Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
A lot of people ask: how do you find companies to invest in? very good question.
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. 🙏
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
Operating cash flow 5years /5 < Operating cash flow 3years /3
AND
Operating cash flow 7years /7 < Operating cash flow 3years /3"
smallcaps with a min mcap,
which have a bare minimum average ROCE & valuation accordance to the unit economics
which are also growing topline
and where operating cash flows are also increasing, on an average basis
One first needs to have a thought about what one is looking for, then one can codify it in screener. Another type of cos i look for are turn-arounds.
AND
(short term sales growth > 7 OR medium term sales growth > 7)
AND
(short term opm growth > 10 OR medium term opm growth > 10)
AND
Market Capitalization < 2000
AND
medium term ocf profit ratio > 0.3
AND
ROIC > 12
2. looking through PF of & tracking super-investors.
For funds/people with sizable PF sizes like @LuckyInvest_AK sir & @SunilBSinghania sir
I track trendlyne portfolios to generate ideas.
1. Study https://t.co/3jeqlXO0QH thread for the company
2. Study company's conference calls, investor presentations
3. Study industry structure through industry reports, webinars on YT
4. Study company's annual report
6. Estimate future growth rates for industry and company's competitive positioning
7. Assign a fair value range for the company
(i) there is significant discount to fair value
& (ii) significant sales & profit growth visibility & triggers
& (iii) Sources of durable competitive advantages which act as the 'moat' around the profit growth and market shares.
More from Sahil Sharma
In any activity the distribution of outcomes follows bell curve (Gaussian).
Those that are willing to put in effort reap the benefits. 😀
Otherwise we always have option to go for hard working PM's/etf/mf
Things to need to do before you buy a stock. I wonder though how many investors have the ability for item numbers 5, 6 & 7. I don't pic.twitter.com/E5AMVxbpNb
— Prashanth (@Prashanth_Krish) August 16, 2021
For lot of consumer facing cos scuttlebutt is actually not that hard. We find reviews online (eg: app reviews on playstore, or reviews of products on social media)
B2B is hard to scuttlebutt, need to reach out to people in co and hope that are willing to talk. Connections help
Given that I have an idea & some sense for valuation & growth, how do i construct a portfolio?
If you like the thread, plz RT.
A lot of people ask: how do you find companies to invest in? very good question.
— Sahil Sharma (@sahil_vi) July 6, 2021
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. \U0001f64f
First thing worth mentioning is that I am only describing my own process. Others can follow a different process which could work for them.
Opposite of a good idea can also be a good idea
Before understanding the process itself, it is important to understand the problems the process is being designed to solve for. What are the key hurdles or troubles I have faced in designing my PF.
Hurdles
1. At any given point in time (in the past) i have only known deeply about 5% of the listed universe in India, or lower. When I say know deeply I mean read an annual report, an investor presentation, a concall, understood why the business is how it is.
2. I only started my corporate life 4 years ago, so my pf size is small compared to yearly savings. This means that I need to deploy large incremental capital every year at least for next few years. This cant be a buy & track pf, this is a keep buying & tracking for a few yrs pf
More from Stocks
Prashant Sir has a spectacular ability to simplify complex topics and put them in Twitter threads.
📊 This is a must-read for every trader.
I scraped his entire tweet library - here are some of my faves.
THREAD 🧵 👇
1/7
Bollinger
Thread: Bollinger Bands
— Prashant Shah (@Prashantshah267) August 22, 2020
Bollinger Bands\xae is a wonderful invention of John Bollinger. #Bollingerbands #Indicators #Definedge pic.twitter.com/UREE7eedxh
2/7
Donchian
Thread: Donchian Channels
— Prashant Shah (@Prashantshah267) August 8, 2020
Donchian channels were invented by Richard Donchian. He is known as a father of trend following trading. He was founder of world\u2019s first managed fund in 1949. #donchianchannels #indicators #definedge pic.twitter.com/IaTcGedIbR
3/7
Darvas
Thread: Darvas Box Theory#Darvas #knowledgesharing #Definedge pic.twitter.com/xYRrlkjDrm
— Prashant Shah (@Prashantshah267) July 17, 2020
4/7
Money Flow Index or
Thread: MFI Indicator
— Prashant Shah (@Prashantshah267) July 24, 2020
Created by Gene Quong and Avrum Soudack, MFI stands for Money Flow Index. #MFI #Indicators #Definedge pic.twitter.com/zZPU4SUuEu