I have spent the past 4 years under the tyrannical rule of an out of control Republican Party.
When they rolled back environmental protections they didn’t worry about the future of our children & grandchildren.
When they banned LGBTQ from the ➡️

military they didn’t worry about people losing their jobs for their sexual preference.
When they banned Muslims & separated families at the border they didn’t care that immigrants are humans and suffer like the rest of us. They don’t even care that immigrants
➡️

are vital to our economy.
When they degraded women, minorities, lgbtq, even using racial slurs such as “Guido” they didn’t care who they offended or that children were listening.
When our troops had bounties on their heads, they didn’t care about them or ➡️

the families that worried everyday for their safety.
As they lied & created an alternative reality, they didn’t care about the divisiveness they brought upon the country or the degradation of our democracy.
➡️

When they refused to allow the archivist to record the ERA, they didn’t care about the women that fought for decades to get it ratified.
They didn’t care when foreign actors interfered in our elections.
They ignored if not helped the rise of
➡️

My two cents on the political economics of the first political crisis in Italy… with a shrinking Parliament. What are the incentives for Italian Senators, if they put themselves first and the country’s welfare next? Take the 2018 elected Senate, no subsequent party change

Let me assume that next election will be with a pure Proportional system -- no majority premium, no minimum thresholds. Strong simplifying assumption, I know: deciding the new electoral system is another interesting game on its own! I use yesterday SWG electoral polls

5 Stars movement (15.7% expected vote share) down from 111 to 31 seats: 80 current Senators going from MP salaries to….basic income (scary, um?). Democratic Party (19.6%) from 53 seats to 39 + 6 seats (counting Renzi’s Italia Viva). Forza Italia (6.3%) from 57 seats to only 13!

Even the most voted party Salvini’s League (23.5%) may lose seats: from 58 to 47. The big winner is Meloni’s Italian Brothers (16.3%) from 18 to 33 seats. So not surprisingly, Meloni & Salvini want early elections to get back in power. But the others?

5Star MPs will try to hold on to their seats: early elections cost each of them at least € 250k. Their leader may want to bet all their chips on a new Conte government, but do they have enough leverage to control their troopers if other govenments (options to stay on) emerge?

Please watch this video in its entirety, paying attention to the english captions. Tucker featured clips from this and it just shows how much is at stake in this election.

Zhang Zhizhen reveals the CCP Strategy and how pleased they are with

2016, Obama's last White House Correspondent's dinner. Some interesting "confessions?"

For two months we've been feted with snarky Jabs noting #typographical and #othererrors in #electionchallenge lawsuits.

You know, #mistakes?

Decided to check out what was happening on parler regarding SCOTUS, their website is a horrific design mess, but it is interesting...

Searching the Parlor gutter for SCOTUS gold #2

This website makes me appreciate the beauty of Twitter, it's a hobgoblin of bad design that you have zero search options for!

Swimming the cesspool of Parler for SCOTUS takes #3

Seriously, this trash website will be dead in 2 years @RemindMe_OfThis

Mining the river for golden Parler SCOTUS takes #4

Apparently this theory of SCOTUS leaving the door open is quite popular (its entirely nonsense).

Also PARLER CENSORED ME!!! lmao

Frittering away my time in the tears of the right wing by finding Parler SCOTUS takes #5

Wanted to add at least on little troll into the mix! (they are all over)

Also, hashtags are literally 75% of the "parlays".

I can't find the clip from yesterday where I tried a new approach to debunking Trump's big lie conspiracy about the election, but I'm going to try to write it in here. (thread)

The problem with trying to debunk conspiracy is that (as I've said so many times) it's a "self-sealing narrative." Meaning no evidence is allowed to count against it. You can neither prove or disprove conspiracy.

If you say "there's no proof," they say "they hide it."

If you say "the evidence disproves," they say "they made that up."

Of course motivated reasoning & confirmation bias are at work here. What's worse, conspiracy makes heroes out of the accuser and the believers--they aren't stooges, they know the truth, etc.

So I said all of that in this interview and then they asked what I would say to students about this in 10 years. I said in 10 years it will be easier to talk about then it is now. Now is hard because no one knows for sure. BUT, what if we used Occam's Razor?

(Occam's Razor says that the simplest solution is usually the correct one). Conspiracy is like this guy, right?

Guidance on Use of Cameras and Other Recording Devices Inside Polling Stations. THREAD;

The Electoral Commission has noted the concerns expressed by various stakeholders over the Commission’s restriction on use of cameras and other recording devices inside polling stations on polling day.

The Electoral Commission wishes to guide candidates, their agents, voters and the general public, on the above matter as follows:

1. Given the nature of our polling booth, which is an open basin, the presence of cameras in side polling stations may jeopardise the secrecy of the ballot, due to uncontrolled use of cameras and other recording devices;

2. Please note that the secrecy of the ballot is aimed at ensuring that a vote is anonymous and cannot be traced back to the person who cast it. A secret ballot is, therefore, fundamental in achieving peaceful, free and fair elections;

The "center" of American politics is not a fixed point, it shifts over time. What is "the center" today would have been considered pretty far left in the 1990s. Likewise, what was the imagined "center" in the mid-1980s would have been considered pretty far right in the 70s.

One of Lincoln's skills as a politician was that he moved the center of American politics into an antislavery place, and he also evolved in his own thinking about slavery and race. Finding and helping to move "the center" is one (not the only) form of effective politics.

There is no such thing as a democratic political culture that lacks an imagined "center" and people who inhabit it. This is especially the case in a diverse and often fractious nation. The politics of persuasion is all about moving that imagined center in the direction you want.

Most of the people currently on the American far right are highly unlikely to move to the center, because their basic political commitments are hostile to America's multi-racial democracy. One task ahead is to prevent that segment of our political culture from growing.

How to do that is unclear. History shows that deplatforming can often work. History also shows that sometimes right wing radicals can gain fame and attention by presenting themselves as "martyrs" who've been persecuted by "elites." There's no iron clad formula.

1/ There's an unusual pattern for voter turnout in Red, Blue & Swing states.

Changes in voter turnout from 2016 to 2020 has been largely attributed to increases in mail-in votes this election.

Interestingly though, Red & Swing states had the greatest increases in voter turnout.

(1) Thread time! Before we get rolling here, I wanna give a shoutout to @17Commentary and @GemmaSilent for the help with these digs. Yall made this a lot easier than it would have been otherwise! Give them a follow if you dont already!

Lets get to it!

(2) Gather ‘round the campfire, frens - it’s thread time!!

Last night, while all the outages were hitting, a bunch of puzzle pieces snapped together. It all popped together out of nowhere, and I am going to do my very best to explain my thoughts here. This thread wont be short.

(3) Obviously, this is all going to be guesswork, and I make no assertions either way, but this is all important knowledge to possess.

The first thing I’m gonna do is lay out what I think may have been a possibility, and then I’m going to tie it all together.

(4)

•POTUS will win the election.

•[They] will claim he “cheated”, and call his refusal to leave (because he didnt lose), a coup.

(The seeds for this are already being sown - Biden “leads” the polls, Trump wont leave office peacefully, the UN may intervene?). ➡️

(5) •This is why the EAS system has been tested rigorously.

•This is why POTUS has pushed for a wall and tighter border security.

I know - 🇨🇳 and the UN invading the US to forcefully remove POTUS seems farcical, yeah? Or does it?

1) Alright, fuckos. I'm starting to get pissed off.

Because apparently whenever the 25th amendment is brought up people feel the innate desire to become retarded.

When Pelosi recovers from her alcohol induced coma for 5 minutes to do some meaningless gesture, the same happens.

Thread on Exit Polls and Voter Analysis: Neither the right or the left should put much, if any stock, in either.

Over the years, after witnessing one horrible blunder after another and the damage they leave in their wake, I truly believe media should abstain from using them.

We often ignore the years when exit polls correctly called the winner, though were still showing serious issues due to at least non-response bias.

Veteran exit pollster Murray Edelman has spoken a lot about this.

Here are some notable, egregious misses.

In 2004, the Kerry Campaign was elated. The Bush Campaign was in shock re Florida. The latter was confident they over-performed exit polls. By night's end, a Kerry exit poll win turned into a historically comfortable Bush win in a razor thin state he barely won 4 years before.

But that still left the Bush Campaign short in Ohio and Iowa, both of which exit polls suggested they would lose.

The loss for Kerry and his supporters was so painful that they continued to argue Bush stole Ohio years after he won a second term.

Why?

Exit polls showed it was mathematically impossible for Bush to win Ohio. That is why Russert and others were openly celebrating before the polls closed.

Hyped expectations leave people entertaining conspiracies rather than attributing misses to known problems with exit polls.

Hubei province, where Covid started, has 57m people and cities of 11m

They locked down completely, closed airports, roads, schools, business for 16 weeks, then opened up

Deaths per million:

China: 3.3
UK: 676 and rising

Uk economy fell over 20%
Hubei is growing at 4%...

China locked down within 14 days of the virus being identified.

It took us nearly 3 months, and our airports still remain open.

We had a series of partial, failed lockdowns, messages from govt that lockdowns were anti-British, govt pals being let off with breaches...

Science was ignored. Decisions made late. We were paid to go out and socialise. Schools were threatened with being sued if they closed.

It's highly likely the new strain began here because a virus mutates faster if it has more chances to spread. So we're endangering the world...

The PM missed 5 COBRA meetings when vital decisions should be made. He took 2 weeks off as the virus spread, to deal with his latest divorce.

His advisor broke the rules, lied openly about why, and got away with it. His govt gave £billions in dodgy contracts to mates...

But opted out of cooperation with neighbouring countries tries to buy the desperately needed PPE our health workers were crying out for.

The govt wanted hundreds of millions on unstaffed sheds, as a publicity stunt, while 600+ health workers, lacking PPE, died...

How will you be remembered?

We are now 5 days out from the most important election in the history of our country. I want to share a few quotes from previous Q drops that we have been given, in hopes of firing you up even more than you already are.

🚨THREAD🚨

Unusual turnout in Democrat-controlled areas where we have also uncovered serious allegations of fraud

President Trump performed about the same in these counties as in 2016

Yet Joe Biden's totals surged where the counting was paused and Democrats were way behind

Milwaukee County, WI

2016:
H - 288,822 (65%)
T - 126,069 (28%)

2020:
B - 317,251 (69%)
T - 134,355 (29%)

That's a 9.8% increase of ballots for Biden over Hillary

28,429 more ballots

Wayne County, MI

2016:
H - 519,444 (66%)
T - 228,993 (29%)

2020:
B - 587,074 (68%)
T - 264,149 (30%)

That's a 13.0% increase of ballots for Biden over Hillary

67,630 more ballots

Dekalb County

2016:
H - 251,370 (79%)
T - 51,468 (16%)

2020:
B - 308,102 (83%)
T - 58,361 (15%)

That's a 22% increase of ballots for Biden over Hillary

56,732 more ballots

Fulton County

2016:
H - 297,051 (67%)
T - 117,783 (26%)

2020:
B - 379,095 (72%)
T - 136,716 (26%)

That's a 27.6% increase of ballots for Biden over Hillary

82,044 more ballots