long on 2000 Call strike of RIL
-Can reverse with opposite position by selling 2000 Call strike

📛 When does the stock come out of ban?

-When OI falls below 80% of MWPL

Note: Exchange releases MWPL data for all F&O stocks monthly